From the beginning to the top, why did Binance soar to the top? 🚀

It's potential energy!

Potential energy drives our innovation and changes the future of the industry! And this is just beginning.

In 2024, let us become "potential energy"! 💪$BNB

行情分析 11.2

兄弟们好，昨天公布了一个重磅数据
失业率符合预期，非农数据发布低于预期
这个意味着11月、12月降息25个基点的可能性增强
利好币圈

下周2/3，11.5-11.6将迎来美国总统大选
下周5，11.8美联储公布利率决议，然后鲍威尔召开新闻发布会

这几天链上数据显示，币安流入4000多个BTC，感觉风险增加
BTC如果大选之前如果暴涨，那我们要减仓
但目前涨幅不大，回调到$69800，先不用担心

下周如果川普获胜，BTC有望再冲一波再回调
但如果哈里斯获胜，BTC可能有较大回调

所以现在不宜满仓
留点子弹等BTC跌下来再买

美国大选对币圈短期有影响
但无论哈里斯还是川普获胜，对加密货币发展都有利
他们都比当前的拜登政府对币圈友好
但川普对币圈更友好

目前推荐60%仓位，避免踏空
BTC如果跌到$67000就继续加仓

#BTC #美国大选后行情预测 $BTC

Market Analysis 10.31

From on-chain data, stablecoins have been in an inflow state from October 24 to 30,
but have not broken through the previous highs of the past two months,
funds have all flowed into BTC, and there has not been a spillover effect into altcoins.
From October 28 to today, over 10,000 BTC have flowed out of exchanges.

It seems that BTC is still set to rise, but how much of a pullback will it have?
Whales and ETF large capital costs are at $55,000, and the current price is $72,000, currently profiting 30%.
Over the past 10 years, the S&P 500 index has averaged an annual increase of over 12%.
If the BTC price reaches $82,000, they will profit more than 50%,
equivalent to achieving over 5 times the stock market index increase in one year.
It is estimated that they will start to take profits.

So if it rises close to $82,000, BTC may experience a major pullback.
Currently, from on-chain data, BTC is still flowing out, so the risk is not large.

Regarding the U.S. election, this year's U.S. presidential election may be the most closely contested in history. The two candidates are evenly matched, and in seven swing states, polls show their support rates are neck and neck, with all differences within the margin of statistical error, so it is still uncertain who will win or lose.

The small non-farm payroll data released last night recorded an increase of 233,000, the largest increase since July 2023.
Slightly negative, strong employment impacts the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.
Tonight at 8:30 PM, PCE will be announced, and non-farm payroll data will be released tomorrow night at 8:30 PM.

If the non-farm payroll data over the next two days does not cause significant negative impacts,
BTC may build momentum and potentially break through $74,000.
#BTC #下一BTC历史新高是多少？ $BTC

Market Analysis 10.21

Hello, brothers, a new week has begun.
BTC is stronger than expected. It was predicted to fall by about $1,000 a few days ago.
But it only fell by $500 and continued to rise.

From the on-chain data, since the large-scale inflow of stablecoins in the exchange at the end of August,
there is no sign of decline at present.
And BTC in the exchange continues to flow out.

There are more people shorting than longing,
so it will continue to rise.

When will the altcoin season come?
According to historical rules, seven months after each halving, the altcoin season begins, and Bitcoin's dominance begins to collapse. This halving is in April, so seven months later it will be November-December. The altcoins are rising violently, but also fast. Many brothers who missed the opportunity did not make arrangements in advance to catch up, so they can only hang on the top of the mountain. Another point is that the altcoin season usually occurs in the last stage of each cycle. Last week, we said that the US election results will definitely rise before they are announced. But after the election, whether Trump wins or loses, there will be a correction and a drop of 10%. Because if Trump wins, then all the good news will be bad news. If Trump loses, it will also be bad news, so there will be a drop. So this time we have to reduce our positions and stop profits between the big rises in the US election. There is also a black swan about to take off. The THAAD missile defense system has been put into use in Israel. Israel has recently been perfecting its plan to attack Iran. The attack on Iran is certain. Gold is rising sharply. If a war breaks out, BTC will fall by 5%.

So the current position is critical.
If you don't buy, you're afraid of rising prices. If you buy, you're afraid of falling prices.
Investment is like this. There is no guaranteed profit.
You can only watch the general trend rise and take the risk to avoid missing out.

We always recommend holding FTM. It's about to break through. Sell it after breaking $1.

DOT, CHR, and AR can also be ambushed.

STX is about to explode.

#BTC #BTC要挑战7W大关了吗？ $BTC

Market Analysis 10.17

Hello, brothers
BTC has risen to the point we predicted last week, $68,000.
The embarrassing thing is that if BTC continues to rise, the risk of copycats will increase.
Only when BTC falls back to the sideways range can copycats rise sharply.

From the data on the chain, the recent BTC flow in the exchange is still outflowing.
The amount of Bitcoin reserves held by the exchange is now reported at about 2.68 million, a record low.
A big trend is brewing.
Brothers who bought BTC should not get off the train rashly,
otherwise they will not be able to catch up with the rise.

The US election in November is approaching, and Trump's chances of winning are increasing. This has fueled the rise of BTC. Because Trump is crazy about supporting BTC and cryptocurrencies. He also bought 🍔 with Bitcoin before. The current strategy is to hold patiently and wait for the pull. From the data on the chain, the risk is not great. When BTC hits 70,000, many altcoins will fall by about 10%. You can consider setting a stop loss to short SUI and WLD. #BTC #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ $BTC

Market Analysis 10.14

Hello, brothers, BTC has broken through $64,000,
Expected to be bullish,
But the rebound strength still exceeded our expectations

A potential conflict broke out between North Korea and South Korea yesterday
BTC fell a wave, just below $62,000
The general direction of global quantitative easing cannot be transferred
The interest rate will be reduced to about 3% before July next year, which is good for the currency circle
Focus on the general direction, don’t go against the trend

In addition to BTC, there is a trend we need to feel
“Bitcoin” Google search volume fell to the lowest level of the year, while “memecoin” search volume surged
In the future, many strong currencies will emerge in the meme coin field
The group will also strengthen analysis, and the VIP group will recommend more meme coins

Current market deduction and prediction:
Israel attacks Iran or the North Korea-South Korea conflict breaks out, causing BTC to fall below $61,000
Then it rebounded to more than $64,000,
BTC stayed around $65,000,
many altcoins began to pull abnormally,
gradually ushering in the altcoin season.
As the Federal Reserve gradually cut interest rates and the conflict between Israel and Iran ended,
BTC broke through the $80,000 mark at the end of the year.
#BTC #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ $BTC

行情分析 10.9

兄弟们早，10月4号到今天
交易所的BTC持续流出
特别是币安流出7000个左右

ETF方面，7号流入$2.3亿，昨天流出$5000多万
这几天总体还是净流入
BTC的成本进一步提高
我们看BTC的周K线，发现54周均线逐步接近价格，目前已经是$55000
说明1年以来购买BTC的大部分人成本是$55000，目前只盈利%12

结合宏观经济，包括中国在内的全球大部分国家，
新一轮的量化宽松政策逐步启动
所以这是一波新牛市
A股的资金，有一部分最终会进入到币圈

目前最值得担心的就是以色列和伊朗的冲突
这几天以色列还在筹划对伊朗的石油设施进行轰炸
逐渐不听美国的警告了
看上去本周或下周还有一轮冲突
BTC受此营销可能还有一个小跌幅

等这个利空释放后，
我们可以利用剩下的子弹找机会继续抄底
#BTC #比特币走势分析 $BTC

Market Analysis 10.6
Good afternoon, brothers. The National Day holiday has ushered in a peak of return trips.
It is still nice to work and trade cryptocurrencies.
Recently, we should pay attention to these two anomalies.
(1) Abnormal reaction to non-farm payrolls.
Although the non-farm payrolls are negative, the Federal Reserve may only cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November.
But the cryptocurrency market did not fall sharply. BTC rebounded from 60,000 to $62,000.
(2) Abnormal on-chain data.
This round of conflict between Israel and Iran has caused a sharp drop.
But on-chain data shows that BTC has flowed out of the exchange.
From October 3 to today, October 6, more than 8,000 BTC have flowed out.
This week, pay attention to two events.
(1) Israel may continue to make trouble.
Yesterday, Israel sent away the successor of Hezbollah in Lebanon again.
A retaliatory attack on Iran's oil facilities is being planned.
The Biden administration hopes to avoid rising oil prices.
The White House is unlikely to approve of attacks on Iran's oil facilities.
Therefore, the probability of the conflict continuing to escalate is 50-50. If there is no war, it is a positive, and if there is a war, it is a small negative.

(2) CPI will be released at 20:30 on Thursday
Higher than expected, bearish, and only 25 basis points of interest rate cuts will be confirmed in November
Lower than expected, positive, BTC breaks through $65,000

The general trend is bullish
After the conflict between Israel and Iran is resolved, the big funds waiting on the sidelines will enter the market
BTC will still fluctuate upward.

#BTC #美联储11月降息预期升温 $BTC

Market Analysis 10.5

Good morning, brothers

The non-farm data released last night exceeded expectations and the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped. This was originally bearish for the cryptocurrency market. However, BTC rebounded due to the following three factors.

(1) The economy looks strong and has not declined, which has led to a sharp rise in US stocks, which in turn has driven BTC.

(2) BTC has fallen too much and the price is right, so large orders have rebounded.

(3) The conflict between Israel and Iran has come to a brief end.

From the data on the chain,

(1) Stablecoins continue to flow into exchanges for bargain hunting.

(2) BTC flows out of exchanges.

Although last night's non-farm data poured cold water on the Fed's large-scale interest rate cut,

there will be two more 25 basis point interest rate cuts this year.

The following three reasons determine the bullish trend.

1. We are in a rate cut cycle/the timing before global quantitative easing.

2. The current cost of BTC holders is high and the profit is not much.

3. Cryptocurrencies are supported by governments including the United States and Japan.

After the conflict between Israel and Iran is resolved,

BTC will still fluctuate upward.

#BTC #加密市场急跌 $BTC

Market Analysis 10.3

Hello, brothers, let's talk about the market from several aspects

(1) Three reasons for the decline

1. This round of decline was triggered by the black swan event of Iran's attack on Israel, which led to the decline of the cryptocurrency circle as a risky asset

2. Japan's Shigeru Ishitake came to power as the new prime minister and he is inclined to raise interest rates

3. After the large-scale rebound since September 6, the profit-taking was cleaned up

(2) Recent on-chain data

Recently, large investors are still hoarding BTC. Signs of large-scale hoarding indicate that there will be more increases in the future

The whales who entered the bull market have hardly made any profit

(3) Will it fall again?

The long-term bullish trend remains unchanged

The prices of many coins are very suitable

Brothers who missed the opportunity or had insufficient positions before can get on board at this opportunity

Don't short or sell at the bottom

(4) About ETH

This round of correction is large, and the inflation of 50,000 coins last month

It is recommended that everyone change ETH holdings to BTC

Recommended currencies: BTC, BNB, AR, CHR, FTM, KLAY

#BTC #加密市场急跌 #伊朗导弹袭击以色列 $BTC

Market Analysis 9.30

Hello, brothers, the National Day is coming soon
The market started to pull back at 5 am last night, what’s the reason?

The core reason comes from 🇯🇵
Japan's hawkish faction, Shigeru Ishiba, was unexpectedly elected as the new president of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan
This leader advocates raising interest rates. While A-shares soared,
Japan's stock market suffered a Black Monday, and a fierce sell-off plunged 5%
Japan wants to raise interest rates significantly,
then Japan's cryptocurrency investors will panic sell like stock market investors

The PCE data released last week continued to cool down, and the Fed's bet on a sharp interest rate cut still has a slight upper hand
Japan's interest rate hike has a certain impact, but compared with the positive impact of the US interest rate cut
The positive impact is still greater than the negative impact
In the new round of global quantitative easing cycle, the general trend of cryptocurrency is definitely rising
But there will be some twists and turns in the middle
Including the last wave of BTC selling pressure and war conflicts in Mentougou
Recently, the leaders of Hezbollah were almost wiped out by Israel
Israel is preparing for a ground attack on Lebanon
A larger-scale war may break out
So it is a small negative impact on the currency circle
Recently, Zhu Guangyao, former vice finance minister of China, called on China to pay attention to the development of cryptocurrency research
34% of professional investors in London have invested or plan to invest in digital assets
More and more wealthy people are pouring into this industry
After half a year, it is definitely the bottom now, and many copycats have not started to rise
So it is recommended to hold 70% of the position patiently without worrying about fluctuations

#BTC #美联储宣布降息50个基点 $BTC

Market Analysis 9.27

Good afternoon, brothers. The market pulled back yesterday.
We remind you to play the long game and hold on.
Now BTC has stabilized at $65,000.

According to the on-chain data, from September 24 to today, September 27, more than 15,000 BTC have flowed out of the exchange in 3 days.
Yesterday, the stablecoins in the exchange began to rebound.

In the past 3 days, a whale withdrew 3,501 BTC (about 221.39 million US dollars) from Binance.
This whale made money 3 times. After each large accumulation, the price of Bitcoin rose sharply.

We also analyzed a few days ago that there were obvious signs of whales bottom-fishing in September. There was a wallet that increased from 2,625 on September 6 to 23,732 on September 20. The increase in holdings of BTC worth $1.4 billion was terrifying. It might be the world's top billionaires such as Li Ka-shing or Bill Gates. At the beginning of September, many brothers said that according to historical statistics, September would fall. Most analysts, on Twitter and Binance Square, were frequently shorting, saying that it would fall to 40,000. Only we advised everyone to hold on and not sell at the bottom. Now we finally see the results. In fact, investment analysis is not nonsense, and it cannot be affected by emotions. It is necessary to make a well-founded judgment based on the Fed's policies and on-chain data. At 8:30 p.m., PCE data will be released, which is one of the Fed's preferred inflation indicators. If it is lower than expected, then BTC will accelerate to 70,000. If it is higher than expected, it will face a short-term correction. In any case, we still have to play the long game. We are in the early stages of a global waterproof cycle.
Today, A-shares have skyrocketed.
Only by holding on to your money patiently can you get big results and avoid selling out.

#BTC $BTC

Market Analysis 9.26

Good morning, brothers. The market has adjusted.
Yesterday, ETFs outflowed $79 million.
The BTC reserves and stablecoins in the exchange did not change much.

Some funds are waiting for the release of data today and tomorrow.
The funds on the market are fluctuating, and the off-market funds will make decisions after waiting for the data.

The final value of the second quarter GDP data and the number of unemployment benefits will be announced at 8:30 tonight.
Tomorrow night at 8:30, the PCE data will be released, which is one of the preferred inflation indicators of the Federal Reserve.

If these two data show an economic recession,
then the interest rate may be cut by another 50 basis points in the next few months, which is good for the currency circle, and BTC will break through the suppression of $64,000.

If the economy is strong, BTC will experience a short correction,
may be adjusted back to $61,000, but it will not affect the general trend,
don't chase highs when it goes up and sell when it goes down

it is recommended to hold the currency and fish for big fish in the long run

projects that can be held
copyright: Chr, FTM, STX, AR, Astr, Klay
large market value: BNB, BTC, ETH

#BTC #加密市场反弹 #本周美国将公布PCE、GDP数据 $BTC

Market Analysis 9.25

Good morning, brothers, BTC is hovering around 64,500.
We have analyzed multiple logics for you in the past few days. Let us make a brilliant summary.

[Big Trend] Bullish

[Reasons]
(1) The Federal Reserve is in a new round of interest rate cuts and may cut interest rates twice this year
(2) The People's Bank of China has also cut interest rates and reserve requirements, releasing 1 trillion yuan of long-term liquidity
(3) Most central banks in the world have started to cut interest rates, including the European Union and the United Kingdom
(4) The Mentougou crash that has plagued the cryptocurrency circle for 10 years has consumed 80% of the funds, and the remaining 20% ​​will be completely solved
(5) The next US government supports cryptocurrency
(6) Japan, South Korea and other countries are vigorously developing cryptocurrency

[Operational suggestions]
Hold patiently. Except for the ones that have skyrocketed, you can go out of the band. The other weekly lines that have not skyrocketed are just started. Don't be washed out by the small fluctuations in the middle. The cost of getting on the train later will be high

[Recommended currencies to hold]
AR, FTM, CHR, STX, BNB, ASTR, KLAY #BTC #加密市场反弹 $BTC

Market Analysis 9.24

Hello, brothers. Yesterday we reminded that the pressure level of $64,500 is still very high, because a large number of locked-in positions were formed around August 24. The sideways fluctuation time is not yet in place, and it will take at least 3 days.

BTC failed to rush up yesterday and fell back to $63,000.

But some cottages are still strong. BNB broke through $600, and AR broke through 22.

A big turning point, as mentioned yesterday, is that US presidential candidate Harris expressed support for cryptocurrency.

Another superpower, China, due to price deflation and falling housing prices, today the People's Bank of China also announced a rate cut and reserve requirement ratio cut to release 1 trillion yuan of long-term liquidity.
Everyone has more money in their hands, so they can come to the currency circle to gamble, which is also good for the currency circle.

BTC's 7-day moving average of fund flow ratio has touched 0.05 and started to rebound, which indicates that investors have started to trade on exchanges again. This rebound usually occurs when the bear market or halving event ends and the bull market begins, leading to a long-term sharp rise in Bitcoin prices. The current judgment is that BTC will break through after a few more days of volatility. Many altcoins will double in October. The final value of the second quarter GDP data will be released by the United States on Thursday. The August PCE data will be released on Friday, which is one of the preferred inflation indicators of the Federal Reserve. If the data on Thursday and Friday are positive, this trend will accelerate. Recommended currencies to hold: Chr, FTM, STX, AR, BNB, Astr, Klay #BTC #加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 $BTC

Market Analysis 9.23

Hello, brothers, BTC is going up to $64,000.
The number of unclaimed electric vehicles on the road is gradually increasing.

But the pressure level of $64,500 is still very high,
because a large number of locked-in orders were formed around August 24,
and the sideways fluctuation time is not in place, at least more than 3 days are needed.

And there will be two heavy data coins this week,
and big funds may not act until next week.
The final value of the second quarter GDP data will be released by the United States on Thursday,
and the August PCE data will be released by the United States on Friday, which is one of the preferred inflation indicators of the Federal Reserve.

Trump bought burgers with BTC last week and supported the crypto industry.
Another heavy news came last Sunday.
Another presidential candidate Harris also announced his support for cryptocurrency.
Harris' original words were: "We will work together to invest in America's competitiveness and America's future. We will encourage innovative technologies such as artificial intelligence and digital assets while protecting our consumers and investors."

This is her first comment on cryptocurrency, and she finally said something good.

Regardless of whether Trump or Harris wins in November, the current US government should be the last anti-cryptocurrency government.

Interest rate cuts are good + the next US president supports cryptocurrencies.
This is the general trend. Just follow the general trend!

Many altcoins may double in October.
It is recommended to hold the coins patiently and wait for the arrival of the altcoin season.

#BTC #加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 $BTC

Market Analysis 9.22

Have a nice weekend, brothers. The judgment given by yesterday's market analysis:

BTC rebounded from $54,000 on September 8 to $64,000 for two consecutive weeks.
It is time to take a break, consolidation + small correction.
In addition, there was no ETF fund inflow over the weekend and international conflicts intensified.
It may pull back to $61,000.

Some coins that are profitable can be sold below.
This position is not suitable for adding positions. If it falls below $61,000, buy it again.
It will take a few days to pull back, and then continue to move upward in the shock.

This month, there are obvious signs of whales buying the bottom.
There is a wallet that increased its holdings from 2,625 on September 6 to 23,732 on September 20.
It increased its holdings of BTC worth $1.4 billion.
Who can take out $1.4 billion at one time?
It must be in the top 50 of the Forbes list
Or a strategic reserve of a certain country

From August to now, a large amount of BTC has flowed out of the exchange
In addition, the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates twice this year
The general trend is upward, we need to be more patient

#BTC #加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 $BTC

Market Analysis 9.21

Hello, brothers. Yesterday, ETFs received an inflow of 76 million USD.

On-chain data

(1) Stablecoins have flowed out of exchanges to a small extent, and some funds have a profit-taking trend

(2) BTC in exchanges has not changed much

BTC rebounded from $54,000 on September 8 to $64,000 for two consecutive weeks.

It is time to take a break, consolidate + slightly correct.

In addition, there was no inflow of ETF funds over the weekend, and international conflicts intensified.

It may correct to $61,000.

The upward trend is up and down, full of twists and turns

It is impossible to soar to the sky, so we should just treat it with a normal mind

How do you view the surge in SUI?

SUI has technical content, you can buy the bottom when it plummets,
but you can consider shorting when it soars.
After 9 days, 64 million SUIs worth $89 million will be released.
Stakeholders and dog dealers will use the media + KOL matrix to promote and promote.
Pull up the price, and then release it for easy shipment.
So consider shorting when it is close to $1.55, and set a 5% stop loss.
(The contract is risky, only for reference analysis, you need to make rational judgments and bear your own profits and losses)

How do you view ETH?
It is no problem to buy ETH with large funds at $2500.
The second largest cryptocurrency after BTC, and ETFs have been opened at the same time.
The more bearish there is, the more opportunities there are to absorb funds.
There is no problem from the daily and weekly lines.

How do you view BNB?
The biggest market maker in the cryptocurrency circle is Binance
It has the power to support and pull the price, and will sell it when it rises to $600

#BTC #加密市场反弹 $BTC

Market Analysis 9.20

Driven by the positive impact of interest rate cuts, BTC is currently approaching $64,000.
Yesterday, ETFs inflowed $158 million.
In terms of on-chain data, BTC in exchanges is still flowing out.

This time it is estimated to rebound to around $67,000 for a small correction.

70,000 is a strong pressure point, with many locked-in positions. Once confidence is insufficient, these people will dump the positions to recover their capital.
But if it breaks through 70,000, it will be 90,000-100,000.
100,000 is still difficult, unless the Fed cuts interest rates twice more, more than 75 basis points.

The overall trend of the cryptocurrency market in the future will still be upward, but there will be some twists and turns in the middle, and there may be black swan risks at present. (1) The last 30,000 to 40,000 BTC in Mentougou will move. If this happens, it will take two weeks to digest. (2) Israel and Lebanon's Hezbollah will fight, triggering Iran to join. (3) Recently, we have received intelligence that a large number of BTC seized by the Chinese police will be sold. A pilot project is being carried out in Changsha, Hunan, and it has not yet been verified. Investment is full of uncertainty. If there is a high probability that it will rise, we will hold it. If it rises too sharply, we will sell it. If we encounter negative news in the middle, we will deal with it. Patiently hold the currency: Chr, stx, ftm, BNB, AR. Zhao Changpeng will be released from prison at the end of the month. Once the hot news is stimulated, BNB may rise to around 600 before selling it. #BTC #加密市场反弹 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ $BTC