CoinSparrow

Gold is trading at $4,520 per ounce.
The Santa Claus Rally continues in gold and silver.

Silver has reached $75 per ounce, while silver is finding buyers at 103 TRY domestically.
Meanwhile, pension (BES) accounts are booming.

Of course, such aggressive gains won’t last forever, but 2025 has truly been the year of silver.
Now, let’s hope some of this momentum spills over into crypto as well.

#GOLD #SILVER #SantaClausRally #Crypto

I waited a long time with $OKTA at a $90 cost basis, but this trade didn’t work out for me.
I’m closing the position.

I’m adding $LITE at $380.
#NASDAQ

Lumentum Holdings ($LITE) operates in fiber optics, lasers, and data-center infrastructure.
Approximately 60% of its revenue comes from AI and cloud infrastructure.
Expected 2026 earnings growth: ~170%.

Hopefully, $LITE will help us forget $OKTA.

Current Portfolio

$LITE → cost: $380

$PANW → price: $188 | cost: $194

$GH → price: $100 | cost: $105

$Xiaomi → price: $26 | cost: $36.37

Past Trades

$OKTA → P/L: 0% | Holding period: 7 months

Winners ✅

$MDB → +26% | 2.5 months

$GILT → +16% | 2 months

$MU → +45% | 2 months

$SERV → +45% | 1.5 months

$UBER → +44% | 4 months

$HOOD → +100% | 2 months

Is the Santa Claus Rally coming?
Hopefully, we’ll benefit from it in both U.S. equities and the crypto market.

Wall Street’s traditional Santa Claus Rally covers the last five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January. Accordingly, the rally should begin on December 24, when markets will close early due to Christmas Eve. That’s my personal view.

Looking at historical data, the S&P 500 has posted gains about %77 of the time during this period. In other words, three out of every four Christmas seasons have offered a rally opportunity.

An important note: the last two Santa Claus Rallies were negative. However, there has never been a third consecutive negative Santa Claus Rally in history.

U.S. stock markets will be open for a half day on December 24 and closed for the full day on December 25.

#SantaClausRally #Noel

Once again, we’re waiting for a central bank decision.
If you think about it, we’re always waiting for something 😁

This time, all eyes are on the Bank of Japan #BOJ
December 19, 2025 is seen as one of the most critical turning points of the year for global markets, as the BOJ will announce its interest rate decision tomorrow.

The Bank of Japan is expected to raise its policy rate from 0.50% to 0.75%.
While this may look like a small hike, for Japan it’s a big deal.

If rates move up to 0.75%, it would mark Japan’s highest interest rate level in the past 30 years. 🇯🇵

Higher rates in Japan could trigger the unwinding of carry trades, where investors borrow cheap Japanese yen and invest in higher-yielding assets such as U.S. equities.

As you may remember, even Japanese housewives were converting yen into Turkish lira and earning interest and not just housewives 😁
Almost every Turk who opened a shop in Japan was doing the same.

See you tomorrow.

Grayscale: “2026 – Dawn of the Institutional Era” | Key Takeaways

Grayscale describes 2026 as the beginning of the institutional era for digital assets.
Crypto is no longer an experimental market it is becoming a fully integrated asset class within regulated financial systems.

🔹 Capital inflows into digital assets are expected to accelerate, especially across institutional and advisor managed portfolios.

🔹 One of the most striking views in the report:
The traditional 4 year $BTC cycle may be ending.
Grayscale expects Bitcoin to reach a new ATH in the first half of 2026.

🔹 The firm also anticipates bipartisan crypto market legislation in the U.S. by 2026, enabling:

- Deeper integration between public blockchains and traditional finance
- Easier trading of regulated digital assets

🔟 Key Investment Themes for 2026

• Dollar debasement risk driving demand for Bitcoin and Ethereum
• Regulatory clarity boosting adoption
• Stablecoin expansion
• Tokenization reaching a critical phase
• Rising importance of privacy solutions
• Blockchain as a counterweight to AI centralization
• Growth in DeFi lending and real-world use cases
• Mainstream infrastructure adoption
• Focus on sustainable revenue models
• Staking becoming a default investment strategy

Highlighted Asset Categories

Stablecoins: $USDT, $USDC

Core Networks:
$ETH, $SOL, $BNB, $TRX

Tokenization:
$ETH, $BNB, $SOL, $LINK

Privacy:
$ZEC, $RAIL

AI + Crypto:
$TAO, $NEAR, $WORLD

DeFi:
$AAVE, $MORPHO, $MAPLE ($SYRUP ), $UNI, $HYPE, $RAY, $JUP

Next-Gen Blockchains:
$SUI, $MON, $MEGA

Staking & Regulatory Clarity:
$LDO, $JTO

Market Outlook: Heading into the Holidays

Even though US stock markets closed the week in negative territory, I believe we will return to the uptrend as we approach Christmas.
I think the same applies to cryptocurrencies. Everyone is setting a target of $65,000. My next target for Bitcoin is $99,000.
#BTCVSGOLD #bitcoin

There are a few research reports circulating on Wall Street, and while examining their main themes, I noticed a shift as I've mentioned before in the AI investment thesis. Slowly transitioning towards companies that utilize Artificial Intelligence.
Companies that are applying AI to increase efficiency and drive productivity are beginning to be favored over those with increasing capital expenditures. Being able to anticipate these changes is highly valuable.
Rich Privorotsky, Goldman Sachs Head of Europe, stated that AI is "swimming in muddy water." While I find this a bit exaggerated, it should certainly be taken into consideration.

DeepSeek is reportedly 25 times cheaper than GPT-5 and 30 times cheaper than Gemini 3 Pro. #Gemini
The general consensus predicts that the long-term winners will not be the developers but the companies that apply AI, with profits generally expected to flow into corporate profit margins.
Sectors with the Highest Predicted Adoption

Rates:
* Finance (#XLF)
* Manufacturing/Industrials (#XLI)
* Healthcare (#XLV)
* Retail (#XRT)
A list of the 20 most valuable stocks expected to generate profits in these sectors has been shared. GH , which I previously mentioned, analyzed, and added to our portfolio (full name: Guardant Health), has secured the 19th spot.
#NUTX is currently in the leading position. #GH will remain in the portfolio for a while longer.
Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Please conduct your own research.

This market loves rotation, If you missed $PARTI and $BOB , keep a close eye on $UAI
$UAI might be lining up next.

Good morning 🙏
I’m here with your morning market analysis. USA

I’ve prepared a piece I hope you’ll enjoy while sipping your tea or coffee. We always need to consider possible scenarios. AI investments are expected to reach $4 trillion by 2030, but as I always say, diversification is key.

Leading Wall Street analysts are also warning about a potential market correction, echoing concerns about an AI bubble. I’m staying cautious. If you’ve noticed, we’ve been actively trading in the U.S. markets. The S&P 500 is rallying, led by AI, and although November was weak, our carefully selected stocks have held up well. Tech sector valuations have reached dot-com era levels, signaling caution ⚠️⚠️⚠️.

#Google CEO Sundar Pichai added that if the AI bubble bursts, no company, including Alphabet with Gemini, would be immune.
According to BlackRock analysts, there are signs of AI fatigue among investors, and we’re seeing indications that some investors are already showing signs of it.

To protect ourselves and diversify the portfolio, I looked outside the tech sector for a company with strong investment fundamentals. I research, analyze, and share these insights for you.

Company: Guardant Health #GH
Sector: Healthcare Services
Guardant Health is an oncology company developing blood- and tissue-based tests, guiding cancer detection and treatment. GH has strong momentum, with annual revenue exceeding $1 billion and forecasts suggesting it could double revenue by 2028. Current stock price: $105.

Out of roughly 950 companies in the healthcare sector, they rank 5th. Based on my quality assessment, the stock appears undervalued. Even with a steady approach, it could cover significant ground. We’re looking at a non-tech sector investment to diversify. Of course, there are risks, and everyone should do their own research. This is not investment advice.

Have a great day 💎

MongoDB (MDB) Earnings Update

Revenue: $628.3M up 19% YoY, beating expectations

Annual Growth: Company delivered ~30% YoY growth overall

Operating Loss: $18.4M, improving from last year’s $27.9M loss

Customer Growth: As of October 31, 2025, MongoDB surpassed 62,500 customers

The CEO emphasized that MongoDB is strongly positioned for AI platforms, offering a unified data layer powering mission-critical workloads.

Still holding $MDB in the portfolio. 💪

What happened again?
Drop after drop after drop.
When U.S. futures open poorly, crypto immediately follows.
So let’s publish the piece I prepared yesterday and connect the dots.
What will we do in 2026? We need to make a decision.

AI is growing but can the energy infrastructure keep up?

Bitcoin mining is strengthening.
The world has started to pay serious attention to energy shortages at every level.
BTC mining facilities that can use energy efficiently and help stabilize the grid are attracting major investments.

So, is Bitcoin an energy bank?

Bitcoin is essentially the first mechanism that enables excess energy to be monetized on a global scale.
Even unused, stranded energy becomes economically valuable.

Now let’s focus on indexes and ETFs

Nvidia’s weight in the S&P has reached %8
I don’t find this very healthy.
But it means one thing: capital is concentrating in safe and highly liquid assets.

And it’s not just Turkiye the U.S. economy also feels tight on the ground.
The lower income segment is weak and getting weaker.
The upper-income segment keeps spending; they don’t care about holding cash.
But they will.

A quality driven bull market is coming

A more selective bull cycle.
I’m not backing away from this view.

BTC, ETH, SOL, AI coins, and RWA remain at the center.

My conviction remains that Bitcoin will indirectly strengthen through the AI and energy-crisis narrative.

Even if our so called AIs sometimes act like horizontal intelligence,
my stance on #render and #TAO has not changed.

L2s and staking models

Let’s start with #PENDLE
I genuinely don’t understand why it’s so underestimated the market will eventually recognize its value.

Same goes for $ARB and $EIGEN ⚠️⚠️⚠️ IMPORTANT.

#BoJ #bitcoin

If China takes Taiwan, what happens to the chip sector?

Today I wanted to draw a slightly doomsday scenario. The China Taiwan issue is something I actually expect to escalate around 2027, possibly even during 2027 itself.

If Taiwan joins China, what would this mean for the global chip industry and overall economic stability?

First, let’s look at the projected global chip production shares for 2032:

China: %21
South Korea: %19
Taiwan: %17
Japan: %15
USA: %14
Europe: %8

If Taiwan were to be absorbed into China, these percentages and the overall balance would shift dramatically.

Even though Trump wants to isolate China, it may be too late in some areas.

If this scenario happens if China effectively burns the ships any major disruption to TSMC’s operations would bring the global technology segment to a near standstill. Companies like Apple, Nvidia, and AMD would be hit severely. A global crisis could be closer than ever.

Chip production outside Taiwan, such as Intel’s, would become crucial just to maintain a minimum level of supply. But it still wouldn’t be enough.

Time will tell what happens next. #chip #china #taiwan

Gm Family. Today Binance TR Event Day. #BTCRebound90kNext?

Tomorrow, U.S. employment data will be released. This is a crucial report for shaping expectations around the Fed’s interest rate policy.

Meanwhile, according to White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett, there may not be an unemployment rate survey for the October data because survey operations were disrupted due to the government shutdown. Analysts are expecting a moderate increase in jobs.

If the employment data comes in strong, it could push the Fed to step back from cutting rates. At the moment, markets are pricing in roughly a %50 chance of a 25 bps cut for December, but this expectation is no longer as solid as it once was. The jobs report is the key catalyst that could either increase or reduce that probability.

We wouldn’t be wrong to say that there’s internal chaos within the Fed itself. The remarks from Fed officials clearly show this. We’re in a period where we’ve seen almost everything imaginable. Now, all eyes are on the December 10 Fed meeting.

#BTC90kBreakingPoint #USStocksForecast2026

The U.S. government shutdown has ended. However, the Fed will conduct blind flights until December. They have no data.
The December interest rate expectations have decreased with hawkish comments and market sell-offs. #fed #Bitcoin

The U.S. Federal Reserve's planned quarter-point interest rate cut for next month remains uncertain.

In December, the chance of a 25 basis point rate cut has dropped to 49.6%. It was 62.9% yesterday. A week ago it was 70%.

The U.S. government's shutdown has ended. However, the S&P 500 and the cryptocurrency market showed a sharp decline in parallel. #NASDAQ

Powell's mouth watered for a hawkish show. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said on Wednesday that inflation continues to pose a risk to economic stability. #inflation

The government's 43-day closure also hindered the Fed's access to some data. Markets do not like uncertainty. I hope we recover. #Powell

Everlyn Redefining AI Video Creation in Web3

Everlyn is backed by Mysten Labs and part of BNB Chain’s MVB9 Cohort, with a solid 15 million dollars funding round completed. Its advisory board features Turing Award winner Yann LeCun and several former Meta scientists, giving it real AI credibility.

The project is building the world’s first Web3-native AI video protocol, often described as the “Web3 version of Sora.”

Unlike Web2 models where you pay to create, Everlyn lets you create AI videos and earn $LYN tokens as rewards.

Recently, Everlyn has expanded its ecosystem through collaborations with Aethir, Perceptron Network, and OhChat AI — with OhChat fine-tuning Everlyn’s models to power a new wave of AI virtual idols, turning the “Simone-style” concept into real Web3 utility.

Currently, Everlyn ranks Top 5 on Kaito and is the #1 trending AI project on X, a strong signal of community and investor momentum.

$LYN Token Outlook:

The token trades around $0.106, with a market cap near $26–28 million.
Key short-term levels now sit between $0.095 support and $0.14 resistance, with a stronger supply zone around $0.20.
A break above $0.14 could open the door for a continuation move if user adoption scales.

Another notable update: Everlyn generated over $1M in revenue in the past month from model training and partnerships. The team confirmed this revenue will be used for an upcoming $LYN token buyback, adding extra long-term confidence to the ecosystem.

The blend of AI + Web3 incentives positions Everlyn for long-term growth.
If the team delivers on its roadmap, $LYN could become one of the most promising AI-layer tokens in the next cycle.

#Everlyn #LYN #AI #Web3 #BNBChain

Although the American futures seem negative, I think it will open in the green. Yesterday, Palantir carried the load. $PLTR was around 9 percent positive. Today, the futures are about -1 negative.

On the crypto side, recovery started specifically for #bitcoin, but we couldn't gain the necessary momentum. Somehow, it needs to jump above 110K for eth and the altcoins to revive. The government in the US is close to opening. We hope for the continuation of positive news.

China says it looks forward to the United States continuing cooperation. #USChinaDeal

With gratitude, respect, and longing.
We commemorate the founder of our country, Gazi Mustafa Kemal Atatürk. #10KASIM #Atatürk

The TGE of Almanak is about 34 days away. Information suggests it will be a high-quality listing. I will keep you informed as we clarify details. @almanak

The airdrop and points farming campaign are still active. Users can earn points through participation, which will later be converted into tokens.

#ALMANAK aims to enable users to create automated DeFi strategies (yield farming, liquidity provision, arbitrage, etc.) without writing a single line of code.

$ALMANAK TGE is about 34 days away, and there are strong signals that it will be a high-quality listing. I’ll keep you updated as more details are confirmed.

The airdrop and points farming campaign are still active users can earn points through participation, which will later be converted into tokens.

ALMANAK aims to enable users to create automated DeFi strategies including yield farming, liquidity provision, and arbitrage without writing a single line of code.