Rafael Melo Photographer from Brazil

🚨🇺🇸 US SERVICES PMI COMES IN BELOW EXPECTATIONS

😄🔔 The Services PMI came in at 51.0, under the forecast of 51.3, but still above the previous figure of 49.8.

Despite the slight disappointment, the indicator remains above 50, signaling that the services sector is still in expansion mode.

⚠️ For the Federal Reserve, this keeps the scenario balanced: positive activity, but without strong acceleration😎😇

🌍 Global Crypto Market Overview 🌍
📅 Date: 05/05/2026 07:00

📊 General Stats:
💰 Active Cryptos: 17,403
🏦 Markets: 1,472
🚀 Ongoing ICOs: 49
✅ Closed ICOs: 3,376
💵 Total Market Cap: $2.747 trillion

⚡️ Fear and Greed Index:
📈 Value: 50
📖 Reading: Neutral 😐⚖️

📈 Total Transaction Volume (24h):
🌟 USD: $111.32 billion
🌟 Bitcoin: $1,381,582.86 BTC
🌟 Ethereum: $46,976,871.4 ETH

🔝 Market Dominance by Cap:
1️⃣ Bitcoin: 58.72%
2️⃣ Ethereum: 10.41%
3️⃣ XRP: 3.16%
4️⃣ USDT: 6.90%
5️⃣ BNB: 3.07%

📈 Change in Total Market Cap (24h): 0.59%

🔵 Bitcoin (BTC):
📈 Current Price: $80,559.46 USD
🟢 Price Change: 0.91%
📊 Volume Change: 29.93%

🟣 Ethereum (ETH):
📈 Current Price: $2,368.37 USD
🟢 Price Change: 0.02%
📊 Volume Change: 13.93%

💡 Stay tuned to the market and make informed decisions!

What's your strategy TODAY?
Looking to stack some sats?
#btc

🚨🇺🇸ECONOMIC CALENDAR: HEAVY WEEK WITH A TOTAL FOCUS ON JOBS

📈😇 The U.S. agenda promises high volatility from Tuesday (05/05) to Friday (08/05), with key data that could significantly move the markets.

📆Tuesday
⏰11:00 AM: JOLTS
↳Forecast 6.8M | Previous 6.8M
Measures the total number of job openings.

📆Wednesday and Friday
⏰09:15 AM: ADP
↳ Forecast 90K | Previous 62K
Measures the change in private employment, serving as a preview for the official payroll that comes out two days later.

⏰09:30 AM: Average Hourly Earnings
↳ Forecast 0.3% | Previous 0.2%

⏰09:30 AM: Payroll
↳ Forecast 73K | Previous 178K

⏰09:30 AM: Unemployment Rate
↳ Forecast 4.3% | Previous 4.3%
Weaker data could reinforce expectations for interest rate cuts by the Fed later this year😄🪙

We got out of the shitcoins at the right time 🥹🥹🥹. That's why I always say that in trading, the most important part is the exit. I've never seen anyone making profits just because they made a good entry.

PNL is so fleeting that all it takes is for you to get distracted by the egg car passing down your street and it's already gone.

Bullish Divergence in Ethereum: Active Addresses Hit Record Highs Amid Price Decline

“From an on-chain analysis perspective, this glaring divergence implies that Ethereum may currently be undervalued.” – Read More

This widening pattern is primed for a breakout, but I wouldn't rule out a retracement down to the middle (around 77,300) on Monday.

But the path to March is 84k, sooner or later.

🚨😶‍🌫️ INSANE VOLATILITY: BTC SWEEPS LONGS AND SHORTS SEQUENTIALLY

👏🥳 $BTC has led yet another aggressive move in the last 24 hours: first spiking to $77,800, liquidating $257M in shorts, and then dropping to $74,500, wiping out $347M in longs.

📉😦 In total, there were $604 million in liquidations.

📊 Current liquidity:
Between $73,000 and $75,000, there’s about $394M in liquidity.
Between $78,000 and $80,500, there’s a wall of $1.02 billion.

Despite the recent downward pressure, the top remains much more loaded with liquidity🚀

channel

Is it going to pump?
When will the market bounce back?
#avax

🚨🏦AFTER THE FOMC: FED IS NOT EXPECTED TO MOVE INTEREST RATES

🎮🎯Market odds are showing a nearly set scenario:
✅98.6% chance of holding steady
✅1.4% chance of a cut
✅0% chance of a rate hike

🎤🧐 This aligns perfectly with what Jerome Powell indicated:

"No one on the committee is calling for a rate increase at this time"

⚠️ Even with inflation under pressure and an uncertain global outlook, the Fed prefers to keep rates where they are and wait for upcoming data before making any moves.

I just got asked for a short list of books to kick off in Trading 📕. Here are a few:

- Good books as your first read:

- Trading For a Living - Alexander Elder - (in pt, it's titled Como Ser um operador e investidor de sucesso)

- Come into my trading room - Alexander Elder - (In pt it's Como operar no mercado de ações).

- Technical Analysis For Dummies - Rockfeller

A solid book for emotional management (Elder's already covers a lot of that). But a more specific one is Mark Douglas's book, Trading in the Zone. In fact, I named my study channel as a nod to his book, just adding "Crypto" to the title.

- Best books specifically on technical analysis (these are the specifics, but I don’t recommend them as your first read):

- Technical Analysis Explained - Martin Pring - It's a great book, but dense and a bit boring. Use it for reference, but no need to read it cover to cover, and there's no reason for it.

Chart Patterns - Thomas N. Bulkowski. It's the best reference on chart patterns if you want to dive deeper. It doesn't cover support and pivots as well, for those there are other options.

Now for more specific books on derivatives:

Futures:

Futures in the Game: It's a really good book on leverage and futures trading, but one detail. It's about real futures, a lot about commodities, things that hurt when they hit your feet. I haven’t found any book on "fake futures" which are our perpetual swaps.

Options:

Investing in Options - Maurício Hissa. It's one of the best in Portuguese and easier to grasp. It's more introductory.

Options as a Strategic Investment - Lawrence MacMillan. If you want a better one and like math more.

🎉 Welcome to the SDAO Swap Dex project! 🚀

🌟 You're at the start of this promising journey, an innovative project with technology, speed, and intelligence in the DeFi ecosystem.💎

🔥 The launch has the potential to explode and grab the market's attention, bringing huge opportunities for early participants. 📈

⏳ The future starts now!

🚀 The SDAO Swap Dex is ready for launch! 🌐

🚨😄 BOJ HOLDS RATES AT 0.75%

🧑‍⚖️👋 The Bank of Japan kept interest rates at 0.75%, aligning with market expectations.

⚠️ This decision reinforces Japan's cautious stance, as they continue to monitor inflation and growth before making any moves in their monetary policy.

🚨🤑 US$ 9B EM LONGS AT RISK IF BTC DROPS TO US$ 70K

📉😦 Bitcoin is carrying a massive concentration of long positions that could implode if the price revisits the US$ 70.000 region.

⚠️ Over US$ 9 billion in longs would be liquidated in this scenario, creating a strong cascading effect in the crypto market.

🚨😶‍🌫️ BTC UNDER PRESSURE: LOWER ZONE CONCENTRATES HIGHER LIQUIDITY

👏😘 BTC has around US$ 576 million in liquidity above, between US$ 79.500 and US$ 81.500.

📉 Below, between US$ 74.500 and US$ 77.000, the volume is higher: US$ 811 million accumulated.

The lower side remains stronger, increasing the chance of sweep moves before a solid rally 💔

📊 Fear and Greed Index

📈 Value: 33
📖 Reading: Fear 😟🔻
🗓 Date: 26-04-2026

✅ Marcelo Pravatta (4.5k)

"Are we in a Bear market rally for Bitcoin????

The Options suggest so.

In the last 30 days, the price has jumped about 20%, but the implied volatility (dvol) has dropped nearly 25%.
This indicates a controlled rise without much confidence from traders.
We might have hit a local top near $80K, or we could push a bit higher.
If BTC drops below $75K, the decline could start to accelerate.

A healthy Structural Bull phase after 5 months of strong declines needs DVOL to rise alongside the price.
It was like this in 2019 and 2023.

But that could change.
If the price starts climbing with DVOL increasing, it would invalidate this scenario and lead to an explosive rally.

Keep an eye on the DVOL."

Yesterday marked 15 years since Satoshi's last appearance 👀👀👀👀. He holds over 1 million BTC in his wallet, which would be worth more than 70 billion dollars.

One of the biggest fears regarding that wallet is that one day its signature could be compromised with the evolution of quantum computers.

The BTC network uses ECDSA to sign wallets, and one of the few algorithms capable of factoring large prime numbers is Shor's algorithm (which has been around since 1994).

In quantum computers, it would still require millions of qubits to break the key, and the computers built so far only have a few hundred of them. But considering it's an effort with a potential payoff of 100 billion dollars, it’s always a bit frightening... For example, the possibility of someone reaching an algorithm capable of solving this in O(log n) time.

The biggest math prize out there is 1 million dollars for solving 1 of the 7 biggest millennium problems - things like the Riemann Hypothesis and the Navier-Stokes equations, which have existed for decades without a solution - and are probably more complex than this. So, a prize of 100 billion dollars to try and find a more efficient algorithm to crack this wallet is a pretty sweet incentive.

The fear among holders is that with this, BTC would likely plummet by around 90%, as large wallets would be severely threatened.

🚨😯 FRIENDS INCREASE BETS ON THE RALLY AFTER BREAKOUT

👏😘 Big players on Hyperliquid are buying the price range breakout, according to Glassnode data.

📈 Conviction and long positions have been consistently rising over the past two months, indicating greater confidence in the bullish movement.

Whale behavior reinforces the bullish bias in the market😄🔔