11.20 Brother Chao's Evening Thoughts

Good evening everyone. In the early morning, BTC surged all the way up, reaching a peak near 94,000, and then pulled back. Overall, the trend remains stable above 90,000. As the highs continue to refresh, the bulls will once again exert their strength.

Currently, the high is not really high, and 100,000 is just around the corner!
From a technical structure point of view, the bulls are once again gaining strength. The daily line structure still shows a strong pattern, with pullbacks being absorbed by upward movements. There are not many opportunities for the bears to perform; the upward trend is already intact. In a strong structure, pullbacks are merely adjustments to gather strength, so in the future, Brother Chao suggests that we still follow the trend and take advantage of the pullbacks!

Operating Suggestions:
Bitcoin pullback: around 92,500-93,000, looking to 94,000-95,000
Ethereum pullback: around 3,080-3,100, looking to 3,150-3,200

11-19 Super Brother's Evening Thoughts

The big pancake has tried several times to touch the high resistance, the market fluctuates, and both the long and short positions are profitable. It is currently maintaining around 91800, and the evening suggestion is to go long at high prices and short at low prices.

Evening Personal Suggestions
The big pancake may pull back to around 91000-90300, aiming for around 92500-93500.
The second pancake may pull back to around 3000-3120, targeting around 3150-3200. #BTC走势预测

The last bull market for Bitcoin was driven by retail investors.

This bull market is being driven by institutions, and more and more institutions are coming in.
Recently, Microsoft, as everyone knows, will hold a board meeting on December 10 to decide whether to make a purchase. Once the board's decision is approved, it will be a significant boon for both Microsoft's stock price and Bitcoin prices.

So, you see companies like BlackRock, MicroStrategy, Fidelity, and other listed companies and a series of institutions.

At this stage, many are adopting Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset, and we don't even need to mention the national teams.

So, for those who see Bitcoin reaching 70,000 or even 60,000, I advise you to be smart. Do institutions spend money to come in to do charity? Haven't you seen the driving force behind this price movement clearly yet?

As retail investors, we follow the institutions; there's a saying that it's good to find shade under a big tree. Whether it's spot trading or contracts, if we manage risk well, there will definitely be a share that belongs to you!

I am Super Brother. If you like it, please follow and give a thumbs up #NFT市场回暖

Trump recently made statements on social media, threatening the BRICS countries that "de-dollarization" will come at a huge cost, even going so far as to threaten to impose 100% tariffs on these countries. This rhetoric, rather than being a threat, is more of a desperate howl of American hegemony.

This move by the United States is undoubtedly a case of drinking poison to quench thirst. The BRICS countries are not actively seeking to replace the dollar, but rather the United States has weaponized the dollar, leading to disruptions in international trade and forcing countries to seek alternatives. China, as the world's largest economy, along with Russia, India, Brazil, and others, are all major global economies that together form the BRICS organization, representing a significant portion of the world's population and economy. The sanctions imposed by the United States on these countries and the trade war are likely to backfire, ultimately hurting the U.S. economy itself.
#微软比特币投资投票案
President Putin has long pointed out that the "weaponization" of dollar hegemony is the root of the problem. The United States attempts to control the global economy through dollar hegemony, but this approach will only accelerate the process of "de-dollarization." An increasing number of countries are recognizing the risks of dollar hegemony and are actively seeking a diversified monetary system to reduce dependence on the dollar. Trump's threats will only speed up this trend. Instead of wielding a big stick, it would be more productive to reflect on its own policies, as this is the key to solving the problem. If the United States continues to adhere to its hegemonic policies, the wave of global "de-dollarization" will be unstoppable, ultimately leading to a complete change in the global financial landscape. In the future, a more diversified and fair international financial system may emerge, which is worth our deep consideration.

11-3 Super Brother's Morning Thoughts

The four-hour candlestick chart shows a very long bearish candle. Initially, there was an attempt to push up to 97000 which failed. Now, it has retreated and tested the bottom at 94400, breaking through the EMA60 support at 95500. Therefore, the key point is at the EMA90 trendline at 94100. If it breaks this level, it is very likely to test the major support level of 90000. The MACD is showing a decrease in volume and the DIF and DEA are close to the 0 axis. The lower Bollinger Band at 95500 has been breached, and the previous candlestick has returned to the Bollinger channel. The focus is on whether 97000 can be broken. If not, take partial profits on long positions; if it breaks, continue to hold and go with the trend.

Bitcoin near 95500-96000 aiming for 97000
Ether near 3580-3600 aiming for 3700 #BTC走势预测

How to correctly understand trading? Newcomers must read, what you learn is what you earn!

The biggest regret in trading is easily giving up on a market trend that should not be abandoned, and stubbornly sticking to a position that should not be held. A strong personality is inner pride, not outer arrogance. Trading does not require stubbornness; it should follow the trend, as market trends, once formed, will not change easily. The end of trading is the system, and the end of the system is execution!

A person's greatest enemy is themselves. Inner greed, selfishness, impatience, prejudice, laziness, and other negative emotions. If a person cannot handle some small daily matters, cannot manage family relationships well, and cannot perform their job properly, then to fantasize about excelling at the hardest job in the world—trading—is simply dreaming. In the end, trading boils down to personal cultivation.

The biggest characteristic of trading is actually the torment of human emotions. To understand the true meaning of life and possess high personal cultivation is necessary to achieve extraordinary results. No matter what, to achieve results, one must have personal thinking patterns, outlook on life, values, and so on. A lazy person, attempting to gain mastery over some technical skills in hopes of achieving a one-time success, is essentially daydreaming.

There is a famous saying on Wall Street: The market will do everything it can to prove that most people's thoughts are wrong. Since the probability of being wrong is so high, stop-loss becomes especially important. It can give you a chance to start over, allowing you to feel new market information that contrasts with your strategy. Stop-loss is relative to the current risk; do not imagine what changes may happen in the future; you only need to plan your trade and trade your plan. Expectations can benefit emotions but are cruel to reality. Therefore, risk control is very important, and stop-loss is an essential part.

The current market in the cryptocurrency circle can be said to be boring, with sideways fluctuations. It seems calm, but in fact it is just that the direction is uncertain, and large institutions are calculating whether to harvest downward or upward.

Everyone knows that things will turn around when they reach their extremes: the last gasp of a strong bow, the last gasp of a lamp, and the last light of a flash. If the market suddenly rises recently, it is not a good time to chase the rise and enter the market. The wisest strategy at this time is to wait and see, and to respond to changes with the same. For friends who play contracts, it is nothing more than going long or short. As for whether the current position is considered high, everyone knows it!

​Recently, the so-called "Trump trading time" and "Trump's good news" gimmicks have gradually cooled down. Although there are news like "Poland regards Bitcoin as a strategic reserve", these statements are ultimately just a means of capital hype, which may be to pull the market high and ship.

​In this market, making money and losing money is actually the most normal thing. For most retail investors, we are the fuel of this market. All forms, positive or negative, are essentially to plunder your resources. What we retail investors do is nothing more than following the rhythm of those institutions or big capital. They eat meat and we drink soup. No matter how different, some are just different opinions, and the profits that can be obtained from them are our own.

Thoughts at night, success in the bag, I wish you all a good night #比特币政策

The afternoon market is stable, but the market changes randomly. We need to adjust our strategies and change direction in a timely manner. We should not choose to stubbornly hold on; only we are the ones who suffer from stubbornness #微软比特币投资投票案

Ten years of trading coins, experiencing three years of losses but also enjoying seven years of profits, and now I rely on it to support my family! During this process, I have summarized six important experiences, which are simple but very practical.

Focus on strong currencies: When trading coins, focus on those that are performing strongly. If unsure, look at the 60-day moving average; enter the market or increase positions when above the line, and exit in a timely manner when below. This tactic works most of the time.

Avoid chasing highs: When the coin price rises more than 50% in one go, do not rush to enter the market, as it can lead to panic. Buying at a lower level is often safer, with lower risks and potentially greater returns.

Identify bullish signals: Before a significant rise, there are usually some signs, such as the price fluctuating 10% to 20% within a small range, but with relatively low trading volume. At this point, gradually buying in at a lower level can often catch the upward trend.

Seize new hotspots: When the market presents new hotspots, the first few days are usually very active. Following the footsteps of large funds to enter the market can often lead to easy profits.

Stay calm in a bear market: When a bear market arrives, keep your hands steady, and it’s best not to act for at least six months. Try to minimize actions during poor market conditions; learning to rest is the hallmark of a skilled trader.

Regularly review and adjust strategies: Review your operations weekly, not just looking at how much you've earned, but evaluating whether your strategy is correct. If it’s right, stick with it; if not, adjust in a timely manner. After a few months, your trading strategy will become increasingly robust.

Remember, success is not accidental; it belongs to those who are always prepared.

12-2 Brother Chao's Evening Thoughts

From the current market trends, during the morning period, the price comparison surged rapidly at first, but then showed a downward trend, causing the market to fall back into the fluctuation range it was in over the weekend. In terms of short-term dynamics, there has yet to be a significant upward momentum driven by strong bullish forces.

In the near future, it is expected that there will be a possibility of some pullback in the market; only after such a pullback phase can there be a chance for exploratory upward movement.

From the perspective of the one-hour chart, it can be observed that the price comparison's fluctuation range has shifted to the vicinity of the middle track, showing signs of attempting to extend downward. Examining the four-hour chart, it is clear that a double top formation has been completed.

Bitcoin is expected to pull back near 94200-94800, targeting 96000-97000.
Ethereum is expected to pull back near 3550-3570, targeting 3650-3700.

In the morning, the big pie steadily secured 1000 points, the second pie successfully secured 100 points, sometimes hesitation can lead to defeat, opportunities are fleeting.

The hardest thing for a person is to complete the accumulation of original capital.

Once the accumulation of original capital is completed, wealth takes off like a rocket, and making money becomes very easy.

With tens of thousands, one bull market can turn into millions,
with hundreds of thousands, one bull market can turn into tens of millions,
in the cryptocurrency world, this is not a difficult task.

The amount needed for the accumulation of original capital is about 1 million,
the amount needed for financial freedom is about 30 million to 50 million.

If one can grasp the cycles, usually two rounds of bull markets are enough to achieve financial freedom.
Finance allows assets to grow exponentially, especially in the cryptocurrency market, which is even more rapid.
#比特币打破感恩节魔咒

12-2 Super Brother's Daily Analysis:

The four-hour K-line chart of Bitcoin clearly shows the trend direction led by sector rotation. Currently, a strong momentum of four consecutive bullish candles has been successfully achieved, and a rising flag pattern has appeared four times in a row.

The K-line of the second cryptocurrency is hovering and oscillating around the 3700 point. However, this level is not an ideal entry point mainly because the support strength of EMA15 is slightly weak. At this time, focus should be on the support level of EMA30, which is at 3610. In terms of operations, the strategy remains to sell high and buy low!

Regarding the MACD indicator, the phenomenon of top divergence continues to exist, and trading volume shows a decreasing trend. The DIF and DEA are maintaining a diffusive state at high levels without any changes.
- The KDJ indicator also shows a downward diffusion trend.

Overall, at the current position, both bulls and bears are in a tug-of-war! Therefore, it is recommended to patiently wait for a deep pullback before choosing an appropriate time to enter the market. The overall operation still adopts a bullish strategy as the main direction.

Operation Suggestions:
Bitcoin pullback near 96000-96500, target 98500-99800.

The second cryptocurrency pullback near 3600-3650, target looking at 3750-3800.

Boyaa Interactive uses Ethereum to exchange for Bitcoin, involving a market value of US$49.48 million

Boyaa Interactive (0434.HK) announced that from November 19 to 28, the group used 14,200 Ethereum (ETH) to exchange for approximately 515 Bitcoins (BTC), involving a total market value of approximately US$49.48 million (excluding transaction fees). The company said that the original purchase cost of the Ethereum used in this exchange for Bitcoin was approximately US$39.45 million. After the exchange was completed, the group held a total of approximately 3,183 Bitcoins, with an average holding cost of approximately US$57,700 per coin. #比特币打破感恩节魔咒

11-29 Lunchtime Thoughts

At the hourly level, the one-hour BOLL moving average is clearly open, and it is consistent with the four-hour level and stands above the middle track. It has not unilaterally broken the short-term suppression. Next, there will be a retracement to test the short-term support trend. The market outlook can first look at the retracement, and then make a low move.

Big cake retracement around 95500-95000, the target is 97000
Second cake retracement around 3520-3540, the target is 3630#BSC生态活力释放

Arrived at the target, out

11-29 Chao Ge's morning thoughts

The daily line is still running around the middle track, and the price ratio is also testing the 96000 line in the front. After breaking through, it did not continue, and retreated under pressure. The retreat also lacks a certain continuation. In the short term, the air situation is currently showing a trend of continuous recovery. Overall, the current market air situation is also in the stage of accumulating funds after the second pressure retreat.

After the 4-hour chart has been corrected after the retracement, it is currently relying on the middle and lower tracks as support for consolidation. The structure is still in the extension of the bottom rebound at 93000, and there is no rapid high-rushing and spitting pattern.

From the hourly chart, the short-term will continue to rebound upward. After yesterday's consolidation, it went higher. Combined with the previous trend at the beginning of the week, there was no high-rushing and falling back, indicating that it is accumulating momentum for reversal in the short term. It is only a matter of time to pull up. Just wait patiently.

The big cake retreats to around 94800-95200, with the goal of 96500
The second cake retreats to around 3550-3570, with the goal of 3650. #BSC生态活力释放