加密简小姐

The US stock market is really simple to play. . .

It goes up and up every day, with leverage piled up, and then a big negative news and a big panic directly cause a drop of more than 30%, clearing more than 3 times leverage at once, and then continues to rise and rise every day. .

Isn't this a capital plate?

It seems that Bitcoin has been like this for a while. If I remember correctly, it was around May 19, 2021?

The money loss is mainly due to the following six points:

First, short-term thinking is too heavy. In fact, we should take a long-term view, focusing on the long term and supplemented by the medium and short term.

Second, chasing the rise and selling the fall. When the whole world is hotly discussing a certain currency, they will follow the trend and buy it. After buying, they will be trapped. When they lose 10% or 20%, they are reluctant to sell their meat and hold on to wait for the release. When it continues to fall, the loss will be 50%, then 60% or 70%.

Third, lack of cognition. Rumors say that the currency will rise, so they blindly buy it. This kind of brainless investment method is impossible without losing money.

Fourth, the masses enter this market with the mentality of getting rich overnight, but they are not prepared to return to zero in one day. Once panic occurs, they begin to find reasons for the masses, accusing the project party of not managing the market value well, scolding the dog dealer for crashing the market, and blaming the big V for inaccurate predictions.

Fifth, being unlearned and incompetent. Learning is an eternal wealth, and only continuous learning can avoid being harvested.

Sixth, the investment philosophy is not perfect. Only by drawing up a corresponding investment plan before investing, such as: How many coins to buy? When to buy? How to allocate positions? Should I stop loss or cover the position after buying? Should I reduce the position in batches or continue to hold after making a profit?

Only by summarizing a set of investment strategies that suit us can we deal with various events. At least in this way, we can make our mentality invincible and avoid making wrong choices due to the influence of mentality.

Big pie needs a downward test, but the amplitude will not be very deep, 5w3~5w4
Big pie dealers have been planning to insert for a while, and there are two things to show: the first thing. On the 11th, the market began to fud $wbtc, and there were news about wbtc in between. But the retail investors in the market did not buy it, and there was no obvious panic, so the story could not be told, and it ended. The second thing. Then they began to exaggerate the transfer of Mentougou, and once again brought out Mentougou, but the market still did not buy it. It ended in failure.

For the dealer, it is necessary to insert it again at this time. Clearing leverage is just a by-product, and the core purpose is to test. Without a test, the market cannot have institutional market conditions. If there is confidence, then this test will be more than enough, saving time and effort, getting twice the result with half the effort, and saving a lot of money. You can also pick up more bloody chips. These two things also strongly show that the wave of killing on the 5th did clear out the amazing retail investors. The rest of the people have been completely flat and unimpressed.

If CPI was flat or as expected last night, I expect the market to start crashing last night. There is no moving story, so we still have to continue the market crash test. It is expected that the downward plunge of this wave will not be very deep, and the dealer will not need to spend so much real money to crash the market. The big cake is expected to be 53,000~54, my personal opinion

In fact, the amount of money a person earns in his lifetime is fixed.
Whether or not you have good fortune.
Partial fortune is fixed.
If you understand this, sometimes you don’t have to work so hard.
Big fortune depends on fate.
Some people may only earn so much in their lifetime. If you work too hard and earn enough money for a lifetime at a young age, then you will not live long! You will overdraw your life for decades to come too early.
Buddhism is also a kind of life

Brothers, Bitcoin is going to skyrocket. In order to prevent the K-line from rising out of the screen, I bought a mobile phone with a long screen. This screen should be enough.

The outbreak of Ethereum this time may come from four factors:

1. Depends on the capital inflow brought by ETF.

2. How much liquidity can be reduced by staking itself (whether the subsequent chips of ETF can be pledged will also have a key impact on the rise of the market).

3. The possible outbreak point is whether L2 can have phenomenal applications and indirectly bring value to Ethereum.

4. The birth of new gameplay, the current lack of leverage effect on the chain does not have the attribute of small-scale risk-taking, and more of the participation of large investors, which can bring less wealth growth effect to retail investors, and RWA is not a project that can bring more daily activity, transaction volume and gas fees to the public chain.

Compared with RWA, AI and socialfi have a smaller share of empowerment. If socialfi is popular, it can also drive the demand for Ethereum, because participating in its market will consume it.

When the currency speculation reaches a certain stage, what is needed is not a short-term surge and plunge cottage, but a relatively stable cake that can reach a new high in the cycle. Waiting for the confirmation of the second exploration of the right bottom of the cake, the cottage season is coming after this wave.

Whatever you want to be, you must find the most powerful people and circles in this field and integrate into them. This intuitive feeling is more powerful than any stimulation.

You will not envy Jack Ma for being richer than you, Edison Chen for having more girls than you, or Daniel Wu for being more handsome than you. You will only envy that the people around you are better than you.
The stimulation brought to you by acquaintances is extremely strong, and this feeling will bring you endless motivation for change.

Can't you people let me have a pure childhood?

I found that the losers have many things in common

1. Poor, with little capital

2. Reckless, like to borrow money to speculate in cryptocurrencies, borrow money to go all-in

3. Vain, look down on stable profits, and earn dozens of times more if they make it again

4. Lazy, don't study, don't think

5. Stubborn, don't reflect, failure is the fault of society, friends, bloggers, parents

6. Arrogant, like to argue, refute, think they are the best in the world, know everything

7. Greedy, don't like to pay for learning, always want to pick up money instead of pie, and get rich quickly

8. Lustful, want to have sex with women when they see them, and indulge in studies every day

There are a lot of economic data this week: from tonight's PPI, tomorrow night's CPI, Thursday night's retail data and the number of people who applied for unemployment benefits for the week. It can be roughly divided to see that both PPI and CPI belong to the measurement of globalization, and retail data and the number of people who apply for unemployment benefits are now more considered as indicators of strength and weakness.

From the current market's attention, it has changed from the panic of whether inflation will continue to economic development to whether economic development is moving towards economic share. From this point of view, it feels that retail and employment data (Thursday) may have a higher weight in the stock market, after all, the market is more worried about funds. And the risk of PPI and CPI will also become much lower than expected? Overcooling means consumption or the economy will go further.

Here are a few facts to help you with follow-up operations

1: $SATS has become the leader in inscriptions, with a wash price of 90%. It is backed by Binance investment, and the GAS fee and handling fee are distributed as dividends. It beats ORDI. With the attribute of more than 0, SATS is preferred for buying inscriptions in the future

2: Trump and the US dollar are linked, and there are also good speculation expectations before November. 0.055 and 0.051 can be ambushed, and the target is 0.084

3: The Federal Reserve has an expectation of a rate cut in September, and funds will flow back into the currency circle. If you encounter a pin, participate in buying

4: $Sui will unlock 60 million US dollars of tokens in 20 days. Wait for 1 hour for the double top to have a short-selling opportunity. The second upper position is around 1.05 and 1.09

5: Whales snap up BTC, and the net breakthrough amount of the exchange in a week is as high as 1.7 billion US dollars! The largest net jump since the beginning of this year, big players all buy coin storage wallets, which is a big positive

According to the latest statistics, the position of leeks has dropped to 65%, a new low in the past three years. It is worth mentioning that the data of leeks cutting meat has also set a record, from 75% to 65% in one week, cutting meat 10%. The breakthrough of funds and the new low of the year can also confirm that retail investors are cutting meat.

Is it a good thing or a bad thing for retail investors to cut meat? Let's look at the historical data: In October 2019, retail investors cut meat heavily, and their positions fell to 60%, and then the market began to rebound. In April 2020, retail investors cut meat heavily, and their positions fell to 55%, and the bull market of the sector was opened. In April 2021, retail investors cut meat heavily, and their positions fell to 65%, and Yashanzhai began to go bullish.

Since then, retail investors have maintained a high position of about 80% until they started to cut meat in the last month, and the latest position has fallen to 65%. Judging from the data, retail investors' large-scale selling at low prices is a positive signal, which means that the market has bottomed out and it is difficult to go down. When the market trend is downward, the main force and institutions will run away first, and they are the vanguard of short selling, while retail investors will hold on to the end until their faith collapses, and then they will sell their stocks, which is the last wave of short selling in the market. Retail investors have sold all their chips, and the market short selling has been almost digested! Have you sold your stocks?

If you really want to get the benefits of altcoins, there are probably only two opportunities:

-High multiple returns for joining at an ultra-low cost in the early stage

Except for Bitcoin, all things in the blockchain are not enough for people to see the real benefits of sustained growth, but the concept of web3 is very imaginative, and the infrastructure is not enough, so there will be new things in each cycle. These new things must be profitable in the early stage

If you want to make this money, look at the action and information screening ability

-Medium returns in the main rising wave of the bull market

The main rising wave of the bull market is the most active thing for retail investors, and it is also the time when Bitcoin accounts for the lowest proportion of the encrypted market value. Often at this time, altcoins will absorb a lot of liquidity and gain extremely high gains

If you want to make this money, you must take out the funds you can afford to lose. Otherwise, it will rise by 50% and then sell it, and then it will rise again, and then it will rise again, and it will be directly locked after the bull market is over

In theory, there is actually a third way, which is to build a position in altcoins in a desperate market. But in fact, this is impossible. Because you can't find the bottom, it fell by 80%, and it can still fall by 80%, and it may not rise back

Don't be too ambitious. Know yourself, do what you can, know yourself, learn and improve your cognition

The highest realm of cryptocurrency speculation
1. Do not borrow money to speculate in cryptocurrency
2. Do not overdraw, use spare money to speculate in cryptocurrency
3. Do not do ultra-short-term trading
4. Wait for empty positions when opportunities do not come
5. Do not over-rely on technical indicators
6. Do not speculate in junk, unpopular, and copycat currencies
7. Do not dare to enter the market without a halving of this type of currency
8. Choose empty positions after the bull market ends
9. Select a target, and once you enter the market, you will be heavily invested
10. A maximum of two currencies with 100,000 funds
11. After entering the market, no longer care about the daily trend of the market, any technical indicators, and nothing will happen!
12. Ambush at a low position, and then wait, the profit target is at least doubled.
13. Strictly stop loss and stop profit, and the mold is dragging.

This is the real master of cryptocurrency speculation, unlike some leeks, who wish they had to toss every day. Losing a little can't sleep, and making a little profit is very greedy. Do you have any additions or other pain points?

New tracks, new assets, new concepts, and new stories are expected to emerge

Old investors who have experienced four or five years will tell you that the current market trend is like a new track emerging

Key reminder: It is easy to explode in the Bitcoin ecosystem

According to the current inflation, the good days of living in the UK and the US with 400,000 RMB a year are gone forever. Now it costs at least 600,000 RMB. The cost of food, energy, housing, and medical care are soaring rapidly. Many elderly people have only a little income, but their expenses are only a lot. Therefore, the elderly are now returning to poverty. Both China and foreign countries have proved that pensions are unreliable. In the past, 400 US dollars were enough for food and drink, but now 2,000 is not enough.

An old colleague from Shanghai lives in the same residential complex in Zhangjiang. The children grew up together, have similar grades, and have similar families and genes. Five years ago, the family sold the house and moved to Chiang Mai, and the family stayed in Shanghai. This year, all of them went to university. The one in Shanghai just passed the first-tier line. It's hard to get a good school in Shanghai, and I don't want to go to the second-tier. I'm looking at the opportunity at Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine. You know, the lowest line, no one is competing for this family in Chiang Mai. UCL Computer Science in the UK is ranked top five in the UK. It was five years ago that the unit price of houses in Zhangjiang Tomson Mansion was more than 90,000 yuan, and it was snatched away. Now it's still 90,000 yuan, the listing price, and it can't be sold unless it's reduced by a few thousand, not to mention the past few years. This family in Chiang Mai has two nannies and a driver, and they live a landlord's life every day. Shanghai works 996 every day, and the children have cram schools, and they are so frugal on food and daily necessities that they can't guarantee it. Choices are really bigger. In comparison with fate, the six-month lockdown is not the most painful.

Actually, what you need to do is to find memes related to @realDonaldTrump and @elonmusk.

It is highly likely that the market has already been pulled up.

Then, tomorrow, sit in front of the computer, open Twitter, start to sit and see what is being talked about, and then rush in without thinking.

Remember to withdraw the principal if the increase is too fast, otherwise it may be directly reduced to zero due to "fund dispersion" 😂

The last sentence is like, looking at historical data, the probability of making money by buying the Nasdaq index and Bitcoin is greater than the probability of making money by buying the A-share market.