What is rising, is it rising with the butt? There's plenty of space below.
Old九歌
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$BTC $ETH $SOL 12.12 Midnight Analysis Episode 80 Good late night, crypto traders, I am Jiuge. After the US CPI announcement, the data met expectations, and traders increased their bets on a Fed rate cut in December. The US dollar index fluctuated by 20 points in the short term. Spot gold rose by 5 dollars in the short term.
The first quarter of next year is very important concerning monetary policy, which will determine the opening of the US stock and crypto markets for the next 25 years. The biggest risk factor is the potential inflation brought about by the tariff plan advocated by Trump's administration.
However, for now, the market remains optimistic, mainly because previous analyses have shown: Trump's governance is centered around controlling immigration, increasing tariffs, and enhancing the high-tech industrialization process. These aspects are relatively beneficial for market advancement, as increasing domestic circulation is better than creating troubles everywhere.
Looking back at Bitcoin's performance over the past two days, it has indeed been quite strong; it hasn't broken below 94,000, and I haven't been able to catch the 93,800 dip. Especially during this downturn, the market has been accumulating, whether by large holders or retail investors, with the underlying logic being to satisfy the interests of vested parties. Given the current situation, the likelihood of a one-sided market is low. Excluding the ranges on the 4-6-8 hour levels for now, the 12-hour golden cross currently does not support a downturn. Therefore, the best approach would be to oscillate at a high level for a while longer, giving altcoins a chance to rally. After going sideways, this trend may directly continue to oscillate within the 8-hour channel, retreating to 94,800. Additionally, another rise on the 12-hour could lead to a secondary high of 104, initiating a major correction.
Ethereum's decline is somewhat broken; it still requires a recovery period this week, and the strengthening of the Sol ecosystem will temporarily put Ethereum in a consolidation phase, a phenomenon that has generally been consistent.
The recent rise of Sol can temporarily see the position of 231.237. This pressure cannot be ignored, so Sol's trend has not improved; it still needs to consolidate. The 12-hour level needs to close up for any rise; otherwise, there is still a possibility of a fourth spiral downturn.
Operations: Bitcoin can try a short at 101, with a stop at 102. Target 95. Ethereum short at 3835, stop at 3865, target 3550. Sol short at 231, add at 237, stop at 240, target 215.
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