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May 2023 FOMC quick rundownThe FOMC has followed through with its expected plan and increased rates by 25 basis points to 5.00-5.25%. The decision was unanimous. The Fed has also hinted at a possible pause in rate hikes by eliminating the language that suggested more policy firming may be necessary to achieve a sufficiently restrictive stance. The Fed has stated that it will take into account policy lags, tightening to date, and other developments when determining whether additional policy firming is required. The Fed h

May 2023 FOMC quick rundown

The FOMC has followed through with its expected plan and increased rates by 25 basis points to 5.00-5.25%. The decision was unanimous. The Fed has also hinted at a possible pause in rate hikes by eliminating the language that suggested more policy firming may be necessary to achieve a sufficiently restrictive stance.

The Fed has stated that it will take into account policy lags, tightening to date, and other developments when determining whether additional policy firming is required.

The Fed h
SVB FinancialSVB Financial, a Californnia-based lender to the venture capital industry, has been hit extremely hard, and the losses are now sparking speculation that this will affect other banks and affect the bond portfolios of US banks. SVB Financial So the recent news surrounding overnight losses incurred by Californian bank SVB Financial has raised serious issues regarding unrealized losses on bond portfolios and their impact on bank capitalization levels. The Federal Deposit Insurance (FDIC) projecte

SVB Financial

SVB Financial, a Californnia-based lender to the venture capital industry, has been hit extremely hard, and the losses are now sparking speculation that this will affect other banks and affect the bond portfolios of US banks.

SVB Financial

So the recent news surrounding overnight losses incurred by Californian bank SVB Financial has raised serious issues regarding unrealized losses on bond portfolios and their impact on bank capitalization levels.

The Federal Deposit Insurance (FDIC) projecte
Ethereum Shanghai upgradeEthereum ecosystem is on a journey that could redefine staking for its validators due to the Shanghai upgrade. By March, validators can withdraw ETH that has been locked since December 2020, which could happen partially or wholly. Partial withdrawal will mean validators can only withdraw the accrued rewards, not their initial staked Ethereum. Those who opt for a full withdrawal will completely exit the network. The upgrade requires validators to update their withdrawal credentials beforehand.

Ethereum Shanghai upgrade

Ethereum ecosystem is on a journey that could redefine staking for its validators due to the Shanghai upgrade.

By March, validators can withdraw ETH that has been locked since December 2020, which could happen partially or wholly. Partial withdrawal will mean validators can only withdraw the accrued rewards, not their initial staked Ethereum. Those who opt for a full withdrawal will completely exit the network.

The upgrade requires validators to update their withdrawal credentials beforehand.
🤪 Money Confidence This represents the confidence level that investors with no expertise have in the financial markets Keep in mind that BTC Pearson 30-day correlation is at 0.86
🤪 Money Confidence

This represents the confidence level that investors with no expertise have in the financial markets

Keep in mind that BTC Pearson 30-day correlation is at 0.86
Crypto doughnutCrypto funding activity in the month of January was expected to be relatively large but instead registered a “big fat zero.” This reflects a temporary lull in the crypto market, where crypto funding activity for the month of January was significantly lower than had been anticipated. For perspective, the crypto funding activity for January was estimated to be around $6 billion. All other months were estimated to have lower amounts, with the lowest amount estimated at around $0.5 billion in De

Crypto doughnut

Crypto funding activity in the month of January was expected to be relatively large but instead registered a “big fat zero.”

This reflects a temporary lull in the crypto market, where crypto funding activity for the month of January was significantly lower than had been anticipated.

For perspective, the crypto funding activity for January was estimated to be around $6 billion. All other months were estimated to have lower amounts, with the lowest amount estimated at around $0.5 billion in De
Bitcoin Mining Boom led to InsolvencyIn November 2021, the Bitcoin mining sector saw a surge in activity due to a combination of factors. The value of Bitcoin at that time was at an all-time high of $67,734, while the Hash Spread reached a record high of $550 per Megawatt Hour (MWh). These high prices and mining margins attracted new capital from investors looking to capitalize on the potential profits available in the sector. Additionally, competition in the sector had been reduced in the period leading up to this boom due to Chi

Bitcoin Mining Boom led to Insolvency

In November 2021, the Bitcoin mining sector saw a surge in activity due to a combination of factors. The value of Bitcoin at that time was at an all-time high of $67,734, while the Hash Spread reached a record high of $550 per Megawatt Hour (MWh). These high prices and mining margins attracted new capital from investors looking to capitalize on the potential profits available in the sector.

Additionally, competition in the sector had been reduced in the period leading up to this boom due to Chi
Bank Of JapanThe Bank Of Japan (BOJ) is the central bank of Japan, and it has recently become known as the biggest money printer due to its large-scale bond-buying program. This program, known as "Quantitative Monetary Easing" (QQE), has caused the BOJ's balance sheet to expand significantly since it was implemented. The Bank of Japan announced its decision to adopt a "Yield Curve Control" (YCC) policy on September 20 and 21, 2016. Yield Curve Control YCC is a form of quantitative easing (QE) that invol

Bank Of Japan

The Bank Of Japan (BOJ) is the central bank of Japan, and it has recently become known as the biggest money printer due to its large-scale bond-buying program.

This program, known as "Quantitative Monetary Easing" (QQE), has caused the BOJ's balance sheet to expand significantly since it was implemented.

The Bank of Japan announced its decision to adopt a "Yield Curve Control" (YCC) policy on September 20 and 21, 2016.

Yield Curve Control

YCC is a form of quantitative easing (QE) that invol
Top 25 coin performance
Top 25 coin performance
It's possible that bitcoin will continue to drop before entering a period of stability or even modest growth. This is consistent with how previous asset bubbles have played out. If that plays out, expect a period of low prices for a few months, followed by a gradual recovery.
It's possible that bitcoin will continue to drop before entering a period of stability or even modest growth.

This is consistent with how previous asset bubbles have played out.

If that plays out, expect a period of low prices for a few months, followed by a gradual recovery.
FTX International and FTX US wallets seem to have been compromised, resulting in the loss of nearly $600 million. Remove FTX app from your phone and don't visit their website. It may download malware.
FTX International and FTX US wallets seem to have been compromised, resulting in the loss of nearly $600 million.

Remove FTX app from your phone and don't visit their website. It may download malware.
This bear market is rapidly approaching the average lifespan for such a market. Remember, the average bear market lasts 11+ months and the median is 7+ months. This market is nearing the 11-month mark, and so it is nearing the average lifespan for a bear market.
This bear market is rapidly approaching the average lifespan for such a market.

Remember, the average bear market lasts 11+ months and the median is 7+ months.

This market is nearing the 11-month mark, and so it is nearing the average lifespan for a bear market.
It's been a while, greed in the equity market is back. Will bitcoin follow?
It's been a while, greed in the equity market is back.

Will bitcoin follow?
Bitcoin has lagged behind other assets recently, but a decline in equities might change that Bitcoin may benefit if investors become concerned about equity prices and seek alternate investments Volatility may rise if people buy more #Bitcoin. Bitcoin call spreads are attractive
Bitcoin has lagged behind other assets recently, but a decline in equities might change that

Bitcoin may benefit if investors become concerned about equity prices and seek alternate investments

Volatility may rise if people buy more #Bitcoin.

Bitcoin call spreads are attractive
S&P500 skew trends The options market suggests market players expect some sort of Fed "intervention" Since stock buybacks are ending & the Fed is approaching its blackout period, which prevents policy adjustments. Investors are jittery about the midterm elections (BTC correlated)
S&P500 skew trends

The options market suggests market players expect some sort of Fed "intervention"

Since stock buybacks are ending & the Fed is approaching its blackout period, which prevents policy adjustments. Investors are jittery about the midterm elections

(BTC correlated)
Retail traders have been buying put options recently, as they expect prices to fall further. One cannot tell from their timing whether these retail traders are ahead of the curve or behind. Bitcoin and the stock market correlation is still strong.
Retail traders have been buying put options recently, as they expect prices to fall further. One cannot tell from their timing whether these retail traders are ahead of the curve or behind.

Bitcoin and the stock market correlation is still strong.
Goldman Sachs volatility regime model predicts that the current period of high volatility will continue. That means that volatility is likely to remain elevated, and investors should continue to be cautious when positioning themselves in the markets. BTC SPX500 correlation: 0.78
Goldman Sachs volatility regime model predicts that the current period of high volatility will continue. That means that volatility is likely to remain elevated, and investors should continue to be cautious when positioning themselves in the markets.

BTC SPX500 correlation: 0.78
Bitcoin appears to be experiencing a strong resurgence, as evidenced by the large "hammer" candle on the chart. Might indicates that buyers are willing to step in & support the price at current levels, despite the recent sell-off. Could be a sign that the market is ready to move
Bitcoin appears to be experiencing a strong resurgence, as evidenced by the large "hammer" candle on the chart.

Might indicates that buyers are willing to step in & support the price at current levels, despite the recent sell-off. Could be a sign that the market is ready to move
Markets are still in an extreme state of fear. It's possible that the Consumer Price Index data could change this. Question: "Do markets crash during a state of already extreme fear?" SoI recommend to start watching closely to see if that happens.
Markets are still in an extreme state of fear.

It's possible that the Consumer Price Index data could change this.

Question: "Do markets crash during a state of already extreme fear?"

SoI recommend to start watching closely to see if that happens.
Mortgage Calculator Example of a home price of $500k Take a look, at the difference between a 3% interest rate and a 7% interest rate for monthly payments With a loan term of 30 years. A difference of paying $1218.51 extra per month. People have less money to invest in crypto
Mortgage Calculator

Example of a home price of $500k

Take a look, at the difference between a 3% interest rate and a 7% interest rate for monthly payments With a loan term of 30 years.

A difference of paying $1218.51 extra per month.

People have less money to invest in crypto
NASDAQ's recent poor performance relative to Bitcoin indicates that something is wrong with the tech sector. Bitcoin is now a relative winner compared to Nasdaq, suggesting that investors might be losing confidence in traditional tech stocks.
NASDAQ's recent poor performance relative to Bitcoin indicates that something is wrong with the tech sector.

Bitcoin is now a relative winner compared to Nasdaq, suggesting that investors might be losing confidence in traditional tech stocks.
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