People think im calling for .50, but that was not the point.
This tweet is to give perspective and temper expectations (not just for $FET ), after an increase of 6500%.
The indicated level was the last point of major resistance before going full bull (another 6x) after which it dropped 70%.
A drop of 70% cant be classified as just a pullback. For FET i would aregue this was/is a (mini) bearmarket, that tends to take 3-6 months, until bullish structure returns.
Although the current structure is still bearish, I do see early signs that indicate a bullish structure is forming(daily divs, monthly poi, sweep of liquidity, BTC potentially reclaiming prior range).
Im not bearish on FET, rather i called the bullish expansion in advance as well as current lows. Now im looking for bottoming structure.
Again, this post was about perspective and tempering expectations. Because God knows some of you need it.
As expected $ETHE has outflows probably due to their high fees of 2.5%.
Price dumps, pump will follow eventually. Grayscale only holds 10B in value. If this selling pressure stays stable it would take only 20 days to offload everything
Alt season refers to a specific period within the crypto market cycle. During this time, alt coins experience a significant surge in price compared to Bitcoin.
We have seen this happen during this cycle already, however not with every altcoin. Still some are waiting basing their expectations on the BTC dominance chart.
In my opinion waiting for alt season based solely on $BTC dominance is an outdated theory for 2 reasons: - ETFs, - Dilution of altcoin market.
BTC has and will outperform the majority of the market with exceptions to a few alts depending on their narratives(this cycle): - RWA - Memes - AI (Depin, Data etc). - Etc.
Can there still be an "altseason"? Sure, data suggests money flows from bitcoin to alts in specific ways. For example, this cycle one that is infamous: $BTC > $SOL > Memes.
You can not deny we had a meme season. This is your mini altseason, or rather 'narrative season'. We have seen other narratives, as mentioned above, pump. Why would you not consider this as alts having their 'season' or their 'significant surge in price' against bitcoin?
Money flows. Just not everywhere. There is simply too much dilution of tokens and so only a few experience this surge.
Is there another alt season this cycle? That remains to be seen. From my observations, this cycle has similarities with previous ones while also having its differences. Therefore I'm not risking my net worth based on: -it has been so it shall be again- theory.
I conclude. ETFs and dilution of the market prevent the entire altcoin market to pump. However, specific narratives and altcoins surged in price against bitcoin this cycle.
Had a great time showing how easy it is to deploy a cluster @ionet and what stunning images @bc8_official generates at an irl event - Kryptostok in Poland💙