I saw BlackRock transferred several ten thousand Ether and over 3,000 Bitcoin to Coinbase just 45 minutes ago 😂
肥猫
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$BTC 2025-10-18 I am still in the office watching the renovation progress, feeling like I'm being toyed with by these construction teams. Each installer doesn't consider the position of the next installation, and by the end, none of the positions align. After a whole day of fuss, it didn’t work out, and I can only accept my bad luck. Now the big pie has risen to over 2100 points from the bottom, which looks okay. It's a good thing that the US stock market opened high before trading, with the Nasdaq recovering its previous losses. The Nasdaq dropped on Thursday, but the decline on Friday was much less than on Thursday. After opening low last night, it recovered its losses, clearly indicating that the US stock market is in a better situation than ours right now. We have now approached the nearest resistance zone on the four-hour chart. A big bullish candle breaking above 923 (ideally directly pushing above 935) and then a pullback without breaking below around 923 allows for a right-side entry for a long position. How long this pattern can last is unknown, as the weekly chart is still in a downward and suspended state. The three-day line has already bottomed out, and there will be some rebound regardless. The weekly line needs to reach 1005-1010 to return to a bullish weekly trend.
The selling pressure has suddenly decreased. I hope it's not that those institutions think the current price is too low and are waiting for retail investors to bottom out and raise the price before selling again, as that would be quite cruel.
Still keeping an eye on the situation in the US stock market after hours, specifically from 5 to 8 PM.
Cat Brother previously said that the weekly line needs to remain above 100,000 to catch a breath and turn bullish. Now it seems not only is it impossible to rise above 100,000, but even stabilizing at 98,000 is a luxury. It can't even stabilize at 96,000, and the rebound continues to be short. I don't even want to do a short-term long.
肥猫
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$BTC The premise for holding steady at 955 is to quickly pull up to 970 or higher, and then retest 955 to complete the top-bottom switch.
Approaching in small steps, or a quick rise only to around 960, if there is a slight pullback to 955, it still won't hold.
This position is quite critical; above 955 is one market condition, and below 955 is another market condition. If you are trading on the right side, patiently wait for a drop and retest of 955 without breaking (4-hour level).
If it doesn't hold, it's still necessary to pay attention to BlackRock's reduction and its impact on the market.
Finally, that last spike was a drop in the Nasdaq before the market opened, and when it opened, it gapped down and then bounced back up; the first half of the night was fine, but be extra cautious after 1 AM.
I see many still shouting about buying at the bottom. If so, it's not really the bottom. Wait until Ethereum breaks through 3,000, 2,800, and 2,650. When fewer people are shouting about buying at the bottom—or dare not do so anymore—the temporary bottom will likely have formed.
肥猫
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$BTC The premise for holding steady at 955 is to quickly pull up to 970 or higher, and then retest 955 to complete the top-bottom switch.
Approaching in small steps, or a quick rise only to around 960, if there is a slight pullback to 955, it still won't hold.
This position is quite critical; above 955 is one market condition, and below 955 is another market condition. If you are trading on the right side, patiently wait for a drop and retest of 955 without breaking (4-hour level).
If it doesn't hold, it's still necessary to pay attention to BlackRock's reduction and its impact on the market.
Finally, that last spike was a drop in the Nasdaq before the market opened, and when it opened, it gapped down and then bounced back up; the first half of the night was fine, but be extra cautious after 1 AM.
I still remain bearish, feeling there's no bottom yet. The market still lacks funds, and institutions continue to sell. A 12% interest rate hike is highly unlikely. There's no positive news to drive the market up. Any short-term rise is just a rebound after a sharp drop. The chart and candlestick patterns clearly show weakness.
肥猫
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$BTC The premise for holding steady at 955 is to quickly pull up to 970 or higher, and then retest 955 to complete the top-bottom switch.
Approaching in small steps, or a quick rise only to around 960, if there is a slight pullback to 955, it still won't hold.
This position is quite critical; above 955 is one market condition, and below 955 is another market condition. If you are trading on the right side, patiently wait for a drop and retest of 955 without breaking (4-hour level).
If it doesn't hold, it's still necessary to pay attention to BlackRock's reduction and its impact on the market.
Finally, that last spike was a drop in the Nasdaq before the market opened, and when it opened, it gapped down and then bounced back up; the first half of the night was fine, but be extra cautious after 1 AM.
I also thought that 96600 was the bottom, so I copied the bottom and lost 1000 points...
Old九歌
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$BTC The end of the Long March of 20,000 miles has come with some careless actions. Currently, the long position has been stopped out, suffering a loss of 1500.
⚠️ Just a reminder: There might be a big spike tonight, or perhaps it will reach the target in one go.
The CME gap at 92-93 Support at the platform of 88 and monthly support.
Fridays are usually not very calm, and the weekend is approaching, taking a two-day break💤
Brother Chicken is so awesome, BTC and SOL both hit the lowest point!
鸡父
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I just took on 2 long positions, and I will share my current holdings. First, I haven't closed my long-term short position (the margin decreased because the price dropped. Anyone who has done long-term short positions knows that if the margin was 10000u when building the position, and then the price was halved, even if you don't reduce your position, your margin will only be 5000u left). I just took on Bitcoin and $SOL . I didn't get $ETH ; I was hanging at 3050, and if I can't get it, then forget it.
Let me first explain the logic of my operations. 1. Why not close the long-term short position? I mentioned before, after you close it, how do you operate next? A bear market lasts 12-13 months, and it won't bottom out until October-November 2026. I built my position in October this year; why rush to close it? If you close your long-term short position now, at what level do you plan to re-enter, with what size position? Or if you were in 2022, buying long at a price of $BTC for 20000, would you close at 25000? After closing, where will you re-enter? It's the same logic.
2. The logic for short-term long positions is that I really don't believe that in November it can drop to over 80,000 in one go, a drop of 40,000 points in a month? Then Bitcoin could go to zero next year, right? Even if we take a step back, if Bitcoin really drops to over 80000, big coins at over 90000 can still break even. I can't possibly have a long position at this level that can't break even.
Then there's the question of at what position to hold. Personally, I hold short-term long positions for at least 72 hours. Theoretically, I think it should go to 107000 again, but I don't dare take it that far; I will close around 103000-105000.
From 126,000 it has been falling continuously. After a big drop, it rebounds and then continues to fall. The bear market has arrived. Brother Cat. Institutions are no longer pretending and have been selling continuously. What are we retail investors doing to go long? There’s a rebound during the day. At night, it continues to fall.
肥猫
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It's time to sleep. If you really want to enter more,
Either enter in batches, with a full position of 1/10 (this market condition does not apply to entering with 3, 3, 4), go in slowly, and don't add if the spread is below 3%, or just don't enter for now. If you can't wait for a 4-hour close, at least wait for a 1-hour close, and only consider entering again if it closes above 98800 (and then for those entering again, set the stop loss at the previous low).
This is even more nauseating than 1011, more nauseating than the last couple of days...
It feels like suddenly we have been abandoned by all institutions and whales.
ETFs are not buying anymore, MicroStrategy is not making moves anymore, those pension funds have gone silent, it's just a continuous selling, an endless stream of iceberg orders that can't be cleared.
Liquidity has dried up, and there is no trend extension left.
2025-11-13 Woke up, Bitcoin is still low for 4 hours, but the bottom has risen a bit. The government has reopened, and the market warming will take time, but at least there will be a "bottom." The political situation has stabilized, and buying confidence will slowly recover; just be a bit more patient.
Pay attention to the pullback at 1022-1015; as long as it doesn't break below 1015, there's no need to be anxious for now.
This market is more favorable for day trading; buying low and selling high at key positions will be more suitable than holding without action. Once the daily chart bottom rises, the long positions entered can be held for a longer period.
SOL and Ethereum are not able to have independent trends, so there's no point in analyzing them separately. Once Bitcoin stabilizes, they will all catch up, and in a bull market for Bitcoin, no one will have it easy.
Let's check the situation with the US stock market later; the daily repair and nightly drop is quite uncomfortable.
Cat Brother, I'll give you support, just send me a link and I'll share it. Cat Brother is absolutely the first mentor for newcomers in the crypto world!
肥猫
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I saw that Binance launched a feature for supporters, and I didn't see this option a couple of days ago.
It allows users to support my invitation without being linked to me and earn a certain income.
I have always struggled with bringing in new users, so I can only hope everyone can help me out.
If you are willing to help, please leave your UID, and I can assist you in activating your exclusive invitation code. Then you can use your exclusive new invitation code to invite others, and they can receive the normal commission (20%), while you earn 15% (there's nothing I can do, my commission level is too low; if it works out, I will adjust the ratio for everyone).
If you are unwilling to help, that's okay too; I hope you won't scold me, it's all for the sake of living.
May good people have peace throughout their lives, and may their descendants be plentiful...
No wonder it's Brother Nine! 👍 Daring to stick to his judgment! Unfortunately, my two bottom-fishing orders at 3495 and 3485 were both stopped out. Bitcoin was also stopped out. Then it stopped falling... And this idiot Sol, I hedged my short position, otherwise I would have been liquidated last night. Damn it.
Broke 😭 Only can be a long position, can't open short positions
Old九歌
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$BTC
This movement is even more magical than Iverson's crossover, and as I said, I won't be empty at the beginning of the month; I will continue to look for more.
104 is a key support and resistance level, and there’s no reason not to expect a pullback to go long. It has indeed broken down, but the trend is not much different from early September; a 30-minute U-shaped bottom shows that there’s no reason to continue looking short in short-term trading.
If you don't believe it can rebound to 1078-1083, then when it really comes, you'll only get hit, just like the night before when some people didn't believe it could drop back to 3495.
I've mentioned multiple times that this month's trend will be relatively complex, as it has experienced fluctuations of 20 points in October, and it currently resembles the controversial market from September, with chaotic movements.
This week, the short-term perspective still looks upward. The medium to long-term operation remains to look short at 1078-1083 with 94 unchanged.
The daily chart is not looking good. BTC is being suppressed by the daily EMA 200, and ETH has also not stabilized above the EMA 200.
Old九歌
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$BTC
A teasing little goblin! A complex and teasing fluctuating market, encountering a top divergence in 30 minutes. Continuing to retrace at 104 to gather strength!
Similar to the market at the beginning of September, there are many spikes, numerous upper and lower wicks, and significant controversy. However, in the short term, it is showing a fluctuating upward trend, while on a larger scale, it is still extending downward.
Brother Nine, I see BTC rising slowly without volume. There's a bit of divergence in 30 minutes. I placed a long position at 106666 but it hasn't reached a few times. I directly opened a short position at 106400 to take a short-term long. Take profit at 104800-104200. Then can I open a short? Right now it's uncertain; if it hasn't broken the new high of 106666, does it count as divergence?
Old九歌
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$BTC Don't be empty this week Is Bitcoin rising because the U.S. government shutdown has ended? One is not enough~ The market has already given an answer with the number 3!
The historic 40-day U.S. government shutdown has ended, which is certainly a positive. The key point is that the MACD zero axis of the 5-day line is about to rebound.
The MACD underwater 4-6-8-12 needs an oversold rebound. The most important thing is that the 5-day line and the daily line are returning to the horizontal line for the first time in half a year, which should be a priority reference.
The key point is: the weekly line will also return to the horizontal line in 1-2 weeks, so we can judge that the timing of this rebound is approximately this much.
Volume-price relationship for judging tops and bottoms: the bottom 98 has little chip, so don't shout about any bull returns for now, and the top 126 has little volume, so the old investors will only say that what lies ahead is a small bear. For BTC, a correction of more than 30 points is still a buying opportunity in the real big cycle.
What everyone is more concerned about: Wave 2 to go long, 1048-1042, stop loss at 1 point; take profit at 108. The support and resistance exchange for Ethereum is 3495-3485. Defend at 3445. Looking up at 37-38.
Can only see this far, according to the time cycle!
10th is a payday, working overtime on Sunday for meetings and voting, highly likely to pass. Currently, the market trend suggests it will pass.
肥猫
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Tonight, the rare overtime negotiations over the government's reopening in Lighthouse Country seem to be really reaching a point of no return.
Thinking back, during the live broadcast a couple of days ago, the senator mentioned that if air traffic controllers do not receive their salaries, we will have to worry about whether planes will 'fall from the sky' onto our heads.
This time, the probability of reopening seems to have increased; just looking at the price of big cakes shows that it appears some big players are betting on the expectation of reopening tonight or tomorrow.
If the little yellow-haired one continues to 'play with fire,' he is likely to be recorded as the 'most unpopular president in American history.'
I couldn't find the live broadcast address for the Senate; if anyone knows, please send it to me so we can watch the meeting live together tonight.
The key point is that the US held a full day of meetings, yet the government remains shut down and hasn't reopened; otherwise, we would have surged upward today
肥猫
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2025-11-08 I just woke up, and this market is about what I expected. There wasn't much liquidity over the weekend, and it has been gradually declining. Most of the altcoins that soared yesterday have pulled back by 10% or more; I hope you weren't stirred into chasing the highs.
Bitcoin is weaker than expected, and we still need to pay attention to 1015. Ethereum, on the other hand, has inexplicably strengthened, but everyone understands Ethereum's strength...
That's it for Saturday. If tomorrow's daily chart continues to decline without any rebound or if the rebound is very weak, and if the night chart follows this trend, we need to be particularly cautious about Monday potentially seeing another bottoming out. (Of course, I hope it doesn't go this way; that would be too harsh on the bulls.)
It's the weekend, and there's really no need to force a trade or anything. Spending some time with family is quite nice. The time left for the bulls is limited; today is already the 8th, and Black Friday is from November 20 to December 1. If we consider an advance of 3 to 4 days, then the time left for the bulls to charge forward is about 8 days. Recently, the 'big players' have predicted our predictions and have acted 1 or even 2 days earlier than originally expected, so we should keep an eye on the market. When we see consecutive large bullish candles on the 4-hour chart, we need to run if necessary, and we should reduce our holdings if needed; holding a full position against a drawdown can be quite painful.
I will send out everyone's commissions from November 1 to November 7 shortly.
I was short at 450, stopped out at 495, shorted again at 580, then stopped out at 600. I just quit following. Damn it. I was wrong. I picked the strongest coin in my follow list, the strongest without any doubt, and went short! I give up 😡
Old九歌
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$ZEC {future}(ZECUSDT) I'm about to explode⚠️ How can this dog thing pull so much? I only had 500 before bed last night, and after not checking the market for a day, it's almost 700 now...
I just want to make enough for gas, must you treat me this way? Dog dealer.
Wow. Brother Yunyan made a video👍 Brother Yunyan is a tech expert. This mobile video is not very clear. Looking forward to Brother Yunyan making a video on the computer to share with everyone. Thank you thank you😁 I watched it several times and didn't quite understand the meaning of涨停跌停😂
Fake, I trade cryptocurrencies. I work at Meituan, and trading cryptocurrencies hasn't delayed my delivery work.
Old九歌
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Is being too serious not good?
In the first image, I saw someone say that Meituan does not hire people who speculate on cryptocurrency. In the second image, I verified that the last content from Meituan is from October 17······
Is this written by AI? The U.S. government shutdown on October 10, 2025, until November 14, 2025. Today is only November 4. None of the dates are correct.
Crypto-爱币斯坦
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The Collapse of the Market, U.S. Government Shutdown Cannot Be Exonerated!
Abstract As of 2025, the U.S. government shutdown has entered its 36th day, setting a record for the longest shutdown in history. This shutdown has triggered liquidity tightening through the siphoning effect of the Treasury General Account (TGA), causing SOFR rates and SRF usage to soar to their highest levels since March 2020, while a wave of defaults in commercial real estate and auto loans has erupted simultaneously. This article systematically dissects the triple hazards of the government shutdown on liquidity, financial markets, and the real economy, revealing through historical data comparisons of the shutdown events in 1995-96, 2013, and 2018-19 the common pattern of 'short-term disturbances predominating with limited long-term effects.' It also points out the uniqueness of the 2025 crisis, compounded by high interest rates and high debt, providing decision-making references for market participants.
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