Has the market stopped falling? A market crash isn’t scary; what’s scary is that you have no bullets to buy the dip! Be patient!
Today is the winter solstice. Boss Crab wishes everyone a happy holiday. Don't forget to eat dumplings! Last night's PCE data pulled the market back again. Don't worry about missing the bottom and feeling anxious. The weekend market is just a game among retail investors. Yesterday, Bitcoin's ETF was still in a state of outflow, which means the risk has not been eliminated yet. After all, next week is Christmas. I've mentioned many times that this year's market is quite large, and with foreigners celebrating the Spring Festival, the outflow may be more severe than usual. Let's patiently wait for clear trading opportunities on the right side. The market collectively crashed yesterday. Could it be that this round of altcoin bull run lasted only a short month?
Is this round of altcoin bull market really only a short month? Of course not, this year ETH/BTC hasn't gone up at all. Typically, in a bull market, this exchange rate should definitely rise. Even if the leading altcoin this round is SOL, the SOL/BTC exchange rate hasn't increased this year either. So, it's not that the altcoin bull has left, but rather it hasn't arrived yet!
On the American side, capital has already started to withdraw. In the past couple of days, Bitcoin ETF has seen a net outflow of 900 million USDT, which can be considered an impact of capital fleeing. What might drive the market up later could be the entry of reserve capital. The rise of Bitcoin is like a relay race, interspersed with several exchanges of capital. Certainly, there will be significant fluctuations and corrections in the short term, but you need to remember that the long-term trend is upwards. Hold firm.
Since we sense that the market will be crazier than the last round, the most important thing to pay attention to now is whether you have chips, whether you have the capital to secure a place in the future market, rather than worrying about short-term fluctuations of a few dozen points down.
Every festive season has a demand for liquidity withdrawal. With such a large market this time, we also need to guard against another adjustment or crash. As long as the bloodbath provides opportunities to pick up cheap chips, we should buy in batches when we can bear it, rather than blindly chasing high prices.
Hold on to your spot, ban contracts, and when the market is once again pushed up by the Trump effect, hope not to fantasize about making more but to strictly execute actions to double your capital and reduce positions in batches for profit, rather than always being hit during every drop. The current bottom line is that no matter how many extreme market conditions come later, do not hurt your own capital. This is the red line. The reason why there was no damage to capital yesterday is precisely because Mr. Crab frequently laid out double coins in November, which brought profit and a sense of security!
The market saw a slight warming after last night's PCE data. Don't feel anxious about missing the bottom. The weekend market is just a game between retail investors. Yesterday, Bitcoin's ETF was still in a state of outflow, which means the risk has not been alleviated yet. After all, next week is Christmas, and I have reminded many times that this year’s market is large. Foreigners will celebrate the Spring Festival, which might lead to more severe outflows than in previous years. We patiently wait for confirmed trading opportunities on the right side.
Remember when you get beaten, the market gives you the opportunity to reflect and embrace opportunities after Christmas!
In the past 24 hours, the entire network has seen a liquidation of US$1.023 billion, with more than 300,000 people having their positions liquidated. Cherish your life and stay away from contracts. Spot users have nothing to worry about. Be prepared to wait for the adjustment time. After the adjustment, it will still be a time for meme, ai, defi, and public chains to rebound more brightly. There is not much to say about the long cycle of Bitcoin. The bull market cycle is still there, and we are still very optimistic about next year's market. Bitcoin has a clear support signal near 95,000. Don’t make any aggressive trading operations from the weekend to Christmas next week. After all, foreigners will be on holiday soon. Then look at events that affect sentiment, that is, macro and fundamental factors: there is also PCE data tonight. In fact, Powell’s previous speech has been very clear that there is unlikely to be a rate cut in January. It just depends on how the market interprets the data. The negative news will not be that bad.
$FLOKI The airdrop that floki was going to send last time, monky has already arrived. You can check the account. It is another zero-cost chip. I personally keep it and see if I can do the same as cat and get the last wave of BN.
There is nothing much to say about the long cycle of Bitcoin. The bull market cycle is still there, and we are still very optimistic about the market outlook.
There is a clear support signal near 95,000 Bitcoin. Don't make excessive trading operations from the weekend to Christmas next week, after all, foreigners will have a holiday soon.
Then look at the events that affect emotions, that is, macro and fundamentals: there is PCE data tonight. In fact, Powell's speech before has been very clear. There is unlikely to be a rate cut in January. It just depends on how the market interprets the data. The negative news is not bad.
It is mainly the weekend. There is no liquidity on the weekend. Then on the 23rd, MSTR will officially enter the Nasdaq 100. This is a real positive for funds. I hope this can drive the positive market sentiment. Then on the 24th and 25th (Christmas), the US stock market will be closed.
If there is no negative news during the Christmas days, BTC can still survive safely.
If the mood is not good at this time node (another negative news), the market will bottom out again.
The above is an expectation from now until before Christmas. It depends on whether there will be any good news in the next few days.
Remember the days of being beaten; it shouldn't be in vain. This is the time to reflect on the entire review experience of November. Did you reduce your positions in a timely manner when you were in profit? Many have doubled in November. Did you withdraw your principal in time? Were you able to control your position? If you have suffered significant losses of your principal, then you need to think carefully. So far, our most significant loss is the profit being given back; this is unavoidable. As long as you participate in the market, there will be fluctuations. The bottom line is not to get too deep into your principal; this way, you still have a chance to reverse.
In this round, most altcoins are only 3-5 times better. Ethereum has not yet broken its new high; the bull market will not end so easily. Today, the Trump family is still increasing their positions around 3500. Altcoins have yet to see the myth of the last round of SHIB. I firmly believe that this is not the peak of the bull market. Waiting for three years is not easy. Remember not to trade contracts; the decline in the bull market only clears leverage for lightness. The future risks have not been removed, and I expect the dawn to arrive only after Christmas!
$BTC MARA also announced that it purchased 155,74 BTC at an average price of US$98,529 in the past two months, and held a total of 44,394 BTC. Retail investors are panicking, and institutions are buying. The current market situation is a high-level shock consolidation period after the extreme Fomo period. Again, the trend has not changed!
The benefits of B Alpha are mainly significant for small-cap projects; it does not mean that everyone entering this alpha will see price increases. Among the 10 projects launched last night, the highest increase was only 50%, while the others didn't even show any movement. Overall, the benefit levels can be summarized as spot > contracts > alpha. There is also a certain influence under conditions of low market liquidity, and when liquidity is high, it needs to be redefined! #币安Alpha项目公布
The current market situation is that Bitcoin and Ethereum have strong support from spot ETFs and traditional large capital, resulting in more buying pressure below, so they won't drop much.
However, most altcoins lack support from large capital, and once they drop, there are no support levels, primarily relying on market sentiment.
Therefore, it is crucial to manage your positions well and reserve some funds to cope with days of illiquidity.
As for what to buy at the bottom, it's still best to look for previously strong assets that have a narrative but have not yet materialized.
I am optimistic about the market after Trump takes office from January to March next year. For stability, focus on ETH, BNB, and SOL, while those looking for aggressive plays can consider ACT and PNUT.
For stable meme options, consider DOGE, PEPE, WIF, FLOKI, etc.
When selecting public chains, choose some well-established ones that already have good traction, such as APT, SOL, and SUI.
In the AI sector, choose FET, including WLD, but I am more optimistic about FET, as it has a partnership with DWF as a market maker, making it difficult for its price to look too bad.
In the DeFi sector, the first choices are still Aave and Compound. We have zero-cost positions in these, and those who wish to enter again will need to wait for lower prices. Additionally, MKR itself has no issues; it was just affected by Ethereum. If you have not set a stop-loss, you can hold it normally while managing your position and avoiding contracts.
As for positions, it depends on everyone's habits. Of course, Mr. Crab also suggests that everyone arrange their allocations reasonably. If your allocation is insufficient, you might as well pick some from the aforementioned sectors to layout, as long as the fundamentals and projects are still operational, time will provide you with answers and some wealth.
Additionally, in January, there will be FTX compensation, with $16 billion U or fiat currency compensation this year, which will somewhat flow back into the crypto market. Combined with the resumption of the US ETF, the market outlook is worth looking forward to; now is not the time to exit.
As mentioned before, every major drop is a good opportunity to enter, and today is no exception. We are currently in a bull market cycle, but the characteristic of this year's market is that it is fast, precise, and ruthless; rallies happen quickly, and so do sell-offs. Without innovation or new narratives driving the market, it is difficult for trends to sustain, and everyone needs to adapt to this rhythm. #美联储放鹰
Powell can't change the bull market! Can we buy the dip now? Pay attention to the holidays with no liquidity later!
The result of the interest rate meeting in the early morning was a 25 basis point cut, but the market plummeted. Originally, the market would rise after the interest rate cut, but Powell's words led to the current situation. The liquidation line of long positions in contracts is most concentrated in the range of 98,000 to 104,000 US dollars, and the price of bitcoin has directly reached 98,500 US dollars. With such a big drop, the explicit message from the market is that four interest rate cuts were originally expected in 2025, but now only two are expected next year. The Chairman of the Federal Reserve said: We are not allowed to own Bitcoin, and we do not want to change the law.
But you have to understand that they don't have the final say in the market. They also have to look at the data. They can say whatever they want, but they cannot make decisions casually. The decisions must be based on the data. How the interest rate cut will be next year still depends on various data.
The result of the interest rate meeting was a 25 basis point cut, but the market fell sharply. Originally, the market would rise and rise after the interest rate cut. Powell's words led to the current situation. The liquidation line of long positions in contracts is most dense in the range of 98,000-104,000 dollars, and the price of Bitcoin has directly reached 98,500 dollars.
The market's explicit information is that it was originally expected to cut interest rates four times in 2025, but now it is expected to cut interest rates twice next year. The chairman of the Federal Reserve said: We are not allowed to own Bitcoin, and we don't want to change the law.
But you have to understand that market policies are not actually decided by them. They also have to look at the data. They can say whatever they want, but they can't make decisions casually. The decision depends on the data. How the interest rate cut will be next year depends on various data.
What I want to say is that the bull market has just begun. Bitcoin will reach 150,000 dollars, ETH will reach 8K, doge will reach 1U, and pepe will reach 5 times.
This rising process will wash out countless people. In fact, we can't do anything except configuration and waiting.
These fortunes will truly be given to those who persevere.
I thought Powell would say something bearish, but I didn't expect him to be so harsh, directly opposing Trump. Make sure to set stop-losses for the counterfeit spot; avoid situations where you lose half your investment. Any necessary stop-losses should be in place, and patiently wait for new trading opportunities.
Regarding the market, there's not much to say now. With Ethereum dropping so much, it is likely to go through a K-line repair, and it is expected that BlackRock and public companies will buy it up.
Pay attention to Powell's speech sentiment at the interest rate cut meeting at dawn! Altcoins need to wait for BTC to break round numbers!
At 3 AM on the 19th, I believe everyone will be paying attention to the news about the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. However, the market has already firmly pinned down a 25 basis point rate cut, so the market will likely follow the script to cut rates. The risks during the meeting still revolve around the dot plot and Powell's speech sentiment. If Powell mentions slowing interest rate cuts during the meeting, the market will respond with a certain decline, so we still need to see what old Powell has to say. Currently, the adjustments in the market are due to risk-averse sentiment and do not indicate a true bearish trend. The main trend is still bullish, especially since BTC and ETH’s ETFs have maintained net inflows. As mentioned in yesterday's article by Mr. Crab, many listed companies and institutions are willing to raise their costs to buy BTC, which proves that 100k is just a starting point for them.
At 3 a.m., I believe everyone will be watching the news of the Fed's rate cut. However, the market has already nailed down the 25-basis rate cut, so the market is likely to cut interest rates according to the script. In fact, the risk in the meeting is still the dot plot, including Powell's speech sentiment.
If Powell talks about slowing down the rate cut next year, then the market will have a certain decline reaction, so it depends on what Powell says.
In fact, the cottage does not want to rise. The current time node is not the cottage outbreak period. This wave is the same as the daily high after the big cake broke 9w last month. When the big cake breaks the market value ceiling, the cottage will take off collectively. After the big cake reached 10w last month, many cottages broke through the previous high in March this year, and this wave of market conditions is the same. Although the big cake has been at a new high in the past two days, have you noticed that this new high is not an integer barrier, and it can't even be searched.
The next market can only stimulate the enthusiasm of retail investors and cottage funds if it breaks through the 110,000 and 120,000 mark, so I suggest that friends who hold cottages be patient and wait. As long as the cottage in your hand has a narrative, the project is still operating, and the direction is in line with the market hotspot, then there is no problem. #加密市场盘整
After BN launched BN Alpha, adding coins must be filtered in this large pool, the effectiveness of which remains to be seen.
After all, there was just a mix-up where 5 projects were prematurely revealed, but He Yi clarified that this is not the case; the actual projects will be announced in 3 hours.
3 AM, Federal Reserve interest rate decision FTX funds for claims next month will be returned to users The stock market, including ETFs, will be closed on Christmas, the 25th of this month Trump will take office on the 20th of next month There are both positive and negative factors; in terms of operations, just place orders to catch spikes. Here are a few sectors: meme, ai, defi! #BTC再创新高