千杯不醉
@kmpanpx
穿越牛熊的老韭菜
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The location is good, sell at 0.995
$USUAL Please hold on tight, go up 1
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The project team of ICP has made a fortune in the last bull market, and even after such a decline, it still has a market value of 5 billion. Similar to FIL, it is not favored, and the crypto circle prefers new coins over old ones.
$ICP is 2 times away from deflation
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Institutions are not buying Ethereum's spot ETF, the biggest reason is that large holders of ETH hold more than 50%. If institutions buy, they will just be the retail investors.
Crypto飞哥
--
How high can ETH rise at the peak of the bull market???
This is actually quite easy to estimate.
I estimate the reasonable price of Bitcoin during the bull market to be between $140,000 and $160,000. I settle on $155,000.
In a major bull market, Bitcoin's market share is 0.32. Therefore, the total market cap of the crypto market is $155,000 * 21,000,000 / 0.32 = $10,171,875,000,000.
The peak market share of ETH in a bull market is 0.2.
$10,171,875,000,000 * 0.2 = $2,034,375,000,000.
$2,034,375,000,000 / 120,000,000 = $16,953.
The current price of Bitcoin is $94,000. If it rises to $155,000, that’s a 70% increase.
So if ETH rises 4 times, it will reach the peak price.
However, I tend to discount my own estimates by 30%. I'm not very confident.
So the price of ETH would be $16,953 * 0.7 = $11,727.
How much Bitcoin and Ethereum do you hold? Multiply by these two numbers, and that’s roughly your peak profit in the bull market.
I personally believe it won't be too far off.
This is actually quite easy to estimate.
I estimate the reasonable price of Bitcoin during the bull market to be between $140,000 and $160,000. I settle on $155,000.
In a major bull market, Bitcoin's market share is 0.32. Therefore, the total market cap of the crypto market is $155,000 * 21,000,000 / 0.32 = $10,171,875,000,000.
The peak market share of ETH in a bull market is 0.2.
$10,171,875,000,000 * 0.2 = $2,034,375,000,000.
$2,034,375,000,000 / 120,000,000 = $16,953.
The current price of Bitcoin is $94,000. If it rises to $155,000, that’s a 70% increase.
So if ETH rises 4 times, it will reach the peak price.
However, I tend to discount my own estimates by 30%. I'm not very confident.
So the price of ETH would be $16,953 * 0.7 = $11,727.
How much Bitcoin and Ethereum do you hold? Multiply by these two numbers, and that’s roughly your peak profit in the bull market.
I personally believe it won't be too far off.
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Unlimited space below 96000
One-hour line 12 consecutive positives?
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Tonight's non-farm payroll is very important
$ETH
⚡️ＥＴＨ⚡️
When I saw this passage,
I instantly became Emo!
I originally thought that posting on the square would affect everyone's judgment,
so I thought I would try to control it.
Until I saw 80-year-old Trump,
posting 200 tweets a day,
I realized at that moment that
I was not working hard enough! 😊
Learn from this old man in 2025! 🫡
Update 4-5 Ethereum points every day!
Try to live broadcast every Monday to Friday at 9 pm every day!
Supervise the entire network!
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
⚡️ＥＴＨ⚡️
When I saw this passage,
I instantly became Emo!
I originally thought that posting on the square would affect everyone's judgment,
so I thought I would try to control it.
Until I saw 80-year-old Trump,
posting 200 tweets a day,
I realized at that moment that
I was not working hard enough! 😊
Learn from this old man in 2025! 🫡
Update 4-5 Ethereum points every day!
Try to live broadcast every Monday to Friday at 9 pm every day!
Supervise the entire network!
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
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A garbage game token, not related to AI
With only 20 million in trading volume, $AI can be lifted, indicating that the institution has a high level of control over the market and has already started to consider lifting it, especially if Bitcoin cooperates.
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For spot, 1.25-1.3 is acceptable. The MA180 moving average is 1.24.
Third day of being trapped in dydx, added a position last night, but why do I still feel like it will drop? Is it my illusion? $DYDX
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It's not too late to enter when the Ethereum upgrade starts to boost the market.
Third day of being trapped in dydx, added a position last night, but why do I still feel like it will drop? Is it my illusion? $DYDX
See original
DYDX has another big market movement, likely pulling up to 10U. Just seize the opportunity.
$DYDX I have said long ago that there is no bull market at all, and that altcoins will ultimately become worthless. The investors have already made their profits; going long is merely fuel. The market logic is that the majority of people cannot make money.
See original
There are no more copycat seasons, only a few strong coins can rise.
KZG 口罩哥
--
The market has been in a state of collapse in the past few hours! I thought the 97,000 level would hold, but the bad news kept coming out, which made the market confused.
Let me first talk about what happened:
1. Trump made big news again
- The New York court rejected his request to postpone the sentencing, so he may have to face trial before he is elected
- Then he made a harsh statement at Mar-a-Lago, saying that he would annex Canada, seize the Panama Canal, etc. This shocked the international community
2. Musk suddenly poured cold water
- Everyone thought that X platform was going to do crypto payments, but Musk directly said that he would not consider it for the time being
- He said that he would do fiat currency payments first, which immediately dampened the enthusiasm of the currency circle
3. How terrible is the data?
Take a look at the liquidation data in the past 4 hours:
- A total of 136 million US dollars were liquidated
- ETH was liquidated for more than 40 million
- BTC was liquidated for 25.1 million
- DOGE and SOL were liquidated for about 6.6 million each
- The worst hit were the bulls, accounting for 91.9%
The attitude of the Federal Reserve is not optimistic either:
- It is basically certain that it will remain on hold in January (95.2% probability)
- There is not much hope for a rate cut in March, and the probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged is more than 60%
In the short term, the market will definitely continue to fluctuate, after all, there are so many negative factors. But don't be too pessimistic, in the long run, the development prospects of cryptocurrencies are still very good. The most important thing now is to keep a stable mentality and don't be carried away by market sentiment. Don't indulge in various high-multiple contracts...
#加密市场回调 $BTC
Let me first talk about what happened:
1. Trump made big news again
- The New York court rejected his request to postpone the sentencing, so he may have to face trial before he is elected
- Then he made a harsh statement at Mar-a-Lago, saying that he would annex Canada, seize the Panama Canal, etc. This shocked the international community
2. Musk suddenly poured cold water
- Everyone thought that X platform was going to do crypto payments, but Musk directly said that he would not consider it for the time being
- He said that he would do fiat currency payments first, which immediately dampened the enthusiasm of the currency circle
3. How terrible is the data?
Take a look at the liquidation data in the past 4 hours:
- A total of 136 million US dollars were liquidated
- ETH was liquidated for more than 40 million
- BTC was liquidated for 25.1 million
- DOGE and SOL were liquidated for about 6.6 million each
- The worst hit were the bulls, accounting for 91.9%
The attitude of the Federal Reserve is not optimistic either:
- It is basically certain that it will remain on hold in January (95.2% probability)
- There is not much hope for a rate cut in March, and the probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged is more than 60%
In the short term, the market will definitely continue to fluctuate, after all, there are so many negative factors. But don't be too pessimistic, in the long run, the development prospects of cryptocurrencies are still very good. The most important thing now is to keep a stable mentality and don't be carried away by market sentiment. Don't indulge in various high-multiple contracts...
#加密市场回调 $BTC
See original
Yesterday said to short, and it immediately went down, really smooth
$ETH
⚡️ＥＴＨ⚡️
A K-line caused a snow case!
Sorry, my friends!
Someone seriously affected my judgment!
Choose to believe 3900-4100!
As early as a few days ago,
I said several times that the 12-hour moving average is still down.
The weekly K is down!
There will be a correction after a wave of rise!
As a result, I didn’t expect that the top of 3740
is really a bit unreliable!
Although it’s a good escape from the top!
But the second entry point
was not chosen well!
The positions of 3600-3500 have been seen!
As a result, this 3400-3350,
I really didn’t expect it to be so fast!
Judging from the current situation,
I don’t know whether the two minefields of 3203 and 3025 will be gone!
Those who are alive, please be careful!
I just drew a line,
it is likely to be between 13-15,
you can arrange long-term!
Waiting for the old man 👴 to come on stage and shout orders!
Many people drive without a license,
which leads to losses!
Today, in order to give back to my friends!
I will give you all my years of study materials for free!
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
⚡️ＥＴＨ⚡️
A K-line caused a snow case!
Sorry, my friends!
Someone seriously affected my judgment!
Choose to believe 3900-4100!
As early as a few days ago,
I said several times that the 12-hour moving average is still down.
The weekly K is down!
There will be a correction after a wave of rise!
As a result, I didn’t expect that the top of 3740
is really a bit unreliable!
Although it’s a good escape from the top!
But the second entry point
was not chosen well!
The positions of 3600-3500 have been seen!
As a result, this 3400-3350,
I really didn’t expect it to be so fast!
Judging from the current situation,
I don’t know whether the two minefields of 3203 and 3025 will be gone!
Those who are alive, please be careful!
I just drew a line,
it is likely to be between 13-15,
you can arrange long-term!
Waiting for the old man 👴 to come on stage and shout orders!
Many people drive without a license,
which leads to losses!
Today, in order to give back to my friends!
I will give you all my years of study materials for free!
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
See original
Shorting at highs is safer, waiting for the death cross on the Bitcoin four-hour chart to pull back before entering a short position.
$ETH
⚡️ＥＴＨ⚡️
Last night, I flew from 3622 all the way to 3740!
Tonight, 3625,
Can we continue the sequel of yesterday?
Let's wait and see!
Hahaha!
Although the position is 3600,
it has never broken 3625!
No more waiting!
It's almost 9:30!
Americans, stand up!
Take off🛫!
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
⚡️ＥＴＨ⚡️
Last night, I flew from 3622 all the way to 3740!
Tonight, 3625,
Can we continue the sequel of yesterday?
Let's wait and see!
Hahaha!
Although the position is 3600,
it has never broken 3625!
No more waiting!
It's almost 9:30!
Americans, stand up!
Take off🛫!
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
See original
How can I see that Auntie is waiting for the momentum of the pancake to end and then go to 2800?
$ETH
⚡️ETH⚡️
Just mentioned,
4 o'clock change point stands above 3688!
Tonight welcomes a rebound!
As a result,
it didn't hold,
and even turned down!
Let's see if 3650 can hold on!
Danger ⚠️!
The current shape really is a hammer!
For those who haven't entered,
you can go near 3650 to buy!
The 4 o'clock shape is too important!
As a result, it has been so dragged down!
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
⚡️ETH⚡️
Just mentioned,
4 o'clock change point stands above 3688!
Tonight welcomes a rebound!
As a result,
it didn't hold,
and even turned down!
Let's see if 3650 can hold on!
Danger ⚠️!
The current shape really is a hammer!
For those who haven't entered,
you can go near 3650 to buy!
The 4 o'clock shape is too important!
As a result, it has been so dragged down!
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
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Hold the non-farm payroll drop on Friday to below 90,000
How did I go from 20 times to 125 times, what is going on #BTC
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Shorting can reach the target
I have already made 500U in January, which is a good start. I hope to earn 5000U this month, hahaha. For those who are worried that I will hold onto my positions or will lose back all my winnings, you don’t need to worry about that. I have long since recovered my principal and am only playing with profits. The earnings are also profits generating profits. As for holding positions, I have been holding onto one RVN and haven’t sold it. This is something I firmly believe in.
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Smash the plate
That big dog transferred 40,000 ether to Binance, what is this for? #ETH
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Let's have an AI leading coin
Quoted content has been removed
See original
It's time to empty it. The pancake is about to release the flood.
$ETH
⚡️ETH⚡️
Since I can't beat the crops,
I'll just go long around 3640!
Small position, no loss!
Looking bullish on 2-hour, 4-hour, and daily charts!
Weekly chart is downward,
I can't be bothered with that!
I'll short you after a day or two!
Old Six!
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
⚡️ETH⚡️
Since I can't beat the crops,
I'll just go long around 3640!
Small position, no loss!
Looking bullish on 2-hour, 4-hour, and daily charts!
Weekly chart is downward,
I can't be bothered with that!
I'll short you after a day or two!
Old Six!
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
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Now 99500 shorting is the peak, the bull market will continue to push up.
鬼族研习社
--
Here we have to pay attention to one issue, that is, if the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Act is passed after Trump takes office, I am afraid that many countries will follow suit. However, there are only 21 million Bitcoins, and 3.7 million have been permanently lost, that is, there are about 16 million in circulation at present. However. In addition, a large number of chips are now in the hands of whales like MicroStrategy. Although these whales will sell off later, the number of sales will definitely be limited. In other words, supply is insufficient to meet demand. If sovereign funds of various countries follow suit in the future, the supply and demand relationship will drive the price of Bitcoin to continue to rise. As for how high it can rise? I am afraid no one knows.
In short, in the next 5-10 years, Bitcoin still has room for growth within 10 times. As long as there is no economic recession in 2025, Bitcoin may have a long-term bull market similar to gold in the four years of Trump's administration. #币安全球用户突破2.5亿 #比特币走势观察 #2025有哪些关键叙事？ #比特币战略储备
In short, in the next 5-10 years, Bitcoin still has room for growth within 10 times. As long as there is no economic recession in 2025, Bitcoin may have a long-term bull market similar to gold in the four years of Trump's administration. #币安全球用户突破2.5亿 #比特币走势观察 #2025有哪些关键叙事？ #比特币战略储备
See original
Last night I made an empty at 3500, originally intended to take profit at 3415, but it just didn't reach the target after slowly grinding, so I just ran away in the afternoon.
$ETH
⚡️ＥＴＨ⚡️
I really don’t understand this circle!
I posted a message at noon,
and someone fooled me!
One more reminder,
4-hour turn,
be careful!
Short-term around 3400,
long-term around 3125!
Around next Monday!
Even if I don’t short,
it’s not because of anything else,
but it could pull back at any time,
and I’ll be trapped!
Short-term is not fun,
I’m ready to play long-term!
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
⚡️ＥＴＨ⚡️
I really don’t understand this circle!
I posted a message at noon,
and someone fooled me!
One more reminder,
4-hour turn,
be careful!
Short-term around 3400,
long-term around 3125!
Around next Monday!
Even if I don’t short,
it’s not because of anything else,
but it could pull back at any time,
and I’ll be trapped!
Short-term is not fun,
I’m ready to play long-term!
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
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OMG 😱!
What was done to shorts is unforgivable.
From $89k back to $95k.
You were warned. This is still a bull market 🐂.
$BTC daily close:$94,505.
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