crypto九笙
专注于二级市场研究，善于山寨底部布局；交流经验（公众昊同名：crypto九笙）关注以了解crypto货币的一切 | 所有观点/推文均为个人观点，并非财务建议.始终 DYOR（自行研究）
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crypto8sdu
crypto8sdu
#ETH
The small level of Ethereum has also rebounded, currently facing resistance around the price of 2200. Pay attention to whether it can break through in one go!
In terms of operations, it is recommended to synchronize with Bitcoin. You can choose to look for opportunities to short in the range of 2280-2300, and just follow Bitcoin for profit-taking! $ETH
The small level of Ethereum has also rebounded, currently facing resistance around the price of 2200. Pay attention to whether it can break through in one go!
In terms of operations, it is recommended to synchronize with Bitcoin. You can choose to look for opportunities to short in the range of 2280-2300, and just follow Bitcoin for profit-taking! $ETH
#BTC
The large pancake is experiencing continued fluctuations at a small level. There is no attempt to fill the CME gap here, and it is expected to experience a period of fluctuating market conditions, worth paying attention to the upcoming direction!
The upper pressure continues to focus on the range of 72500-73000, where it is still possible to appropriately enter short positions, leaving room for additional purchases and managing the position well! The lower target continues to focus on the CME gap area! $BTC
The large pancake is experiencing continued fluctuations at a small level. There is no attempt to fill the CME gap here, and it is expected to experience a period of fluctuating market conditions, worth paying attention to the upcoming direction!
The upper pressure continues to focus on the range of 72500-73000, where it is still possible to appropriately enter short positions, leaving room for additional purchases and managing the position well! The lower target continues to focus on the CME gap area! $BTC
Wow! This is the real "Crazy Thursday", even the dog farm shorts are about to be pulled off!
Brothers, let's continue to seize the day in the new week! This rhythm, who knows who!
RAVE Long Position:
Yesterday's low leverage ambush, today directly up 20%! I have already set the stop-loss for everyone, just locked in another wave of profits. The remaining position can fly, see the target!
Bitcoin Short Position:
Entered the market yesterday and directly devoured 1500 points! Last night, the group sent a signal on time, letting everyone reduce their positions and cash in. The remaining position is directly placed on the stop-loss "pattern" big target, focusing on being steady as an old dog!
Just two simple operations, happiness is so plain and unadorned. If you haven't caught this "money-sending situation", I will really feel sorry for you!
Use the Binance App to scan the QR code to add me as a friend 👇👇👇crypto8sdu
$RAVE $BTC
Brothers, let's continue to seize the day in the new week! This rhythm, who knows who!
RAVE Long Position:
Yesterday's low leverage ambush, today directly up 20%! I have already set the stop-loss for everyone, just locked in another wave of profits. The remaining position can fly, see the target!
Bitcoin Short Position:
Entered the market yesterday and directly devoured 1500 points! Last night, the group sent a signal on time, letting everyone reduce their positions and cash in. The remaining position is directly placed on the stop-loss "pattern" big target, focusing on being steady as an old dog!
Just two simple operations, happiness is so plain and unadorned. If you haven't caught this "money-sending situation", I will really feel sorry for you!
Use the Binance App to scan the QR code to add me as a friend 👇👇👇crypto8sdu
$RAVE $BTC
XAU Gold
The small-level resistance has not reached the trend line above, a false breakout structure appeared near 4800, followed by a decline. Currently, it is close to the lower support range. Today's observation point continues to focus on whether the support range will be broken! $XAU
#XAUUSD
The small-level resistance has not reached the trend line above, a false breakout structure appeared near 4800, followed by a decline. Currently, it is close to the lower support range. Today's observation point continues to focus on whether the support range will be broken! $XAU
#XAUUSD
CL Crude Oil
After a decline yesterday, a short-term oscillation adjustment is taking place. Currently, the geopolitical impact has not yet concluded. It cannot be confirmed whether this decline has ended, but the pressure for a rebound is worth watching!
If the current low point is a short-term low, then the rebound pressure is in the range of 101.2 to 107.5! $CL
#原油
After a decline yesterday, a short-term oscillation adjustment is taking place. Currently, the geopolitical impact has not yet concluded. It cannot be confirmed whether this decline has ended, but the pressure for a rebound is worth watching!
If the current low point is a short-term low, then the rebound pressure is in the range of 101.2 to 107.5! $CL
#原油
The current market is like a schizophrenic gambler.
1. Bitcoin: From 'digital gold' to 'war correspondent'
$BTC The current trend is completely hijacked by geopolitical issues. Previously, we looked at the Federal Reserve's face, but now we also have to consider Iran and Israel. The most surreal part is that Iran actually wants to collect $BTC as a toll fee. Although this sounds absurd, it actually sends a signal: Bitcoin's settlement property has been forced out in extreme environments.
Although it’s currently lingering around 71000, the entry of established banks like Morgan Stanley, along with MicroStrategy (Saylor) still shouting bottom, indicates that the support at the bottom is quite strong. In short: don't be thrown off the train by the geopolitical “roller coaster,” the big trend is still intact.
2. The shadow of macroeconomics: stagflation is not a joke
The Federal Reserve's minutes mention interest rate hikes, which is a very dangerous signal. Originally, everyone was hoping for interest rate cuts, but now prices are not under control and growth is still hanging in the balance, and we may even need to raise rates. If “stagflation” truly becomes a certainty, then the upcoming market may not be a broad surge, but rather a frenzy of a very few safe-haven assets.
3. The small movements of funds: privacy coins and AI's 'comeback'
Privacy coins (ZEC/DASH): After being quiet for so long, they suddenly moved, often not because they are useful, but because in chaotic times, people want to hide their money. This kind of rise usually comes with uncertainty, belonging to the logic of “chaos hedging.”
AI track: Grayscale is increasing its holdings in $TAO, along with major companies collectively updating their AI models, indicating that large funds are still optimistic about the long-term narrative of “AI + Crypto.” Compared to the continuously warring energy sector, this is the serious place for productivity explosion.
4. To summarize my views on the market:
The current market situation is 'good news in the long term, torment in the short term.'
A significant rise in the stock market indicates that liquidity is not yet exhausted;
A sharp drop in oil prices indicates that everyone is still afraid of a recession;
The crypto market is waiting for a true direction—whether to follow gold for hedging or to follow tech stocks for growth.
I advise my friends:
At this time, the most taboo thing is to keep staring at the 1-minute chart and making repeated trades. Since Iran has even opened its mouth to ask for $BTC, it shows that the value of this asset is more stable than we think. Geopolitical negatives are often “flashy,” as long as a third world war doesn't actually break out, things will eventually return to fundamentals after the turmoil.
1. Bitcoin: From 'digital gold' to 'war correspondent'
$BTC The current trend is completely hijacked by geopolitical issues. Previously, we looked at the Federal Reserve's face, but now we also have to consider Iran and Israel. The most surreal part is that Iran actually wants to collect $BTC as a toll fee. Although this sounds absurd, it actually sends a signal: Bitcoin's settlement property has been forced out in extreme environments.
Although it’s currently lingering around 71000, the entry of established banks like Morgan Stanley, along with MicroStrategy (Saylor) still shouting bottom, indicates that the support at the bottom is quite strong. In short: don't be thrown off the train by the geopolitical “roller coaster,” the big trend is still intact.
2. The shadow of macroeconomics: stagflation is not a joke
The Federal Reserve's minutes mention interest rate hikes, which is a very dangerous signal. Originally, everyone was hoping for interest rate cuts, but now prices are not under control and growth is still hanging in the balance, and we may even need to raise rates. If “stagflation” truly becomes a certainty, then the upcoming market may not be a broad surge, but rather a frenzy of a very few safe-haven assets.
3. The small movements of funds: privacy coins and AI's 'comeback'
Privacy coins (ZEC/DASH): After being quiet for so long, they suddenly moved, often not because they are useful, but because in chaotic times, people want to hide their money. This kind of rise usually comes with uncertainty, belonging to the logic of “chaos hedging.”
AI track: Grayscale is increasing its holdings in $TAO, along with major companies collectively updating their AI models, indicating that large funds are still optimistic about the long-term narrative of “AI + Crypto.” Compared to the continuously warring energy sector, this is the serious place for productivity explosion.
4. To summarize my views on the market:
The current market situation is 'good news in the long term, torment in the short term.'
A significant rise in the stock market indicates that liquidity is not yet exhausted;
A sharp drop in oil prices indicates that everyone is still afraid of a recession;
The crypto market is waiting for a true direction—whether to follow gold for hedging or to follow tech stocks for growth.
I advise my friends:
At this time, the most taboo thing is to keep staring at the 1-minute chart and making repeated trades. Since Iran has even opened its mouth to ask for $BTC, it shows that the value of this asset is more stable than we think. Geopolitical negatives are often “flashy,” as long as a third world war doesn't actually break out, things will eventually return to fundamentals after the turmoil.
ZEC A small level has seen an upward trend!
Approaching the previous high resistance near 333, pay attention to whether an effective breakthrough occurs here. If there is a false breakout structure, then you can short accordingly; if there is a strong breakout, look for opportunities to go long! $ZEC
#ZECUSDT
Approaching the previous high resistance near 333, pay attention to whether an effective breakthrough occurs here. If there is a false breakout structure, then you can short accordingly; if there is a strong breakout, look for opportunities to go long! $ZEC
#ZECUSDT
The large pancake is strengthening at a small level, influenced by the ceasefire between the US and Iran, experiencing a short-term strong rise, breaking above 72000, approaching the position of 73k!
Referring to the overall daily structural trend, the upper pressure point is near 74k, which can be used as today's observation point. If it cannot break through, there will be another adjustment! The lower support should focus on the round number of 70k for a short time! $BTC
#BTC
Referring to the overall daily structural trend, the upper pressure point is near 74k, which can be used as today's observation point. If it cannot break through, there will be another adjustment! The lower support should focus on the round number of 70k for a short time! $BTC
#BTC
XAU Gold
The observation point for gold yesterday was not reached, let alone broken. It experienced a short-term increase due to the drop in crude oil. The key resistance above is in the range of 4900-4920, while below we continue to focus on the range of 4660-4680! $XAU
#XAU
The observation point for gold yesterday was not reached, let alone broken. It experienced a short-term increase due to the drop in crude oil. The key resistance above is in the range of 4900-4920, while below we continue to focus on the range of 4660-4680! $XAU
#XAU
CL Crude Oil
Yesterday's high point was again above 116, still in the pressure range of 116-118. Early in the morning, influenced by the ceasefire agreement, it directly dropped by 20%. Those brothers who positioned short orders are in luck!
100 fell directly below, with a temporary low point around 91. Pay attention to the progress of the US-Iran negotiations! $CL
#原油
Yesterday's high point was again above 116, still in the pressure range of 116-118. Early in the morning, influenced by the ceasefire agreement, it directly dropped by 20%. Those brothers who positioned short orders are in luck!
100 fell directly below, with a temporary low point around 91. Pay attention to the progress of the US-Iran negotiations! $CL
#原油
24-hour major events in the crypto space! A 1-minute overview of overnight market trends
Geopolitical changes turned the tables overnight, and risk assets surged collectively.
➡️ Crypto Market
With the ceasefire news for $BTC, Bitcoin skyrocketed, breaking through $72,000, up over 5% in 24 hours.
The bears were directly hit with $430 million in losses, and this rebound came suddenly and fiercely.
$ETH soared, breaking $2,200, with a rise of nearly 6%.
A whale with a $22 million short position was forced to close at a loss of $1.47 million, quickly switching to a long position, showing a swift acknowledgment of their mistake.
➡️ Global Stock Markets
1. Nasdaq futures rose by 3%, with ceasefire expectations igniting risk appetite.
2. Asian markets opened high, with South Korea's KOSPI soaring 6%, the Nikkei rising nearly 2%, and German DAX futures jumping 4.2%.
➡️ Commodities
Gold surged above $4,800/ounce, soaring over $130 in a single day, an increase of 3.2%.
Silver rose to around $77/ounce, with a daily increase of over 5%.
WTI crude oil plummeted 15%, falling below $100 to about $94/barrel. The war premium evaporated overnight, leaving oil bulls in tears.
The US Dollar Index DXY fell below 99, reaching a new low since March 23.
➡️ Macroeconomic Dynamics
1. Trump announced a two-week ceasefire with Iran, stating significant progress has been made towards a long-term peace agreement, with Iran's supreme leader approving Pakistan's mediation plan. Direct negotiations between the US and Iran will take place in Islamabad on the 10th.
Trump has finally quieted down for two weeks, giving the market a breather.
2. Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson stated: The Iran war will temporarily increase inflation, but current interest rates are "appropriately positioned," and there's no rush to adjust.
In translation, this means "let's wait and see."
3. The FOMC March meeting minutes will be released today, with the market closely watching how the Federal Reserve will characterize the stagflation risks triggered by the war. Federal funds futures suggest that the rate cut space this year is only about 17 basis points.
4. Sam Altman is accelerating the OpenAI IPO, promising to invest $600 billion in computing power; Anthropic released the Claude Mythos Preview but will not publicly sell it, stating its cyber defense capability is too strong and needs to be used by the defense side first.
The AI arms race has escalated again.
5. Strategy increased its holdings by 4,871 BTC, investing around $330 million, with an average price of $68,000, bringing total holdings to 767,000 BTC.
6. The BTC ETF saw a net inflow of $471 million in a single day, marking the strongest single-day performance in six weeks, with institutional holdings rising from 24% a year ago to about 38%.
Geopolitical changes turned the tables overnight, and risk assets surged collectively.
➡️ Crypto Market
With the ceasefire news for $BTC, Bitcoin skyrocketed, breaking through $72,000, up over 5% in 24 hours.
The bears were directly hit with $430 million in losses, and this rebound came suddenly and fiercely.
$ETH soared, breaking $2,200, with a rise of nearly 6%.
A whale with a $22 million short position was forced to close at a loss of $1.47 million, quickly switching to a long position, showing a swift acknowledgment of their mistake.
➡️ Global Stock Markets
1. Nasdaq futures rose by 3%, with ceasefire expectations igniting risk appetite.
2. Asian markets opened high, with South Korea's KOSPI soaring 6%, the Nikkei rising nearly 2%, and German DAX futures jumping 4.2%.
➡️ Commodities
Gold surged above $4,800/ounce, soaring over $130 in a single day, an increase of 3.2%.
Silver rose to around $77/ounce, with a daily increase of over 5%.
WTI crude oil plummeted 15%, falling below $100 to about $94/barrel. The war premium evaporated overnight, leaving oil bulls in tears.
The US Dollar Index DXY fell below 99, reaching a new low since March 23.
➡️ Macroeconomic Dynamics
1. Trump announced a two-week ceasefire with Iran, stating significant progress has been made towards a long-term peace agreement, with Iran's supreme leader approving Pakistan's mediation plan. Direct negotiations between the US and Iran will take place in Islamabad on the 10th.
Trump has finally quieted down for two weeks, giving the market a breather.
2. Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson stated: The Iran war will temporarily increase inflation, but current interest rates are "appropriately positioned," and there's no rush to adjust.
In translation, this means "let's wait and see."
3. The FOMC March meeting minutes will be released today, with the market closely watching how the Federal Reserve will characterize the stagflation risks triggered by the war. Federal funds futures suggest that the rate cut space this year is only about 17 basis points.
4. Sam Altman is accelerating the OpenAI IPO, promising to invest $600 billion in computing power; Anthropic released the Claude Mythos Preview but will not publicly sell it, stating its cyber defense capability is too strong and needs to be used by the defense side first.
The AI arms race has escalated again.
5. Strategy increased its holdings by 4,871 BTC, investing around $330 million, with an average price of $68,000, bringing total holdings to 767,000 BTC.
6. The BTC ETF saw a net inflow of $471 million in a single day, marking the strongest single-day performance in six weeks, with institutional holdings rising from 24% a year ago to about 38%.
Trump agreed to a two-week ceasefire
Iran accepted Pakistan's ceasefire proposal
My view is:
This feels more like a high-risk tactical adjustment rather than a genuine dawn of peace. Trump successfully transformed himself from the 'war instigator' to the 'negotiation master' in two weeks. As for whether a true 'century agreement' will emerge after these two weeks or if there will be a new round of more intense bombings, it all depends on the outcome of the negotiations in Islamabad over these 14 days.
He really took 'unpredictability' to the extreme this time, keeping the appetite of the whole world hanging.
$BTC $CL
Iran accepted Pakistan's ceasefire proposal
My view is:
This feels more like a high-risk tactical adjustment rather than a genuine dawn of peace. Trump successfully transformed himself from the 'war instigator' to the 'negotiation master' in two weeks. As for whether a true 'century agreement' will emerge after these two weeks or if there will be a new round of more intense bombings, it all depends on the outcome of the negotiations in Islamabad over these 14 days.
He really took 'unpredictability' to the extreme this time, keeping the appetite of the whole world hanging.
$BTC $CL
Iran refuses to reach a temporary ceasefire agreement, demanding tolls for ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz
My personal opinion:
Iran's recent actions are essentially a game of bargaining chips. They are well aware that the United States, in the current election year (or in the context of multipolarity), does not want to get involved in a new Middle Eastern war.
However, the toll issue is very unlikely to be negotiated. Why? Because it touches the bottom line of "freedom of navigation," and not only will the United States not agree, but several major oil-importing countries in Europe and even Asia will also feel pressure. If tolls are indeed collected, it would mean recognizing Iran as the "maritime hegemon" in this region, which would be subversive to the current international order. $CL
{future}(CLUSDT)
My personal opinion:
Iran's recent actions are essentially a game of bargaining chips. They are well aware that the United States, in the current election year (or in the context of multipolarity), does not want to get involved in a new Middle Eastern war.
However, the toll issue is very unlikely to be negotiated. Why? Because it touches the bottom line of "freedom of navigation," and not only will the United States not agree, but several major oil-importing countries in Europe and even Asia will also feel pressure. If tolls are indeed collected, it would mean recognizing Iran as the "maritime hegemon" in this region, which would be subversive to the current international order. $CL
{future}(CLUSDT)
Iran refuses to reach a temporary ceasefire agreement, demanding tolls for ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz
My personal opinion:
Iran's recent actions are essentially a game of bargaining chips. They are well aware that the United States, in the current election year (or in the context of multipolarity), does not want to get involved in a new Middle Eastern war.
However, the toll issue is very unlikely to be negotiated. Why? Because it touches the bottom line of "freedom of navigation," and not only will the United States not agree, but several major oil-importing countries in Europe and even Asia will also feel pressure. If tolls are indeed collected, it would mean recognizing Iran as the "maritime hegemon" in this region, which would be subversive to the current international order. $CL
My personal opinion:
Iran's recent actions are essentially a game of bargaining chips. They are well aware that the United States, in the current election year (or in the context of multipolarity), does not want to get involved in a new Middle Eastern war.
However, the toll issue is very unlikely to be negotiated. Why? Because it touches the bottom line of "freedom of navigation," and not only will the United States not agree, but several major oil-importing countries in Europe and even Asia will also feel pressure. If tolls are indeed collected, it would mean recognizing Iran as the "maritime hegemon" in this region, which would be subversive to the current international order. $CL
The pancake is expanding the small level oscillation, with high pressure around 71k. During the day, it oscillates in the 68-69k range, mainly focusing on the movements in the evening!
The upper pressure focuses on the 70.5-71k range. Breaking through here will continue the rebound expansion, but from the current structure, it still belongs to a rebound! On the downside, continue to focus on the vicinity of 67k. If it breaks down, there will be a small level accelerated decline. Personally, I recommend a high short operation! $BTC
#BTC
The upper pressure focuses on the 70.5-71k range. Breaking through here will continue the rebound expansion, but from the current structure, it still belongs to a rebound! On the downside, continue to focus on the vicinity of 67k. If it breaks down, there will be a small level accelerated decline. Personally, I recommend a high short operation! $BTC
#BTC
ETH continues to oscillate at a small level, while receiving strong support in the range of 2020-2000, which can be considered the main support zone currently. A break below this level increases the risk of further decline!
The pressure above is in the range of 2180-2200, which is also a relatively strong pressure zone; a breakthrough is needed for better upward movement! $ETH
#ETH
The pressure above is in the range of 2180-2200, which is also a relatively strong pressure zone; a breakthrough is needed for better upward movement! $ETH
#ETH
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