The time has come when ETH will move with the movement of BTC.
At certain stages of a bull cycle, when there is a lot of money in BTC, a big player needs to carefully exit the position.
First of all, the big player does this through ETN, for its part, this asset starts to grow, while BTC corrects.
I expect to see continued growth of ETH towards the previous high at the price of $4,200, then we will see a breakdown and correction towards the support line at the price of $3,400.
At this moment, we will be able to see the overflow of liquidity already in the violas, which little by little are already showing a desire to grow.
P.S. This is not financial advice or a call to action. Control your risks.
💁♂️ The initial scenario is fully worked out✔️ - successfully covered the big inefficiency of $2,820-$3,100 and approached the flat highs above the round $3,500 - the first medium-term goal🎯
What am I waiting for at the moment❓ ➡️ In fact, the road to a large liquidity pool of $4,100 is completely open, but it is desirable to see a small unloading 📉: the funding rate and indicators are significantly overheated, the RSI is also Bearish 🐻 Divergence
Optimum scenario ➡️ correction towards $3,100 – iFVG limit (previously blocked inefficiency), where it will also be possible to close your positions. Nevertheless,#ETHlooks very strong now, and we have a traditionally green December ahead of us - the first pullback of 8-10% in this case can be seen after the New Year At current prices, it's definitely not too late to buy on the spot, I don't recommend futures longs yet 🙅♂️
🤩 Personally, I only add Ether and Solana to my portfolio regardless of prices - they are really fundamental assets 🏆, on which 90% of the DeFi sector is built, as well as memcoins, which are showing particularly strong growth this year 📈
The asset broke through the resistance level of $2,540 "on the iz", and broke through the descending trend line. The next target is a test of a stronger resistance level at $2,800.
🎃 This week (today-tomorrow and Friday) there will be a lot of macro data posts! ⚡ And also the titans of the stock market submit their reports + the closing of the moon candle + the time before the US presidential election and the decrease in the interest rate of the dollar.
All these factors indicate high volatility in the markets and the opportunity for bulls to make a long impulse 🏹
🔥 And BTC is setting a good trend for growth, and this gives the market fuel for purchases. "Will they be able to break the $2,800 level?" — still remains a question. Because a lot of effort is needed, and this will already be a new bullish rally on the crypto market.
P.S. This is not financial advice or a call to action. Control your risks.
The $2,650 point has been reached - an important level, because here we will understand under which of the scenarios the asset will go further.
🐂 Bullish scenario if the price is fixed above the descending line of this triangle.
An important level will be the price of $2,650, where EMA365 is located, which is also important for buyers to break through and secure higher for free growth.
🐻 Bearish scenario - if sellers can protect the level of the descending trend line ($2,650) and further continue the corrective movement.
In this case, the asset will test the ascending line of the triangle at the price of $2,410.
If the sellers cannot hold this level, then the movement will be towards a stronger support line at the price of $1,990.
P.S. This is not financial advice or a call to action. Control your risks.
On the weekend, we work with liquidity from the bottom and are in the recruitment range, we confidently continue to recruit a position and wait for a reverse
Today/tomorrow should get an upside as more and more liquidity accumulates!
While Bitcoin once again froze near its support zone (Bullish Order Block $60,800-$59,200), I want to share with you some important thoughts about the alt 💭 Namely - compare the map of liquidations on #BTC💸 and the most highly capitalized altcoins - #SOL💸 and #ETH💸
I draw your attention to the significantly larger and closely spaced shortlist liquidation pools on Efira and Solana. What does this tell us?
➡️It is extremely profitable for a large player to push #ETH#SOLand the rest of the alt after them, as the volume of counter orders will be much higher here. This makes it easier to move up through a short squeeze, and also allows whales to easily close their positions later.
In this context, a set of violas in a briefcase looks much more attractive, so I definitely recommend focusing on it.
Which projects do we pay attention to first of all? 💁♂️ First of all, DeFI projects based on Solana/Ether and separate L1 blockchains. ⚛
To consider the growth of this asset, we wait for the price to stabilize above the 0.91 - 0.90 zone, then we consider Long positions with the aim of growth to remove the pool at 0.933, after removing the pool we expect a correction and after growth to the level of 0.986
If we do not see consolidation, then we wait for the price to test the zone 0.86 - 0.85, then consider Long or wait for the withdrawal of liquidity 0.837 and in the zone 0.82 - 0.81 confidently consider Long.
Slightly updated the possible scenarios for the implementation of events by asset:
🔴 1. Red scenario - continuation of the correction towards the target of $1,990 without updating the high, after the sellers were able to protect the resistance line at the price of $2,530.
🟣 2. Purple scenario - I assume that the market maker will not allow the price to drop to a stronger support level so easily without removing liquidity above the previous high.
The previous high is $2,521, which means there could be a retracement and a test of the upper limit of the descending tapering triangle line.
After that, I assume a continuation of the corrective movement and a descent towards the support level at a price of $1,990.
For now, I'm staying with the bears and sticking with the plan for the correction to continue.
Tomorrow, 10/11/2024, we will know the new consumer inflation index, which is likely to drop to 2.3%, which is almost one step away from the Fed's target.
P.S. This is not financial advice or a call to action. Control your risks.
Good evening, friends! #BTCsuccessfully dropped to support and our zone of interest $62.200-$61.000📉
The price "magnetized" to the closest imbalance of $62,200, where the first big purchases on clusters took place; a wall of limit orders with a volume of over 4,000#BTChas also formed from below 💸
What are we doing now? ➡️RSI continues to indicate oversold, so channel risks in the Asian trading session (at night) remain quite high⚠️. In my opinion, it is worth buying back on the market only half of the planned volume.
I will select a position if the correction continues to the Bullish Order Block $60,800-$59,200🎯 or if it successfully turns up and closes the 1D candle above $63,200📈 (today's maximum).
📈 This asset has taken a high, and at the moment it is trying to establish itself for growth, 1.69 -1.64 as soon as the price will trade above this zone, then we expect the growth of this asset to the zone 1.78 - 1.76, after the test of this zone, we consider a short with a short stop.
📉 To fall from the current ones, we wait for a breakthrough and consolidation below the zone 1.69 - 1.64, then we collect shorts with the goal of withdrawal (1.5727, 1.4794) after the withdrawal of these levels with liquidity, after the test of the zone 1.44 - 1.37
💡 The data on the labor market has just been released, in fact two indicators are important there:
✅ The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% - this is better than expected. The data are definitely not bad, although there is no bad trend of unemployment growth.
✅ The number of new jobs without agriculture (Nonfarm Payrolls) - here are even better data in general, and also better than expected.
🎯 The data, on average, are not bad, although the trend in unemployment has not changed, but in non-farms it looks as if the fall has stopped.
🔍 Data on the dynamics of permanent and temporary places will also be interesting - to see how "healthy" these indicators are. As soon as this data is available, I will publish it.
💎 On AVAX, I will change the spectrum to a more local picture, because here there is an option to try to reject the impulse
👌Or the 5th wave that forms in the formation of the initial diagonal - all within the framework of Elliott's wave theory. Frankly, I like the way the trend reversal is forming here - the price during the decline came clearly to the test of the upper limit of accumulation and was able to hold higher and locally we see a parabolic reversal, which often indicates a real breakout. At the moment, the price is sandwiched between two trends, respectively, from the current ones I expect an upward movement and a pullback from there. Schematically noted everything on the graph. 📝
📊The global bullish scenario remains in force here, I also noted all the excitement on the chart. There is a "bullish pennant" pattern in which the decline occurred in the second correction wave. Now we expect the beginning of the movement in the 3rd impulse, the renewal of the maximum (the top of the 3rd wave) and, accordingly, the complete development of the pattern. 📊
🪙Medium-term goal – $100 (i.e. 1.618 Fibonacci from the 1st wave.)👍
Well, I warned you about the test of the $60k support on #BTCand as you can see, we clearly reached that zone, taking the 9% decline. 👌
😐I still think that within the formation we are seeing a partial decline before a true breakout, especially since the price has reacted directly from the trend line, ie. the upper limit of the pattern. Now the main goal of growth will again be the upper limit of accumulation, roughly $64.5-65k, the volumetric level and, in general, the magnetic zone. A local rebound is already being observed. 🚀
🔵 I immediately emphasize that it is very important to keep the price above the support of $60,000, because its loss will lead to continued movement within the channel and, therefore, will postpone the scenario with an exit to the top for another couple of months. But such a picture is unlikely now, the trend remains bullish. 💡
❌ Liquidations on the market in the last day, CoinGlass: ~69 K traders, for a total amount of ~$184 million — ~70% long positions and ~30% short positions.
The MA200 retest did not show any buyer activity, Bitcoin broke lower and is now trying to consolidate under this dynamic support level 📉
As soon as the price is fixed below it, the decline will continue to МА50-100, at the intersection with the support zone - to 60K. Here, the buyer can again try to grow and break above the trend line. If there is no breakthrough after the second touch of 65-66K, the downward movement to 51-50K will be the most relevant 🤔
👀For now, priorities on the market are downward, and it is worth talking about a full-fledged continuation of growth only after we break above the trend line.
Let's get down to the nitty-gritty....#JUPis one of the most important assets for the entire Solana ecosystem💸
Jupiter is the main aggregator of DEX exchanges and staking protocol in the#SOLnetwork. The volume of liquidity blocked in Jupiter pools has been continuously growing for six months, almost reaching the $1 billion mark 💸 ➡️ In addition, futures trading is also available on the platform, which generates considerable profit 💸 for developers!
The#JUP🪐 token itself is a management token: depending on the number of tokens you collect, your weight in voting on improving the platform is determined.
On the chart 📈, everything is as beautiful as at the fundamental level. Yesterday we received a confident confirmation of the formation of a long-term structure (cBOS) - from here I expect a correction to our zone of interest in the form of OTE on Fibonacci and Bullish 🐃 Order Block $0.72-$0.78. In this zone, I will add an asset to my portfolio, for a futures contract I advise you to place a stop⛔ at $0.7
In conclusion, from the entire#SOLecosystem, I consider#JUPto be one of the most promising and fundamental assets, with a growth prospect of 2x from our zone of interest. 📌
Our logic here is roughly the following, if very crudely simplified: ETH grows - OP also grows. Because ETH is the locomotive in this situation, and Optimism is a second-level solution (Layer2, L2), which is designed to increase the speed and scalability of the Ethereum network. Well, let me note that I expect pure growth from ETH, as well as from the entire market in the last quarter of this year (local correction is permissible and necessary). 📝
➡️On the chart, Optimism is another example of how the leading diagonal develops, at the moment the asset has locally completed the correction phase ABC within the descending wedge, received a breakthrough, a test of the key resistance at $2 and a reaction from it. It is most logical to observe the pullback that is forming and use it to set positions (0.382-0.618 according to Fibo, grid on the chart). By the way, all the active accumulation and large-scale purchases of the asset took place exactly below this level, which confirms the volume profile. What will happen next, I think, is obvious - a breakout and growth with an ATH update of $4.86. 💲
👍$8 is the minimum goal of growth in the long term.
❌ Liquidations on the market in the last day, CoinGlass: ~64 K traders, for a total amount of ~$154 million — ~70% long positions and ~30% short positions.
It seems that Bitcoin has already chosen the vector of further movement for this week - we are seeing a bounce down from the trend line. The buyer could not show strength and break through it 📉
Let's look at the retest daily MA200 within 63.7K - this is the nearest dynamic level of support. But if it breaks through, we will continue the decrease to at least 60K.
🤔 We can test the trend a few more times, but if the buyer does not show strength and does not break higher, we will go to work out the falling scenario - back to 50K. This will be the final decline before the start of active growth.
🤩 Even on Friday, before the closing of the American session, the lower limit of the July distribution was tested and liquidity was successfully removed at an extremely important level — PMH $65,650 (last month's maximum).
The market continues to be bullish, but a small correction is desirable for the final fixation at $65,000 and the continuation of the growth to $72,000 - a big player needs time to fix profits, at the same time "cooling off" such indicators as RSI and the finance rate.
💁🏻♂️Also, the possibility of a correction is indicated by large sales and walls of limit orders above - as I said, the whales 🐳 will gradually sell off their volumes. The potential target 🎯 of the correction is the closest support (Bullish Order Block $62,350-$64,260)
⚠️ Important, friends! I do not urge you to close all positions at the current values and switch to short!
➡️ My advice is to conduct another series of profit fixations on the viola, leaving about half of the initial volume. In the event of a correction, we will buy back alt-setcor for profit, averaging TVX; in case of continued growth - we will not lose anything and will earn well again 😁