Кирилл Гайтан l Трейдинг

The cryptocurrency Zcash tanked by 50% after the Claude AI vulnerability was discovered. However, this vulnerability has been patched, and the fallout from the bad news compounded the bearish sentiment in the market.
Right now, it looks like they've stabilized the price and pushed it back above $400. Honestly, I think we can expect a bounce back into the $500-$600 range, with a scenario below $330 being off the table. #ZEC $ZEC

Bitcoin Day Trading - Continuation of the Range

Price is trading below its 20 and 50 EMA.
Spot volumes have increased along with futures volumes.
Open interest remains unchanged.
RSI/MACD oscillators are in oversold territory, a bounce is possible.
CVD is bullish.
The main scenario - a bounce to the 64K zone.

Alternative scenario - a break of support at 58K will send the price to 55K #BTC $BTC #Mirkaso

The price of the token $BABY skyrocketed by 10,000% in a flash, hitting $1.30.

Let’s see where this takes us.

Bitcoin intraday - under pressure while below 66K

The price is trading below its 20 and 50 EMA.
Spot volumes have increased, while futures remain low.
Open interest is moderately declining.
RSI/MACD oscillators are in oversold territory, a bounce is possible.
CVD is bearish.

Main scenario - a drop to the 60K zone.

Alternative scenario - a breakout above resistance at 66K could push the price to around 69K. #BTC $BTC #Mirkaso

Bitcoin intraday - a bounce is possible as long as we're above 65K.

The price is trading below its 20 and 50 EMA.
Spot and futures volumes are low.
Open interest is moderately decreasing.
RSI/MACD oscillators are neutral.
CVD is bullish.

The main scenario is a bounce to the 68.5K zone.

The alternative scenario - a break below support at 65K could send the price down to around 62K.
#BTC $BTC #Mirkaso

Bitcoin intraday - bearish as long as it's below 71.9K.
Price is trading under its 20 and 50 EMA.
Spot and futures volumes are low.
Open interest remains unchanged (no short closures).
RSI/MACD oscillators show oversold conditions, possibility of a bounce or continuation of the trend.
CVD is bearish.
Main scenario - drop to 68K.

Alternative scenario - a return above 71.9 will send the price towards 74K. $BTC <a>...</a> #BTC <a>...</a> #Mirkaso

Bitcoin intraday - under pressure while below 74.4K
Price is trading below its 20 and 50 EMA.
Spot and futures volumes are low.
Open interest remains unchanged (no short positions being closed).
RSI/MACD oscillators - neutral.
CVD - bearish.
Main scenario - decline towards the 71K zone.
Alternative scenario - a push above 74.3 could send the price to the 76K area. $BTC

📈 Historical Stats for June on BTC and ETH

Seasonality doesn’t guarantee results, but it helps assess market behavior over the long haul.
🟠 Bitcoin
History: 2011–2025
• June closed positive 8 times out of 15
• Probability of an uptick: 53.3%
• Average June Return: +7.4%
BTC shows a nearly neutral stat. June can’t be classified as either a strong or weak month.
🔵 Ethereum
History: 2016–2025
• June closed positive 4 times out of 10
• Probability of an uptick: 40%
• Average June Return: −6.7%
ETH has historically been significantly weaker than BTC in June and often ends the month in the red.
Summary:
BTC:
Win Rate — 53.3%

✔ Average Return — +7.4%
ETH:
✔ Win Rate — 40%
✔ Average Return — −6.7%
If we’re strictly looking at history, June appears neutral for Bitcoin and one of the weakest months for Ethereum.

#Seasonality

Stellar managed to catch some of the movement. +3.3R. I offloaded almost everything at 0.26, leaving a small portion.

Right now, the control zone is at 0.2, which shouldn't break down for the uptrend to continue. It could potentially move towards the zone of 0.44. RWA's rally has also started to pull up HBAR and ALGO from the same sector. It looks like the growth is fueled by the expectations surrounding the Clarity Act, which is boosting investor optimism.
#XLM @Stellar $XLM

Bitcoin intraday - continuation of the sideways action

The price is trading above its 20 EMA and below the 50 EMA.
Open interest - remains unchanged.
Spot and futures volumes are low.
RSI/MACD oscillators - bullish divergence.
L/S ratio - 63/37%.
CVD - buyers are dominating.

Main scenario - Technically, the price has formed a doji, and a bounce is technically possible. My reversal point is above 74.6 while the price stays below this resistance, the likelihood of revisiting the LOW or continuing sideways is high.

Alternative scenario - breaking the resistance at 74.6K will send the price to 76K.

#BTC $BTC #Mirkaso

Strong move. Potential if we break above 0.18 towards the upper channel boundary where the descending trend line sits at $0.31.
The terminal is showing a significant influx of volume, but the CVD is quite neutral. $XLM @Stellar #XLM

Will Stellar price break out of the sideways consolidation?

Stellar has been seeing high volume for the second day on news about partnerships and building infrastructure for RWA trading. The fact that the price is being held up in a bearish market is a huge plus, but it's capped at the upper range of the consolidation.
It looks promising, especially if it manages to break the 0.18 zone; the next target could be 0.21.
For continued growth, the price shouldn't drop below 0.14.
The entire altcoin rally is limited by Bitcoin's correction, but if the market draws a reversal in BTC, this story could take off on positive sentiment.
$XLM #XLM @Stellar

Bitcoin intraday - under pressure while below 74.6K.
Price is trading below its 20 and 50 EMA.
Open interest isn't dropping - no mass short closures happening.
Volumes - spot and futures are low.
RSI/MACD oscillators - oversold - potential for a bounce or trend continuation.
L/S ratio - 57/43%.
Main scenario - continued decline while below $74600.

Alternative scenario - breaking the resistance zone could send the price towards 76K.
$BTC #BTC