From four years to small cycles, Miles Deutscher reveals a new risk management approach!

On January 8, cryptocurrency analyst Miles Deutscher stated on social media that investors in the crypto market should abandon the traditional 'four-year cycle' mindset and instead adopt a model of 'multiple small risk cycles.'
He pointed out that this shift in thinking can not only improve investment efficiency but also help investors better cope with the rapidly changing market environment.

Core viewpoint: Why change the cycle mindset?

Miles Deutscher summarized the three major advantages of the 'multiple small risk cycles' model:
1. Optimize risk management: The margin for error is smaller, and investors need to choose entry and exit points more precisely.
2. Accelerate research speed: In small cycles, market fluctuations are frequent, and decisive decisions must be made when conditions align, avoiding hesitation.
3. Avoid blind holdings: Regularly reassess investment theories and positions to ensure that every step is based on the latest market information.

Why is the traditional four-year cycle no longer applicable?

Miles Deutscher indicated that with increased market liquidity, deeper institutional participation, and more macroeconomic variables, the operational logic of the crypto market is no longer the same as the previous four-year halving-driven bull and bear cycles. Nowadays, the market pace is faster, and risks are more complex, requiring investors to have more flexible response strategies.

How should investors adjust their strategies?
• Frequently review the investment portfolio: Holdings are not 'set and forget' and need to be continually adjusted based on market changes.
• Seize small cycle opportunities: Be adept at finding profit points in local markets rather than waiting for long-term trends.
• Focus on data and research: Take the time to learn about new market trends and project fundamentals to timely grasp market dynamics.

Community hot discussion: Cycle change, are you ready?

Miles' viewpoint has sparked lively discussions in the community, with many users agreeing that small cycle investments can help improve returns, but others believe that overly frequent adjustments may lead to chasing highs and selling lows.

What do you think?
• Is it time to change your investment mindset?
• In the current market environment, how would you adjust your investment strategy?

Feel free to leave a comment and share your thoughts. Let’s find new profit opportunities in small cycles together! #加密市场回调

Cryptoquant CEO Speaks Out: Bitcoin Demand Soars, Market Confidence Remains Strong!

Cryptoquant CEO Ki Young Ju stated on social media: "The obvious demand for Bitcoin remains at a very high level." This statement has attracted widespread attention in the market and injected new confidence into the current market sentiment.

Soaring Demand, Continued Optimism in Market Sentiment
Ki Young Ju's comments are based on a deep analysis of on-chain data. He pointed out that even amidst recent market fluctuations, Bitcoin remains the primary focus for global investors, with large amounts of capital continuously flowing into various exchanges and on-chain wallets. This indicates that both institutional investors and individual users are confident in Bitcoin's long-term value.

Data Support: The Logic Behind High Demand
According to Cryptoquant's data analysis:
• Increase in Bitcoin Holdings: Many investors choose to hold long-term (HODL), reducing selling pressure in the market.
• Increased On-Chain Activity: The frequency of Bitcoin transactions and network activity has shown a growing trend recently.
• Institutions Continuing to Accumulate: Well-known institutions, including Grayscale and BlackRock, have recently been increasing their investments in Bitcoin-related assets.

Market Interpretation: Bull Market Signal or Accumulation Opportunity?
Analysts believe that this high demand phenomenon may signal the start of a new market trend. On one hand, high demand indicates that market recognition of Bitcoin is gradually increasing; on the other hand, it also suggests that the current price may be undervalued, providing investors with an opportunity to accumulate at lower prices.

What do you think about the demand trend for Bitcoin?
• Should we seize the opportunity to "pick up cheap" at this moment?
• Will the current market data trigger a new upward trend?

Community users are welcome to share your views in the comments section, or showcase your holding plans to see who the true "Bitcoin believers" are! $BTC #市场调整策略

Eden Gallery Responds to Class Action Lawsuit: The NFT Market Crash is a "Common Phenomenon"!
Eden Gallery Group has submitted a motion in the federal court in New York to dismiss a class action lawsuit initiated by holders of the "Meta Eagle Club" NFTs. Eden Gallery believes that the core of this legal dispute is the overall decline of the NFT market, rather than the responsibility of the project party.

In October last year, 36 holders of the "Meta Eagle Club" NFTs filed a lawsuit against Eden Gallery, accusing it of fraud, unjust enrichment, and violation of New York business law. The project was extremely popular at the time of issuance, selling 12,000 NFTs and raising $13 million. However, with the overall cooling of the NFT market, the floor price of the "Meta Eagle Club" NFTs has dropped from 0.6 ETH at issuance to 0.0051 ETH, causing many investors to lament their losses.

Eden Gallery's Position: Market Volatility is Not Human-Controlled
Eden Gallery stated in its motion that the NFT market was unusually hot in early 2022 but subsequently cooled sharply due to changes in overall market sentiment. The project party emphasized that the price decline is a trend across the entire industry and cannot be attributed to the losses of investors based on a single project or company. Furthermore, Eden Gallery believes:
• The lawsuit amount does not meet the federal court jurisdiction requirement: the compensation amount claimed by each plaintiff ranges from $1,224 to $70,219, which does not reach the minimum threshold of $75,000.
• Opposition to the consolidation of class claims: The motion points out that the law does not support combining individual claims to meet jurisdictional amount requirements.

Plaintiffs' Demands: Recover Investment Losses
The plaintiffs claim that Eden Gallery used "false and misleading statements" in its promotions, leading them to have overly high expectations for the project's future profits. Although the current claim amount is limited, this case raises alarm bells regarding the protection of investors' rights.

The Winter of the NFT Market and the Crisis of Trust
The NFT market once thrived, but as the frenzy faded, many projects now face a crisis of trust and legal disputes. The case of Meta Eagle Club is just the tip of the iceberg, and Eden Gallery's stance may provide important reference for subsequent similar cases.
• Do you think project parties should be responsible for the price collapse of NFTs?
• How can the rights and interests of NFT investors be better protected?

Everyone is welcome to share their views in the comments section and discuss the future of the NFT market together!#NFT‬⁩

AVA plummets 15.81%, after a deep drop is there a good opportunity to buy?

AVA/USDT today fell sharply to $1.1524, with a decline of up to 15.81%, reaching an intraday low. The trading volume increased to 7.66 million, with market sentiment showing significant fluctuations, and bearish forces dominating the short-term trend.

Technical Analysis:
• RSI(6) is 23.85, having entered the oversold range, indicating a technical rebound demand.
• The MACD indicator has formed a death cross, and the bearish trend has not diminished, with limited rebound strength.
• The moving averages MA(7) and MA(25) create strong resistance, with clear upward resistance in the short term.

Key Levels:
• Support Level: $1.10
• Resistance Level: $1.37

Operational Suggestions:
• Short-term Strategy: Aggressive investors can try to gradually build positions near $1.15, setting a stop-loss below $1.10, with a target of $1.30.
• Conservative Strategy: Primarily wait and see, waiting for market sentiment to stabilize before intervening, to avoid chasing high or failing to catch the bottom.
$AVA

Market Outlook:
AVA is currently in a strong bearish trend, but the oversold state may provide a brief opportunity for a rebound. Long-term value investors should pay close attention to layout opportunities after technical corrections.

Do you think AVA will rebound this week or further decline? Feel free to share your trading strategy!

COW plummets 15.96%, price hits bottom at $0.7559! Opportunity or trap?

COW (COW/USDT) today plummeted 15.96%, reaching a low of $0.7559, setting a recent new low. Trading volume soared to 23.08 million, with increasing bearish market sentiment, as prices continuously broke through key support levels, presenting both risks and opportunities in the short term.

Technical Analysis:
• RSI(6) has entered the oversold zone at 24.59, indicating strong selling pressure, but signs of a rebound may appear.
• The MACD indicator shows a continued bearish trend, and a short-term rebound requires more buying support.
• The moving averages MA(7) and MA(25) have formed a death cross, indicating significant short-term pressure.

Key Levels:
• Support Level: $0.6310
• Resistance Level: $0.8910

Action Suggestions:
• Short-term: Aggressive traders may attempt to buy low near $0.7500, targeting $0.8500, with a stop-loss set at $0.7000.
• Long-term: Cautiously wait for market sentiment to improve, and consider positioning after prices stabilize.
$COW

Market Dynamics:
The recent plunge of COW may be related to macro market turmoil, with noticeable capital outflow; however, potential rebounds in the oversold state should not be overlooked. For high-risk, high-reward investors, this could be a window for buying low.

Do you think COW can rebound in the short term? Feel free to share your strategies and views!

BOME plunged 14.25% to 0.005897! What will be the future trend?

BOME (BOME/USDT) plunged 14.25% today, and the price hit $0.005897, refreshing the recent low. The trading volume was as high as 5.778 billion, and the market bearish sentiment was strong. The current price is below the moving average, and the RSI shows oversold. The technical side indicates that there may be a rebound demand in the short term.

Key point analysis:
• Support level: $0.005460
• Pressure level: $0.006667

Strategy suggestions:
• Short-term traders: You can try to buy low in the range of $0.005500 to $0.005600, with a target of $0.006200 and a stop loss of $0.005400.
• Mid-term watchers: Wait until the price stabilizes above $0.006000 before entering the market.
$BOME

Market dynamics:
The sharp drop in BOME may be related to the concentrated selling of short-term profit-taking and the overall low market sentiment. Investors need to pay close attention to the market trend and capital inflow.

Do you think BOME will rebound? Or do you think the market will continue to weaken? Please leave a message to share your views!

ETC drops below $26, plummeting 9.84%! How will the market perform next?

ETC (Ethereum Classic) has seen a decline of nearly 10% today, currently priced at $25.56, with a daily low of $25.48. The trading volume over the past 24 hours reached 1.4278 million coins, and the overall market sentiment remains bearish. The price is currently hovering around the 200-day moving average, with technical indicators suggesting potential further downside risks.

Key technical levels:
• Short-term support: $25.00
• Major resistance: $27.50

Strategy suggestions:
• Aggressive: Long positions around $25.50, targeting $26.50, with a stop loss below $25.00.
• Conservative: Wait and see, enter only after a clear breakout direction.
$ETC

Market highlights:
The significant pullback of ETC may be due to rising risk-averse sentiment in the overall market. It is recommended to closely monitor the overall capital flow in the crypto market and Bitcoin's movements.

Do you think ETC can hold the $25 support and bounce back? Feel free to leave a comment and share your trading insights!

UNI plummeted 10.41%, $13.36 becomes the market focus. Can the DeFi leader turn the tide against the wind?

Uniswap (UNI) experienced a significant correction today, with a 24-hour decline of 10.41%, reaching a low of $13.303, and currently oscillating around $13.36. The trading volume reached 3.556 million tokens, and market sentiment is bearish. Technical indicators show that the RSI is approaching the oversold zone, indicating a potential rebound opportunity in the short term.

Key level analysis:
• Support level: $13.30
• Resistance level: $14.25
• Market trend: If it breaks below $13.30, it may slide to lower levels; conversely, breaking above $14.25 could initiate a recovery trend.

Trading strategy suggestions:
1. Short-term long position: Enter in batches near $13.35, targeting $14.00, with a stop loss set below $13.10.
2. Short-term short position: Consider shorting if it rebounds to around $14.20 and fails to break through, with a stop loss set above $14.50.
$UNI

Do you think this correction for UNI is an opportunity to increase positions or a risk warning? Share your trading plans in the comments and see who can accurately grasp the market rhythm!

DOT plummets 10.59%! Bull vs Bear showdown, $6.88 becomes the key battleground!

Polkadot (DOT) is experiencing a significant pullback today, with a 24-hour price drop of 10.59%, hitting a low of $6.844, and the current price hovering around the $6.88 mark. The trading volume exceeded 13.25 million coins, and the bearish strength remains strong. The RSI indicator shows it is approaching the oversold area, and a short-term corrective trend may begin.

Key level analysis:
• Support level: $6.84
• Resistance level: $7.42
• Technical trend: If $6.84 cannot be held, it will test lower support areas; conversely, breaking through $7.42 may return to a fluctuating upward trend.

Trading strategy suggestions:
1. Short-term long position: Layout near $6.85, targeting $7.20, with a stop loss set below $6.75.
2. Observe short position: If the price rebounds to $7.42 and fails to break through effectively, consider attempting a short position layout, with a stop loss set above $7.50.
$DOT

DOT continues to fluctuate, do you favor the bulls or the bears? Leave your thoughts in the comments section and let's discuss the market direction together!

NEIRO plummeted 16.4%! $0.00087397 appeared. Is it a desperate run or a good opportunity to buy at the bottom?

Today, NEIRO/USDT suffered a cliff-like decline, and the price fell below multiple moving average supports. It is currently reported at $0.00087397. The 24-hour trading volume exceeded 100 million NEIRO, and the market sentiment cooled rapidly. From the technical indicators, RSI is close to the oversold area, and the MACD death cross signal continues to ferment, and the short-term trend is worrying.

Key point analysis:
• Support level: $0.00085600
• Pressure level: $0.00094000
• Short-term trend: If it falls below $0.00085600, it may continue to test the $0.00080000 area.

Trading strategy suggestions:
1. Radicals: Lightly position around $0.00087000, target $0.00092000, stop loss set at $0.00085000.
2. Conservatives: Wait for the price to stabilize before entering the market, breaking through $0.00094000 will form a rebound confirmation signal.
$NEIRO

NEIRO has plummeted one after another, what do you think? Is it a risk or an opportunity? Welcome to leave your insights in the comment area and discuss the future market together!

SHIB plunged 9.84%, currently at $0.00002162, is this a pullback or the start of a new downtrend?

Today, SHIB/USDT encountered a heavy setback, with the price dropping to $0.00002162, and a 24-hour trading volume of $119 million, market sentiment is becoming cautious. From a technical perspective, SHIB has retraced from its previous high and has now fallen below MA(7), with a lower support level to watch at $0.00002149. The RSI indicator shows it is approaching the oversold area, but bulls have not yet shown any clear signs of a counterattack.

Key levels analysis:
• Support level: $0.00002149
• Resistance level: $0.00002325
• Short-term trend: If it fails to hold above $0.00002149, it may further test $0.00001853.

Strategy recommendations:
1. Short-term attempt: You can try to take a small position around $0.00002150 for a rebound, targeting $0.00002300, with a stop loss set at $0.00002100.
2. Mainly waiting: Wait for the price to stabilize and break through $0.00002300 before considering entry.
$SHIB

SHIB has been highly volatile recently, will it rebound or continue to decline? What are your thoughts? Feel free to share in the comments!

PNUT plunged 13.59% to $0.6102, is it a bargain hunting opportunity or further bottoming out?

PNUT/USDT plunged 13.59% today, now at $0.6102, with a daily low of $0.6000, a turnover of 120 million USDT, and market panic spread. From a technical point of view, RSI fell to the oversold area (30.32), and the short-term momentum was obvious, but there may be a short-term rebound from oversold.

Key point analysis:
• Support level: $0.6000
• Pressure level: $0.7444
• Short-term observation point: If $0.6000 is lost, it may further drop to $0.5350.

Operation suggestion:
• Short-term attempt: You can buy lightly in the $0.6000-0.6100 range, with a target of $0.7000 and a stop loss of $0.5800.
• Conservative strategy: Wait for a breakout of $0.6500 and confirm the rebound trend before entering the market.
$PNUT

Can PNUT stabilize and rebound in the oversold area? What is your opinion? Welcome to discuss in the comment area!