TOYDAY

#USConsumerConfidence ❗ Japan raised its interest rate to a 17-year high. How will this affect the crypto market?

In addition, the inflation forecast was adjusted (upward).

Last time (in August 2024), the change in the rate of the Central Bank of Japan brought down global markets, including the crypto market.

📌 However, this time there is a key difference: this increase in the interest rate did not come as a surprise. Traders took the event into account, because it was preceded by clear signals from the country's government.

#USConsumerConfidence ❗ Japan raised interest rates to a 17-year high. How will this affect the crypto market?

In addition, the inflation forecast was adjusted (upward).

Last time (in August 2024), the change in the rate of the Central Bank of Japan brought down global markets, including the crypto market.

📌 However, this time there is a key difference: this increase in the interest rate did not come as a surprise. Traders took the event into account, because it was preceded by clear signals from the country's government.

🔵 Exchanges: OKX, ByBit, BingX

#USConsumerConfidence ❗ Japan has raised the interest rate to a record level not seen in 17 years. How will this affect the crypto market?

Additionally, the inflation forecast has been adjusted (upwards).

Last time (in August 2024), the change in the Bank of Japan's rate crashed global markets, including the crypto market.

📌 However, this time there is a key difference: this interest rate hike was not a surprise. Traders anticipated the event, as there were clear signals from the country's government beforehand.

$BNB 🔥How many cryptocurrencies do you think exist in the market?

100?
200?
5,000?
10,000?

Incorrect. 36,000,000 (thirty-six million cryptocurrencies) 🫣

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez emphasizes the massive increase in the number of altcoins in the market. For example, back in 2018, there were only 3,000 altcoins.

This indicates that the market simply lacks the liquidity for a full-scale altseason.

But some coins still manage to soar to the heavens.
🚀 What do you think will be the next coin to skyrocket?

#ETHProspects Trump buys these tokens and is associated with these projects!

yes, such headlines spread across the crypto community and someone started buying coins that Trump himself is buying!

I thought it was interesting and decided to investigate.

So, we are talking about the company World Liberty Financial, which essentially holds the following cryptocurrency portfolio:

$ETH worth $190 million
$AAVE worth $7 million
$LINK worth $6 million
$WBTC worth $47 million
$TRX worth $4.5 million
$ENA worth $5 million

Now for the details:

World Liberty Financial is a crypto project based on $AAVE, backed by Donald Trump's sons. The politician has repeatedly supported the initiative. As a result, World Liberty Financial has become directly associated with Trump.

And this is not Trump's project. There is only an indirect relationship to him, no more.

Moreover, Trump makes more money on meme coins than the entire portfolio of his sons' project..

Next.. the project launched a token sale, but judging by the information on the internet, this sale was not successful.

Now let's talk about the coins that many rushed to buy..

$ETH is clear, it's dead right now, but it should rise someday..

$WBTC is "wrapped" bitcoin for the Ethereum network. This is also clear.

$TRX (the coin bought for pennies) as a fundamental asset.

What are your thoughts?

$BTC ☄ This week's top stories

Monday, January 13

- US Federal Budget Execution Report
- CFTC Crude Oil Net Speculative Positions
- CFTC Gold Net Speculative Positions
- CFTC Nasdaq 100 Net Speculative Positions
- CFTC S&P 500 Net Speculative Positions

Tuesday, January 14

- Core PPI
❗ PPI
- EIA Energy Outlook
- FOMC Member Williams Speech

Wednesday, January 15

- API Weekly Crude Oil Stocks
- IEA Monthly Report
❗ Core CPI
❗ Index Consumer Price Index
- NY Empire State Manufacturing Index
- FOMC Member Kashkari Speech
❗ Crude Oil Inventories
- Cushing, Oklahoma Oil Inventory Data
- FOMC Member Williams Speech
- Fed Beige Book

Thursday, January 16

- Total Unemployment Insurance Claims
❗ Core Retail Sales
- Export Price Index
- Import Price Index
❗ Initial Jobless Claims

🔵 Exchanges: OKX, ByBit

#BTCBreaksATH 🌐 The largest token unlocks are expected in January

As a result, assets worth more than $2.6 billion will be released into circulation from January 13 to 19.

🗼 Ondo Finance will hold the largest unlock — 1.94 billion ONDO tokens worth about $2.42 billion will appear on the market on January 18.

There are currently 1.38 billion ONDO in circulation, so this issue can significantly change the supply and demand ratio.

On January 16, 2.2% of the total volume of Arbitrum tokens will appear on the market, which are currently valued at $69.32 million.

📅 On the same day, STRK tokens worth $27.55 million, SEI and ENA tokens worth $21.06 million and $11.98 million will be unlocked.

#NFPCryptoImpact ⏳ What if you started buying $25 worth of BTC per week in 2017?

DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) is the preferred investment strategy for most crypto investors. According to surveys, 59% use it as their primary approach.

💵 Over 8 years, BTC has returned 7x more than gold and 8x more than stocks.

If you had invested $25 per week in BTC since 2017, regardless of its price, your total investment over that period would have been $10,450.

💰 However, today, that investment would have turned into a whopping $133,689. However, if you had chosen traditional assets, you would have returned only ~$16,946 in gold or ~$15,358 in stocks.

This example shows the huge growth of Bitcoin over the years and the potential of the dollar cost averaging strategy.

🔵 Exchanges: OKX, ByBit, BingX

#OnChainLendingSurge 💵 Predictions for BTC at $120,000 have surged sharply since Trump's inauguration

There is a spike in interest in the call option for BTC at $120,000 on exchanges, which currently amounts to $1.52 billion.

🌐 According to the director of Amberdata, the bullish momentum is driven by favorable sentiment surrounding Trump's cryptocurrency position.

Technical analysts are observing 2 potential scenarios for BTC:

1️⃣ BTC recently mirrored the Wyckoff accumulation model, last seen during the FOMC rate cut. Holding the support level at $90,800 with possible wicks down to $86,500 would confirm an upward trend.

2️⃣ The resistance level at $102,760 requires a decisive breakout with strong volume to confirm further growth. Movement above this level could push BTC to $110,000 and beyond in the coming weeks.

🔵 Exchanges: OKX, ByBit, BingX

#BinanceMegadropSolv CEO of Binance Richard Teng: significant investments in compliance will strengthen competitive advantage
According to Fast Company, CEO of Binance, Richard Teng, stated that the company plans significant investments in compliance, positioning it as a key competitive advantage. This move reflects Binance's broader strategic goal—to take a leading position in the rapidly evolving crypto industry.

Word of the day!!!! ❤️Sharing

#BitcoinHashRateSurge 💸 The behavior of miners and traders indicates an upcoming rise in Bitcoin

In November and December, when the price of $BTC corrected after reaching a peak of $108,364, the influx of digital assets to cryptocurrency exchanges reached record levels. On November 25 alone, 98,748 bitcoins worth $9.7 billion at the current exchange rate were sent to the balances of trading platforms.

But in January, this situation changed. CryptoQuant recorded a significant drop in the influx of $BTC to cryptocurrency exchanges (screenshot 1, green bars).

At the same time, miners began to sell less cryptocurrency. This is evidenced by a decrease in the number of coins they transferred to cryptocurrency exchanges (screenshot 2, blue line).

On November 11, mining companies sent 26,367 $BTC to trading venues worth $2.6 billion, while over the three days from January 1 to January 3, 2025, they transferred only 13,370 bitcoins worth $1.3 billion.

Considering this statistics, the employees of the cryptocurrency exchange Bitfinex predict an increase in the price of Bitcoin to $110,000 in January. However, for a significant price increase, trading volume must rise. If the number of purchased coins remains at the current low level, the price of $BTC is unlikely to break the $100,000 mark.

#CryptoReboundStrategy overview of the market locally and globally for 2025

let's put it this way, it’s no secret that the BULL slogan for 2025

– no resets of bitcoin
– strict growth within the law of the cost of mining (I will explain further)
– growth of altcoins
– but unfortunately, at the end of 2025, the end of euphoria and a change in trend in the market. and consequently, a change in the strategy of all traders, as altcoins will fall by 95-98% in 2026.

#BitwiseBitcoinETF ⚡ Market decline is cancelled!

Yesterday's decline began against the backdrop of another potential US default: the debt ceiling was reached.

Donald Trump insisted on either increasing or canceling the ceiling, thereby pushing the US government to a shutdown.

As a result, the House of Representatives approved a plan to increase the national debt by mid-March 2025. Joe Biden is ready to sign the bill. That's why we saw a rebound.

The plan is to be considered by the US Senate next week.

#XmasCryptoMiracles 🌐 Tron leads in the number of transactions for 3 consecutive months

The blockchain recorded 182 million transactions in October, 167 million in November, and 135 million in December.

™ According to experts from CryptoQuant, the increase in network operations coincides with a decrease in the popularity of Telegram games on the TON blockchain.

Many users and developers have returned to more stable networks, such as Tron.

💵 Another factor in the growth has been the activity of USDT on the Tron network. Today, this blockchain has become one of the main platforms for the movement of the stablecoin due to low fees and high transaction processing speeds.

Experts note that Tron remains a profitable solution for users who prioritize minimal costs and reliability.

#ReboundRally 📉 Bitcoin falls amid negative comments from the head of the Federal Reserve about the formation of a BTC reserve in the United States

According to him, the regulator cannot organize the storage of cryptocurrency now, since this would require a change in the current legislation.

💡 The initiative proposed by Trump could push the crypto market to growth, since the project is capable of supporting the positive dynamics of BTC through active purchases.

Hints from the Federal Reserve that the initiative is unlikely to be implemented are, on the contrary, a bearish signal.

💬 Powell shared these comments against the backdrop of another meeting, during which a decision was made to reduce the key interest rate by 25 bps - to 4.25-4.5% per annum.

#MarketRebound 🪙 Low-profile crypto project Pyth Network may bypass Chainlink

This opinion was expressed by the famous crypto trader Guy Turner.

💰 He believes that this project has prospects for development due to the possibility of receiving significant income from commissions.

Pyth Network is an oracle that provides high-frequency data feeds necessary for the operation of blockchains such as Solana.

🌐 According to the expert, Pyth Network has its own blockchain network Pyth Net, which can introduce the use of the PYTH token for charging commissions. This opens up the possibility for PYTH to become a more significant player in the market than LINK.

For now, Pyth Network remains out of the public eye, which is an advantage for those who manage to invest before others.

🔵 Exchanges: OKX, ByBit, BingX

#ChristmasMarketAnalysis #marketthoughts

What happened:

- Dump after the FOMC announcement
- Sell-off in the stock market of $1.5 trillion
- Holidays (liquidity drop)
- Market consensus: stock sell-off before Trump's inauguration

Where we are now:

- The fear and greed index is slowly returning to its original level
- BTC is correcting and will soon start ranging (sideways)
- Full reset of overheating for altcoins after their brutal drop
- BTC.D at 58.2%

Where we will be (in my opinion of course) - positive scenario 2025:

- Finally, a favorable regulatory environment in the USA, some taxes on cryptocurrencies may be reduced or abolished
- Total market capitalization of the crypto market 8-10 trillion (currently 3.35)
- BTC.D falls below 47%
- BTC 150-200k in 2025
- People regret selling the drop in December 2024, just like they regretted selling the drop in December 2020. Just as they sold at the end of 2023. Just as in the end of 2022.

Nothing has changed yet, wait at least until the end of Q1 2025 to draw conclusions about a market phase change 🤷‍♂️

Not financial advice, just opinion

#BTCOutlook 📈 Bank of America: currently at a record high level of "bullish sentiment"
Asset managers with a total of $420 billion were surveyed (171 participants).
Investor optimism is driven by expectations regarding U.S. economic growth: Donald Trump will cut taxes and ease regulations, and the Fed will lower interest rates.
➡ Investments in American stocks – record high level;
➡ The amount of cash in fund managers' portfolios – record low level;
➡ 60% of respondents do not expect a global recession in the next year and a half.
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