Last night's public class 'The Work of Mountains and Rivers' seemed a bit sentimental, but thinking back over the past three years, I've lectured once a week, averaging one hour each time, consistently for three years, through wind and rain. Over these three years, the accuracy of my predictions has been over 85%. Whether it was the major rebound on June 18, 2022, or the big bottom of 16,000 on November 1, or the 'Going All In' in December, or 'Aiming for 30,000' at the beginning of 2023, etc., every cyclical fluctuation of the market has been accurately captured by us. I am also very grateful for the support of over two thousand students and tens of thousands of fans of the public classes. There is no banquet that does not end; if I had made grand promises when the market was at 30,000, it would certainly have reached 100,000 by now. I consider myself to have walked through the glorious journey with all of you. Now it’s time to change the approach. There are many words of nostalgia and blessings from everyone, I know, and just like I said last night, I hope everyone does better and better in the future. Moving forward, it’s not that I’m retiring; I will still come to show off on the square, right? Or I can casually hold a voice livestream and we can chat a bit.
This is the comment section report from die-hard fans or students, just to get familiar faces.
I have been doing knowledge education in the currency circle for a short time, only one year, but we have achieved heights that others cannot reach in their lifetime. In October last year, the bottom was predicted to be 15,500. In December, the New Year was predicted to be a bull market. 3.5u apt was deployed. In the spring of 2023, more than 20 spot stocks were doubled, etc. We have been telling our students not to sell for less than 30,000 yuan. But there are many people who are not willing to go. Face these things, it is funny to think that we can eat leeks now. If you are right, some people will criticize you, if you are wrong, others will complain. Too many leeks is actually a good thing.
Sui has unknowingly approached from 0.88u in May to now 5u, nearly five times. The number of buyers may vary, but this is enough.
I remember last year we participated in Sui at a lower position. I simply flipped through the chat records, and last year’s holdings also had gains, but I don't know if I could hold on until now. After all, the heart of the Dao is different for everyone.
As usual, four pictures, wishing everyone a happy new year
All the groups were disbanded two months ago, so there was no live broadcast of the New Year's Day outlook this year. Then I was idle, and I was thinking about what I said at the beginning of 24 years, so I went to watch the live broadcast replay at that time, because we have saved all the live broadcast replays of hundreds of public classes.
If you are interested in this live broadcast replay, you can also listen to it yourself. Basically, it is consistent with what actually happened. (The video replay was uploaded on Weibo)
Then let's take a look at what I said about my New Year's Outlook on January 3, 24 years
Figure 1 Live broadcast for 20 minutes to analyze the long-term trend of Bitcoin
I asked everyone if you think it can reach 80,000 within two years. Okay, you think it can reach 80,000. Then I will tell you that the biggest wealth code today is to start buying Bitcoin now. At that time, Bitcoin was less than 50,000.
Figure 2 Live broadcast at the 26th minute
Analyze the possible hot tracks in 24 years
Such as the RWA track, content production track and AI track. Later, we participated in RWA and ondo was 10 times. It seems that we did not participate in content production. There are more AI sectors involved, such as ctxc, wld and rdnt.
Figure 3 37 minutes of live broadcast Analysis of CZ's closure and ftt restart My analysis is basically consistent with the actual situation CZ encountered later. It is not the first time to analyze ftt restart. The first time was in May 2023. At that time, it was said that it was a no-brainer to hold for a long time below 1u.
Figure 4 40 minutes after live broadcast Analysis of short-term market Anyway, the idea is that 24 is a bull market, and there may be only two big opportunities for everyone. If you don't grasp it, it will be more difficult in the future. And it is said that the current 4.5w of Bitcoin will not have a big correction, and it will continue to break through 5w.
This month's trend is basically consistent with our predictions. This month, there was only one action, which was at the lowest point on December 20.
Then silence.
On the 27th, I mentioned that Bitcoin would attempt to break through 97,000, but it must hold steady.
Chart 2: Yesterday's viewpoint on Bitcoin at 94,000 was that it would continue to drop to 92,000, and then we would see if it could hold at 92,000. It was also mentioned that the drop would start after the U.S. stock market opened.
Chart 3: Today's viewpoint is a rebound at the 92,000 position.
Chart 4: This is the public course live broadcast from my assistant organized from 2022, I will link it later.
This year has already come to an end, everyone, good luck next year.
In the circled part of Figure 1, you can zoom in to see me live streaming in November 2022. At that time, I mentioned that 16,000 is a major bottom, a critical moment that determines everyone's fate. In this live session, I accurately predicted that the bottom for Bitcoin would be 15,500.
Links cannot be posted here; the link is on Weibo. If you want to see it, you can check it out there, or you can look at Figure 2 on Twitter, it's pinned at the top. These live streams are open to anyone for free, so even if you want to learn, it must be out of your own will.
Figure 3 shows the comments from trolls during my live stream that day.
Although I have been teaching and clarifying doubts in the crypto space for three years, to be honest, it is very, very similar. This is also why we are no longer accepting students this year. In fact, if you go into education, basically no one will recognize it because everyone will think it's a way to exploit others. But there are indeed some people whose original intention and vision are not to exploit. Because you must understand me; if I wanted to exploit, there are countless ways to do it. For example, if you want to take my course, you first need to register with a referral link. I could also take them to trade contracts or buy some garbage coins. But I haven't done any of that.
During these three years, we have conducted purely free public classes for a full three years, with over 300 sessions, averaging one hour each, every Tuesday and Friday without fail. If we were exploiting others, then being able to give free lectures for three years is also a kind of skill, because this at least proves that I have not run away, nor have I dared to show my face because I led everyone to lose money.
I casually took a few screenshots; everyone can take a look. This is our previous live stream content, and there are timestamps on it, all free, with a very high content value. If you want to see it now, you can still check it out.
For example, the part I circled in the image is basically an analysis of Bitcoin's key market movements, whether I said it would go up to 30,000, 40,000, or 100,000, it has all been realized step by step.
In fact, many fans have privately messaged me asking if I can resume this public class live stream, but I can't. Even if I say that I might sometimes chat with everyone live on Binance Square, it's very rare, and the time is very short.
Every industry has its good and bad; there are both scams and those who stick to their original intentions. It depends on your fate and what kind of encounters you will have.
Let's talk about Lqty. Lqty hit a record high without you noticing, which is quite weird. There is still room for the project value. I talked about it many times in the public class last year, but basically didn't talk about it this year. But I remember talking about it internally, so I checked the historical speeches. Sure enough, in May, we talked about small positions internally. In our thinking system, small positions do not need to set stop losses. You only need to increase positions when the decline exceeds a certain percentage.
What's interesting is that if you look at the views in May, you can see that we were also planning ens and velodrome at that time.
For example, the original words about ens in Figure 3 are "get more than 30u, get off the train if you feel it's not worth it, and don't affect others." I didn't expect that I was still talking wildly at that time.
Figure 4 contains the analysis of bome and velodrome at that time.
Don't criticize me for being an afterthought this time, after all, I posted a square immediately after entering the market.
Last night was the first time I entered the market this month, and the effect was very good. At 8 o'clock in the evening, I posted a square, and that position happened to be the lowest price of all projects. You can earn 15% by buying any spot.
We bought babydoge, which rose by 40 points, and the others were basically around 20 points. I just notified that I had cashed in. I will basically not make any more layouts in the future. Remember, I don't make any layouts not because I don't understand this market, nor because I don't have the ability to be afraid of overturning. You have to know that I play the second level, and there are no less than 200 that have doubled in the past three years. Even if this market is difficult, it will never be us who will collapse first, that's all.
There is a big customer in the group. In the past few days, he has successively bought 10 or 20 million spot goods. In the end, he will admit that Shura is more capable.
This is the record of the first bottom-fishing of this month, achieving great success. Currently, the overall rise of the clone is about 12%.
This is my first clear entry this month, at 8 PM tonight, you can see that I specially posted an update at 8 PM in the square. Although the core part was pixelated, you know what I mean, and that’s all that matters. I entered around 92,500 for Bitcoin, which has pulled back from the highest point of 108,300 to around 92,000. Many people misjudged the market trend and entered early to bottom-fish, like classmate Yangzi. I estimate he bought 20 million early, and he probably lost about 3 million. Just a couple of days ago, he was telling everyone to be brave and eat crabs, to dare to bottom-fish, but right now he must be regretting it, saying he won’t enter the market or bottom-fish anymore in the future.
The last three charts show our market views from the past few days. You can see that we thought at that time that the market had not reached the bottom, and we did not encourage everyone to act. Including the view expressed today at noon, there was nothing further to add, but at 8 PM tonight, I directly said that bottom-fishing is possible.
For example, on the 18th, when Bitcoin was at 104,000, I said the adjustment was not adequate and did not recommend positioning. On the 20th, which is today at noon, I said there were no further views, but in the evening I directly said to enter the market.
You might be very anxious about the market, but you need to understand that there are also many potential opportunities in this market. When the number of market players increases, the thinking of the big players and the thinking of the retail investors are in conflict, but the truly core things remain unchanged. Once you learn this, you can adapt to changes without being affected.
Old rules, four pictures At 8 PM, the first entry of this month has been completed, and work has been wrapped up. The altcoin has rebounded by more than ten points overall. At 8 PM, the big cake also started to rebound at that time. Men shouldn't be so quick, they should hold on.
Picture 3 Just informed everyone that the rebound has occurred, the altcoin has averaged an increase of about 8 or 9 points. Picture 2 A few dozen minutes ago, I posted in the square saying this is our first move, which can also give the fated ones an idea. Picture 1 I told everyone that the short-term bottom of 92,000 will rebound; some content has been pixelated, as a protection of student knowledge. Picture 4 is a forged image.
See, it's not that there are no opportunities, it's just that you can't find the right opportunity position.
Looking back at the past three years, there were more than 800 people at most, and there were many passers-by, and some of them formed good friendships. I have been thinking, what is the best farewell? To be honest, when I heard a student tell me that he was about to expire and leave, I felt guilty. Was it because I didn’t do well enough, otherwise why didn’t they continue to follow you? But I have also met many people who made tens of millions of dollars with you, but in the end they still didn’t say a good word about you. So whether you leave or not has little to do with your ability. From this point of view, there is no most satisfactory farewell, but life is short and it is a great fate to meet each other. We still have to be decent and bless them, and wish them no longer lonely in the future. I also thought about wishing them a lot of money, but the investment market is definitely not like that.
This classmate didn’t hold on to either LTC or ENS in the end, but he was content. Those who are content are always happy.
The old rule, four pictures ENS has theoretically increased by 20 times in the past two years
Picture 1: Yesterday, during my livestream, a classmate asked me to analyze ENS. I said it doesn't need analysis at all; it's going to reach 50. Analyzing it is just like taking off your pants to fart, completely unnecessary. It has already reached that point today.
Picture 2: A student reported good news this morning, high-level Versailles, complaining that they bought too little.
Picture 3: This is also from everyone's recent comments, ENS has at least 300 people who have doubled their investment.
Picture 4: This is a random screenshot I took of the comments about ENS in my square. I've been playing with ENS since 7u, and I've had so many intermediate waves that I can't even count them.
The velodrome we started playing last year is now on bn. Overall, it has increased tenfold; this is quite awkward. Initially, I didn't plan to update recently, but then this happened today. Velodrome is a bit bizarre; we internally call it "the letter" because the name is too long. We started playing it in September last year; it really is about asking for favors and in the end, it all depends on luck.
Images 1, 2, and 3 are chat records. Image 4 is a speech from last December at the square, which mentioned the letter.
Actually, there's not much to talk about today, because although the market performance is poor, I find it quite normal. We have basically not made any layouts this month, relying on the old capital from October and November, gradually unloading during the rise. Even so, we achieved more than 20 times the spot doubling in the past two months.
The only few times I mentioned this month are: Everything else has been about selling. Recent updates will also decrease. Remember to enjoy the present.
1. I told everyone that Bitcoin sold above 100,000 can be bought back around 95,000. This might be the only layout we did this month. 2. I shared the long-term view on kas. 3. Yesterday I mentioned that move is online, and it can be considered at a low position. However, I didn't specify how low is considered low, and I don't want to discuss it.
The old rule, three pictures Today after finishing dydx, playing with baby dog babydoge has been playing before going on bn At that time, it was okx xiaocang meme regular investment I’m too lazy to look for the chat records right now Tonight we continue to have hot pot Everyone eat first
Here’s an update on the student who asked me about dydx yesterday, because she used to complain a lot about dydx. Her cost was below 1u, now it’s 2.5u. I’ll see how her results turn out.
Let me interject. My head is still spinning. I drank until after one last night; the girls born after 2000 really know how to party. Even after it ended, they didn’t want to go home, insisting on staying out. Conveniently, my friend was drinking at a bar next door and said he was drugged. As soon as I heard that, I ran over and left him on the roadside, not caring anymore. Turns out he just got drunk—two hundred pounds, couldn’t wake him up, and my friend thought he had been drugged.
She said she sold out at 1.3u and switched to pepe and stx for the long term. She thinks it’s pretty good, so I won’t say anything more. The deeper we go into this phase, the more I feel that this circle is exhausting, often requiring explanations for a lot of things. At this stage, I think communication costs are the highest. I’d rather spend a few days doing nothing and playing games than stress over a few coins, so the threshold will only keep rising.
Old rules, four pictures Today dydx is really strong, right? It has doubled, right? Then let’s invest in dydx. You don’t need to be curious about how I managed to double my investments with 22 brothers in spot trading over 40 days. There are many more impressive brothers in the square, and you can mention a few in the comments.
In the past two months, we have been long-term investing in dydx below 1u, along with ldo below 1u, and both have already doubled.
dydx being able to break into the mainstream is thanks to Trump, but that’s not the core of the dydx project. I haven't said a bad word about it in the past three years. What I say the most is that I keep holding dydx below 1u for the long term. Unfortunately, I can only show four pictures.
Picture 1: My early views on dydx; there were too many early viewpoints, so I just flipped through some previous internal discussions. Picture 2: Classmate discussing dydx; back then it was below 1u, and we basically complained every day, asking if we could invest. To be honest, I really can’t lead that, and I don’t want to anymore. Just now I asked her, "How much did you earn from dydx?" She probably hasn’t seen the message yet. Picture 3: A student who just sent me a message today said they earned 160k from dydx, and there are many similar students. However, no one has sent me pictures; I can’t actively ask for them. I know many of them bought and have doubled their investments; that’s their own business. Picture 4: Early picture of the square; last year we also chased dydx at 3u. If you look at the current price, you’re still losing money, right? So there will always be opportunities for critics to criticize you.