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社区williamzz112。原专业美股交易员,22岁赚到第一个100w美元。Ict策略传播者.使用者。2024跟我一起穿越牛市
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Bullish
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With the Ethereum ETF approved, sentiment quickly shifted to accumulating ETH Beta-related investments. We have already experienced a similar situation in January this year, where $BTC surged to 49K after the ETF announcement, but quickly fell back due to a lack of spot buy orders. This was a classic "sell the news" event, I expect ETH to see similar price action after approval. Beta Coins to Watch $PENDLE: This is one of the strongest coins in this narrative. The price has recently pulled back due to the $EIGEN airdrop, but has shown strong resilience after the ETH ETF news. $PEPE: This is another obvious ETH Beta-related investment. PEPE has maintained its structure when BTC has underperformed and now has reached a new all-time high. The chart shows a beautiful uptrend, indicating that insiders see it as one of the best options for ETF approval. Take profits appropriately and hold some to continue watching. $ENS: Throughout the volatility after the BTC ETF approval, $ENS was one of the few coins that did not pull back. I bet on it purely because Vitalik has been promoting it all year. $ENA: This is another coin to watch. Excellent performer in bullish conditions, backed by a strong team. One reason to like it is that there is no investor unlocking in the short term, and it could be adopted by exchanges. $ARB: Despite the poor performance, it has recovered after the announcement. I would still avoid it personally. $LDO: Depending on the approval of staking inclusion in the ETF, could see upside. Beta Coins That Could Disappoint $REZ: Has not shown any strength since listing. The price has fallen 30% since listing on Binance last month. Governance tokens without “real” use cases tend to disappoint. $REZ, $XAI, $ETHFI: These tokens have poor tokenomics and limited utility - I think they will only have some short-term rallies and then continue lower.
With the Ethereum ETF approved, sentiment quickly shifted to accumulating ETH Beta-related investments.
We have already experienced a similar situation in January this year, where $BTC surged to 49K after the ETF announcement, but quickly fell back due to a lack of spot buy orders. This was a classic "sell the news" event,

I expect ETH to see similar price action after approval.

Beta Coins to Watch
$PENDLE: This is one of the strongest coins in this narrative. The price has recently pulled back due to the $EIGEN airdrop, but has shown strong resilience after the ETH ETF news.
$PEPE: This is another obvious ETH Beta-related investment. PEPE has maintained its structure when BTC has underperformed and now has reached a new all-time high. The chart shows a beautiful uptrend, indicating that insiders see it as one of the best options for ETF approval. Take profits appropriately and hold some to continue watching.
$ENS : Throughout the volatility after the BTC ETF approval, $ENS was one of the few coins that did not pull back. I bet on it purely because Vitalik has been promoting it all year.
$ENA: This is another coin to watch. Excellent performer in bullish conditions, backed by a strong team. One reason to like it is that there is no investor unlocking in the short term, and it could be adopted by exchanges.
$ARB : Despite the poor performance, it has recovered after the announcement. I would still avoid it personally.
$LDO: Depending on the approval of staking inclusion in the ETF, could see upside.
Beta Coins That Could Disappoint
$REZ: Has not shown any strength since listing. The price has fallen 30% since listing on Binance last month. Governance tokens without “real” use cases tend to disappoint.
$REZ, $XAI, $ETHFI: These tokens have poor tokenomics and limited utility - I think they will only have some short-term rallies and then continue lower.
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This overseas community is quite amazing
This overseas community is quite amazing
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3/15 Market Trends | After yesterday’s slight correction, the market did decline. Although altcoins once remained strong, it can be seen from the daily closing prices that they have begun to show weakness. At present, the price of Bitcoin has fallen below this week's opening price, and has once again fallen below the previous historical high price, indicating that the market will face significant selling pressure tomorrow morning. What needs special attention is whether the market can regain its footing above the weekly opening price of $69k. Stabilizing this line means that the market may continue to be bullish. As long as the price remains below $69k, we should remain cautious on the market. The next support levels to watch are $64,850 and $63,500, and I don’t expect the price to fall below these levels in the event of an extreme sell-off. Currently, Bitcoin and Ethereum’s performance has turned negative this week, with some altcoin lows hitting levels seen in recent sell-offs. No matter how the market changes next, this will be an excellent buying opportunity. We should wait patiently and look for the opportunity to enter. I will post some altcoin analysis and lightening prices on Monday $BTC
3/15 Market Trends | After yesterday’s slight correction, the market did decline. Although altcoins once remained strong, it can be seen from the daily closing prices that they have begun to show weakness. At present, the price of Bitcoin has fallen below this week's opening price, and has once again fallen below the previous historical high price, indicating that the market will face significant selling pressure tomorrow morning. What needs special attention is whether the market can regain its footing above the weekly opening price of $69k. Stabilizing this line means that the market may continue to be bullish. As long as the price remains below $69k, we should remain cautious on the market. The next support levels to watch are $64,850 and $63,500, and I don’t expect the price to fall below these levels in the event of an extreme sell-off.
Currently, Bitcoin and Ethereum’s performance has turned negative this week, with some altcoin lows hitting levels seen in recent sell-offs. No matter how the market changes next, this will be an excellent buying opportunity. We should wait patiently and look for the opportunity to enter.
I will post some altcoin analysis and lightening prices on Monday

$BTC
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3/11 Technical Analysis of Popular Altcoins$AVAX AVAX has exhibited a strong uptrend since October, reaching a high of $50 in December, and has since entered a correction period. Prices are expected to consolidate within the current range for some time. The correction may push further downwards, with AVAX's price likely testing the $25 range, which represents a 50% retracement from recent highs. Currently, AVAX has hit a low of $27.30, and I expect the price to bottom again before the correction ends, followed by a period of consolidation. There was a significant resistance level previously at $43.25. This price adjustment provides a good opportunity to add to positions, and it is expected that there will be a second round of increases after the Bitcoin halving event. For bullish investors, if the price can break out and stabilize above $45, it will be a signal for further gains towards $47.40 and $50. If the price can stabilize above $50, it is expected to continue its strong rise without the need for a pullback. For bearish investors, if the price falls firmly below the year’s opening price of $38.57, further declines to $36.30 and $34.20 are possible. On the back of the bearish momentum, the price is likely to continue its decline towards $30. For traders establishing short positions, pay attention to whether the opening price at $38.57 at the beginning of the year will fall significantly. If this level is broken, the price is expected to drop further to $36.30 and $34.20. Given the strength of the bearish trend, there is a high chance that this support level will be breached, sending the price towards $30.

3/11 Technical Analysis of Popular Altcoins

$AVAX

AVAX has exhibited a strong uptrend since October, reaching a high of $50 in December, and has since entered a correction period. Prices are expected to consolidate within the current range for some time. The correction may push further downwards, with AVAX's price likely testing the $25 range, which represents a 50% retracement from recent highs. Currently, AVAX has hit a low of $27.30, and I expect the price to bottom again before the correction ends, followed by a period of consolidation. There was a significant resistance level previously at $43.25. This price adjustment provides a good opportunity to add to positions, and it is expected that there will be a second round of increases after the Bitcoin halving event. For bullish investors, if the price can break out and stabilize above $45, it will be a signal for further gains towards $47.40 and $50. If the price can stabilize above $50, it is expected to continue its strong rise without the need for a pullback. For bearish investors, if the price falls firmly below the year’s opening price of $38.57, further declines to $36.30 and $34.20 are possible. On the back of the bearish momentum, the price is likely to continue its decline towards $30. For traders establishing short positions, pay attention to whether the opening price at $38.57 at the beginning of the year will fall significantly. If this level is broken, the price is expected to drop further to $36.30 and $34.20. Given the strength of the bearish trend, there is a high chance that this support level will be breached, sending the price towards $30.
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At the start of the week, we witnessed a brief sharp drop, before the price quickly recovered and surpassed the all-time high to reach $72,800. Currently, my only concern is that the price action is forming an arc pattern. Given that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is due out at 8:30 AM ET, I expect there will be some volatility in these areas that I marked on the chart, which could cause trouble for us as it could form some trap. Therefore, we try to anticipate these pitfalls by working against any fluctuations that first occur. This is usually my strategy when dealing with CPI transactions.
At the start of the week, we witnessed a brief sharp drop, before the price quickly recovered and surpassed the all-time high to reach $72,800. Currently, my only concern is that the price action is forming an arc pattern. Given that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is due out at 8:30 AM ET, I expect there will be some volatility in these areas that I marked on the chart, which could cause trouble for us as it could form some trap. Therefore, we try to anticipate these pitfalls by working against any fluctuations that first occur. This is usually my strategy when dealing with CPI transactions.
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March 11 Weekly ReportThis week, we have witnessed extreme volatility as the market approaches all-time highs. At the beginning, the price encountered strong resistance from $69,000, once dropped to $60,000, then recovered, and is currently oscillating below $70,000. Looking ahead to the week ahead, the market may be harder to trade as momentum fades and a clear break above $70,000 has yet to materialize. Any pullback from now on is an excellent buying opportunity ahead of the upcoming Bitcoin halving event in mid-April. We still have five weeks to prepare. There are two main scenarios to observe this week:

March 11 Weekly Report

This week, we have witnessed extreme volatility as the market approaches all-time highs. At the beginning, the price encountered strong resistance from $69,000, once dropped to $60,000, then recovered, and is currently oscillating below $70,000. Looking ahead to the week ahead, the market may be harder to trade as momentum fades and a clear break above $70,000 has yet to materialize.
Any pullback from now on is an excellent buying opportunity ahead of the upcoming Bitcoin halving event in mid-April. We still have five weeks to prepare.
There are two main scenarios to observe this week:
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Cryptocurrency scam 1. Copycat exchangesThe currency circle is a place full of opportunities and traps. Everyone who has been in the currency circle for a long time has been deceived more or less, or has been cut off. If you have not been deceived, then I can only say that you are still. You have not encountered a game specially designed for you, or you have just entered the currency circle and have not had time to experience it. As an old leek, I think I should stand up and talk about some pitfalls you may encounter in the future. I have talked about many junk exchanges before, such as Jubi, Biqu, Biyi, Clippers, Suke, and Luotuo. These exchanges are like a black Silk Road. The methods are basically the same, either not allowing withdrawals, or risk controlling the account for no reason. Even if you go to customer service, they will basically say the same thing, such as saying that it has been handed over to dedicated customer service for follow-up, so you can wait with peace of mind. If you delay again and again, your real money will be wasted. It can be said that these exchanges are fraud platforms. Not only do they deceive the platform themselves, but they also often unite with a group of OTC merchants to let these OTCs help attract novice retail investors to their own exchanges, and then lure the novices to open contracts. By manipulating the backend or liquidating the position with a hundred times high leverage, the harvest is finally completed.

Cryptocurrency scam 1. Copycat exchanges

The currency circle is a place full of opportunities and traps. Everyone who has been in the currency circle for a long time has been deceived more or less, or has been cut off. If you have not been deceived, then I can only say that you are still. You have not encountered a game specially designed for you, or you have just entered the currency circle and have not had time to experience it. As an old leek, I think I should stand up and talk about some pitfalls you may encounter in the future.

I have talked about many junk exchanges before, such as Jubi, Biqu, Biyi, Clippers, Suke, and Luotuo. These exchanges are like a black Silk Road. The methods are basically the same, either not allowing withdrawals, or risk controlling the account for no reason. Even if you go to customer service, they will basically say the same thing, such as saying that it has been handed over to dedicated customer service for follow-up, so you can wait with peace of mind. If you delay again and again, your real money will be wasted. It can be said that these exchanges are fraud platforms. Not only do they deceive the platform themselves, but they also often unite with a group of OTC merchants to let these OTCs help attract novice retail investors to their own exchanges, and then lure the novices to open contracts. By manipulating the backend or liquidating the position with a hundred times high leverage, the harvest is finally completed.
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March 4th Weekly ReportThe market continued to rise last week! The price of Bitcoin soared to 64,000, and altcoins also performed relatively strongly. Many altcoins continue to break out of large trading ranges, reaching highs not seen since mid-2022. We may see continued altcoin outbursts before Bitcoin returns to new highs. Overall, we have witnessed a good rotation in the market from AI-MEME-GameFi, but I do think the market will go through a modest correction as we are now seeing signs of the end of these rotations. $BTC $ETH The ETF has maintained strong inflows since last week, driving Bitcoin’s sharp rise from 51,000 to 64,000. This move puts us into a range where I think it will remain consolidating over the next week. I hope there will be an increase near 65,000, which is the all-time high since April 2021

March 4th Weekly Report

The market continued to rise last week! The price of Bitcoin soared to 64,000, and altcoins also performed relatively strongly. Many altcoins continue to break out of large trading ranges, reaching highs not seen since mid-2022. We may see continued altcoin outbursts before Bitcoin returns to new highs. Overall, we have witnessed a good rotation in the market from AI-MEME-GameFi, but I do think the market will go through a modest correction as we are now seeing signs of the end of these rotations. $BTC $ETH

The ETF has maintained strong inflows since last week, driving Bitcoin’s sharp rise from 51,000 to 64,000. This move puts us into a range where I think it will remain consolidating over the next week. I hope there will be an increase near 65,000, which is the all-time high since April 2021
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A total of two calls were missed and two calls were accurate. Then I have to say now: A plunge even worse than the previous two is coming. I sincerely hope that everyone can keep their principal. We have seen too many stories of big guys and leeks exploding their positions in the bull market.
A total of two calls were missed and two calls were accurate.
Then I have to say now: A plunge even worse than the previous two is coming.
I sincerely hope that everyone can keep their principal. We have seen too many stories of big guys and leeks exploding their positions in the bull market.
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After completing the breakthrough, $BTC entered a range of 56650-57280. During this period, there was a stress test at the 57500 position and then a small-scale correction. 1. The inflow of ETF funds fuels the bull market, Bitcoin’s dominance in the crypto market is more unshakable, manipulation and volatility are reduced, and legitimacy is increased 2. Compared with institutions, retail investors’ market participation will drop significantly and it will become more difficult to make money. This means that on a breakout we can focus on btc status and on a dip we would be better off focusing on shorting alternatives
After completing the breakthrough, $BTC entered a range of 56650-57280. During this period, there was a stress test at the 57500 position and then a small-scale correction.

1. The inflow of ETF funds fuels the bull market, Bitcoin’s dominance in the crypto market is more unshakable, manipulation and volatility are reduced, and legitimacy is increased

2. Compared with institutions, retail investors’ market participation will drop significantly and it will become more difficult to make money.

This means that on a breakout we can focus on btc status and on a dip we would be better off focusing on shorting alternatives
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Yesterday, the inflow of Bitcoin spot ETF exceeded US$340 million, helping Bitcoin rise from 51,000 to 57,700. This increase has exceeded the performance of most copycats. At the same time, the Bitcoin financing interest rate is now 91% annualized. Interest rates are already quite scary. I think the market is already brewing for deleveraging, which will appear in the next 1-2 days. 57500 is an important Fibonacci resistance level. I will place a callback short order at this price.
Yesterday, the inflow of Bitcoin spot ETF exceeded US$340 million, helping Bitcoin rise from 51,000 to 57,700. This increase has exceeded the performance of most copycats. At the same time, the Bitcoin financing interest rate is now 91% annualized. Interest rates are already quite scary. I think the market is already brewing for deleveraging, which will appear in the next 1-2 days. 57500 is an important Fibonacci resistance level. I will place a callback short order at this price.
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Weekly forecast: February 26-March 3$BTC has been oscillating in a box since it reached the 50,000 area. I believe that Bitcoin will usher in a slight adjustment this week. Before the halving event that is expected to arrive in mid-April. We still have 2 months to go. I think this is a good opportunity to adjust positions. The main scenarios for this week are: 1. If the price breaks through 52400, it will cause the price to rise further to 52840. The resistance levels after 52840 are 53350 and 54200. Unless prices close higher and continue towards the next major resistance level at 57000, I think the uptrend may stall there. 2. If it falls below 50700, a rapid decline or pin may begin. I think it will fall to the level of 48500. Support levels down from $50,700 are 49,200 and 48,550. I don't think the price will fall below this position due to the consensus on BTC. $ETH Since last month’s low of 2180, Ethereum has formed a nice uptrend and broke to new highs last week. This uptrend is perfect, although I insist there will be a pullback here. ETH has maintained an uptrend on the long-term frame chart. I could see a higher low forming around 2600 in the coming months. There are currently multiple Ethereum spot ETF applications circulating, but there is no definite news about whether the ETF will be approved. I personally infer that the SEC is not ready for ETH spot listing. Expect more solid news in the coming months. Key scenarios for this week: 1. Look for a breakout of the recent highs and a move up above 3130. The resistance levels for the breakthrough here are 3220 and 3300. These two major resistance levels are 2. After encountering resistance, break below the 2900 position. A break of this level will reach the support levels of 2845 and 2720. This is a good opportunity to get on board.

Weekly forecast: February 26-March 3

$BTC has been oscillating in a box since it reached the 50,000 area. I believe that Bitcoin will usher in a slight adjustment this week. Before the halving event that is expected to arrive in mid-April. We still have 2 months to go. I think this is a good opportunity to adjust positions. The main scenarios for this week are: 1. If the price breaks through 52400, it will cause the price to rise further to 52840. The resistance levels after 52840 are 53350 and 54200. Unless prices close higher and continue towards the next major resistance level at 57000, I think the uptrend may stall there. 2. If it falls below 50700, a rapid decline or pin may begin. I think it will fall to the level of 48500. Support levels down from $50,700 are 49,200 and 48,550. I don't think the price will fall below this position due to the consensus on BTC. $ETH Since last month’s low of 2180, Ethereum has formed a nice uptrend and broke to new highs last week. This uptrend is perfect, although I insist there will be a pullback here. ETH has maintained an uptrend on the long-term frame chart. I could see a higher low forming around 2600 in the coming months. There are currently multiple Ethereum spot ETF applications circulating, but there is no definite news about whether the ETF will be approved. I personally infer that the SEC is not ready for ETH spot listing. Expect more solid news in the coming months. Key scenarios for this week: 1. Look for a breakout of the recent highs and a move up above 3130. The resistance levels for the breakthrough here are 3220 and 3300. These two major resistance levels are 2. After encountering resistance, break below the 2900 position. A break of this level will reach the support levels of 2845 and 2720. This is a good opportunity to get on board.
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$ENJ callback rebound
$ENJ
callback rebound
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Bearish
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$BTC continues to vibrate sideways in the 53000-50500 box, I believe you have listened to a lot of technical analysis. We will not talk about technical aspects today. Judging from the history of the past six years, Bitcoin rose in the first two weeks of February in previous years, and then fell in the next two weeks. It varies from 60% to 15%. Therefore, we conservatively infer based on the current high point of 52896 and a 10% decline that this Bitcoin correction will be around 48,000. This is also in line with our previous inference that the next support point after BTC falls below 50600 is 48500 The Bitcoin halving is coming soon, and there was a 20% drop before the first two halvings, so it is really not a wise choice to be bullish now. Turn off the long button! !
$BTC continues to vibrate sideways in the 53000-50500 box,
I believe you have listened to a lot of technical analysis. We will not talk about technical aspects today. Judging from the history of the past six years, Bitcoin rose in the first two weeks of February in previous years, and then fell in the next two weeks. It varies from 60% to 15%. Therefore, we conservatively infer based on the current high point of 52896 and a 10% decline that this Bitcoin correction will be around 48,000.
This is also in line with our previous inference that the next support point after BTC falls below 50600 is 48500
The Bitcoin halving is coming soon, and there was a 20% drop before the first two halvings, so it is really not a wise choice to be bullish now.
Turn off the long button! !
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$BTC How hard is the 50900 point? I have been grinding it for almost a week.
$BTC
How hard is the 50900 point? I have been grinding it for almost a week.
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Don't place long orders until the bottom is reached. The long orders have not been exhausted yet, and the bottom is estimated to be around 44,000.
Don't place long orders until the bottom is reached. The long orders have not been exhausted yet, and the bottom is estimated to be around 44,000.
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Almost all technical indicators are bearish, and this rate is short from 53,000 to around 44,000.
If it cannot fall in this way, it means that $BTC btc has no technical indicator analysis after ETF. The probability of rising or falling is the same as guessing the coin.
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Almost all technical indicators are bearish, and this rate is short from 53,000 to around 44,000. If it cannot fall in this way, it means that $BTC btc has no technical indicator analysis after ETF. The probability of rising or falling is the same as guessing the coin.
Almost all technical indicators are bearish, and this rate is short from 53,000 to around 44,000.
If it cannot fall in this way, it means that $BTC btc has no technical indicator analysis after ETF. The probability of rising or falling is the same as guessing the coin.
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$FTM Bitcoin has entered a period of shock, and the expected major correction did not come as expected. Looking back, think about the fact that Bitcoin has a good market during the Spring Festival every year. Is it because the Chinese Air Force has a holiday during the Spring Festival? The pending order is 0.395 to go long FTM, and the stop loss is 0.339. The reason for going long is to rebound after the breakout of the support level.
$FTM
Bitcoin has entered a period of shock, and the expected major correction did not come as expected. Looking back, think about the fact that Bitcoin has a good market during the Spring Festival every year. Is it because the Chinese Air Force has a holiday during the Spring Festival?
The pending order is 0.395 to go long FTM, and the stop loss is 0.339. The reason for going long is to rebound after the breakout of the support level.
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$BTC Bitcoin has pulled 8 positive lines in a row, pointing at 5w. Although all technical indicators predict that Bitcoin will pull back around 47, we have to think about whether the previous strategy is still suitable after the ETF passes. If you are not as skilled as others, you will be defeated. 1000 will return to 800u. It doesn't matter if you give me another week, I can still make a positive profit. Just sprinkle some water
$BTC
Bitcoin has pulled 8 positive lines in a row, pointing at 5w. Although all technical indicators predict that Bitcoin will pull back around 47, we have to think about whether the previous strategy is still suitable after the ETF passes.
If you are not as skilled as others, you will be defeated. 1000 will return to 800u. It doesn't matter if you give me another week, I can still make a positive profit.
Just sprinkle some water
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The account has only been established for less than a week. I originally wanted to do real-time compound interest, but I really feel that I should seize this opportunity. At this stage of Bitcoin, the signal is already very obvious, and some influencers are still afraid to make a judgment, and the long and short positions jump repeatedly. If you do it right, you will be bragging, but if you do it wrong, your skills will be inferior to others. It would be better to be more real
The account has only been established for less than a week. I originally wanted to do real-time compound interest, but I really feel that I should seize this opportunity.
At this stage of Bitcoin, the signal is already very obvious, and some influencers are still afraid to make a judgment, and the long and short positions jump repeatedly.
If you do it right, you will be bragging, but if you do it wrong, your skills will be inferior to others. It would be better to be more real
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