币链快报

Universal Circle of Friends: In domestic civil litigation, the other party tried to pull a fast one, losing both the first and second trials with solid evidence.

Now the issue is that they are applying for a retrial at the Supreme People's Court. During this retrial application process, do I need to leverage relationships? What happens if I don’t?

Seeking answers online, thanks.

China is so shady; do I need to grease some palms? I'm already worn out.

Strangely enough, my grandparents' children, that is, my aunts and uncles, all run businesses that can make money.

Is there some kind of secret?

In China, there aren't many families with high assets; for example, there are not more than 200,000 households with 5 million without loans and investable assets.

But I estimate they have all reached that level.

I think the secret lies in having a strong desire for wealth during the process of making a living, which is key.

Living at the bottom for a long time actually exposes you to many opportunities, so skills multiplied by exposure multiplied by luck equals success.

Three variables:

1) Luck is very fair;

2) Skills are also quite fair for ordinary people; in fact, those who have struggled in society for a lifetime have skill levels that are not weaker than a PhD in an office;

3) Exposure is a completely different story. My uncles are among the most driven individuals I've seen regarding their desire for wealth; this group has done exceedingly well, and their common trait is: they are always thinking of ways to make money.

Every time I meet these people, they are always thinking of one way after another to make money; if they aren't making money, they are on the road to making money.

MicroStrategy can only be checked at noon because it blows up in the morning and at night.

Former Sotheby's CEO Tad Smith: Bought some STRC from Saylor's Strategy company

https://app.chainalert.me/articles/6b0d5f

BTC's "four-year cycle" and altcoins' "three-year cycle"

The crypto market is often summarized by the phrase "every four years a cycle," but this phrase primarily applies to Bitcoin (BTC) rather than altcoins.

If we break down the "cycle" into two different clocks: BTC is calibrated by halving and macro liquidity, displaying a major peak-valley-peak pattern close to four years; whereas the profit effect of altcoins is more concentrated in the short window of the "altcoin season," often peaking earlier, exhausting liquidity sooner, and entering clearance earlier, thus reflecting a more effective cycle closer to "three years a cycle."

Full text:
https://chainalert.me/view/research/7f2dc0

The CoinChain Express has added a "Trading Signal" quantitative module:

The coins that appear here are currently market hotspots, with a significant increase in trading volume, and their market capitalization rankings exceed the highest point in the past 90 days, which means these cryptocurrencies have been favored by the market during this period.

It has the following effects:

1) If you are doing trend investing, these might be coins with a short-term upward trend, but if they start to pull back, they can drop heavily;

2) If there is corresponding spot trading, this is the best time to switch positions, but you can only sell in batches, as the general trend is upward;

3) If you are shorting, based on previous data, the winning probability is very high, exceeding 90%, but since these coins are on an upward trend, once you open a short position, there is almost a 100% chance of losing, and the loss could be significant, requiring constant addition of chips to perform "averaging down" to raise the opening price.

In this state, it is recommended to short at 1X, because the upward pull speed will be very fast. If it is not among the top 100 coins, doubling is quite easy. For example, $FIL , from 1.3 it went up to 2.6, then to 3.9, then dropped back to 3.4, later around 1.3, returning to its original state.

This program will detect this trading signal when it is between 2.6 and 3 dollars. How will you utilize such trends? Continue to soar, then drop back?

I tried to short with a small position of 1X on $AXS , AXS kept rising, and I continuously added chips to raise the average opening price for the short position.

Later, I gave up, although I didn't incur much loss, but watching it every day was honestly quite exhausting.

I believe that from a probabilistic statistical perspective, with a very small position, continuously shorting the top 200 coins still has a very large winning potential.

The difficulty lies in it being very mentally exhausting.

Institutional funds are flowing back! The spot Bitcoin ETF saw a net inflow of $1.4 billion last week, achieving the best single-week performance since October last year

https://chainalert.me/view/research/1c1716

Reasons for Bitcoin's sharp drop over the weekend:

Bitcoin fell below $92,500, triggering panic in the market. Trump plans to impose tariffs on the EU regarding the Greenland issue, significantly increasing policy uncertainty.
https://chainalert.me/view/headline/230f3e

There is a very comprehensive article about HYPE here. Of course, to put it simply, there are two points:

1) AF converts other assets into HYPE and destroys them;
2) 50% of the L1 gas fees and transaction fees will be given to AF, AF converts it into HYPE and then destroys it;

What are the advantages and risks of holding HYPE long-term?
https://chainalert.me/view/research/6e7d8b

Current Status of Cryptocurrency:

1) Bitcoin has decreased by nearly 15% year-on-year and has fallen over 30% from its peak;

2) Altcoins have been severely hit, almost all dropping to zero;

Google's search volume for cryptocurrency has reached its lowest level.

The global financial environment has entered a mode of massive liquidity: the Federal Reserve has started invisible QE, US stocks have reached new highs, gold has reached new highs, and silver has reached new highs.

Inflation is gradually returning to normal levels, and oil prices are continuously declining.

Cryptocurrency and other assets have formed a divergence. Cryptocurrency has an air-like attribute, making it very easy to be entirely denied, aside from this difference. The current divergence of cryptocurrency is similar to housing prices a decade ago.

A decade ago, housing prices in Tokyo hit bottom. In this case, due to China's high mortgage interest rates, housing prices in the suburbs of Wuhan and Nanchang have already caught up with Tokyo's housing prices, while Tokyo's income is more than 10 times that of these second-tier cities.

So was it more cost-effective to invest in Tokyo a decade ago? Actually, no.

Later, the prices of these undesirable suburban houses rose for a period of time, surpassing the rise in Tokyo's housing prices. Then, after another 5 years, those who bought these suburban houses suffered significant losses.

In contrast, Tokyo's housing prices rose threefold. Of course, cryptocurrency is air-like, so it can't be compared this way.

However, at that time in Tokyo, people really saw these houses as air. Because Japan's population is declining, many houses were left vacant. I remember in 2016, real estate agents in Tokyo were promoting extremely cheap houses.

I thought they were coming to harass me; in fact, they were there to give away money.

If it weren't for the air-like attribute of cryptocurrency, getting in would be effortless, but without this air-like attribute, the narrative would be debunked, leading to such a large drop, and it would continue to fall.

I still choose to invest gradually, although I really have no surplus funds except for the money I can't move.

The money that can't be moved is absolutely untouchable; going in now would lead to zero, so I can only burn a little money for fun.