🔥 Bitcoin is about to EXPLODE after the FED's decision?
Although the news of the FED cutting interest rates is good, the FED's balance sheet has not shown any moves to inject money into the economy through the purchase of assets such as US government bonds. Therefore, we need to observe more about this policy easing move.
BTC's D1 chart is supporting a short-term uptrend, the target is the upper edge of the trend channel at $ 64,000.
With just over three hours to go before the historic FOMC meeting, markets are now pricing in a 60% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut, the widest range of forecasts in more than 15 years.
However, most economists are leaning toward a 25 basis point cut. According to a Bloomberg survey, only 9 out of 114 economists believe the Fed will cut 50 basis points, while the remaining 113 predict a 25 basis point cut.
Wells Fargo, on the other hand, advises investors to focus on the Fed’s future direction rather than debating between the two cuts. According to them, whether the Fed cuts 25 basis points or 5 basis points, the market will not react strongly, as it did in 2001 and 2007.
CNBC Fed Survey: Fed to Cut Rates by 25%, Expecting a Soft Landing
The survey found that 84% of 27 respondents, including economists, fund managers and strategists, expect the Fed to cut rates by 25%, while 16% predict a 50 basis point cut.
CME futures showed the opposite result, with 61% favoring a 50 basis point cut and 39% favoring a 25 basis point cut.
The market is divided on the Fed's decision, so whatever the Fed decides, about half of the market will be surprised.
The Fed is expected to announce its rate cut decision: - September 18 US time at 11am California time - September 19 Vietnam time at 1am.
🔸The biggest mistake many people make today is only looking at the present without looking at the long term.
🔸When we determine to enter the market, we should look at the future and long-term potential of the market.
🔸Currently compared to the future, coin prices must be said to be too cheap.
🚀The market will explode strongly in 2025, that's for sure!
👉🏻Because there are too many facts to suggest that 2025 is a strong boom year for the market, it can simply be seen that interest rates may drop sharply at the end of this year. That is an extremely BULLISH signal for the market.
🚀The uptrend season when altcoins start to climb x3 x5 at the same time in this cycle will likely fall into 2 cases in the following time periods!!
1️⃣ Early uptrend, will happen in the third quarter of this year, which will fall on July 8, 9
🔸When this year's Bitcoin ETF Spot was approved, many large funds participated and continuously collected BTC, causing BTC to break its ATH before halving, something that has never happened before.
🔸 ETH SPOT ETF will be approved in the near future
2️⃣ Uptrend takes place normally, starting in the fourth quarter of this year in October 11 and 12 similar to previous times
🔸The FED started buying bonds, printing money, and lowering interest rates more strongly
🔸The US presidential election takes place
🤔 And how can we not miss the boat or miss the first wave when the dealer will pump the goods very quickly so that most of the young fish won't have time to turn around and lose the goods?
🔸For those of you who are already in the majority of stores, just be careful at this stage, the market will make us depressed and easily seasick, there are only a few months left, don't give up on the threshold of paradise!!
🔥 UDPATE: Meeting notes "lack of progress" in controlling inflation back to FED's 2% target: Committee does not expect to reduce interest rates until there is greater confidence that inflation is moving move sustainably towards 2%
Other than that, the document hasn't changed much, still saying the economy is growing at a "solid pace," the job market is "strong" and the unemployment rate is "low."
Under the new plan, the Fed will reduce its bond sales to only $25 billion per month, down from $60 billion.
Should remember: The Fed sells bonds to collect money and tighten it, so this is also considered good news.
Tonight and tomorrow morning the Fed will announce interest rates for May again
Time: at 1:00 am
Then meet as usual
And the market has Dumped before the news, so tonight the news may not be good... you should be careful with all leverage positions. If you have a long-term spot, you can watch for price drops and buy a little
In general, after closing the weekly candle + daily candle just finished this morning + the 11am H4, nothing is positive.
In this situation, the downward force is still strong and the price is still below the EMA 34-89 cluster, so sellers still have more pressure.
The current price range of 62k is "light" but seems quite difficult to overcome. Decide on this H4 candle at 3:00 p.m
If perforated here, there is a very high chance of retesting the area around 59-60. If there is this, hopefully it is accompanied by an H4 candle with a pull-up + bottom divergence, which will help the rebound bounce to high areas. If it decreases slowly, it will be difficult to sustain
Don't forget that the April candlestick is about to close (full selling force) + bad news about CZ can cause the market to suddenly dump, be careful with large leveraged positions at this stage!
🔸This period is very similar to the end of 2022! Or the period September-October last year!
🔸This feeling is very familiar, but eventually it goes there!
🔸Adjustments and FUDs like this are completely normal!
🔸If you have been in the market long enough, you will feel this familiarity!
👉If you're holding altcoins right now, try to hold them tight, but don't rush into allin at this time, just take it slow - if you want to lighten your head, in the next 2-3 months, just divide it up and buy a little each week!