小明哥哥棒棒

The script that everyone didn't expect might be real
{future}(BTCUSDT)

The lowest drop this month for $BTC has reached around 60000. If it closes bearish this month, it will mark five consecutive bearish monthly candles. Historically, there has never been a five consecutive bearish monthly candles, and this time it seems to be creating history.

The fundamental reason for the weakness in precious metals and BTC in the U.S. stock market right now is the Federal Reserve's policy of not lowering interest rates. Currently, this policy is expected to last at least until March of this year, but in June, Powell is set to step down, and a new chairman of the Federal Reserve will take office. However, regardless of who becomes the chairman, the Trump administration will exert pressure for interest rate cuts. The new Federal Reserve chairman is appointed by Trump, which means that there will definitely be rate cuts after June.

Based on the current drop in BTC, if it drops again next month, it is estimated that it will reach the bottom by the first half of the year, followed by oscillation in the second half, and a transition from bear to bull next year.
{spot}(BTCUSDT)

71000 touched three times
Each time it was around 70,000
This is not about breaking through
It’s about washing out
Shaking out the weak hands
The magnitude of each pullback is getting smaller
Indicating strong buying power below
That bullish candlestick over the weekend was not a trap
It’s smart money positioning in advance
The US stock market is closed on Monday
Even during the worst liquidity, it didn’t drop back
This is a strong signal
Not weak
Gold surged to a historical high of 5100
The dollar is weakening
This combination indicates one thing
The market is betting on liquidity easing
Funds are looking for reserve assets other than the dollar
Gold is the first choice
Bitcoin is the second option
Once this logic is established
Funds will flow from gold to the crypto market
Looking at the perpetual contract rates
It has always been negative
Indicating that shorts are still desperately leveraging up
What they are betting on is that 71000 cannot be broken
But this crowded short position
Is actually the best fuel
Once 71000 stabilizes
The short squeeze will directly push the price to 75000
The first two attempts were tests
The third is accumulation
This next attempt
May be the real breakthrough
The key is whether it can hold above 71000 for 6 hours
If it can close the daily line above 71500
We will see 75000 next week
Now is not the time to short
It’s time to pick a side
I stand on the bullish side
Dips to the 69500-70000 range can be bought in batches
Chasing longs after breaking 71000 is also fine
Set a stop loss at 68500
If it breaks, admit the mistake
The market often gives the smoothest trends when everyone doubts
71000 has been tested three times
The more times a resistance level is tested
The stronger the breakout will be
Don’t wait until 75000 to react
At that point, it will be buying again
The shorts are giving away money
Whether to buy or not is up to you

5000 sold out····

The price hasn't dropped much····

I don't know who is picking up below, but the bulls weren't this strong a while ago

If this were a week ago, these 5000 could have cost us our lives···

In a bear market, everyone is still quite pessimistic. What do you think is the probability of it falling to 42,000? 😂

$BTC So I've always said, it doesn't matter whether you bought it for 120,000 or 10,000, as long as you can hold on to it, you can make a fortune.

Although, we may need to lower some expectations.

Perhaps the price won't reach around 980 on the daily line, although there is still a chance before the FOMC.

However, this kind of thing has always been about speculating on expectations. After the FOMC, we could see a surge driven by Japan's potential interest rate hike, unless they cut by 50bp. But if they really do that, it could be the last dance of this bull market.

Actually, I would prefer to speculate on expectations, but not cut this month, then keep the 50bp cut for next year. This way, no matter what, this expectation will linger, and the market will still have something to speculate on.

Moreover, I hope Powell doesn't get replaced, because there's a significant chance that could lead to a plunge in the neighboring U.S. stock market. The 'you jump, I jump' scenario is best avoided.

The recent resistance level is 923, but it won't become a heavy resistance level here. Watch closely around 930, 935, and 940.

I hope we can move up a bit more, as there are too many trapped bulls. I hope everyone can break free and hold positions to catch a good bottom in Q1 next year, instead of just waiting to break even.

$BTC The dual currency investment management fee rate on this day is too attractive. If the delivery is higher than 85500, consider it as taking physical goods. The short-term risk of physical goods at this price is not high, with daily interest exceeding 3000 dollars, very appealing.

2025-10-18
I got up, and it seems to be getting better now.
The 4-hour bottom is slowly rising, and there was a piece of news this morning: on October 18, U.S. President Trump stated, "We are getting along very well with China."

It seems that the biggest uncertainty has been eliminated, but the idea of popping champagne is really not feasible now; a few days ago, we were too early to celebrate. This wave of decline has almost broken through the previous position of 1011, which was the closing needle in the morning. Now we can catch our breath, but there's still some distance to go before popping champagne.

No one can guarantee that we have truly stabilized now, or if this is just a rebound in a downward trend like Ethereum. We can't ensure there won't be one last dip (although, if we look at the timing, the probability of retesting the previous low is quite low).

We still don't consider how high the rebound might be, only focusing on the situation where the bottom of the pullback is rising.
Last night I said the bulls must defend 1055 strongly and should at least protect 1045, which just happens to fall at 1045xx. It's normal to be hesitant to enter here; after so many days of continuous declines, saying you aren't afraid is impossible. I am afraid; if I weren't, I wouldn't be using stop losses. The current situation is that if Bitcoin is strong enough, it will hold the integer level of 1160 without breaking it. If it's weak, it will defend the area around 1056-1057. Looking upwards at 1077, as long as we close a 4-hour line here, the whole market will reverse, and the only way forward will be oscillating upwards. Before we can close a 4-hour line at 1077, it’s okay to make a long position on the pullback, but there is certain risk; you cannot hold onto a position without a stop loss.

Recently, Ethereum has actually performed stronger than Bitcoin. It always looks like it doesn't want to fall, but when Bitcoin goes down, it has to follow. There's no way around it. If the bulls are strong, they will defend the 3800-3820 area without breaking it, and the weak side will protect around 3780. If the 4-hour closes above 3858, it will turn into a bullish trend.

SOL has performed quite well these past few days; every time it drops, the rebound speed is very fast. But unfortunately, Bitcoin has dragged it down. Currently, it has made a bottom at 181.5, and it seems that as long as there are no new negative factors, SOL holding above 180 should not be a problem.

Today is already the 18th, and moving a bit slower to around the 21st, there should start to be speculation about interest rate cuts. For those with spare positions, it’s advisable to take long positions on pullbacks with stop losses until considering reducing positions around the 24th-25th.

2025.10.9 Empty warehouse day 4 Today's funds 1508w

The richest profits hide the deadliest risks

Good luck eating the fish head also eat the fish body
Leave a line when doing things, cannot eat alone
Can only leave the risky tail for the brothers
I know everyone doesn't like to eat the tail
But in behavior, still quite liked
Praying for everyone outside, hoping to land safely
Although it's impossible
Thank you all for countless days and nights of hard work, accumulating capital to come to this market but suffering losses and silently crying, while relatives and friends can't understand the sacrifices
Words may offend but are useful
Hope to pierce through to everyone and raise vigilance
Remember, behind the feast, 80% of people are paying the bill

No one knows where the top is, nor how many months are left
But we should know whether it's early, mid, or late stage
The risk in the late stage is increasing every day
While being greedy, it's time to be fully vigilant, carefully feel the market and find your exit point, try to be early, give yourself some margin for error
I found my exit point, how about you?

Entering the second stage of the crypto world, guarding wealth and waiting, observing and learning

What does everyone think of the new diary template?
A few percent of funds still remain in the market accompanying you
The amount of funds is not large, whether it's profit or loss doesn't matter anymore

Can ETH rise a bit to over five thousand so I can run away?
Can this silly coin LISTA rise a bit more so I can run away? The counterfeit funds rely on you to break even, push a bit more, dog dealer!
LDO, can you move a little?! Is it so hard to double?!

The first day after the holiday, this is the style
Big A is so fierce after the holiday
Did you sell the coins and go into Big A?
Is it that the local dog is not fragrant anymore or what?
Making money in the crypto world, spending in the crypto world, don't give it to Big A
Promise me, stay, okay?

The initial idea of making a square was to brag and to collect Binance peripherals. Last year's year-end big gift almost reached ten thousand followers without receiving it, this year's big gift is three thousand followers short of thirty thousand again without receiving it, I'm really fed up, thank you Binance!

Making money is hard, guarding wealth is also hard
Slow down, a bit slower
Certainty and safety first, profit second
Learn from Buffett, based on years
Long accumulation only for one buy-in, one sell-out is enough
(Stably like an old dog)

Rebate commission fee invitation code: BBAAA

#比特币ETF资金流入激增 $BNB

$ETH has never seen such a trash coin, how it rises is how it falls back, it's really fucking garbage, just delist it, it's really fucking useless, apart from 5.6 times increase and falling back, it can't do anything, fucking dog thing

$ETH
One-minute level volume decline
MACD dead cross below water
Time for the bulls is almost up😄

$ETH to 3 start

Completed, don't think about letting these gamblers off the hook,
Don't expect Erbing to rise properly~
#Allindoge

ETH: In the coming days, @Renwmian

If it reaches this position, everyone should not be surprised

Currently, the sentiment in the square and among many people seems to be quite bearish. I wonder if this panic is being deliberately created by the big players. I hope my persistence is the right approach.

From the market perspective, the second cryptocurrency has hit resistance around 4800, entering a consolidation phase in the first range, with insufficient upward momentum causing it to continue testing the second range. I've set a third range for the second cryptocurrency, which is between 4350 and 4150. Of course, what I hope for the most is that it can maintain fluctuations in the second range and then find an opportunity to break through resistance and continue climbing back to the first range.

If it breaks down to the third range, this is my stop-loss zone for the long position. If it really gets here, I might continue to add to my position until it breaks down. If it truly breaks down or fakes a breakdown that triggers my stop-loss, then I will really have to admit defeat.

The consolidation area is the one outlined in the regular chart, which is the oscillation zone. Support allows for upward movement, while breaking through would lead to the next range. As mentioned yesterday, a drop below 4450 would turn it into a resistance level, which is why 4450 has been unable to stabilize today.

So currently, we are watching for support around 3350. If it continues to drop tonight and goes into the third range, I think I would also start to panic. Luckily, my position isn't large; otherwise, I wouldn't choose to hold on. Because the four-hour EMA is indeed trending downwards, according to my short-term strategy and rational approach, I should also be looking to short on the rebound.

However, since many people have been blown out by shorting, I still maintain a certain level of fear towards shorting, so I am still inclined to go long. This is my summary of the recent situation for the second cryptocurrency; let's see how it develops moving forward. My current thought process is as follows.

Continuing to drive on the highway, going to play in the water in Andu, Guangxi tomorrow!!
Security Guardian strikes!!!

Tomorrow, there is a high probability of arriving at 3980#eth $ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)

$ETH
There are always people who think I don't understand anything. Just guessing.
So I ask you, am I right that it can't go above 5000?
At the same time, I can boldly predict that within six months, ETH must return to 800.
Also, if I say I went bankrupt and ate all the world's shit, I won't go back on my word!

The historical highest price of Ethereum is 4868, and it is only 268 points away from the historical highest price.

Dayu said that Ethereum is like the last round of Luna, which makes sense to listen to.