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kiri to the moon

让你对加密有信仰,不是让你对加密货币有信仰
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4.9 Years
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Bullish
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Bullish
After the squat, Bitcoin rebounded strongly. Yesterday, the $322.4 million inflow into BIT was the main factor driving the market up, offsetting the $89.3 million outflow from the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) and the $28.2 million outflow from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC). This week's inflow brought the total funds to $683.3 million, while last week's inflow was $787.3 million—this is the first positive week after five consecutive weeks of outflows (totaling nearly $4 billion). Currently, Bitcoin's market value is only about 4% of gold, and as the war deepens, the wealthy in the Middle East will find that Bitcoin is the best safe-haven asset! {spot}(BTCUSDT) #usiranwarescalation
After the squat, Bitcoin rebounded strongly. Yesterday, the $322.4 million inflow into BIT was the main factor driving the market up, offsetting the $89.3 million outflow from the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) and the $28.2 million outflow from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC). This week's inflow brought the total funds to $683.3 million, while last week's inflow was $787.3 million—this is the first positive week after five consecutive weeks of outflows (totaling nearly $4 billion). Currently, Bitcoin's market value is only about 4% of gold, and as the war deepens, the wealthy in the Middle East will find that Bitcoin is the best safe-haven asset!
#usiranwarescalation
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Bullish
ASTERUSDT
Opening Long
Unrealized PNL
+59.37USDT
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Bearish
This kind of fluctuating market feels a bit like the situation in 2021; we just need one big needle rebound to start forming a bottom. So brothers, let's all gather our hearts and enjoy the New Year. 😂 Trading cryptocurrencies is like finding a partner; at first, you carefully select, but in the end, it often turns into introductions from friends, and the outcome is usually a messy sell-off. Dating is called investment research; Engagement is called building a position; Marriage is called a transaction; Having children is called reinvestment; Having more children is called a capital increase; Divorce is called unwinding; Arguing is called volatility; Breaking up is called selling at a loss; Heartbreak is called liquidating. #比特币走势分析
This kind of fluctuating market feels a bit like the situation in 2021; we just need one big needle rebound to start forming a bottom. So brothers, let's all gather our hearts and enjoy the New Year.

😂 Trading cryptocurrencies is like finding a partner; at first, you carefully select, but in the end, it often turns into introductions from friends, and the outcome is usually a messy sell-off.

Dating is called investment research;
Engagement is called building a position;
Marriage is called a transaction;
Having children is called reinvestment;
Having more children is called a capital increase;
Divorce is called unwinding;
Arguing is called volatility;
Breaking up is called selling at a loss;
Heartbreak is called liquidating.
#比特币走势分析
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Bearish
Fortunately, the early loss is gone Otherwise, I really wouldn't be able to sleep 😭 $BTC #BTC走势分析
Fortunately, the early loss is gone
Otherwise, I really wouldn't be able to sleep 😭
$BTC #BTC走势分析
My 30 Days' PNL
2026-01-05~2026-02-03
-$3.34
-78.45%
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Bullish
The asset market throughout 2025 shows significant differentiation, with traditional safe-haven assets like gold and silver performing strongly, rising 67% and 94%, respectively. The strong performance of gold and silver is mainly attributed to the 'perfect storm' of the macro environment in 2025, while Bitcoin has failed to benefit from it. 1. Macroeconomic Drivers of Gold and Silver Start of the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle: In 2025, the Federal Reserve began lowering interest rates, with the federal funds rate targeting a range of 3.50%–3.75% by the end of the year. The decline in real yields is the primary driver behind the rise in gold prices, as it reduces the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets (like gold). Geopolitical risks and central bank gold purchases: Ongoing global geopolitical tensions have prompted central banks worldwide to continue large-scale purchases of gold as a reserve asset to hedge against dollar risks. This structural sovereign demand provides solid bottom support for gold. Surge in industrial demand for silver: Silver is not only a precious metal but also an important industrial metal. With the acceleration of global investments in green energy technologies such as solar energy and electric vehicles, the industrial demand for silver experienced a structural shortage in 2025, driving its price increase beyond that of gold. 2. Macroeconomic Decoupling of Bitcoin and Sensitivity to Liquidity Failure of the 'digital gold' narrative: Against the macro backdrop of rising traditional safe-haven assets, Bitcoin has failed to rise in tandem, indicating that investors still prioritize gold over Bitcoin when seeking true safety and policy hedging. Lagging effects of tightening liquidity: Although the Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates, the global liquidity environment did not immediately ease enough to support a significant rise in high-risk assets. Bitcoin's sensitivity to liquidity conditions and risk appetite is much higher than that of gold, showing stronger selling pressure during year-end liquidity exhaustion. In 2025, Bitcoin's price increase lagged behind that of gold and silver, primarily due to the misalignment of macro drivers and the differentiation of asset characteristics. This differentiation indicates that the market is reallocating roles among these three assets: gold as the main macro hedging tool, silver as an industrial and speculative accelerator, while Bitcoin resembles a highly liquid, high-risk tech stock, requiring favorable liquidity conditions to achieve significant price increases #BTC走势分析 {spot}(BTCUSDT)
The asset market throughout 2025 shows significant differentiation, with traditional safe-haven assets like gold and silver performing strongly, rising 67% and 94%, respectively.

The strong performance of gold and silver is mainly attributed to the 'perfect storm' of the macro environment in 2025, while Bitcoin has failed to benefit from it.

1. Macroeconomic Drivers of Gold and Silver
Start of the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle: In 2025, the Federal Reserve began lowering interest rates, with the federal funds rate targeting a range of 3.50%–3.75% by the end of the year. The decline in real yields is the primary driver behind the rise in gold prices, as it reduces the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets (like gold).

Geopolitical risks and central bank gold purchases: Ongoing global geopolitical tensions have prompted central banks worldwide to continue large-scale purchases of gold as a reserve asset to hedge against dollar risks. This structural sovereign demand provides solid bottom support for gold.

Surge in industrial demand for silver: Silver is not only a precious metal but also an important industrial metal. With the acceleration of global investments in green energy technologies such as solar energy and electric vehicles, the industrial demand for silver experienced a structural shortage in 2025, driving its price increase beyond that of gold.

2. Macroeconomic Decoupling of Bitcoin and Sensitivity to Liquidity
Failure of the 'digital gold' narrative: Against the macro backdrop of rising traditional safe-haven assets, Bitcoin has failed to rise in tandem, indicating that investors still prioritize gold over Bitcoin when seeking true safety and policy hedging.

Lagging effects of tightening liquidity: Although the Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates, the global liquidity environment did not immediately ease enough to support a significant rise in high-risk assets. Bitcoin's sensitivity to liquidity conditions and risk appetite is much higher than that of gold, showing stronger selling pressure during year-end liquidity exhaustion.

In 2025, Bitcoin's price increase lagged behind that of gold and silver, primarily due to the misalignment of macro drivers and the differentiation of asset characteristics. This differentiation indicates that the market is reallocating roles among these three assets: gold as the main macro hedging tool, silver as an industrial and speculative accelerator, while Bitcoin resembles a highly liquid, high-risk tech stock, requiring favorable liquidity conditions to achieve significant price increases #BTC走势分析
How did it return to zero, family?
How did it return to zero, family?
kiri to the moon
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Bullish
Let's not say anything else, can we get $memes to 100m first? #特朗普对欧洲加征关税
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Bullish
On January 20, according to on-chain data monitoring, Trend Research, under the leadership of Yi Lihua, borrowed 10 million USDT from Aave about 5 minutes ago and subsequently deposited it into Binance, suspected of continuing to increase positions in ETH. Trend Research currently holds 626778.65 ETH, with a total value of 1.94 billion dollars, an average cost of about 3,105.5 dollars, and a floating profit of 53.52 million dollars. Additionally, according to monitoring by Onchain Lens, BitMine has again staked 86,848 ETH, valued at 279.4 million dollars. Currently, its cumulative staking amount has reached 1,771,936 ETH, with a total value of 5.65 billion dollars. All these represent that institutions still have a positive outlook on Ethereum. From a technical perspective, $ETH has retreated along with the market, currently falling to the top pressure of the previous platform's intensive trading area, which has strengthened support, and below it, there is a strong support at the mid-term bull-bear watershed MA30 line on the daily chart. For now, the situation is not too problematic. However, for improvement, a market rebound is also needed. Currently, Ethereum does not have an independent narrative, and the overall market trend is mainly linked to the market. Support level is around 3000, resistance level is around 3300. #加密市场观察
On January 20, according to on-chain data monitoring, Trend Research, under the leadership of Yi Lihua, borrowed 10 million USDT from Aave about 5 minutes ago and subsequently deposited it into Binance, suspected of continuing to increase positions in ETH. Trend Research currently holds 626778.65 ETH, with a total value of 1.94 billion dollars, an average cost of about 3,105.5 dollars, and a floating profit of 53.52 million dollars. Additionally, according to monitoring by Onchain Lens, BitMine has again staked 86,848 ETH, valued at 279.4 million dollars. Currently, its cumulative staking amount has reached 1,771,936 ETH, with a total value of 5.65 billion dollars. All these represent that institutions still have a positive outlook on Ethereum.

From a technical perspective, $ETH has retreated along with the market, currently falling to the top pressure of the previous platform's intensive trading area, which has strengthened support, and below it, there is a strong support at the mid-term bull-bear watershed MA30 line on the daily chart. For now, the situation is not too problematic. However, for improvement, a market rebound is also needed. Currently, Ethereum does not have an independent narrative, and the overall market trend is mainly linked to the market. Support level is around 3000, resistance level is around 3300. #加密市场观察
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Bearish
My 30 Days' PNL
2025-12-21~2026-01-19
-$1,140.57
-99.92%
Bitcoin ETF attracts $1.42 billion in a week! Institutional giants return strongly, igniting the bull market signal?In the constantly fluctuating cryptocurrency market at the beginning of 2026, a significant news hit like a thunderbolt: Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net inflow of $1.42 billion last week, marking the strongest weekly performance since early October of last year! This data not only reversed the recent trend of capital outflow but is also seen by the market as a clear signal of a strong return of institutional demand. Bitcoin's price firmly holds at the $95,000 mark, and market sentiment quickly shifts towards risk appetite: is this a short-term rebound, or the prelude to a new bull market? Impressive data: over $800 million inflow in a single day, reaching a recent high

Bitcoin ETF attracts $1.42 billion in a week! Institutional giants return strongly, igniting the bull market signal?

In the constantly fluctuating cryptocurrency market at the beginning of 2026, a significant news hit like a thunderbolt: Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net inflow of $1.42 billion last week, marking the strongest weekly performance since early October of last year!
This data not only reversed the recent trend of capital outflow but is also seen by the market as a clear signal of a strong return of institutional demand. Bitcoin's price firmly holds at the $95,000 mark, and market sentiment quickly shifts towards risk appetite: is this a short-term rebound, or the prelude to a new bull market?

Impressive data: over $800 million inflow in a single day, reaching a recent high
As Bitcoin price surges above $97,000, BlackRock leads $840 million in massive inflows into Bitcoin ETFs!Good morning 🌞 everyone! If you've been following market developments, you know the market is heating up right now. According to Cointelegraph's latest news: Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded capital inflows of up to $843.6 million on Wednesday, setting a new record for the largest single-day inflow so far in 2026. The leader is iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) from BlackRock, which alone absorbed over $648 million in funds. This is not just a simple number, but a signal: institutional funds are flowing into the Bitcoin market at an unprecedented pace.

As Bitcoin price surges above $97,000, BlackRock leads $840 million in massive inflows into Bitcoin ETFs!

Good morning 🌞 everyone! If you've been following market developments, you know the market is heating up right now.
According to Cointelegraph's latest news: Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded capital inflows of up to $843.6 million on Wednesday, setting a new record for the largest single-day inflow so far in 2026. The leader is iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) from BlackRock, which alone absorbed over $648 million in funds.
This is not just a simple number, but a signal: institutional funds are flowing into the Bitcoin market at an unprecedented pace.
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Bullish
Can holding Ethereum this year get you a seat at the table? 🐴 According to monitoring, on January 14, BitMine has once again increased its staking by 94,400 ETH, worth approximately $314 million. As of now, the company's total staked ETH has reached 1,530,784 tokens, with a total value of about $5.1 billion. These moves send a strong bullish signal. As the 'first treasury company for Ethereum,' BitMine's actions are seen by the market as a barometer of institutional confidence. Continuously staking ETH worth tens of billions of dollars for the long term is essentially a form of 'locking,' which reduces the circulating supply in the market. From a technical perspective, Ethereum has risen in tandem with the overall market, peaking near $3,360, but has not yet broken through the neckline of the previous consolidation zone. The previous consolidation zone's neckline is around $3,450. Only a strong breakout above this level will reveal significant upward potential for Ethereum. Currently, the potential remains substantial. On the daily chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross with the gap continuing to open upward and volume increasing. The KDJ lines have also formed a golden cross and are diverging upward, indicating strong bullish momentum. Overall, the market remains one of retracements with a bullish bias. Support is around $3,250, and resistance is near $3,450. #ETH $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT)
Can holding Ethereum this year get you a seat at the table? 🐴

According to monitoring, on January 14, BitMine has once again increased its staking by 94,400 ETH, worth approximately $314 million. As of now, the company's total staked ETH has reached 1,530,784 tokens, with a total value of about $5.1 billion. These moves send a strong bullish signal. As the 'first treasury company for Ethereum,' BitMine's actions are seen by the market as a barometer of institutional confidence. Continuously staking ETH worth tens of billions of dollars for the long term is essentially a form of 'locking,' which reduces the circulating supply in the market.

From a technical perspective, Ethereum has risen in tandem with the overall market, peaking near $3,360, but has not yet broken through the neckline of the previous consolidation zone. The previous consolidation zone's neckline is around $3,450. Only a strong breakout above this level will reveal significant upward potential for Ethereum. Currently, the potential remains substantial. On the daily chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross with the gap continuing to open upward and volume increasing. The KDJ lines have also formed a golden cross and are diverging upward, indicating strong bullish momentum. Overall, the market remains one of retracements with a bullish bias. Support is around $3,250, and resistance is near $3,450.
#ETH $ETH
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Bullish
kiri to the moon
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Bullish
#Strategy增持比特币 Tonight at 21:30, the U.S. will release the December CPI data. Markets generally expect the inflation data to show that price pressures remain stubborn and are still far from the Federal Reserve's 2% target. According to a combined survey by Bloomberg and FactSet: the overall CPI is expected to rise 0.3% month-on-month and 2.7% year-on-year.

The core CPI, excluding the more volatile food and energy components, is expected to rise 0.3% month-on-month and 2.7% year-on-year. Although the Cleveland Fed's Nowcast model predicts a slightly lower figure (core CPI up 0.22% month-on-month), the mainstream Wall Street view is that inflation has not significantly cooled. Data from CME Group shows that the market bets with a 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady in January.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has seen little change and remains within a broad trading range. As analyzed yesterday, as long as the price stays above 90,000, the bulls maintain a relative advantage. Although the price rose to the late night yesterday and then pulled back significantly, it has rebounded today. This suggests that buying pressure in the Asian session is stronger than in the U.S. session. On the daily chart, the moving averages show a relatively healthy trend. As long as no black-swan crash ruins the pattern, the market is likely to break upward in the near future.

The MACD lines remain above the zero line, indicating a bullish bias. The KDJ lines are about to converge into a golden cross and begin diverging, suggesting a bullish outlook, especially if the price can retest support without breaking it. Support is around 90,000, and resistance is around 95,000.
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Bullish
#Strategy增持比特币 Tonight at 21:30, the U.S. will release the December CPI data. Markets generally expect the inflation data to show that price pressures remain stubborn and are still far from the Federal Reserve's 2% target. According to a combined survey by Bloomberg and FactSet: the overall CPI is expected to rise 0.3% month-on-month and 2.7% year-on-year. The core CPI, excluding the more volatile food and energy components, is expected to rise 0.3% month-on-month and 2.7% year-on-year. Although the Cleveland Fed's Nowcast model predicts a slightly lower figure (core CPI up 0.22% month-on-month), the mainstream Wall Street view is that inflation has not significantly cooled. Data from CME Group shows that the market bets with a 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady in January. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has seen little change and remains within a broad trading range. As analyzed yesterday, as long as the price stays above 90,000, the bulls maintain a relative advantage. Although the price rose to the late night yesterday and then pulled back significantly, it has rebounded today. This suggests that buying pressure in the Asian session is stronger than in the U.S. session. On the daily chart, the moving averages show a relatively healthy trend. As long as no black-swan crash ruins the pattern, the market is likely to break upward in the near future. The MACD lines remain above the zero line, indicating a bullish bias. The KDJ lines are about to converge into a golden cross and begin diverging, suggesting a bullish outlook, especially if the price can retest support without breaking it. Support is around 90,000, and resistance is around 95,000.
#Strategy增持比特币 Tonight at 21:30, the U.S. will release the December CPI data. Markets generally expect the inflation data to show that price pressures remain stubborn and are still far from the Federal Reserve's 2% target. According to a combined survey by Bloomberg and FactSet: the overall CPI is expected to rise 0.3% month-on-month and 2.7% year-on-year.

The core CPI, excluding the more volatile food and energy components, is expected to rise 0.3% month-on-month and 2.7% year-on-year. Although the Cleveland Fed's Nowcast model predicts a slightly lower figure (core CPI up 0.22% month-on-month), the mainstream Wall Street view is that inflation has not significantly cooled. Data from CME Group shows that the market bets with a 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady in January.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has seen little change and remains within a broad trading range. As analyzed yesterday, as long as the price stays above 90,000, the bulls maintain a relative advantage. Although the price rose to the late night yesterday and then pulled back significantly, it has rebounded today. This suggests that buying pressure in the Asian session is stronger than in the U.S. session. On the daily chart, the moving averages show a relatively healthy trend. As long as no black-swan crash ruins the pattern, the market is likely to break upward in the near future.

The MACD lines remain above the zero line, indicating a bullish bias. The KDJ lines are about to converge into a golden cross and begin diverging, suggesting a bullish outlook, especially if the price can retest support without breaking it. Support is around 90,000, and resistance is around 95,000.
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Bullish
These past few days I've been unable to stop scrolling through the news—my emotions are deeply conflicted. Iran is in turmoil: street protests, internet blackouts, currency collapse... Let's talk about Iran first. Seeing those young people express their discontent, with the rial plummeting to the point where it can barely buy bread, the government reacted by cutting off international internet access entirely—effectively putting the entire country on pause. Many people struggled to contact the outside world, let alone protect their savings. Yet, at this moment, I noticed USDT (especially the version on the Tron blockchain) became a lifeline for many. Messages circulating in my social circle mentioned people using it to buy food, send money to family, and even seek cross-border help. Imagine having a digital asset pegged to the US dollar when your local currency loses value by several percentage points every day—what a sense of security that must bring. Honestly, I find myself wondering: if it were me, would I hold on to it with all my might? But reality is never simple. Last year, Iran's largest exchange was hacked, and numerous USDT addresses were directly blacklisted by Tether—leaving many people suddenly without access to their assets. The government then imposed strict measures: a maximum of $10,000 in stablecoins allowed per year, with no single transaction exceeding $5,000. Clearly, they're trying to prevent capital flight. Yet, despite this, the use of USDT hasn't stopped. According to a TRM Labs report, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has transferred over $1 billion in stablecoins over three years through two UK-registered shell companies—Zedcex and Zedxion! The key figure? That familiar name, Babak Zanjani, previously wanted globally for helping the regime launder oil money. Now, they're using USDT as an invisible conduit—56% of the transaction volume is linked to the IRGC, peaking as high as 87%. The same coin: a lifeline for ordinary people, a tool for circumventing global sanctions by certain powerful actors. $BTC #加密市场观察
These past few days I've been unable to stop scrolling through the news—my emotions are deeply conflicted. Iran is in turmoil: street protests, internet blackouts, currency collapse... Let's talk about Iran first. Seeing those young people express their discontent, with the rial plummeting to the point where it can barely buy bread, the government reacted by cutting off international internet access entirely—effectively putting the entire country on pause. Many people struggled to contact the outside world, let alone protect their savings. Yet, at this moment, I noticed USDT (especially the version on the Tron blockchain) became a lifeline for many. Messages circulating in my social circle mentioned people using it to buy food, send money to family, and even seek cross-border help. Imagine having a digital asset pegged to the US dollar when your local currency loses value by several percentage points every day—what a sense of security that must bring. Honestly, I find myself wondering: if it were me, would I hold on to it with all my might?

But reality is never simple. Last year, Iran's largest exchange was hacked, and numerous USDT addresses were directly blacklisted by Tether—leaving many people suddenly without access to their assets. The government then imposed strict measures: a maximum of $10,000 in stablecoins allowed per year, with no single transaction exceeding $5,000. Clearly, they're trying to prevent capital flight. Yet, despite this, the use of USDT hasn't stopped.

According to a TRM Labs report, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has transferred over $1 billion in stablecoins over three years through two UK-registered shell companies—Zedcex and Zedxion! The key figure? That familiar name, Babak Zanjani, previously wanted globally for helping the regime launder oil money. Now, they're using USDT as an invisible conduit—56% of the transaction volume is linked to the IRGC, peaking as high as 87%.

The same coin: a lifeline for ordinary people, a tool for circumventing global sanctions by certain powerful actors.
$BTC #加密市场观察
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