A new study by Bitwise analyzed what happens when you allocate just 2.5% of #Bitcoin to a classic 60/40 portfolio with quarterly rebalancing.
The results:
*3-year window: $BTC improved cumulative returns in 100% of the periods. Zero instances of loss. *2-year window: 93.81% win rate. *Risk vs. Return: The Sharpe ratio (which measures whether returns justify the risk) increased in 100% of the 3-year periods.
Quarterly rebalancing forces you to sell into strength and buy during panic. It’s “buy low, sell high” on autopilot, while keeping risk capped at 2.5%.
The data includes everything: the 2018 crash, the 2020 COVID shock, the 2022 collapse, and the current rally. Even with 80% drawdowns along the way, the strategy survived and outperformed.
Ignoring $BTC today means assuming the future will be radically different from the past 12 years of data. With the current price around $67K, the focus should be on a 3-year horizon. #Bitcoin #Investing #Bitwise #FinancialMarkets #Crypto
Ethereum is shaping a structure that deserves our attention at the start of this week. Currently trading at $3,207, ETH appears to be building strength. What does the chart show us? Bullish Momentum: The MACD continues to point upward, indicating that buying pressure still dominates the medium-term outlook, even with a 2% correction this morning. Balance: With the RSI at 53, the altcoin still has a “full tank” to push toward higher resistance levels without entering an immediate oversold zone. Battle Zones: Support: $3,100 (If we lose this level, the warning lights turn on!) Resistance: $3,400 (A breakout here opens the path toward $4k) $ETH
Monday is kicking off and Bitcoin opens the day trading at $92,946.
After a weekend of consolidation, the daily chart shows that we’re “cooking” a larger move.
What to expect for this week?
Neutral Opening: The RSI at 53 indicates the market is neither euphoric nor in panic. This is the ideal scenario for a gradual and healthy move higher.
Monday Volume: Keep an eye on volume over the next few hours! If inflows increase with the opening of traditional markets, we could break above $94k as early as today.
Key Level to Watch: The MACD suggests bulls are still in control, but they need to defend the $90k region at all costs to maintain weekly optimism.
The outlook for 2026 is driven by three simultaneous forces that favor risk assets:
📉 Global Monetary Easing: Central banks cutting interest rates in sync.
💸 Fiscal Stimulus: Direct liquidity injections (rebates and stimulus packages).
🔓 Deregulation: A regulatory environment that is more favorable to crypto innovation.
2. Bitcoin: From Asset to Strategic Reserve
The focus is on the creation of a U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.
The expectation is that the market will be dominated by institutional and government flows, rather than leveraged “degenerates.”$BTC
3. Stablecoins & “Agentic Commerce”
AI Agents (Agentic Commerce): Autonomous software agents will begin paying for APIs and on-chain services. In 2025, agents were already responsible for more than 90% of certain payment flows.
The Stablecoin War: Expect a battle for interoperability and the rise of “Crypto Neobanks” that pay yield directly to users.
4. The End of Inflationary Tokens
DeFi has matured to focus on real cash flow and compliance.
Real World Assets (RWAs) surpassed DEXs in TVL for the first time, showing that big money wants high-quality collateral, such as tokenized T-bills.
If Bitcoin is leading the charge, Ethereum has just fired up its engines. After spending some time moving sluggishly and consolidating, ETH made a strong jump into the $3,356 range. It seems the “Standard Chartered effect” and the BTC rally finally provided the push that was missing. Check out what the 24h chart is screaming right now:
1️⃣ We’ve broken out of that boring $3,100 zone, and ETH is now trying to consolidate above $3,300. Trading volume climbed to $31.5 billion, giving solid support to this bullish move.
2️⃣ Indicators in Overdrive:
RSI at 66.21: The strength indicator moved up fast. We’re getting close to the overbought zone (70), which shows very strong buying pressure, but also raises a flag that the price may need a technical pause soon.
MACD in the Green: The histogram is showing growing green bars, and the lines have crossed upward with strength. Momentum is now fully in the bulls’ hands.
🚧 WHAT TO WATCH:
🚀 Short-Term Target: The $3,400 area is the immediate resistance. If ETH closes the day above this level, the path opens toward $3,800.$ETH 🟢 New Support: The $3,100 level, which used to be resistance, has now become our main “floor.” As long as price stays above it, the trend remains bullish.
Hey everyone! Our king decided to wake up in a good mood. Looking at the 24h chart right now, the scenario has changed a lot since our last analysis. The price jumped to the $96,717 range.
Here’s what you need to know so you don’t get caught off guard:
1️⃣ Price Strength: BTC broke out of the $90k consolidation zone and is now testing higher resistance levels. Volume climbed to $59.6B, showing that big players are stepping in on this move up.
2️⃣ RSI at the “Limit”:
The RSI is at 68.87.
Pay attention here: we’re knocking on the door of the overbought zone (which starts at 70). This means the move is strong, but the market is getting a bit too “hot.” Usually, when the RSI reaches this level, we can expect a small pullback or some sideways movement for the indicator to cool down before continuing higher.
3️⃣ MACD Confirming: The histogram is strongly green and the lines are pointing upward. Momentum is clearly bullish in the short term.
🚧 BATTLE LEVELS:
🚀 Psychological Resistance: $100,000. This is the big target. If we break through here with volume, the sky’s the limit.
🟢 Protective Support: $90,000 – $92,000. If the price feels the pressure and pulls back, this is the region where buyers are expected to defend aggressively.$BTC #BTC100kNext?
Geoffrey Kendrick, the digital assets chief at Standard Chartered Bank, said 2026 will be Ethereum's year, just as it was in 2021!
Why such optimism? 🤔
According to the bank, ETH has structural advantages that no other cryptocurrency possesses:
✅ Unquestionable leadership in stablecoins, Real World Assets (RWA), and DeFi.
✅ The Fusaka upgrade and the planned increase in network capacity are seen as triggers to boost market value.
✅ There is anticipation that the Clarity Act in the U.S. will pass within the first quarter of this year, opening the doors for more institutional capital.
NEW PRICE TARGETS:
Although they have adjusted short-term goals due to the current market weakness, projections remain strong:
🎯 End of 2026: $7,500
🎯 2027: $15,000
🎯 2028: $22,000
🎯 Long Term (2030): $40,000!
The bank also predicts that the ETH/BTC ratio will return to the level of 0.08$ETH
The altcoin finally seems to have stopped the bleeding.
After testing the psychological and technical support at $2,800, the price rose and now aims to consolidate above $3,100.
🔹 What do the indicators say?
RSI at 52: Total neutrality. The market took a "breath" after the last rally and is now seeking liquidity.
MACD losing strength: Buyer momentum has slightly decreased in recent hours. Not a reason for panic, but rather caution, as the price may "trade sideways" here for a few days.
Resistance: We need to break above $3,400 with volume to target $4,000+.
Support: The $2,800 level is the line in the sand. Losing it would make the outlook grim.
ETH is currently heavier than Bitcoin.
While BTC decides whether to break its highs, Ethereum is trying to prove that the bottom is behind us. $ETH
If you're feeling the market a bit stuck, the 24h chart explains exactly why. We're in a phase of accumulation/lateral movement.
BTC is "boxed in" between $85k and $95k.
Remember the peak near $130k?
Well, the price is finding its new equilibrium before deciding on the next major move.
Indicators at the "Wall":
✅ RSI at 51: This is pure neutrality. We're neither in an overbought (sell) zone nor in a panic (buy) zone.
$BTC ✅ MACD Flat: The averages are close together. The selling momentum from November has dried up, but buyers haven't yet "kicked down the door" to resume the uptrend.
Key Levels to Watch:
🐂 Support: $80,000. If we lose this level, things could get rough and we might head toward $75k.
🐻 Resistance: $100k. Breaking above $100k with volume will be the trigger to start dreaming again.
For short-term traders, be careful of overtrading. In a sideways market, we often get stopped out by noise.
For long-term investors, the bullish structure remains intact as long as we hold $80k.
There was a slight improvement in the short term, but no structural change in the overall scenario.
The price managed to react and is working in the region of US$ 88,200, momentarily distancing itself from the range of US$ 87 thousand.
This movement is accompanied by a slight increase in volume, which helps sustain the rebound, but still lacks strength to characterize a recovery.
The RSI rose to the region of 44, showing gradual recovery after the weak period. It is still below the line of 50, which keeps the market in neutral-negative territory, but with less selling pressure than in previous days.
In the MACD, the histogram remains negative and losing strength.
The lines are converging, which favors a lateral movement or a slight technical rise, as long as the price remains above the immediate supports.
• Support: US$ 87,000 – US$ 86,000 This region continues as an important floor in the short term.
• Resistances: US$ 88,500 – US$ 89,000 US$ 90,000 remains as a psychological barrier.$BTC
The price continues to work very close to the region of US$ 87 thousand, without managing to structure a consistent recovery movement.
The RSI now near 41 shows a slight improvement compared to the previous reading, but still below the 50 line.
There is some relief in selling pressure, but without clear dominance from buyers. There are no signs of strong exhaustion or firm recovery.
In the MACD, the histogram remains negative, but with decreasing intensity. The lines remain below zero and begin to converge, which opens space for lateral movement or an attempt at a technical rebound, as long as the price can sustain itself above the immediate support.
📌 Price zones – fine-tuning
Main support: • US$ 85 thousand – US$ 86 thousand remains the most sensitive range. Below this, the scenario becomes more fragile.
Immediate resistance: • US$ 88.5 thousand – US$ 90 thousand now carries more weight in the short term. • US$ 92 thousand remains the most difficult region to surpass.$BTC
In the 24-hour chart, Ethereum continues in a correction movement, with the price working in the range of $2,850 after new rejections at higher levels.
The recent structure shows difficulty in sustaining recoveries, maintaining a more pressured bias in the short term.
The RSI near 38 shows a weakened asset, still far from an extreme condition, but without consistent buying strength at this moment.
In the MACD, the lines remain below the zero line, with a negative histogram. Despite a slight slowdown in selling pressure, there is still no technical confirmation of a reversal.
📌 Important Levels
Support: range between $2,800 and $2,750. Losing this region could lead the price to seek lower levels.
Resistance: zone between $3,000 and $3,100, where ETH has found difficulty in advancing.$ETH
⚠️ Quantum risk may weigh on Bitcoin in the coming years
A debate that has been gaining traction in the crypto market is the advancement of quantum computing and its possible impacts on the security of Bitcoin. According to Charles Edwards, founder of the Capriol management firm, the topic requires swift action.
According to Edwards, if Bitcoin does not achieve resilience against quantum attacks, the price could fall below US$ 50,000 by 2028. He states that many people underestimate this risk, but technology can evolve faster than the market expects.
In the analyst's view, the absence of measures as early as next year could open the door to a historic bear cycle, larger than past crises.$BTC
In the 24-hour chart, bitcoin remains pressured after a sequence of lower highs and lows.
The price is working in the range of US$ 87 thousand, showing difficulty in recovering higher levels in the short term.
The RSI around 39 indicates a market still weakened, with no clear sign of buyer strength.
There is no condition of extreme overselling, but the indicator shows that control is more with sellers than with buyers.
In the MACD, the lines remain below the zero line. Despite a slight approaching between them, the histogram is still working in the negative field, which keeps the caution bias for more consistent upward movements.
📌 Important price zones
Support: region between US$ 85 thousand and US$ 86 thousand. Losing this range may open space for new selling pressure.
Resistance: region of US$ 90 thousand to US$ 92 thousand, where the price has already encountered recent rejection.$BTC
The BNB Chain ecosystem showed significant progress in the third quarter, with improvements in usage, liquidity, and on-chain activity. Look at the data 👇
💰 Market value of BNB Increase of 51.6%, reaching US$ 140.4 billion
🔄 Daily transactions Growth of 35.3%, reaching 13.3 million
👥 Active addresses per day Rise of 47.1%, with 2.3 million users
🔒 TVL in DeFi Advancement of 30.7%, totaling US$ 7.8 billion
💵 Market cap of stablecoins Expansion of 32.3%, reaching US$ 13.9 billion
📈 Daily volume on DEXs Increase of 29.6%, with an average of US$ 2.4 billion$BNB
🚀 Solana takes an important step towards 1 million TPS
Jump Crypto has officially launched Firedancer on the Solana mainnet, a new client that promises to make the network more robust, decentralized, and prepared for extreme transaction volumes.
Firedancer is an alternative implementation of the software that validators use to operate on the network. Until now, Solana relied almost entirely on derivative versions of the original code from Solana Labs, which increased technical risks. With a new client in production, the chance of systemic failures decreases.
One of the major differentiators is performance. In public tests, Firedancer has already processed over 1 million transactions per second using common hardware. This is possible thanks to a modular architecture, written in C language, that allows multiple tasks to be executed in parallel and better utilizes the hardware.$SOL
📉 Barclays projects a lukewarm year for the crypto market in 2026
The bank Barclays assesses that 2026 is likely to be a weaker year for the cryptocurrency market, unless relevant triggers capable of reigniting investor interest emerge.
In a recent report, analysts point to a decline in spot trading volumes and a weakening of public appetite, especially in retail.
The report reminds that significant movements in the market are usually linked to well-defined events, such as product launches, political decisions, or regulatory changes.
Examples include the entry of bitcoin ETFs in 2024 and the more favorable political landscape for crypto assets in the United States.
Without news of this nature, the bank sees little room for a strong recovery in the short term.$BTC
Data from CryptoQuant shows a strong surge in sales made by long-term holders. It is one of the largest movements of this kind in the last five years.
This pattern tends to appear closer to high price regions, not at bottoms. And there is an important detail: BTC remains well above the realized price of these investors.
In practice, this shows profit taking. They are capitalizing on accumulated gains, not exiting out of fear or pressure.
The stock of BTC in the hands of old holders has already declined compared to historical highs, reinforcing this strategic selling behavior.$BTC