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Tony柯
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一名宏观分析师;交易员。交易分析教学:公众号 相会天都峰,微博同名。主做主流合约 现货埋伏 顶级百倍选币思维 抄底逃顶。
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How to make 30 million from 20 yuan in the currency circleI have grown from a capital of 100,000 to almost 2 million, mainly relying on spot money, but today I want to say something different from others, the heartfelt words of an old leek who has traveled through bulls and bears. If you want to change your life, please read this I wonder if you often see the phrase "stay away from contracts and cherish life"? Everyone who enters the currency circle hopes to find a hundredfold coin or a thousandfold coin. Thinking of the saying that the currency circle lasts for ten years, but today is no longer that era. If you are an ordinary person without much original capital, and you want to invest in Bitcoin or Ethereum, making big money can change your destiny. In the past, I would have let you buy BTC ETH, and you can also make big money on spot. But now if You don’t have much capital, and if BTC rises to 100,000 dollars, it won’t allow you to completely change your life.

How to make 30 million from 20 yuan in the currency circle

I have grown from a capital of 100,000 to almost 2 million, mainly relying on spot money, but today I want to say something different from others, the heartfelt words of an old leek who has traveled through bulls and bears.
If you want to change your life, please read this

I wonder if you often see the phrase "stay away from contracts and cherish life"?

Everyone who enters the currency circle hopes to find a hundredfold coin or a thousandfold coin. Thinking of the saying that the currency circle lasts for ten years, but today is no longer that era.
If you are an ordinary person without much original capital, and you want to invest in Bitcoin or Ethereum, making big money can change your destiny. In the past, I would have let you buy BTC ETH, and you can also make big money on spot. But now if You don’t have much capital, and if BTC rises to 100,000 dollars, it won’t allow you to completely change your life.
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The risk of large long positions being liquidated in Bitcoin due to high leverage, Currently, the risks of chasing highs are too great, do not blindly chase higher prices Try to focus on making short-term trades. The altcoin season is coming, consider positioning in sats and ordi$ORDI
The risk of large long positions being liquidated in Bitcoin due to high leverage,

Currently, the risks of chasing highs are too great, do not blindly chase higher prices

Try to focus on making short-term trades.

The altcoin season is coming, consider positioning in sats and ordi$ORDI
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At this time, those still holding the list advise you to withdraw early, or you'll be crying out for help tomorrow. The fluctuations in the future are not something ordinary people can bear; it is recommended to wait until the election results are out and stable before taking action. #美国大选后涨或跌? #美国大选后叙事观察 $BTC $ETH $BNB
At this time, those still holding the list advise you to withdraw early, or you'll be crying out for help tomorrow.
The fluctuations in the future are not something ordinary people can bear; it is recommended to wait until the election results are out and stable before taking action. #美国大选后涨或跌? #美国大选后叙事观察 $BTC $ETH $BNB
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Let me see how many people were shorting at 68,000? When I was long, there must have been a lot of people shorting. How many people are trapped now? $BTC #BTC突破7万大关
Let me see how many people were shorting at 68,000? When I was long, there must have been a lot of people shorting. How many people are trapped now? $BTC #BTC突破7万大关
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As I said, pulling up is just a matter of time. Even if there is a pullback, it will be minor. Which brothers have been shaken out? Currently, I still see potential for a strong upward trend. There is still pressure above, and I do not recommend entering short-term contracts here. #BTC突破7万大关 $BTC #你问我答
As I said, pulling up is just a matter of time. Even if there is a pullback, it will be minor. Which brothers have been shaken out?

Currently, I still see potential for a strong upward trend. There is still pressure above, and I do not recommend entering short-term contracts here. #BTC突破7万大关 $BTC #你问我答
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Bullish
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Current Status: btc is consolidating here waiting for a breakthrough To those who are firmly shorting now, I can only say that the position is large; a big green line will teach you a lesson. Many people are citing previous events, saying "71000 dropped in just a few days, now why not short?" I can clearly tell everyone that this is impossible; even if there is a correction, it will be very short-term. In the early stages of a bull market, there will be violent surges that wash out most short sellers, and often these people will miss out entirely. With the election approaching, looking back at previous years, it's time to unleash liquidity, high-level officials are not foolish; even after a short-term adjustment, it will quickly return to break new highs. For those who continue to be bearish, I have nothing to say; we will wait and see. $BTC #BTC要挑战7W大关了吗? #特朗普家族加密项目 #山寨季要来了吗?
Current Status:
btc is consolidating here waiting for a breakthrough

To those who are firmly shorting now, I can only say that the position is large; a big green line will teach you a lesson.

Many people are citing previous events, saying "71000 dropped in just a few days, now why not short?"

I can clearly tell everyone that this is impossible; even if there is a correction, it will be very short-term.
In the early stages of a bull market, there will be violent surges that wash out most short sellers, and often these people will miss out entirely.

With the election approaching, looking back at previous years, it's time to unleash liquidity,
high-level officials are not foolish; even after a short-term adjustment, it will quickly return to break new highs. For those who continue to be bearish, I have nothing to say; we will wait and see. $BTC #BTC要挑战7W大关了吗? #特朗普家族加密项目 #山寨季要来了吗?
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The weather is changing.
The weather is changing.
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The current market is really speechless. After the adjustment and retracement from mid-March to now, many people have been worn out and their mentality has exploded. I always believe that the day when millions become tens of millions is not far away. Brothers, hold on! $BTC #BTC走势分析
The current market is really speechless. After the adjustment and retracement from mid-March to now, many people have been worn out and their mentality has exploded. I always believe that the day when millions become tens of millions is not far away. Brothers, hold on! $BTC #BTC走势分析
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Whales are hoarding a large amount of Bitcoin. In the past 24 hours, whales have successfully bought 47,000 Bitcoins, worth $3 billion. This is also the reason why Bitcoin has risen wildly in the past two days. Every time BTC falls back, whales are buying the bottom and adding positions. Only retail investors who lack knowledge will reduce their positions or sell at a loss. $BTC #BTC走势分析
Whales are hoarding a large amount of Bitcoin. In the past 24 hours, whales have successfully bought 47,000 Bitcoins, worth $3 billion. This is also the reason why Bitcoin has risen wildly in the past two days. Every time BTC falls back, whales are buying the bottom and adding positions. Only retail investors who lack knowledge will reduce their positions or sell at a loss. $BTC #BTC走势分析
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Bitcoin returns to $63,000, welcoming a new surge? Multiple market indicators reveal positive signals, lost friends come in and take a look Recently, Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a sharp price fluctuation and returned to the level of $62,000. This change has not only attracted widespread attention in the market, but also made investors full of expectations for the future trend of Bitcoin. So, is Bitcoin preparing for another surge? First of all, from the perspective of macroeconomic data, the new data affects investors' expectations of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. The recently released initial jobless claims have stabilized at a low level, indicating that the labor market continues to strengthen. Now, with the rise in M2 money supply, the Bitcoin market is also expected to usher in new growth opportunities. This dynamic shows that Bitcoin is being more widely accepted and gradually integrated into a diversified portfolio. At the same time, investors' interest and confidence in Bitcoin are also growing. Since its launch in January, the total net inflow of U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has reached a staggering amount. This strong influx highlights investors' recognition and expectations of Bitcoin as a viable asset class. However, despite the overall positive market trend, Grayscale GBTC has experienced a net outflow. This phenomenon may be related to investors' doubts about the sustainability of growth in the technology industry. In this context, investors may seek other high-growth opportunities, and Bitcoin has undoubtedly become a highly-watched option. From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin prices have recovered under strong defense by buyers. In the past few hours, BTC prices have triggered strong buying pressure and broken through important barriers. Although facing slight downward pressure, the overall trend remains upward. If the price can successfully hold above the key level and start to rebound to higher points, the bearish resistance level will shift, which may trigger a new upward trend. It is worth noting that short traders have suffered heavy losses in the recent market. A large number of short positions have been liquidated, indicating that the market has reached a consensus on the upward trend of Bitcoin. This phenomenon further confirms the strong performance of the Bitcoin market and investors' optimistic expectations for its future trend. $BTC
Bitcoin returns to $63,000, welcoming a new surge? Multiple market indicators reveal positive signals, lost friends come in and take a look

Recently, Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a sharp price fluctuation and returned to the level of $62,000. This change has not only attracted widespread attention in the market, but also made investors full of expectations for the future trend of Bitcoin. So, is Bitcoin preparing for another surge?

First of all, from the perspective of macroeconomic data, the new data affects investors' expectations of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. The recently released initial jobless claims have stabilized at a low level, indicating that the labor market continues to strengthen.

Now, with the rise in M2 money supply, the Bitcoin market is also expected to usher in new growth opportunities. This dynamic shows that Bitcoin is being more widely accepted and gradually integrated into a diversified portfolio. At the same time, investors' interest and confidence in Bitcoin are also growing. Since its launch in January, the total net inflow of U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has reached a staggering amount. This strong influx highlights investors' recognition and expectations of Bitcoin as a viable asset class.

However, despite the overall positive market trend, Grayscale GBTC has experienced a net outflow. This phenomenon may be related to investors' doubts about the sustainability of growth in the technology industry. In this context, investors may seek other high-growth opportunities, and Bitcoin has undoubtedly become a highly-watched option.

From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin prices have recovered under strong defense by buyers. In the past few hours, BTC prices have triggered strong buying pressure and broken through important barriers. Although facing slight downward pressure, the overall trend remains upward.

If the price can successfully hold above the key level and start to rebound to higher points, the bearish resistance level will shift, which may trigger a new upward trend. It is worth noting that short traders have suffered heavy losses in the recent market. A large number of short positions have been liquidated, indicating that the market has reached a consensus on the upward trend of Bitcoin. This phenomenon further confirms the strong performance of the Bitcoin market and investors' optimistic expectations for its future trend.

$BTC
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I will tell you how to make a profit in the next market.I will tell you how to make a profit in the next market. It is only a matter of time before the copycat season comes. Have you ever thought that there has not been any 100-fold coin in this bull market? To put it bluntly, even if it does appear, some people will not be able to seize the opportunity. Next: Ambush a coin that is about to go one-way (preferably skyrocketing) and do it with all your positions. During the process, continue to roll positions at the relay position. It is not recommended to roll positions for safety reasons. A typical example is yesterday's TRB. I will post my position first to avoid being accused of hindsight. In fact, after trading for a long time, you will find that the so-called technical analysis is nonsense. If those are useful, the richest people in the world should be AI analysts.

I will tell you how to make a profit in the next market.

I will tell you how to make a profit in the next market.
It is only a matter of time before the copycat season comes. Have you ever thought that there has not been any 100-fold coin in this bull market? To put it bluntly, even if it does appear, some people will not be able to seize the opportunity.
Next:
Ambush a coin that is about to go one-way (preferably skyrocketing) and do it with all your positions. During the process, continue to roll positions at the relay position. It is not recommended to roll positions for safety reasons.
A typical example is yesterday's TRB. I will post my position first to avoid being accused of hindsight.

In fact, after trading for a long time, you will find that the so-called technical analysis is nonsense. If those are useful, the richest people in the world should be AI analysts.
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Only when the market is falling can the real dark horse be reflected. It is recommended to directly exchange the weak coins to ONDO. The garbage coins represent the poor strength of the dog outfit, so there is no need to hold them. In the past few days, the bad coins have been cleared and replaced with coins that are resistant to falling and rising against the trend. The background of ONDO can only be described as awesome. It has gathered the investment postures of many big names such as Coinbase, Wall Street and BlackRock. It is a star project in the RWA field
Only when the market is falling can the real dark horse be reflected. It is recommended to directly exchange the weak coins to ONDO. The garbage coins represent the poor strength of the dog outfit, so there is no need to hold them.

In the past few days, the bad coins have been cleared and replaced with coins that are resistant to falling and rising against the trend. The background of ONDO can only be described as awesome. It has gathered the investment postures of many big names such as Coinbase, Wall Street and BlackRock. It is a star project in the RWA field
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Optimistic about ETH's future performanceI suddenly discovered these days that more and more people are optimistic about Ethereum. Traffic owners are gradually spreading the benefits of Ethereum. Whether it is Sun Yuchen hoarding a large amount of ETH or news related to ETF, Good things are happening. We are gradually focusing our attention. We just need a spark to ignite it. The first point: ETF passes (fund entry) The second point: Prague upgrade (technological innovation) The third point: The emergence of phenomenal applications based on L2 (application blossoming) The second half of the bull market is slowly opening up, and the most exciting moment is about to come! I swear to you all with my girlfriend, this wave of ETH momentum is absolutely unexpected

Optimistic about ETH's future performance

I suddenly discovered these days that more and more people are optimistic about Ethereum.
Traffic owners are gradually spreading the benefits of Ethereum.
Whether it is Sun Yuchen hoarding a large amount of ETH or news related to ETF,
Good things are happening. We are gradually focusing our attention. We just need a spark to ignite it.
The first point: ETF passes (fund entry)
The second point: Prague upgrade (technological innovation)
The third point: The emergence of phenomenal applications based on L2 (application blossoming)
The second half of the bull market is slowly opening up, and the most exciting moment is about to come!

I swear to you all with my girlfriend, this wave of ETH momentum is absolutely unexpected
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My friend was cheated when selling u. He received the money with a Hong Kong card, and when he saw the balance increased, he withdrew the u. As a result, the money was gone again. He probably deposited a check for him first, and withdrew the check after receiving the u. Scammers are rampant, so be careful.
My friend was cheated when selling u.

He received the money with a Hong Kong card, and when he saw the balance increased, he withdrew the u.

As a result, the money was gone again.

He probably deposited a check for him first, and withdrew the check after receiving the u.

Scammers are rampant, so be careful.
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After experiencing the cliff-like decline some time ago, I also lost a lot... This wave is not only a test of human nature, but also a shock to my trading principles. I thought a lot. I was melancholy for a long time. I reflected on what kind of model can really make a profit in this market? If the profit and loss ratio of spot trading is 28, then the profit and loss ratio of various derivatives may be 1:99. When speculating, don't study too many evil ways. The "grand unified field theory" in the field of speculation is actually always centered around spot trading. Suppress the market-----absorb goods at low prices----collect chips to control the market----pull the market----distribute chips Whether it is a banker or a retail investor, the bottom-level logic is always unable to escape the yin and yang sides of "accumulating chips at low prices" and "distributing chips at high prices" And the so-called "financial derivatives, whether contracts, options or other messy bets, from a higher level perspective, should be understood as bait created by the banker's sickle to absorb goods at low prices, so we can run after eating the bait, isn't it? After all, there is no more convenient and quick way to absorb stocks at the bottom price than to send retail investors to liquidation. Think about the 312 and 519 days when the liquidation was a mess, which gave big funds the opportunity to enter the market and collect cheap chips. Playing the mainstream requires technology and data, playing the copycat requires information, there are too many project parties who are just making a fuss, and few of them are not ordinary stingy. It’s okay if you say that your operating budget is low. As long as you tell me that you can go to Binance Launchpad, I can invest in you a little share and everyone will share the market premium. As a result, these people will say "xx round of investment is over, and the quota is not enough" What to say? Do you just want to get it for free? It is also a headache to not be able to invest money when the market is not good. When there is a market, the money is not enough After all, this is a way to make money that has not changed for thousands of years. The dealer uses leverage to borrow money to smash the copycat currency. Open a contract in advance to harvest retail investors 2~3kw is enough to trade a copycat and pull it for 3 consecutive days 10% big positive line and then a negative line to take it all away. This kind of play is no secret. Although it is unethical, it does make money...
After experiencing the cliff-like decline some time ago, I also lost a lot... This wave is not only a test of human nature, but also a shock to my trading principles. I thought a lot. I was melancholy for a long time. I reflected on what kind of model can really make a profit in this market? If the profit and loss ratio of spot trading is 28, then the profit and loss ratio of various derivatives may be 1:99. When speculating, don't study too many evil ways. The "grand unified field theory" in the field of speculation is actually always centered around spot trading. Suppress the market-----absorb goods at low prices----collect chips to control the market----pull the market----distribute chips

Whether it is a banker or a retail investor, the bottom-level logic is always unable to escape the yin and yang sides of "accumulating chips at low prices" and "distributing chips at high prices"

And the so-called "financial derivatives, whether contracts, options or other messy bets, from a higher level perspective, should be understood as bait created by the banker's sickle to absorb goods at low prices, so we can run after eating the bait, isn't it?

After all, there is no more convenient and quick way to absorb stocks at the bottom price than to send retail investors to liquidation. Think about the 312 and 519 days when the liquidation was a mess, which gave big funds the opportunity to enter the market and collect cheap chips.

Playing the mainstream requires technology and data, playing the copycat requires information, there are too many project parties who are just making a fuss, and few of them are not ordinary stingy.

It’s okay if you say that your operating budget is low. As long as you tell me that you can go to Binance Launchpad, I can invest in you a little share and everyone will share the market premium.

As a result, these people will say "xx round of investment is over, and the quota is not enough"

What to say? Do you just want to get it for free?
It is also a headache to not be able to invest money when the market is not good. When there is a market, the money is not enough

After all, this is a way to make money that has not changed for thousands of years. The dealer uses leverage to borrow money to smash the copycat currency.

Open a contract in advance to harvest retail investors

2~3kw is enough to trade a copycat and pull it for 3 consecutive days
10% big positive line and then a negative line to take it all away. This kind of play is no secret. Although it is unethical, it does make money...
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The market has begun to enter a high-frequency oscillation mode. Are you confused? In fact, the understanding of the market does not need to be too complicated. For example, the technical patterns and data analysis we often see seem professional and important, but they can be covered by a larger logical framework; That is oscillation and trend. Open the chart and take a look at the past market conditions. We can always see at a glance where the oscillation is and where the trend is; Buy low and sell high when the oscillation occurs, and hold the order when the trend comes. It seems easy, right? But the question is, how to predict the start of the trend or the start of the oscillation? The answer is that it cannot be predicted. All we have to do is to stop the oscillation when we see the trend start, and stop the trend thinking when the oscillation starts, and then flexibly switch the trading system. Compared with those who successfully predict the top and escape the top and predict the bottom and buy the bottom, although this will lag behind in profitability, it is far less capable of losing money than traders who make predictions all day long. Therefore, when a market starts to fluctuate, you must give yourself an expectation that the trend will come sooner or later, and at the same time, resolutely do not take sides, let the liquidity (leeks) play the game by themselves, and wait for the winner to join. But the reality is often easier said than done. Even if we know clearly which key positions, the market structure will change after breaking through or falling below, but we still cannot make orders based on these specific signals, because there are obsessions and sunk costs. These thoughts will exist in the human brain for a long time and cannot be detected by the parties involved.
The market has begun to enter a high-frequency oscillation mode. Are you confused?

In fact, the understanding of the market does not need to be too complicated. For example, the technical patterns and data analysis we often see seem professional and important, but they can be covered by a larger logical framework;

That is oscillation and trend. Open the chart and take a look at the past market conditions. We can always see at a glance where the oscillation is and where the trend is;

Buy low and sell high when the oscillation occurs, and hold the order when the trend comes. It seems easy, right?

But the question is, how to predict the start of the trend or the start of the oscillation?

The answer is that it cannot be predicted.

All we have to do is to stop the oscillation when we see the trend start, and stop the trend thinking when the oscillation starts, and then flexibly switch the trading system.

Compared with those who successfully predict the top and escape the top and predict the bottom and buy the bottom, although this will lag behind in profitability, it is far less capable of losing money than traders who make predictions all day long.

Therefore, when a market starts to fluctuate, you must give yourself an expectation that the trend will come sooner or later, and at the same time, resolutely do not take sides, let the liquidity (leeks) play the game by themselves, and wait for the winner to join.

But the reality is often easier said than done. Even if we know clearly which key positions, the market structure will change after breaking through or falling below, but we still cannot make orders based on these specific signals, because there are obsessions and sunk costs. These thoughts will exist in the human brain for a long time and cannot be detected by the parties involved.
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The logic of gold and BTC's rise is consistentSuppose that the issuer of USDT suddenly encounters a problem, causing U to start to depreciate sharply, 1U=0.8USD, then how should people holding USDT respond? Withdrawing funds for legal currency? It may be too late. The best way is to buy BTC, the only currency with value storage properties. The US dollar is the U in the global financial system. The current 34 trillion US national debt cannot be repaid by relying on taxes. The only way is to devalue the dollar, lower the real interest rate, increase the number of dollars in circulation, and then control inflation in disguise while starting to release liquidity.

The logic of gold and BTC's rise is consistent

Suppose that the issuer of USDT suddenly encounters a problem, causing U to start to depreciate sharply, 1U=0.8USD, then how should people holding USDT respond?
Withdrawing funds for legal currency? It may be too late. The best way is to buy BTC, the only currency with value storage properties.
The US dollar is the U in the global financial system. The current 34 trillion US national debt cannot be repaid by relying on taxes. The only way is to devalue the dollar, lower the real interest rate, increase the number of dollars in circulation, and then control inflation in disguise while starting to release liquidity.
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Don't gamble when investing. No one can predict the short-term trend. Don't go short just because of some concerns about the future. You are wasting the bull market. Who says the market will continue to fall? The 4h volume penetrates the supply area that could not be broken through in the previous three times, which means that the supply below 71,500 has been absorbed in the current market. Considering the overall rise in the current funding rate, there may be a relatively fast callback (long needle) in the short term to clear the high-multiple long liquidity. The more concentrated long liquidity magnetic area below the market is at 71,300. Of course, these liquidity will not be a big deal after the opening of the US stock market. To take a step back, even if it falls, will you really buy the bottom? No, you will think that it will fall further, you will think beautifully, and then watch the market fall back and then rise, and miss the last opportunity to enter the market! When we invest in a bull market, the most important thing is the end point. The starting point and the middle process may be very tortuous, but the end point must be beautiful.
Don't gamble when investing. No one can predict the short-term trend. Don't go short just because of some concerns about the future. You are wasting the bull market. Who says the market will continue to fall?

The 4h volume penetrates the supply area that could not be broken through in the previous three times, which means that the supply below 71,500 has been absorbed in the current market.

Considering the overall rise in the current funding rate, there may be a relatively fast callback (long needle) in the short term to clear the high-multiple long liquidity.

The more concentrated long liquidity magnetic area below the market is at 71,300.

Of course, these liquidity will not be a big deal after the opening of the US stock market.

To take a step back, even if it falls, will you really buy the bottom?

No, you will think that it will fall further, you will think beautifully, and then watch the market fall back and then rise, and miss the last opportunity to enter the market!

When we invest in a bull market, the most important thing is the end point. The starting point and the middle process may be very tortuous, but the end point must be beautiful.
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