LIVE零下二度
@lingxiaerdu1314
腾讯大粤网前健康频道主编，白桦林撰稿人，经典语录微博大V。短线狙击手，进退有序，道法自然。人称“度神”。个人推特：@jackli727
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Firm belief in Bitcoin’s bull market cycle!
In February 2021, I randomly found a piece of paper in a hotel on a business trip and simply drew the time nodes and multiple difference analysis of Bitcoin's historical cycle. That day, I studied the previous two bear and bull cycles of Bitcoin. It was already in a bull market at that time, so I made an inference on the possible time point of the highest point of the bull market that year. At that time, I concluded that we were in the upward range of the third bull-bear cycle of Bitcoin at this time, and the highest point would definitely occur in a certain period of time. At that time, I had already locked the time of Bitcoin's highest point in November 2021 (of course its highest point turned out to be 69,000, and I overestimated it by more than 20,000 US dollars). This is also the reason why I gradually cleared out the Bitcoin position from mid-November to early December 2021 when it was around 60,000, leaving only 10% of the position that I have held until now. Regarding the detailed inference at the beginning of 2021 when predicting the highest point of the bull market at that time, I published it that month. The following is a screenshot of the analysis that year. (Many people in last year’s big bear market didn’t realize until they looked back that November 2021 was the month when the last bull market ended?) In the afternoon, I reviewed the first three bear-bull cycles of Bitcoin from 2011 to 2021, and the first three Bitcoin declines. The correlation between half time and the end of the Fed’s balance sheet reduction. The start and end time of the next bull market cycle has basically been determined again. As the saying goes, experience is the best teacher, sometimes better than technology. Please firmly believe that Bitcoin’s fourth bull market cycle will officially start in May next year, and will still end in November-December 2025. Under special circumstances, it will be postponed to January of the following year. It is undeniable that all bull markets since the birth of Bitcoin have ended almost from the end of one year to January of the following year. When I reviewed the characteristics of the first three Bitcoin bull cycles, I also looked at the operating characteristics of the first three halving cycles of Litecoin. Combined with the characteristics of this month, I also affirmed a conclusion: Litecoin’s halving time this year is The trend is completely in line with its historical cycle operation rules (the specific characteristics were posted on the afternoon of July 31). Therefore, we don’t need to be too anxious about the current volatile market, don’t be depressed, and get through the next half of the year, and we can welcome the highlight moment again in the first half of next year! 💪Believe in the big cycle operation rules of Bitcoin, this is your true belief in it!
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In short-term trading, from a purely technical perspective, as long as the 4-hour MACD does not fall below the zero axis, in principle, there is no need to focus on shorting. Only after the 4-hour MACD falls below the zero axis is it the watershed between long and short positions in the short term. Shorting is addictive, and the retracement below 4 hours is not large, and it will rebound after a little drop. As long as you chase the short position once at a low level, it is easy to be swallowed by the rebound (rebound) in the short term.
There are two ways to do it from today to tomorrow:
1. Low-long: Find a high point to stop profit in the intraday rebound. 62350 below 62700 can still enter the market once. If it falls below and touches 61750-61666, it will rebound again and there will be an opportunity to stop profit and leave. Basically follow the principle of retreating 10 and entering 6.
2. High-altitude: The skills of shorting are higher than those of long positions because it is a reverse operation. At present, the strong pressure is still 63800. You can go short when it is close to it, and set a loss of 65000. Step back to 62700 to stop profit and start trying the pattern with half of the remaining. Basically follow the principle of advance 10 and retreat 6.
There are two ways to do it from today to tomorrow:
1. Low-long: Find a high point to stop profit in the intraday rebound. 62350 below 62700 can still enter the market once. If it falls below and touches 61750-61666, it will rebound again and there will be an opportunity to stop profit and leave. Basically follow the principle of retreating 10 and entering 6.
2. High-altitude: The skills of shorting are higher than those of long positions because it is a reverse operation. At present, the strong pressure is still 63800. You can go short when it is close to it, and set a loss of 65000. Step back to 62700 to stop profit and start trying the pattern with half of the remaining. Basically follow the principle of advance 10 and retreat 6.
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Last night, BTC rebounded to 63800 during the US trading session. The group was notified in real time that 63925 and above were taken profits, which was quite timely. If you fail to break through effectively several times, you should start to lower your profit expectations. For the low-long orders that failed to take profits last night, you can take profits in batches when the intraday rebounds today. The current decline is still not strong, and the low-long strategy is still the main one, retreating to advance.
At present, the 12-hour MACD dead cross opens downward, but it is still far away from the zero axis. There is a certain support between 62700 and 62350, which is still a low-long opportunity. However, the small-level MACD below 1 hour has fallen below the zero axis. The current rebound belongs to the pullback below 1 hour, so the intraday rebound is limited, and above 63600 becomes resistance.
At the macro level, the rebound momentum of the 2-day line has begun to weaken, the rebound momentum of the 3-day line has not weakened yet, and the 5-day line currently closes with a small cross. Therefore, there will be a small correction in the short term, and there will not be much adjustment. But we should be prepared for the information today and tomorrow. If it is bad news, it may fall back to around 6w. If it is good news, it will pulse down again. But the hourly rebound began to weaken, and 63800 has not been stable. The bulls may start to give up the attack slowly. In the short term, low-long is still the main, and high-short is the auxiliary. You can take a small position in the high-short, and it is safer to fight and retreat at the same time.
At present, the 12-hour MACD dead cross opens downward, but it is still far away from the zero axis. There is a certain support between 62700 and 62350, which is still a low-long opportunity. However, the small-level MACD below 1 hour has fallen below the zero axis. The current rebound belongs to the pullback below 1 hour, so the intraday rebound is limited, and above 63600 becomes resistance.
At the macro level, the rebound momentum of the 2-day line has begun to weaken, the rebound momentum of the 3-day line has not weakened yet, and the 5-day line currently closes with a small cross. Therefore, there will be a small correction in the short term, and there will not be much adjustment. But we should be prepared for the information today and tomorrow. If it is bad news, it may fall back to around 6w. If it is good news, it will pulse down again. But the hourly rebound began to weaken, and 63800 has not been stable. The bulls may start to give up the attack slowly. In the short term, low-long is still the main, and high-short is the auxiliary. You can take a small position in the high-short, and it is safer to fight and retreat at the same time.
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Last night, the first stop-profit point of BTC low long order was 63725, which is almost becoming one of the support points. Today, it is basically possible to go long if it falls back from 64800 to 63725. In theory, the space below it is for covering positions.
Synchronously enter ETH 2612 and SOL 149.50.
Synchronously enter ETH 2612 and SOL 149.50.
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For most altcoins, I personally think that they will not replicate the glory of the last bull market, and it is difficult to see a violent rise of dozens, hundreds, or thousands of times. The fundamental reason is that the epidemic has hit the real economy hard. In the post-epidemic era, all walks of life are struggling, and the cash flow in the hands of investors is shrinking. It is difficult for current project parties to compare with the strength before 2020. And the rise in the market needs to be supported by the continuous entry of funds. It is difficult for the rise to be sustained by institutions alone. Under the comprehensive contradictions of lack of money and wanting to make money quickly, deflation and inflation, most of the altcoins in this bull market, including ETH and the leaders of various sectors, will not be as satisfactory as the last bull market.
To be honest, if the altcoins return to the high point in March this year, I will reduce my position by 80%. If the price rises by about 1.5-2 times from the current price, I will basically clear all my positions.
Some spot mid-term reduction point planning:
near: target 7.5-9.0, reduce position by 80%;
fet: target 2.50-3.00, reduce position by 80%
sol: target 178-196, reduce position by 30% (long-term profit based on the currency standard, do not pursue the highest point, sell in batches above 178).
gala: target 0.0330-0.0425, reduce position by 30%;
mana: target 0.45, reduce position by 30%.
To be honest, if the altcoins return to the high point in March this year, I will reduce my position by 80%. If the price rises by about 1.5-2 times from the current price, I will basically clear all my positions.
Some spot mid-term reduction point planning:
near: target 7.5-9.0, reduce position by 80%;
fet: target 2.50-3.00, reduce position by 80%
sol: target 178-196, reduce position by 30% (long-term profit based on the currency standard, do not pursue the highest point, sell in batches above 178).
gala: target 0.0330-0.0425, reduce position by 30%;
mana: target 0.45, reduce position by 30%.
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9.25-9.26 Strong support update in the short term:
BTC: 62700
ETH: 2538
SOL: 144.25
Thursday and Friday are basically the time points for ups and downs. If it goes down, the above are the best entry points for the three currencies (ultra-short-term bottom-picking points), and there is a lot of profit space when it retreats upward. Before this, the low-absorption position should not exceed 20%, leaving a hand free to take the needle and cover the position.
The high altitude can be arranged in batches at 65025, 66660, 67300, and 67650. It is recommended to take 3-4% ant warehouses at each point. Stop profit when you get a point and step back. Until you touch 67650-68350, you can start to try the pattern.
BTC: 62700
ETH: 2538
SOL: 144.25
Thursday and Friday are basically the time points for ups and downs. If it goes down, the above are the best entry points for the three currencies (ultra-short-term bottom-picking points), and there is a lot of profit space when it retreats upward. Before this, the low-absorption position should not exceed 20%, leaving a hand free to take the needle and cover the position.
The high altitude can be arranged in batches at 65025, 66660, 67300, and 67650. It is recommended to take 3-4% ant warehouses at each point. Stop profit when you get a point and step back. Until you touch 67650-68350, you can start to try the pattern.
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Traders begin to bet big on a rate cut in November, or another 50 basis points
After weaker-than-expected U.S. consumer confidence data released on Tuesday, investors are more inclined to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points in the November 7 resolution.
The Fed is expected to cut interest rates by a total of about 75 basis points in the remaining two rate cuts this year, with meetings on November 7 and December 18, which means that one of the meetings will cut interest rates by 50 basis points.
Position data show that since the Fed made its decision last week, the interest rate market has begun to prepare for November 7. Open interest in two-year Treasury futures has increased significantly.
In the past week, JPMorgan Chase's Treasury clients' direct long and short positions both increased by 2 percentage points, and the net long position remained unchanged at 6%. The number of direct shorts by all clients is currently at its highest level in a month.
After weaker-than-expected U.S. consumer confidence data released on Tuesday, investors are more inclined to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points in the November 7 resolution.
The Fed is expected to cut interest rates by a total of about 75 basis points in the remaining two rate cuts this year, with meetings on November 7 and December 18, which means that one of the meetings will cut interest rates by 50 basis points.
Position data show that since the Fed made its decision last week, the interest rate market has begun to prepare for November 7. Open interest in two-year Treasury futures has increased significantly.
In the past week, JPMorgan Chase's Treasury clients' direct long and short positions both increased by 2 percentage points, and the net long position remained unchanged at 6%. The number of direct shorts by all clients is currently at its highest level in a month.
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BTC will fluctuate violently tomorrow, with very important information stimuli throughout the day. It may reach a new high, and the short-term strategy is still mainly low-long. Therefore, you can start to ambush and receive needles in batches from today.
Tomorrow (Thursday) information:
7:50: The Bank of Japan released the minutes of the July monetary policy meeting
12:00: Accenture (ACN) announced its 2024 Q4 financial report before the US stock market on the 26th
12:02: Jefferies (JEF) announced its 2024 fiscal year Q3 financial report after the US stock market on the 25th
20:30: The number of people who continued to apply for unemployment benefits from September 14 to 21, the final value of the annualized quarterly GDP deflator in the second quarter, and the final value of the annualized quarterly personal consumption expenditures (PCE) in the second quarter
21:10: Boston Fed President Collins hosted an online meeting on central bank supervision and financial inclusion, and Fed Governor Kugler will attend
21:20: Fed Chairman Powell pre-recorded a video to open an event
21:25: FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams delivered a speech
22:30: Fed Governor Barr delivered a speech
Tomorrow (Thursday) information:
7:50: The Bank of Japan released the minutes of the July monetary policy meeting
12:00: Accenture (ACN) announced its 2024 Q4 financial report before the US stock market on the 26th
12:02: Jefferies (JEF) announced its 2024 fiscal year Q3 financial report after the US stock market on the 25th
20:30: The number of people who continued to apply for unemployment benefits from September 14 to 21, the final value of the annualized quarterly GDP deflator in the second quarter, and the final value of the annualized quarterly personal consumption expenditures (PCE) in the second quarter
21:10: Boston Fed President Collins hosted an online meeting on central bank supervision and financial inclusion, and Fed Governor Kugler will attend
21:20: Fed Chairman Powell pre-recorded a video to open an event
21:25: FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams delivered a speech
22:30: Fed Governor Barr delivered a speech
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BTC hit a new high this morning. Today, BTC needs to confirm that it can stabilize at 63,800. Once confirmed, the space between 66,000 and 67,700 will be opened.
Sol also took the lead and reached a new high of 154. It stepped back to 152-150 to confirm that it stabilized at 149, and the target will be in the range of 157-164.
ETH's target remains unchanged. It was said a week ago that it would stabilize at 2460 and reach 2796.
Sol also took the lead and reached a new high of 154. It stepped back to 152-150 to confirm that it stabilized at 149, and the target will be in the range of 157-164.
ETH's target remains unchanged. It was said a week ago that it would stabilize at 2460 and reach 2796.
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The current callbacks are all at the hourly level. Short selling can only be short-term, and it is necessary to stop profit in time, otherwise it is easy to spit out. In the short term, it is still mainly low and long. Only after breaking 6w will the decline accelerate. Try not to have a pattern before that, because it has not been confirmed that it will go down.
In the short term, BTC 63800-65000 (stand firm at 63800, target 66000), ETH 2686-2742 (stand firm at 2660, target 2796), SOL147.25-149.50 (stand firm at 147, target 157. They are all strong pressure zones. You can stop profit on long orders and short them when they are close. The strong short-term supports are 62350, 2520, and 140.85, and they will be updated after breaking.
If the above pressure cannot be stabilized before Wednesday, the bulls may have to temporarily give up the attack, because it is almost the end of the month, and the long positions will begin to converge.
In the short term, BTC 63800-65000 (stand firm at 63800, target 66000), ETH 2686-2742 (stand firm at 2660, target 2796), SOL147.25-149.50 (stand firm at 147, target 157. They are all strong pressure zones. You can stop profit on long orders and short them when they are close. The strong short-term supports are 62350, 2520, and 140.85, and they will be updated after breaking.
If the above pressure cannot be stabilized before Wednesday, the bulls may have to temporarily give up the attack, because it is almost the end of the month, and the long positions will begin to converge.
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I still maintain the view that ETH can see around 2796 if it stands firm at 2460. Just like when it was about to fall below 2775, I saw 2400 directly. The three nearest shorting points above are: 2660, 2742, and 2796.
2626-2630 is the second touch, and you can still take part of the profit, and the remaining position can still be taken in the direction of 2660-2796, because BTC has not yet confirmed that it has stood firm at 63800.
If all long orders have been taken profit, the strategy will be different if you go long again, because the cost is getting higher and higher. Once BTC turns around, it will go down immediately. Therefore, if you open a long position again, you need to set a stop loss to defend the 2560-2536 area. And each resistance point needs to take part of the profit, and release the position in time to avoid being trapped in the whole position.
2626-2630 is the second touch, and you can still take part of the profit, and the remaining position can still be taken in the direction of 2660-2796, because BTC has not yet confirmed that it has stood firm at 63800.
If all long orders have been taken profit, the strategy will be different if you go long again, because the cost is getting higher and higher. Once BTC turns around, it will go down immediately. Therefore, if you open a long position again, you need to set a stop loss to defend the 2560-2536 area. And each resistance point needs to take part of the profit, and release the position in time to avoid being trapped in the whole position.
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Last night, the long orders received at sol 141.50 need to stop profit halfway when the price rebounds to around 147.25, which is the benchmark of BTC's 63800. Since BTC has fallen to 62350 three times and has gained support, if it stands firm after three attempts at 63800, the space above 157 and 162-164 will be opened. Then the low longs received at 141.50 can be taken more after stopping profit halfway at 147-149, because even if it falls to 139-138 later, it will rebound to 142-143, and you can directly cover the position. Therefore, the low longs received at 141 will basically not lose money and can be profitable at any time.
Similarly, ETH is also synchronized with BTC. In the short term, it needs to stop profit halfway when it rebounds to 2626-2660. Defend 2560, and go long at 2460-2442 after it actually breaks.
Similarly, ETH is also synchronized with BTC. In the short term, it needs to stop profit halfway when it rebounds to 2626-2660. Defend 2560, and go long at 2460-2442 after it actually breaks.
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Having a sense of crisis and living in the long run is the hard truth!
Only a person who dares to face his mistakes can see the future. Only a person who has his own error correction mechanism can go far. On the road ahead, there are not only flowers and colorful clouds, but also thorns and haze. On the road of right and wrong, true and false, we stumble and fall all the way, and the key is to survive for a long time.
The Internet has memory. Especially the Chinese Twitter cryptocurrency circle is very small. No matter what you do, someone will be watching you. Before last year, I basically didn't use Twitter. My Twitter received thousands of private messages overnight before the Spring Festival this year. That's how I gained followers, not by increasing my content little by little. People who know me know that I made a fortune by doing sol after October last year. Before that, I basically had no followers. I was happy to make profits and losses by doing transactions quietly. If I didn't have fans, I wouldn't have joined the group before March. Joining the group was purely for entertainment at the beginning. The most unsuccessful thing I did was that I hired a few outsiders to receive money, and at the same time, I wanted to support them out of compassion, but I didn't do it myself. This directly led to the rampant scams after I became indifferent to the paid business for a period of time. Many Twitter high-imitation accounts and small accounts appeared, and even the scammers made the "Zero Two Degrees" paper airplane account into a certified account to attract fans. I cannot estimate how many people will be harmed by these human-shaped maggot creatures, nor can I prevent this from happening. I can only remind you again and again that any issues regarding funds must be handled with caution and must be confirmed via private messages on Twitter.
The Internet has memory. Especially the Chinese Twitter cryptocurrency circle is very small. No matter what you do, someone will be watching you. Before last year, I basically didn't use Twitter. My Twitter received thousands of private messages overnight before the Spring Festival this year. That's how I gained followers, not by increasing my content little by little. People who know me know that I made a fortune by doing sol after October last year. Before that, I basically had no followers. I was happy to make profits and losses by doing transactions quietly. If I didn't have fans, I wouldn't have joined the group before March. Joining the group was purely for entertainment at the beginning. The most unsuccessful thing I did was that I hired a few outsiders to receive money, and at the same time, I wanted to support them out of compassion, but I didn't do it myself. This directly led to the rampant scams after I became indifferent to the paid business for a period of time. Many Twitter high-imitation accounts and small accounts appeared, and even the scammers made the "Zero Two Degrees" paper airplane account into a certified account to attract fans. I cannot estimate how many people will be harmed by these human-shaped maggot creatures, nor can I prevent this from happening. I can only remind you again and again that any issues regarding funds must be handled with caution and must be confirmed via private messages on Twitter.
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BTC is still in a small adjustment within the 4H level, and the invisible rebound momentum at the daily level has not weakened at all, indicating that the bullish sentiment is still strong, which is the effect of the unexpected interest rate cut of 50 basis points. Therefore, the sideways fluctuations (63300-62350) at the 4H level are predicted to be a sideways decline. Today, the 8H level formed a dead cross, and there is a certain possibility of a short-term retracement, but the reaction is not strong. The short-term retracement is mainly long, 62350/62000 (secondary reception requires ant warehouse low absorption), 61450, 60850/60750 can still be hung low. Each point may rebound, and the first one to take profit.
In the absence of major negative stimulus, short-term shorts must be wretched at present, and take profits in batches to protect the principal and loss. Next, it is recommended to use only 2-3% of the ant warehouse to go short near each resistance point, and keep BTC up 3000-5000 points, and only accumulate 6-9% of high short positions.
If the hourly level retracement ends, it will be upgraded to the daily level adjustment without major negative stimulus. Once it stabilizes near 62800, the bulls may attack the 66000-67700 range. 63800, 64600, and 65500 are the three nearest small profit-taking points above. When it breaks through 66000 and encounters the needle-piercing on Thursday and Friday, it may step back to 63800 again. This rebound is different from the last time. Last time, after breaking through 62700, it directly skipped 63800 and attacked 65000. It was a false pull at the end of the rebound wave. The 65000 point was a weak resistance in the previous bullish trend, and its status was not as good as a dog. It was restricted by 63800. This time, it rebounded step by step to 63800 and fell back when it encountered resistance. This is a normal natural retracement after a rise.
In the absence of major negative stimulus, short-term shorts must be wretched at present, and take profits in batches to protect the principal and loss. Next, it is recommended to use only 2-3% of the ant warehouse to go short near each resistance point, and keep BTC up 3000-5000 points, and only accumulate 6-9% of high short positions.
If the hourly level retracement ends, it will be upgraded to the daily level adjustment without major negative stimulus. Once it stabilizes near 62800, the bulls may attack the 66000-67700 range. 63800, 64600, and 65500 are the three nearest small profit-taking points above. When it breaks through 66000 and encounters the needle-piercing on Thursday and Friday, it may step back to 63800 again. This rebound is different from the last time. Last time, after breaking through 62700, it directly skipped 63800 and attacked 65000. It was a false pull at the end of the rebound wave. The 65000 point was a weak resistance in the previous bullish trend, and its status was not as good as a dog. It was restricted by 63800. This time, it rebounded step by step to 63800 and fell back when it encountered resistance. This is a normal natural retracement after a rise.
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Sol fell back to 144.50 to get support, and the high point of the band can be seen at 162-164. 157 is the starting point for the attack of 180-200. 157-159 may fall back 7 points before rebounding. After breaking 160 for the first time, it will fall back to test the stability of 157, so this is a short-selling opportunity.
The exchange rate of eth:/btc has risen, and it has received support at 2516 in the short term. After confirming that it has stabilized at 2460, the high point of the band can be seen at 2796. Historically, when the bulls are strong, these 300 points are flat, and there is no strong pressure in the middle. 2626/2630, 2666/2688, and 2742 have certain resistance, which are short-selling opportunities.
The exchange rate of eth:/btc has risen, and it has received support at 2516 in the short term. After confirming that it has stabilized at 2460, the high point of the band can be seen at 2796. Historically, when the bulls are strong, these 300 points are flat, and there is no strong pressure in the middle. 2626/2630, 2666/2688, and 2742 have certain resistance, which are short-selling opportunities.
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For long orders below sol cost price 141, if half of the profit has been taken at 149-152, you can add 1/2 of the existing position when it falls back to 150-147, and defend 141.25. Continue to get 157-159 and then take 2/3 of the profit. After falling back a few points, add some positions and get 163-164 to close the whole position.
You can start to try shorting at 157-162. If you have low long orders in hand and can do two-way, you can go short boldly. Take a 3% ant position at each point, and wait for the top divergence to appear before adding short positions, and take profit when it falls back.
The rise in the past two days has been like a bull market, which feels long overdue.
You can start to try shorting at 157-162. If you have low long orders in hand and can do two-way, you can go short boldly. Take a 3% ant position at each point, and wait for the top divergence to appear before adding short positions, and take profit when it falls back.
The rise in the past two days has been like a bull market, which feels long overdue.
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The Mid-Autumn Festival effect is evident, the main force enters the market and breaks directly.
Before September 17, BTC can see 61600, 62300, and 62650 in turn. Retrace to 59300-58880 to cover positions.
BTC high point is 2520-2560. Retrace to 2399-2380 to cover positions.
Sol band high point is 147.50-148.50. Retrace to 137.50-136.65 to cover positions.
You can find a high point to run on the third day of the Mid-Autumn Festival, and then the general direction will be determined after the Fed's interest rate meeting.
Before September 17, BTC can see 61600, 62300, and 62650 in turn. Retrace to 59300-58880 to cover positions.
BTC high point is 2520-2560. Retrace to 2399-2380 to cover positions.
Sol band high point is 147.50-148.50. Retrace to 137.50-136.65 to cover positions.
You can find a high point to run on the third day of the Mid-Autumn Festival, and then the general direction will be determined after the Fed's interest rate meeting.
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BTC has been fluctuating since April and it has been six months. If we look at the same period last year, September should be a month of reversal and all-in. But the monthly line is not going well and it is a downward structure. This shows that the main force is not confident in the future market. As long as 65,000 cannot be reached, the bearish trend cannot be reversed.
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BTC: Directly short at 58200-58500, try the pattern after falling back to 57350 and stop half of the profit.
ETH: Try the pattern at 2392, and try the pattern after falling back to 2336-2282 and stop half of the profit.
SOL: 136.25-137.50, try the pattern after falling back to 133.50 and stop part of the profit.
ETH: Try the pattern at 2392, and try the pattern after falling back to 2336-2282 and stop half of the profit.
SOL: 136.25-137.50, try the pattern after falling back to 133.50 and stop part of the profit.
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