SHZQ

Last month, I predicted correctly again!!! I said that $60,000 is very likely the bottom, and it turns out I was right.
Yesterday, Bitcoin suddenly rebounded to 74050, and the rebound was very strong. Although it has been fluctuating back and forth during this period, it is unlikely to drop below $60,000 again. So, it is very likely that $60,000 is the cycle bottom. If it drops a bit more, we can consider building positions or increasing our holdings in batches. At least a quarter of the bottom position should be maintained to prevent missing out on opportunities after a sudden surge.
In the future, it is very likely to mainly rise slowly; a significant increase seems impossible. We may have to wait a few months before the time for a big surge arrives. For now, it mainly fluctuates back and forth, after all, no K-line is straight.
BNB and ETH have rebounded reasonably well, while other platform tokens are quite average. It seems that everyone still only trusts Bitcoin and major company platform tokens.

The above analysis is limited to personal thoughts for self-entertainment and does not constitute any investment advice. Please do not compare. $BTC

Breaking news, it's indeed rare for Bitcoin to drop more than 10% in a day. Referencing the black swan events, today Bitcoin, BNB, and ETH have fallen to 62345, 602, and 1818 respectively, which is almost nearing the bottom. Those with a strong risk appetite can consider buying at this low, suggesting to buy half, while those more risk-averse can purchase a quarter. Opportunities like this are fleeting; once missed, they won't return. Last month, it was predicted that Bitcoin would drop below $80,000, and unexpectedly, it fell to over $60,000 in just 7 days. Such a decline is indeed significant. Personally, I believe the bottom should be around $60,000, and it won't break below $50,000 unless Bitcoin truly collapses. Let's wait and see. For those predicting $20,000 to $30,000, I believe that's absolutely impossible.

PS: I have already bought half, and if it drops another 10% or more, I will continue to buy.

The above views are for reference only and do not constitute any investment advice; profits and losses are to be borne by oneself.
$BTC

A few days ago, Bitcoin surged a lot, right? Many people thought the bull market had arrived, and there were talks about breaking 100,000, with others wanting to go long. Even that well-known influencer started promoting the idea of not believing in the four-year cycle. These people are truly bad. On January 15, Bitcoin reached a high of 97924, with a previous low of 80600, indeed rising nearly 20,000 points. However, I can only tell you that this is a classic trap set by capital, just waiting for retail investors to chase and get stuck. It's estimated that some retail investors have already been fooled. The U.S. stock market isn't doing well either because the prosperity of the American capital market is fake; in reality, the unemployment rate is very high. The current trend of the U.S. slashing through the line shows that life for the lower class in America is actually not easy either. Additionally, with the devaluation of the dollar and the appreciation of the yuan, the American economy is not as good as you might think. In summary, my personal view is that there is a high probability that Bitcoin will drop below 80,000. It won't be too late to buy then, so there's no need to rush. Personally, I estimate that this year's bottom should be after May. If Bitcoin is very low in between, it can be purchased at any time, so timing is just for reference. Don't be discouraged; the bottom is this year, and the market will rebound in the next couple of years, so just hold on. The sun always shines after the storm.

The above points do not constitute any investment advice; profits and losses are at your own risk and are purely speculative. $BTC #Gold and silver prices hit new highs.

Bitcoin rose from a low of 80600.00 on November 21 to 94588.99 on December 10, which is about right. Next, it is highly likely to continue primarily declining, with occasional rebounds being normal, but it is impossible to change the overall downward trend.
To this day, there are still a few big influencers claiming that Bitcoin will break $150,000 early next year; these people are either foolish or malicious.
I personally predict that it will fall to a lower point next year. As for the specific month it will hit the bottom, it cannot be determined for now, but the rule to follow is to buy in batches when it drops to your target price.
Bitcoin is expected to slowly rise in the future, similar to gold, but becoming rich through Bitcoin is no longer possible. It can only be said that it will be more stable and higher than any financial product on the market.
If you still want to get rich by trading coins, you might as well give up, because the current rise is only a few times, and the era of volatile price surges and drops is over. Now it is more regulated, so the rise is basically similar to the U.S. stock market, and it may even be worse than the U.S. stock market in the future, but at least it is stable and predictable. Buying in the U.S. stock market is also very challenging because the number of stocks that have been declining for a long time is far greater than those that are rising, so making money from U.S. stocks also requires skill. Stock selection, timing of entry, and exit all require skill and courage. Relatively speaking, Bitcoin is much more stable; although the profits are small, at least you won't incur significant losses.
As for other altcoins, I suggest you don't touch them, because if you don't have insider information, you will earn little and lose a lot. I never buy coins that are promoted by Changpeng Zhao because I have been fooled once. To put it bluntly, if there is no benefit, do you think he will help promote other people's coins? And regarding coins issued by exchanges, I tell you, except for BNB, all other coins have nothing to do with exchanges.
ETH is the same; buy when it hits the bottom, don't rush. I am currently in cash.
As for what price level is the bottom, follow the prices I wrote about last month; please refer to the November notes for specifics.
Currently, in the long term, gold is the best at resisting inflation and the central banks' poor issuance of currency. However, physical gold cannot be taken out of the country, and large amounts of cash cannot be liquidated. Therefore, Bitcoin still has a bright future because it was created with the intention of not being controlled by central banks and can circulate freely worldwide.

The above analysis is purely personal speculation; please do not take it seriously. Any similarities are purely coincidental. $BTC

First, the conclusion:
This round of the bull market cycle has ended, the peak was in October, including but not limited to BTC, BNB, ETH, SOL, etc.
Reason: Based on the calculation of the time intervals between past bull and bear markets.
The reason why Bitcoin and BNB have risen so much this time is entirely due to the large purchases of reserves by publicly listed companies in the US stock market, driven by these strategic companies. When these strategic companies do not have enough funds to continue buying, it will be time to decline.
Currently, the largest reserve company for Bitcoin, MicroStrategy, not only has no money to continue purchasing, but may even sell a small portion of Bitcoin to maintain company operations, as the company's stock price has fallen below the value of Bitcoin.
Bitcoin is currently not related to the US stock market; not only is it unrelated, but it is also dragged down together when the US stock market declines.
The bear market low will be next year, with BTC prices dropping below $80,000, BNB below $750, and ETH below $2,500.
This round of market conditions is similar to previous predictions, with Bitcoin close to $130,000, BNB not exceeding $1,400, and ETH being the most disappointing, as it was expected to exceed $6,000, but it didn't even reach $5,000.
Some people think there might be a rebound in December; a rebound is normal, but breaking through new highs is almost impossible.

The above analysis is purely for personal entertainment and does not constitute any investment advice. Please do not compare; profits and losses are at your own risk.
#加密市场回调 $BTC

Congratulations🎉BNB continues to break new highs today, currently reaching $1083. In my personal opinion, it is estimated that within a few years, the price of BNB will surpass ETH because BNB is deflationary, with only 139 million tokens, while ETH, although it is also 121 million, keeps increasing every month and can be issued infinitely. Therefore, unless there is always a large number of buyers, and they must continuously purchase more than the amount issued, this is why ETH can never surpass BTC. BTC will always only have 21 million, and whoever holds enough BTC can control the price.

Aside from BTC, I am most optimistic about quality platform tokens, because unless the platform collapses, issues more tokens, or lacks foresight and intentionally exploits investors, the price can only continue to rise. Platform tokens are comparable to growth stocks, reflecting the future growth of the platform.

The peak of this cycle is expected to be in October and November, and BTC and ETH may surge again before starting a significant correction.

The above views do not constitute any investment advice; profits and losses are at your own risk. This is purely my personal opinion, and I share it for mutual encouragement!
#BNB创新高

Monthly updates start now:
From the market charts, the daily level has formed a downward trend, and it will continue to decline in the short term. As previously predicted, ETH has indeed not broken through the 2021 high so far. Although it is higher than my prediction of 4000 last month, as long as it does not significantly exceed the 2021 high, it only indicates that this year it will definitely not exceed 8000 points. Even if it later breaks 6000 points, that would only be a trap to lure people in. Just like before with Bitcoin, even though many public companies purchased reserves, it not only did not continue to rise but actually continued to decline. This only indicates that as long as their current reserve scale does not account for more than 40% of the total supply, they cannot influence the larger trend.
My holdings:
Short-term strategy: For the spot I bought a long time ago at a very low price, consider selling half or two-thirds and keeping one-third as reserve.
Long-term strategy: If planning to hold for more than ten years or worried about missing out, then do nothing and hold it for twenty or thirty years, as it will only keep rising in the long run.
Personally, I judge that Bitcoin, Ethereum, and BNB will not be too high this year. If you want to double your investment, I can confidently say that it is impossible.

The above analysis does not constitute any investment advice; it is for reference only and you bear your own risks.

Urgent Update:
The altcoin season has arrived a few days ago, and those altcoins that have not risen so far are unlikely to have significant opportunities later. Because the market is currently experiencing a general rise, if they are not increasing now, it will be even harder for them to rise later.
The altcoin season comes quickly and goes even faster, and it is estimated that it will end soon, so it is recommended to take profits in batches.
I mentioned last month that Ethereum would rise significantly, and it has come true. The long-term target is 4500, the short-term target is 3900, and on July 21, it reached 3860. Now, you can take profits in batches. Personally, I judge that this year may not break the 4868 high from 2021. Of course, nothing is absolute; I am just saying that the probability of breaking the new high from 2021 is relatively small.
Bitcoin maintains the previous view, with a maximum of 130,000 by 2025. On July 14, it reached 123218.00, and it is showing signs of weakening. Similarly, I recommend taking profits in batches.
Profit-taking basis: The market is generally bullish now, especially with large institutions strongly promoting bullish sentiments, which is very dangerous. Do not be greedy; most people currently hold a lot of profits in Bitcoin and Ethereum, so it is advisable to take profits in batches rather than all at once, to prevent being lured into another surge.
For those who have not yet bought Bitcoin or Ethereum, it is suggested to refrain from purchasing for now, as there is a risk of getting caught at the peak.
The last wave of this bull market will occur in the next few months and will end soon!
This round of rotation is nearly over, starting with Bitcoin breaking new highs, followed by Ethereum approaching last year's high near 4000. Today, BNB also broke a new high, and mainstream altcoins like SOL, DOGE, and others have generally surged. Therefore, various signs indicate that this rotation comes quickly and leaves even faster.

This article is not investment advice, and any profit or loss is at your own risk. Personal views are for reference only. The only reason for sharing this is to hope that everyone can make money without being greedy. I sincerely do not wish for anyone to lose money, as earning is not easy. The analysis is only for spot trading. If you have different views, please keep them. I am only sharing my personal spot trading ideas, and I have already taken profits in batches.

The monthly update is here:
Are you feeling anxious seeing the big drop on June 23rd? Don't be afraid, this is just the beginning, a larger drop is still ahead.
Take a look at the monthly chart; aside from ETH, which might not have a significant drop, BTC and BNB will definitely experience a big drop later.
Let's analyze the likely trends ahead:
Either it will continue to fall;
Or it will rise one last time between July and November, breaking new highs before the real big drop arrives.
In summary: After each big drop, if it reaches your expected entry point, just accumulate in batches, and definitely avoid chasing high prices to prevent buying at the peak.
Currently, aside from considering a very small increase in ETH, do not add to any other positions.
The above content is purely personal speculation and not investment advice; proceed at your own risk.
$ETH

Being awesome isn't just talk, and cannons aren't just for show. In the past six months, my prediction accuracy has nearly reached 100%, completely correct, even higher than the prediction market's plmaker accuracy. On April 1st, April Fool's Day, I stated that April would be the bottom of the cycle, and sure enough, it bottomed out on April 7th, followed by a storm-like surge, with Bitcoin rising from over $74,000 to $105,800 the day before yesterday, and Ethereum rising from over $1,300 to now over $2,700 (already doubled).
Now, let me boldly predict the upcoming trends: Bitcoin is likely to reach around $130,000, with a maximum of $150,000. Ethereum is likely to reach $4,000, with a maximum of $5,000-$6,000.
For me personally, if I plan to buy high and sell low in the short term, then there’s no need to buy Bitcoin if it exceeds $100,000, because the profit margin is limited, and by the end of the bull market, it will definitely drop below $90,000, even below $80,000. I also wouldn’t buy Ethereum if it exceeds $3,000, because even if it rises above $5,000, it will likely drop below $3,000 after the bull market ends.
In fact, from a historical perspective, when Ethereum dropped significantly before, many influential figures in the community claimed that Ethereum could drop below $1,000, and some even said it could drop below $500 before bottoming out. Let’s be honest, if it really drops to $500, you wouldn't dare to buy the dip.
Some people also mock Vitalik for only being interested in dating Asian girls, haha, this part is actually true. Vitalik definitely has a true love for Asian girls. Otherwise, he wouldn't have come to China to attract investment as soon as Ethereum was established; for this, he practiced Chinese hard! Back to the point, so far, Ethereum remains the first and most secure public chain preferred by major banks, universities, and top global enterprises, and each year Ethereum’s upgrades are not to be taken lightly. I ask, which public chain can focus on technical upgrades like Ethereum every year and strive to improve user experience?

PS: The above analysis is purely personal speculation and is by no means investment advice. Please view it rationally, and any profits or losses are at your own risk.

Bitcoin Pattern:
April 2021 64854.00 (Liu died, I died) → Dead
June 2021 28805.00 (I got rich) → Rich
November 2021 69000.00 (Liu saved zero zero zero) → No one saved
November 2022 15476.00 (Want me to die, let's go) → Rise
March 2024 73777.00 (Miserable, sob sob sob) → Miserable
August 2024 49000.00 (Dead saved zero zero zero) → Save
January 2025 109588.00 (Want to save me, goodbye) → Goodbye
April 2025 74508.00 (So mad, rich) → Rich
When is the next month, what is the code? Let's witness together.
April 2021 - June mid-term drop for 2 months.
January 2025 - April mid-term drop for 3 months.
Now you know when the peak of this bull market is, right!

Today is April Fool's Day. The monthly update starts now. First, I want to mention that in the previous article, I accurately predicted on March 1st that it would be difficult for Bitcoin to drop to $75,000, and once again, I got it right. Now, let's talk about the high-probability events ahead. It is expected that Bitcoin will hit the bottom and rebound this month, with the latest reversal by May. Between June and October, it is likely to reach this round's high point or come close to the previous high of around $110,000, and then start a new round of decline.
Short cycles are unpredictable, while long cycles are irreversible. If you fear a large drop, you can exit the market because whether in the stock market or the crypto space, it's all about leveraging small bets for big gains; it's about the adrenaline rush. If you lack this level of psychological resilience, you really don't belong here.
As for some so-called CEOs saying that Bitcoin will drop to $50,000 or even lower, those people are either bad or brainless. Regarding what the MicroStrategy CEO said about Bitcoin reaching $13 million in 20 years, just consider it nonsense. In any case, I don't believe it. The more Bitcoin institutions hold, the smaller the fluctuations in its rise and fall will be. In the long run, several times or a dozen times is possible; dozens of times will take a long time, while hundreds or thousands of times are no longer possible.
This article is not investment advice; profits and losses are at your own risk, purely personal speculation, and for entertainment purposes only.
$BTC

Revalidating the speculation from the previous article, published on February 2nd, friends can take a look themselves. It was previously mentioned that it would drop to over 80,000, even possibly over 70,000, and now all of that has been realized. At that time, the price was around 98,000.
Today let's analyze again:
1. Trump is trying to save the country, with national debt at 40 trillion, the pressure is too high. He is trying every means to raise funds, hence the tariff movement against the globe.
2. BTC has a death cross on the weekly chart, trending down. From a pattern perspective, combined with various indicators, there is support from the upward trend line on the weekly chart, and there is strong support around 70,000.
On the monthly chart, there is a possibility of breaking the previous high upwards, so if you bought at a low price, you can wait to sell after breaking the previous high and then buy back at a lower price.
3. From the sentiment indicator, we are currently in extreme fear, with the fear index below 20. You can decide for yourself.
4. Is this a rebound or a reversal so far? The upper resistance level is around 90,000, let's see if it can break through.
5. When others are fearful, I am greedy; when others are greedy, I am fearful. Now is the time to test you.
6. Personally, I do not believe it will drop to 65,000; anything above 65,000 is operable. Because BlackRock and MicroStrategy's cost prices are 55,000 and 65,000 respectively, it is highly likely that it will bottom out around 70,000, and it may also stop falling at 75,000.
7. The upper limit will not exceed 85,000; I will not buy if it exceeds that.
8. Personally, I only buy Bitcoin and good platform tokens.
9. The above is purely personal speculation; please do not compare it, and it is not any investment advice. You are responsible for any gains or losses.
$BTC #内容挖矿

Continuing from the last article, I guessed it right. On the night of January 19, US time, and January 20, China time, before Trump took office, Bitcoin reached $109,588, breaking the historical high. Now let's make another prediction. In this round of bull market, the last wave of this year, do you think it is possible to fall to more than $80,000, or even lower? Then break the new high for the last time. My personal guess is that the upper limit is at most $120,000 to $150,000. I will never believe what the presidents of those big companies say that it can rise to $280,000. $200,000 is absolutely impossible. Think about it. The boss of Meitu Xiuxiu is quite smart. He cleared his position at around $106,000. He didn't ask to sell at the highest price, but just about the same price. After all, they want the company to have a good annual report (selling before the New Year). As for copycats, unless you have inside information or very high technology, you really need to be very lucky to make a lot of money in the short term. I only believe in Bitcoin, including TRUMP coins. I don't believe in them. You have to remember that in the blockchain market, in addition to Bitcoin, there are also conscientious platform coins of large platforms that can have long-term development, and the rest are all garbage. How the air coins are hyped up will fall down. $BTC

As of now, Bitcoin has rebounded to $102,222 today, 20 days since its peak of $108,353 on December 17, 2024. It is highly likely that when Trump is sworn in on January 20, BTC will break new highs, with a target price of $120,000 to $130,000. Another point is that ETH may not reach very high this year, with an estimated maximum of $7,000. $BTC

Celebrate 🎉🎉🎉 Bitcoin broke through the all-time high yesterday and reached $104,088. I also know that everyone is very excited at this time and wants FOMO. In fact, I am the same, but the more this happens, the more I have to hold back. Because according to historical experience, when greed continues for several consecutive months, then the decline will not last for several months, so it is preliminarily estimated that it will reach the end around March 15, 2025? At present, the target price of Bitcoin remains at 120,000 to 140,000 US dollars. Of course, if you are investing regularly, it will not affect it. No matter whether it rises or falls every month, you can invest regularly (such as El Salvador 🇸🇻), but the relative profit is lower, but the advantage is that you will never miss the opportunity.
#BTC新高10W #ETH大涨

The iron rule of bull market speculation:
1. Rapid rise and slow fall means accumulation of chips
Rapid rise but slow fall means that the dealer is accumulating chips and preparing for the next round of rise.
2. Rapid fall and slow rise means selling
Rapid fall but slow rise means that the dealer is gradually selling and the market has entered a downward cycle.

As of now, Bitcoin has risen to $93,265, just one step away from $100,000. For the next step, I think $120,000 should be no problem, and at most $150,000.
This bull market seems to be a pure Bitcoin bull market. You can see that other coins such as Ethereum and Binance Coin, as well as some other platform coins have risen very little, so this bull market is a Bitcoin carnival.
I don’t know if this bull market is the last one, because if the price of Bitcoin is too expensive, ordinary people can’t afford it, so we should cherish the low price.
There are also those so-called big guys who say that Bitcoin is a scam. I don’t know if they are secretly buying it, or are they just deceiving ordinary people, or the more they oppose, the more they should buy, and the more they encourage, the more cautious they should be.
#BTC冲破9万 #Bitcoin❗

Warm congratulations🎉 Bitcoin has risen to $80,080 today, setting a new historical high, solidifying the investment attributes of cryptocurrency, breaking the rumors of fraud schemes claimed by some, and affirming the commodity attributes of global circulating currency. It has made outstanding contributions to the development of blockchain. I firmly hold Bitcoin for the long term, believing that $500,000 within my lifetime is not a dream, and the next step is to move toward $100,000. Go for it, Bitcoin.#BTC突破8W大关 #ETH投资