LIVE跟蒋晖学交易
@jianghui886
交易之神
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【55800】【Can we buy the bottom now? 】
From the on-chain data, yesterday's plunge saw a small amount of bottom-fishing. However, big investors or smart money do not seem to think this is the bottom.
From a technical point of view, the current trend is very similar to that in May 2021. But this year's overbought situation is much more serious than in 2021. So in theory, there should be a deeper correction or a longer consolidation this year.
Conclusion: The decline has just begun, and it is too early to talk about bottom-fishing. It is suitable to wait and see.
After all, "waiting" is also part of trading (even most of it).
From the on-chain data, yesterday's plunge saw a small amount of bottom-fishing. However, big investors or smart money do not seem to think this is the bottom.
From a technical point of view, the current trend is very similar to that in May 2021. But this year's overbought situation is much more serious than in 2021. So in theory, there should be a deeper correction or a longer consolidation this year.
Conclusion: The decline has just begun, and it is too early to talk about bottom-fishing. It is suitable to wait and see.
After all, "waiting" is also part of trading (even most of it).
See original
The monthly decline has begun. From a technical point of view, the decline will last at least half a year.
LIVE跟蒋晖学交易
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Bearish
【64000】$BTC
I haven't talked about the market for a long time. Let me share my current strategy.
The fixed investment before the big bull market has begun. But the position is less than 10% at present.
I believe that the monthly line correction will inevitably happen. Therefore, I will use heavy positions after the monthly line correction is in place.
Even if it will not fall, even if it is just a horizontal fall, I have not seen it so far. Or it has just started.
The monthly line level will be a very long process. It requires strong patience.
Think about it, from January 2023 to now, it has risen for a year and a half in one breath, and it should not be too much to pull back for half a year?
If it is true that the monthly line does not pull back, it keeps rising, keeps rising, and keeps rising to 50W.
Then I admit defeat. I can't make this money. I will just eat the interest on the current account, which is also good. 😇
I haven't talked about the market for a long time. Let me share my current strategy.
The fixed investment before the big bull market has begun. But the position is less than 10% at present.
I believe that the monthly line correction will inevitably happen. Therefore, I will use heavy positions after the monthly line correction is in place.
Even if it will not fall, even if it is just a horizontal fall, I have not seen it so far. Or it has just started.
The monthly line level will be a very long process. It requires strong patience.
Think about it, from January 2023 to now, it has risen for a year and a half in one breath, and it should not be too much to pull back for half a year?
If it is true that the monthly line does not pull back, it keeps rising, keeps rising, and keeps rising to 50W.
Then I admit defeat. I can't make this money. I will just eat the interest on the current account, which is also good. 😇
See original
Analysts, have you figured out the reason for the drop? I can't wait to see! 😂
LIVE跟蒋晖学交易
--
Bearish
【64500】The July monthly line has closed. The short signal has been confirmed.
Out of respect for the halving cycle, I will not open a short position.
I have about 10% of the spot now, and I will sell all of it when the market rebounds.
This is a monthly decline. It will last at least half a year.
Out of respect for the halving cycle, I will not open a short position.
I have about 10% of the spot now, and I will sell all of it when the market rebounds.
This is a monthly decline. It will last at least half a year.
See original
【64500】The July monthly line has closed. The short signal has been confirmed.
Out of respect for the halving cycle, I will not open a short position.
I have about 10% of the spot now, and I will sell all of it when the market rebounds.
This is a monthly decline. It will last at least half a year.
Out of respect for the halving cycle, I will not open a short position.
I have about 10% of the spot now, and I will sell all of it when the market rebounds.
This is a monthly decline. It will last at least half a year.
See original
【56800】Who is selling precious Bitcoin? 😇
LIVE跟蒋晖学交易
--
Bullish
Brother, I'm leaving first. All good things must come to an end. This feast has come to its final moments. The delicacies from land and sea have long been eaten, leaving only the leftovers and the mess. Smart people have already eaten their fill and quietly left the table, but you are still reluctant to leave, clinking your bowl with chopsticks, looking forward to the next delicious and sumptuous main course. In the end, you end up with a huge bill for this feast. Someone always has to pay for the feast, and this time it's you again😇
See original
Brother, I'm leaving first. All good things must come to an end. This feast has come to its final moments. The delicacies from land and sea have long been eaten, leaving only the leftovers and the mess. Smart people have already eaten their fill and quietly left the table, but you are still reluctant to leave, clinking your bowl with chopsticks, looking forward to the next delicious and sumptuous main course. In the end, you end up with a huge bill for this feast. Someone always has to pay for the feast, and this time it's you again😇
See original
【64000】$BTC
I haven't talked about the market for a long time. Let me share my current strategy.
The fixed investment before the big bull market has begun. But the position is less than 10% at present.
I believe that the monthly line correction will inevitably happen. Therefore, I will use heavy positions after the monthly line correction is in place.
Even if it will not fall, even if it is just a horizontal fall, I have not seen it so far. Or it has just started.
The monthly line level will be a very long process. It requires strong patience.
Think about it, from January 2023 to now, it has risen for a year and a half in one breath, and it should not be too much to pull back for half a year?
If it is true that the monthly line does not pull back, it keeps rising, keeps rising, and keeps rising to 50W.
Then I admit defeat. I can't make this money. I will just eat the interest on the current account, which is also good. 😇
I haven't talked about the market for a long time. Let me share my current strategy.
The fixed investment before the big bull market has begun. But the position is less than 10% at present.
I believe that the monthly line correction will inevitably happen. Therefore, I will use heavy positions after the monthly line correction is in place.
Even if it will not fall, even if it is just a horizontal fall, I have not seen it so far. Or it has just started.
The monthly line level will be a very long process. It requires strong patience.
Think about it, from January 2023 to now, it has risen for a year and a half in one breath, and it should not be too much to pull back for half a year?
If it is true that the monthly line does not pull back, it keeps rising, keeps rising, and keeps rising to 50W.
Then I admit defeat. I can't make this money. I will just eat the interest on the current account, which is also good. 😇
See original
【Is it time to reduce positions? What strategy should I use now? 】
The existing position (40%) will not be sold, the pattern is open, and it will always reach the top of this bull market.
With empty positions (60%), there should be opportunities to enter before the big bull market starts. Buy the dip.
Key points:
The focus of the next position should be $ETH . Currently I am converting $BTC to ETH.
Technical aspects show that ETH is likely to have a greater increase than BTC in this bull market.
Now is the best time to swap positions.
The existing position (40%) will not be sold, the pattern is open, and it will always reach the top of this bull market.
With empty positions (60%), there should be opportunities to enter before the big bull market starts. Buy the dip.
Key points:
The focus of the next position should be $ETH . Currently I am converting $BTC to ETH.
Technical aspects show that ETH is likely to have a greater increase than BTC in this bull market.
Now is the best time to swap positions.
See original
[Position Sharing] #内容挖矿 $BTC
I bought 40% of the spot at 42K. The reason is that I saw a huge amount of buying happening on the chain at 42K. It should be the purchase behavior of spot ETF. As the starting price of ETF, it should be a good position in the long run.
Currently 60% short position. The reason is still:
1. Interest rate cuts and water releases have not yet actually occurred. At present, the U.S. dollar is strong and U.S. stocks are faltering.
2. From a purely technical perspective, it has risen for one year last year, and the technical perspective needs to be corrected. I am a technical trader and I need to give myself a little respect.
At present, I still believe that there will be a negative or even sharp decline in the first half of this year.
Therefore, I will wait patiently for the best technical entry point to arrive.
I bought 40% of the spot at 42K. The reason is that I saw a huge amount of buying happening on the chain at 42K. It should be the purchase behavior of spot ETF. As the starting price of ETF, it should be a good position in the long run.
Currently 60% short position. The reason is still:
1. Interest rate cuts and water releases have not yet actually occurred. At present, the U.S. dollar is strong and U.S. stocks are faltering.
2. From a purely technical perspective, it has risen for one year last year, and the technical perspective needs to be corrected. I am a technical trader and I need to give myself a little respect.
At present, I still believe that there will be a negative or even sharp decline in the first half of this year.
Therefore, I will wait patiently for the best technical entry point to arrive.
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