LIVEBit交易员悠扬
@Mogul66688888
Crypto行业五年从业者，专业交易员&分析师，每日更新大盘行情推演， 公众号/微博/推特 ：交易员悠扬
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Players who want to buy the bottom of the spot market!
Come in and take a look!
The increase tonight is just good news. I analyze the trend.
Let me talk about the conclusion first. It has not bottomed out, at least I haven't seen it.
It has been a long time since I came up to share my views with you. The focus has been on XAU recently, but many friends are concerned about whether Bitcoin has bottomed out? Is it about to rebound? I dare to share my insights.
The current weekly trend of Bitcoin is a very obvious downward trend. The top continues to decline, but it has never stood firm at 53534u. The position mentioned just now is what I think is the first target of the short side, that is, I think the market will continue to try to test 53534u. And if it reaches this position again, that is, the third time, I think it will not be able to support the downward trend, and it may eventually settle at 51898u. The support of this position is very strong, and I think it is very likely to reach here.
So, no matter what currency you do, if you want to buy the bottom, you have to refer to these two positions of the market (53534u-51898u). For example, if you want to do Bitcoin spot trading, then place a spot order at these two prices; if you are doing a cottage trade, then pay attention to the market reaching these two positions, and enter the cottage trade layout at the market price.
Only a rate cut can stimulate the market to turn around, and there is no other way to save the market. But there is no need to panic too much, winter has come, is spring far behind? #BTC走势分析
Come in and take a look!
The increase tonight is just good news. I analyze the trend.
Let me talk about the conclusion first. It has not bottomed out, at least I haven't seen it.
It has been a long time since I came up to share my views with you. The focus has been on XAU recently, but many friends are concerned about whether Bitcoin has bottomed out? Is it about to rebound? I dare to share my insights.
The current weekly trend of Bitcoin is a very obvious downward trend. The top continues to decline, but it has never stood firm at 53534u. The position mentioned just now is what I think is the first target of the short side, that is, I think the market will continue to try to test 53534u. And if it reaches this position again, that is, the third time, I think it will not be able to support the downward trend, and it may eventually settle at 51898u. The support of this position is very strong, and I think it is very likely to reach here.
So, no matter what currency you do, if you want to buy the bottom, you have to refer to these two positions of the market (53534u-51898u). For example, if you want to do Bitcoin spot trading, then place a spot order at these two prices; if you are doing a cottage trade, then pay attention to the market reaching these two positions, and enter the cottage trade layout at the market price.
Only a rate cut can stimulate the market to turn around, and there is no other way to save the market. But there is no need to panic too much, winter has come, is spring far behind? #BTC走势分析
See original
Without any negative news, it is difficult for the market to return to below 58382u. The support of this position is very strong, and the overall idea of making orders has also changed to buying on dips. The long orders called in the group yesterday, the profits of 100 times leverage have been turned over. The long orders near 56671u are safe to hold. This is a single long line, and the previous high can be easily seen.
So for today's market, we still need to pay attention to the position of 63180u above. This is the pressure point from the weekly line. Considering that today is Friday, it should take one to two days of consolidation before it starts again. After this position is triggered, there will definitely be a big callback. Those who like to stimulate the needle can do contrarian short here. (If you are a novice, you should pretend not to see this strategy)
If the market can fall back to the 58382u mentioned above again, don't hesitate to go long without thinking...
So for today's market, we still need to pay attention to the position of 63180u above. This is the pressure point from the weekly line. Considering that today is Friday, it should take one to two days of consolidation before it starts again. After this position is triggered, there will definitely be a big callback. Those who like to stimulate the needle can do contrarian short here. (If you are a novice, you should pretend not to see this strategy)
If the market can fall back to the 58382u mentioned above again, don't hesitate to go long without thinking...
See original
Good afternoon to all talented traders and KOLs from all over the world
The current rebound trend has not ended. The upper pressure level is first referred to as 58267u, and the lower support is at 55416u. If the lower support is broken, it also means the start of the four-hour level of the short market. If the start of this short market can be supported at 52786u, it will bottom out and the trend may reverse. So don't be too big for this short order, don't bet on the possibility of a second bottom, and reduce your position when it reaches 52786u to observe the situation before making plans.
The current rebound trend has not ended. The upper pressure level is first referred to as 58267u, and the lower support is at 55416u. If the lower support is broken, it also means the start of the four-hour level of the short market. If the start of this short market can be supported at 52786u, it will bottom out and the trend may reverse. So don't be too big for this short order, don't bet on the possibility of a second bottom, and reduce your position when it reaches 52786u to observe the situation before making plans.
See original
There are many resistances above at present. This time, for the technical correction of interest rate cut, how to go down can go up. This sentence is easy to understand. Before the interest rate cut, the overall trend of the market will continue to maintain a low and wide range of fluctuations. After the interest rate cut basis is confirmed, the market will warm up and it is possible to return to around 7w, or even set a new high.
Therefore, the recent contract strategy is still mainly short at high levels. At present, the four-hour level is trying to build a bottom. My view is that it will still try to test 52786u, and be supported at this price, stop falling, and then fluctuate.
Once the bottom is built, the spot will be the last opportunity to buy the bottom, and it can also be combined with low-leverage contracts to buy long orders for a long time, with the target pointing directly to a new high.
But if the 52786u mentioned just now is not supported, the next short target should pay attention to 50239u. If the market really reaches this support level from the weekly line, the possibility of being able to hold here is not very high. It is not ruled out that it will break the previous low and continue to test 45437u. This is also what I think, the real bottom. So, everyone, 52786u will be a very critical position and node.
The real purpose of the banker is to break all speculators' dreams of getting rich quickly and destroy all the long-order chip concentration areas below. Don't be timid, don't be discouraged, the bull market is still here, brothers and sisters! Winter has come, can spring be far behind?
Therefore, the recent contract strategy is still mainly short at high levels. At present, the four-hour level is trying to build a bottom. My view is that it will still try to test 52786u, and be supported at this price, stop falling, and then fluctuate.
Once the bottom is built, the spot will be the last opportunity to buy the bottom, and it can also be combined with low-leverage contracts to buy long orders for a long time, with the target pointing directly to a new high.
But if the 52786u mentioned just now is not supported, the next short target should pay attention to 50239u. If the market really reaches this support level from the weekly line, the possibility of being able to hold here is not very high. It is not ruled out that it will break the previous low and continue to test 45437u. This is also what I think, the real bottom. So, everyone, 52786u will be a very critical position and node.
The real purpose of the banker is to break all speculators' dreams of getting rich quickly and destroy all the long-order chip concentration areas below. Don't be timid, don't be discouraged, the bull market is still here, brothers and sisters! Winter has come, can spring be far behind?
See original
Good morning, everyone. It's Monday again, and it's a new beginning.
First, let's talk about the things to pay attention to:
Now, everyone needs to focus on the 67915u position below the Bitcoin market. Once the four-hour level closes firmly at this position, there is a high possibility of a change in the market and a short-term decline. The callback target is 67354u. Whether this wave of market is just a small correction or a real change, we need to pay attention to the previous low of the four-hour level. This position cannot be broken. If it is broken, there will be no short-term rise.
Let's analyze the positive strategy:
So if the bulls are exerting their strength now, where can we see the target? First, we need to pay attention to 68752u. This position is the first pressure point above. If it is broken, we can see the previous high of the four-hour level.
Where to go depends on the closing at 12 noon. First of all, as long as the position is not lower than 67915u, I am optimistic that the market will continue to rise.
First, let's talk about the things to pay attention to:
Now, everyone needs to focus on the 67915u position below the Bitcoin market. Once the four-hour level closes firmly at this position, there is a high possibility of a change in the market and a short-term decline. The callback target is 67354u. Whether this wave of market is just a small correction or a real change, we need to pay attention to the previous low of the four-hour level. This position cannot be broken. If it is broken, there will be no short-term rise.
Let's analyze the positive strategy:
So if the bulls are exerting their strength now, where can we see the target? First, we need to pay attention to 68752u. This position is the first pressure point above. If it is broken, we can see the previous high of the four-hour level.
Where to go depends on the closing at 12 noon. First of all, as long as the position is not lower than 67915u, I am optimistic that the market will continue to rise.
See original
Bitcoin has been rising since last night, and many altcoins have formed a bottom reversal pattern. If you don't want to miss it, you can arrange contracts with low leverage. Sol, ordi, bome, link, etc. are recommended. At present, these four are the ones I have seen in good shape. You can also look at other altcoins.
See original
On the first day of the Ethereum ETF's online trading, the transaction volume was only 1 million US dollars in half an hour, which is enough to explain many problems!
The market does not buy Ethereum. Bitcoin has broken through the high of 69,000 in 22 years to 73,000 this year, while Ethereum has not broken through the high of 22 years. What does it mean? Institutions only recognize Bitcoin, and everything else is a copycat.
The era of Ethereum may have passed. Whether in terms of ecology or handling fees, it has been exhausted. The currency circle cannot be without miracles and wealth-creating effects. Without new blood coming in, it must be a stagnant pool of water. So who will become the next second Bitcoin? Maybe it will be SOL or TON. Time will give us the answer.
The price of bitcoins is not falling, but the price of counterfeit bitcoins is falling. The price of bitcoins is rising, but the price of counterfeit bitcoins is going sideways. This is the current situation in the cryptocurrency circle. The main reason is that the exchange has a big problem. They are using different methods to harvest retail investors, and retail investors are helpless. Don't be lucky. Hold the fully circulated tokens you like in spot. Don't play contracts to give fuel to the dog dealers. Add positions in batches, let the dog dealers and exchanges sell them and buy them back at a high price. Buy spot contracts to short is the only way to deal with currencies that fall more and rise less. Be cautious when investing! #美国以太坊现货ETF开始交易
The market does not buy Ethereum. Bitcoin has broken through the high of 69,000 in 22 years to 73,000 this year, while Ethereum has not broken through the high of 22 years. What does it mean? Institutions only recognize Bitcoin, and everything else is a copycat.
The era of Ethereum may have passed. Whether in terms of ecology or handling fees, it has been exhausted. The currency circle cannot be without miracles and wealth-creating effects. Without new blood coming in, it must be a stagnant pool of water. So who will become the next second Bitcoin? Maybe it will be SOL or TON. Time will give us the answer.
The price of bitcoins is not falling, but the price of counterfeit bitcoins is falling. The price of bitcoins is rising, but the price of counterfeit bitcoins is going sideways. This is the current situation in the cryptocurrency circle. The main reason is that the exchange has a big problem. They are using different methods to harvest retail investors, and retail investors are helpless. Don't be lucky. Hold the fully circulated tokens you like in spot. Don't play contracts to give fuel to the dog dealers. Add positions in batches, let the dog dealers and exchanges sell them and buy them back at a high price. Buy spot contracts to short is the only way to deal with currencies that fall more and rise less. Be cautious when investing! #美国以太坊现货ETF开始交易
See original
For all short-term contract players, the issuance of Ethereum ETFs seems to have nothing to do except constantly jumping up and down to hit stop losses. At present, the strong support below Ethereum is at 3365u, which will not be easily broken. If you still want to do more but are afraid of shocks, you can enter with low leverage and put the stop loss here. The upper target can be seen at 3597u, and then look at 3668u. Of course, if you can control your hands and refuse to trade frequently, then choose to wait and see for the time being like me.
See original
There are two possibilities for the market trend today. One is to continue sideways, and the other is to try to break through 68176u (weekly pressure level), but it will not stand firm. The reason is very simple. The one-hour level of the rising market has been adjusted back to the present after I posted the deduction in the early morning. The strength of the bulls is very weak. However, this is understandable. After all, it is the weekend, and we have to pay attention to the specific trends of the market tomorrow, Monday. Some people may ask, don’t you think it will fall? To be precise, even if the market goes down, it is not called a fall. We can only regard it as a correction. If this possibility really happens, I can tell you very clearly that the bottom of this small correction is at 65286u. This seems to be not small, more than a thousand price points, it doesn’t matter. Anyway, it can definitely stop at this position, rest assured.
See original
The one-hour level has been rising since five hours ago, and the strength remains the same. The weekly pressure level of 68176u is just around the corner. What we need to focus on is: the reaction after the price reaches this pressure level.
I know that many friends are looking for excitement and like to place orders, so you can take short orders near this position, and there will definitely be profit space, this is 100%.
But if you are a steady player, don't be disturbed by what I said above, follow your heart, and stick to your own way. After reaching the target position and callback, we will continue to go long.
Once this weekly pressure level of 69176u stands firm, it is reasonable to expect the market to sprint to the previous high. Let's talk about the next thing when we reach the previous high. Click to follow, and we will talk about the future later.
I know that many friends are looking for excitement and like to place orders, so you can take short orders near this position, and there will definitely be profit space, this is 100%.
But if you are a steady player, don't be disturbed by what I said above, follow your heart, and stick to your own way. After reaching the target position and callback, we will continue to go long.
Once this weekly pressure level of 69176u stands firm, it is reasonable to expect the market to sprint to the previous high. Let's talk about the next thing when we reach the previous high. Click to follow, and we will talk about the future later.
See original
Those who hold altcoins, whether in contracts or spot, watch the market, especially those who hold altcoins in large quantities, everyone has a dream of getting rich, and I am no exception. When it comes to 68176u, promise me that no matter how many times the position has doubled or how much money you have made, you will reduce your position first, okay?
We don’t know who is manipulating the organization that incited the news of the Fed’s interest rate cut. Compared with the global financial market value, the cryptocurrency circle is really nothing. Respect the market and take the money. I just hope that friends who see this message can understand that if you are financially free, you will not see my dynamics, and you have already played the game of life. For those who are still in the circle, no matter what trading pair you make, the principal is the most important, the risk is the most important, and everything else is nonsense.
After breaking 68176u, you can expect a new high. This is a reasonable expectation, but we must distinguish between fantasy and reality. Don’t be greedy, don’t be controlled by emotions, the direction of capitalists has always trampled on the interests of retail investors.
If there is no interest rate cut in September, do you know what will happen?
Big empty, 100% big empty.
As the old saying goes, if the words of capital can be eaten, sows will climb trees. Don't be affected by any news, stick to your heart, reduce your position at the right time, don't be happy with things, don't be sad with yourself.
We don’t know who is manipulating the organization that incited the news of the Fed’s interest rate cut. Compared with the global financial market value, the cryptocurrency circle is really nothing. Respect the market and take the money. I just hope that friends who see this message can understand that if you are financially free, you will not see my dynamics, and you have already played the game of life. For those who are still in the circle, no matter what trading pair you make, the principal is the most important, the risk is the most important, and everything else is nonsense.
After breaking 68176u, you can expect a new high. This is a reasonable expectation, but we must distinguish between fantasy and reality. Don’t be greedy, don’t be controlled by emotions, the direction of capitalists has always trampled on the interests of retail investors.
If there is no interest rate cut in September, do you know what will happen?
Big empty, 100% big empty.
As the old saying goes, if the words of capital can be eaten, sows will climb trees. Don't be affected by any news, stick to your heart, reduce your position at the right time, don't be happy with things, don't be sad with yourself.
See original
Morning market deduction, take you to clarify the idea of intraday trading
First of all, what we need to unify is to do more, and try not to do counter-trend orders. Trending long orders are our main task, and counter-trend callback short shorts are only side tasks, so it doesn't matter if you don't do them.
Secondly, let's take a look at how far the market has reached. The market just closed and left a long lower shadow, and yesterday's first daily support level (62718u) was reached but supported the momentum of the short side. Then, combined with the above information, we need to make it clear that after a wave of pull-ups the day before yesterday and yesterday's pullback, the strength of the long side is still strong.
At present, the four-hour level is experiencing sideways shocks and upwards, but whether it is the four-hour level, one-hour level, or the fifteen-minute level, it is very close to the long and short frame. In other words, if the current market cannot be pulled directly, it will still pull back and hit the demand for a pullback of 68176u (here is the multi-party stage target), and the deepest can be seen at 63516u. Taking the macro level as an example, as long as the four-hour level does not fall below 63952u, the market will continue to rise. If it falls below this point, we need to pay attention to the changes near the callback demand. If it can effectively support the momentum of the short side, it is still strong for the long side.
First of all, what we need to unify is to do more, and try not to do counter-trend orders. Trending long orders are our main task, and counter-trend callback short shorts are only side tasks, so it doesn't matter if you don't do them.
Secondly, let's take a look at how far the market has reached. The market just closed and left a long lower shadow, and yesterday's first daily support level (62718u) was reached but supported the momentum of the short side. Then, combined with the above information, we need to make it clear that after a wave of pull-ups the day before yesterday and yesterday's pullback, the strength of the long side is still strong.
At present, the four-hour level is experiencing sideways shocks and upwards, but whether it is the four-hour level, one-hour level, or the fifteen-minute level, it is very close to the long and short frame. In other words, if the current market cannot be pulled directly, it will still pull back and hit the demand for a pullback of 68176u (here is the multi-party stage target), and the deepest can be seen at 63516u. Taking the macro level as an example, as long as the four-hour level does not fall below 63952u, the market will continue to rise. If it falls below this point, we need to pay attention to the changes near the callback demand. If it can effectively support the momentum of the short side, it is still strong for the long side.
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