橘子小将军-AR大庄
去中心化存储板块小砖家
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AR Holder
High-Frequency Trader
3.6 Years
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$AR Don't let the pump blind your eyes
Saw some folks in the square saying there's no sell pressure, and Sam's back to buying and market-making again, really just blowing smoke without a script
I checked the on-chain data and the top holding addresses haven't seen any large inflows; if you don't know better, you might really be fooled by this
Currently, the AR weekly isn't even close, buying now isn't a smart move. I've already got a long-term short position, this pump is clearly a trap
Saw some folks in the square saying there's no sell pressure, and Sam's back to buying and market-making again, really just blowing smoke without a script
I checked the on-chain data and the top holding addresses haven't seen any large inflows; if you don't know better, you might really be fooled by this
Currently, the AR weekly isn't even close, buying now isn't a smart move. I've already got a long-term short position, this pump is clearly a trap
Already set up a short position, definitely looking for 2.2.
The logic is straightforward, how many times has it faked us out around 2.4? It just won't break above. Currently, there's no movement from the Arweave team at all; it's basically just dead weight. The on-chain data is pretty much signaling a dead chain.
The trading volume isn't showing any significant spikes; it feels like a classic pump-and-dump trying to lure people in. If you're holding spot, you might want to consider scaling out in batches.
The logic is straightforward, how many times has it faked us out around 2.4? It just won't break above. Currently, there's no movement from the Arweave team at all; it's basically just dead weight. The on-chain data is pretty much signaling a dead chain.
The trading volume isn't showing any significant spikes; it feels like a classic pump-and-dump trying to lure people in. If you're holding spot, you might want to consider scaling out in batches.
橘子小将军-AR大庄
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$AR is currently perfect for a short
On one hand, the candlestick patterns are looking solid; every time it hits the EMA and fails to break below, it’s been spot on, with a high win rate as long as you manage your stop loss well.
On the other hand, the project team is currently slacking off, the AO narrative has declared failure, and the on-chain data is a complete mess. In this prolonged bear market, AR is only going to get worse, and market interest will continue to dwindle.
This also shows that the spring for storage isn’t really the spring for on-chain storage, just like the hustle and bustle outside doesn’t concern you.
{spot}(ARUSDT)
On one hand, the candlestick patterns are looking solid; every time it hits the EMA and fails to break below, it’s been spot on, with a high win rate as long as you manage your stop loss well.
On the other hand, the project team is currently slacking off, the AO narrative has declared failure, and the on-chain data is a complete mess. In this prolonged bear market, AR is only going to get worse, and market interest will continue to dwindle.
This also shows that the spring for storage isn’t really the spring for on-chain storage, just like the hustle and bustle outside doesn’t concern you.
{spot}(ARUSDT)
$AR is currently perfect for a short
On one hand, the candlestick patterns are looking solid; every time it hits the EMA and fails to break below, it’s been spot on, with a high win rate as long as you manage your stop loss well.
On the other hand, the project team is currently slacking off, the AO narrative has declared failure, and the on-chain data is a complete mess. In this prolonged bear market, AR is only going to get worse, and market interest will continue to dwindle.
This also shows that the spring for storage isn’t really the spring for on-chain storage, just like the hustle and bustle outside doesn’t concern you.
On one hand, the candlestick patterns are looking solid; every time it hits the EMA and fails to break below, it’s been spot on, with a high win rate as long as you manage your stop loss well.
On the other hand, the project team is currently slacking off, the AO narrative has declared failure, and the on-chain data is a complete mess. In this prolonged bear market, AR is only going to get worse, and market interest will continue to dwindle.
This also shows that the spring for storage isn’t really the spring for on-chain storage, just like the hustle and bustle outside doesn’t concern you.
Currently, the Arweave team hasn't dropped any AR-related news for a while. I suspect Sam has already sold off all his bags and is now just shilling AO.
Since AO launched, I've been bearish on it. It first hit an exchange at 30 bucks, and now it's not even worth 2. AO is just a clown 🤡
So $AR should stay in the short position forever, and my wallet will keep stacking those gains.
Since AO launched, I've been bearish on it. It first hit an exchange at 30 bucks, and now it's not even worth 2. AO is just a clown 🤡
So $AR should stay in the short position forever, and my wallet will keep stacking those gains.
$ETH Dusk witnesses the faithful
ETH is currently the most stable and least problematic chain out there, and it has undoubtedly become a consensus for a generation. The first blockchain most people encounter is ETH, no question about it.
Based on this alone, countless SOLs and hype projects will never be able to surpass it. As long as crypto is alive, ETH will remain unscathed.
ETH is currently the most stable and least problematic chain out there, and it has undoubtedly become a consensus for a generation. The first blockchain most people encounter is ETH, no question about it.
Based on this alone, countless SOLs and hype projects will never be able to surpass it. As long as crypto is alive, ETH will remain unscathed.
The fundamentals of $AR have not improved, and the recent rise in ar is just a false increase, as the volume has not picked up.
Continuing to observe.
Continuing to observe.
$AR really has no popularity anymore, before when I posted an article many people would criticize me, now even the critics have stopped.
How do you all say, $AR is currently starting on the daily line. Based on past trends when the daily line starts, it should make a move up, then pull back and go up again.
It seems to be aiming for a peak around 2.15, testing the pressure at 2 on the pullback. If it can hold steady at 2, it should be welcoming a bull market for ar.
It seems to be aiming for a peak around 2.15, testing the pressure at 2 on the pullback. If it can hold steady at 2, it should be welcoming a bull market for ar.
橘子小将军-AR大庄
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I am buying the dip again at 1.64 $AR , do you still have bullets?
Waiting for oversold correction
{spot}(ARUSDT)
Waiting for oversold correction
{spot}(ARUSDT)
$FIL can see that it has already risen more than 30% from a relatively low point, the daily line is rising, and it can be safely entered.
At the same time, the storage sector's $AR is still stuck in a slow oscillation, and even the big players do not want to push it up, so we can only wait for the collective rise of the clones before the follow-up increase.
At the same time, the storage sector's $AR is still stuck in a slow oscillation, and even the big players do not want to push it up, so we can only wait for the collective rise of the clones before the follow-up increase.
The disappearing storage narrative is ultimately the fault of the token economic model
It seems that after early 2024, the market has hardly mentioned the storage track, mainly because the token model is not good.
$AR compared to $FIL , Filecoin is essentially a mining machine scheme, and the fil economic model encourages miners to back up data crazily, thus ultimately becoming a price comparison mechanism between hard drives and fil, where everyone invested in hard drives before the plummet of fil.
The only difference between Filecoin and Ethereum is that Ethereum actually has practical uses, but there are no B-end enterprises or individuals that use Filecoin daily.
Arweave is the extreme opposite of Filecoin, its economic model is based on "one-time payment, permanent storage," with the core being that $AR mining is slow enough to continuously incentivize miners not to delete data, but this fundamentally limits the scale of Arweave. The reasoning is simple: the more you store, the higher the maintenance costs, requiring exceedingly slow time to break even.
It seems that after early 2024, the market has hardly mentioned the storage track, mainly because the token model is not good.
$AR compared to $FIL , Filecoin is essentially a mining machine scheme, and the fil economic model encourages miners to back up data crazily, thus ultimately becoming a price comparison mechanism between hard drives and fil, where everyone invested in hard drives before the plummet of fil.
The only difference between Filecoin and Ethereum is that Ethereum actually has practical uses, but there are no B-end enterprises or individuals that use Filecoin daily.
Arweave is the extreme opposite of Filecoin, its economic model is based on "one-time payment, permanent storage," with the core being that $AR mining is slow enough to continuously incentivize miners not to delete data, but this fundamentally limits the scale of Arweave. The reasoning is simple: the more you store, the higher the maintenance costs, requiring exceedingly slow time to break even.
$AR ar is already dispensable for the market
One side is shifting attention to various new tracks and new coins
On the other side, on-chain users are slowly exiting
The narrative of the web3 storage track has been told for 6 years, but still no signs of any mass adoption breakthrough.
I don't know why you all still have confidence in the storage track, but I certainly don't.
One side is shifting attention to various new tracks and new coins
On the other side, on-chain users are slowly exiting
The narrative of the web3 storage track has been told for 6 years, but still no signs of any mass adoption breakthrough.
I don't know why you all still have confidence in the storage track, but I certainly don't.
$AR When a coin falls to a price lower than the last bear market, there are only two reasons: either the token has been continuously unlocked, or the project team has run away.
It is obvious that ar is the latter, the founder Sam has created a beautiful ao dream for everyone, and then dropped ar to the bottom, Sam's wallet has become fat, while everyone's wallets are empty.
The dream should wake up.
It is obvious that ar is the latter, the founder Sam has created a beautiful ao dream for everyone, and then dropped ar to the bottom, Sam's wallet has become fat, while everyone's wallets are empty.
The dream should wake up.
$AR It seems that this time it's not a rebound, but the beginning of another round of decline.
It may fall below 1, the reason being that the project team also doesn't know how to play anymore, and they probably have completed the original accumulation. For this project, there is no need to invest more.
Don't deepen your trust in Sam; remember he is just a person with high ambitions but low abilities. You can't pin the future on him. Perhaps the drop last night was the project leaders offloading their assets.
It may fall below 1, the reason being that the project team also doesn't know how to play anymore, and they probably have completed the original accumulation. For this project, there is no need to invest more.
Don't deepen your trust in Sam; remember he is just a person with high ambitions but low abilities. You can't pin the future on him. Perhaps the drop last night was the project leaders offloading their assets.
I am buying the dip again at 1.64 $AR , do you still have bullets?
Waiting for oversold correction
Waiting for oversold correction
橘子小将军-AR大庄
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$AR As a major investor, I have become deeply disappointed with the Arweave chain and have liquidated all my positions as of February 11. Best wishes.
$AR As a major investor, I have become deeply disappointed with the Arweave chain and have liquidated all my positions as of February 11. Best wishes.
$LTC Currently, Litecoin is almost dead.
I asked many friends who entered the circle in 2024 and 2025, and they have no idea what Litecoin is; they only know about hype aster.
The market's attention towards it is slowly fading, accompanied by many old coins that have received no new capital inflow during this cycle, and old coins are heading towards extinction. Mainstream coins have already undergone reshuffling.
I asked many friends who entered the circle in 2024 and 2025, and they have no idea what Litecoin is; they only know about hype aster.
The market's attention towards it is slowly fading, accompanied by many old coins that have received no new capital inflow during this cycle, and old coins are heading towards extinction. Mainstream coins have already undergone reshuffling.
$AR ar liquidity has almost disappeared, ao is currently playing dead, and the project party is not doing anything, waiting for ar is just a slow decline to zero
$ETH Short-term Breakthrough Probability Analysis of 4000
Looking at the ETF data, on August 4th, there was a net outflow of approximately -465 million USD in a single day (mainly from ETHA), but on 8/5 it quickly turned into a net inflow of +73.3 million, and on 8/6 it continued with +35.1 million. The funding situation has clearly improved.
In the first two weeks of August, the net growth of ETH spot ETF positions accounted for about 0.3–0.4% of the circulating supply.
Not only $BTC, but the stock of $ETH on exchanges is also close to historical lows. The conventional interpretation is that selling pressure has decreased, but the current resistance is more about psychological barriers rather than actual sell orders.
Significant benefits such as the EIP-4844 upgrade have yet to be fully priced in. If ETH remains around 3800 by this weekend, next week's CPI data will become a key driver.
In other words—if the funding situation and on-chain narratives are insufficient to push $ETH above 4000, then we can only wait for macroeconomic or regulatory catalysts.
Looking at the ETF data, on August 4th, there was a net outflow of approximately -465 million USD in a single day (mainly from ETHA), but on 8/5 it quickly turned into a net inflow of +73.3 million, and on 8/6 it continued with +35.1 million. The funding situation has clearly improved.
In the first two weeks of August, the net growth of ETH spot ETF positions accounted for about 0.3–0.4% of the circulating supply.
Not only $BTC, but the stock of $ETH on exchanges is also close to historical lows. The conventional interpretation is that selling pressure has decreased, but the current resistance is more about psychological barriers rather than actual sell orders.
Significant benefits such as the EIP-4844 upgrade have yet to be fully priced in. If ETH remains around 3800 by this weekend, next week's CPI data will become a key driver.
In other words—if the funding situation and on-chain narratives are insufficient to push $ETH above 4000, then we can only wait for macroeconomic or regulatory catalysts.
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