$BNB $BTC $USUAL

It can be considered as a 60-fold increase

1. I was a bit lucky today. The runes I played yesterday, which were related to AI, increased by 60 times+. When I played, the cost was about 10U per set. This morning, it rose to 700U at the highest. It is estimated that it will rise again. However, I sold a set at 140U (principal) and a set at 420U. The rest depends on whether I can get a set of 5000U-10000U. If I can get it, it will be the highest multiple.

After the Binance launchpad ended today, I withdrew 20 BNB and bought WHY (a mem on the BNB chain) on the chain. It directly pulled up 30 points in the evening and earned 6 BNB. Thank you for your good luck today.

What I made a mistake today was that I not only did not sell after the usual went online, but I also bought some at a high position because I was optimistic, but I was too anxious. Fortunately, Binance limits each account to only buy 40,000, otherwise the position will be larger.

2. Yesterday's poor operation led to losses, so I got up this morning to organize a system to assist myself in operation. Dalio said: Pain brings reflection, and reflection brings growth. I think there must be certain behavioral changes after reflection so that there can be real growth.

I will participate in a 5-day training starting tomorrow. I may not be able to keep an eye on the news in the circle and the dynamics on the chain, but I will follow up in time after the training.

$BTC $BNB

Bitcoin should take a break and make way for others

So who is next?

Sometimes you have to give up on what you think are opportunities because some opportunities seem like opportunities but are actually risks, and not every opportunity belongs to you.

Today Binance has 2 announcements, one is the merger mining with FB, so I rushed into FB, and the other is the launch of the BAN contract, so I bought a bit, and now it's all a small loss.

This impulsive rush is based on the profits from ACT’s mindless rush, so profit and loss come from the same source.

However, it doesn't necessarily mean it's over. Binance is the financier of FB, and from a certain perspective, the fractal network is still viable, so using FB to rush into meme coins in the future is not impossible, so those who rushed in should just hold on.

In addition, BAN has strong backing, and if the contract on Binance were to end just like that, it would be a bit of a pity, especially since there is an auction expected on the 20th, plus the RWA attributes, it can be considered a good narrative and a good target. Currently, it only has a market value of 300 million USD, so it is still worth looking forward to.

$ACT

AI is unstoppable

ACT is at least 2 times, and if it works well, 5 times

1. I have been doing PVP on the chain recently, and I have a deep feeling. It's like being in a dark forest: I am in the light, others are in the dark, and my every move is being watched closely, waiting for me to grow fat, and then others will start to close the net and eat meat.

And if retail investors want to survive in this dark forest, there are only three ways: either stand outside the forest to provide tools for the forest ~ sell shovels; or stand with the dealer (hunter) to eat some leftovers; and the other is to hide well, practice a powerful skill, and only use this skill to hunt in the forest.

I think I am more suitable for the last one, not to PVP, wait for the market hotspot to pass, and then look at the target, and wait for the right time, either the market value is low enough, or there is a KOL platform, or it is listed on a large exchange, etc. Don't touch it at other times, remember FOMO.

2. Today, due to the 10-point surge in sol, the secondary market has been lively for a long time, and even BNB has been pulled to my cost price of 647, but now it has fallen back. Of course, some old copycats have also started to rise today, but everyone must be careful not to chase these old copycats at high prices.

Old copycats usually wait for the bull market to pull up the market and sell, so it is better not to make money from this, just hold the mainstream assets and sell them when you think they are high.

$BNB

Each coin has its own rhythm, ignore it.

In fact, if you look at my comments, especially the comments from the day before yesterday, you will know that it is a good opportunity to buy BNB.

Buy amidst the criticism

BNB to the 1000

$SOL

The biggest beneficiary of this round of bull market is Solana

It started from 7 or 8 yuan, and it has increased by nearly 30 times, which is much stronger than the previous round of ETH

And the ecosystem has been constantly

$BNB
Last night, the comments section of the diary was full of anger. The main reason was that BNB has been in a slump recently. The exchange rate of BNB to BTC has fallen terribly. I did buy at a high price yesterday. I bought 137 at the price of 647, and then bought more than 30 at the price of 642.

But as a high-priced buyer, I am still not panicking. Let me calculate the EV for you.

Is it possible for BNB to fall to 450? ~ Yes, give it a 50% chance, but BNB also has at least a 30% chance of rising to 1000. The current price of BNB is 625

(625-450)*50%=87; (1000-625)*30%=112. 112>87.

So, you see, the current EV is not too low. And I set a stop loss. As long as it breaks EMA25, I will sell it. In this way, the EV is higher, so you have to have some confidence in BNB.

In fact, it is more important to have a plan for yourself: what should I do if the price does not rise or falls? In this way, I will not panic. When investing, you must make an investment plan for yourself.

$BNB $ACT $NEIRO

1. Because of Binance's launchpad yesterday, I bought some BNB at a high price, and the cost was about 647. As a result, the market was not good today, and BNB once fell to 607, but I didn't panic at all. Because BNB is fine, Binance is still the first in the universe, and the current price of BNB is still relatively low. It has been falling for a long time against BTC, and it will not fall all the time. There will always be rotation.

And Sister Yi also said that she would support the BNB ecosystem, so it is currently floating well, waiting for a big explosion. I guess it is possible to launch a BNB chain MEME, and then detonate the demand for BNB, and at the same time drive the BNB ecosystem.

However, if the big cake market goes bad, as long as BNB falls below the daily EMA25, I will also stop loss.

2. Of course, I also bought some ACT and NEIRO today. In a bull market, people speculate on new coins, not old ones. Therefore, these two are good among the new coins in terms of both the target and the cost performance. PUNT is already worth 2 billion US dollars, not to mention PEPE and DOGE. If there is still a meme bull, then ACT and NEIRO still have a chance.

3. Recently, I have been preparing to make a system to prevent myself from losing money due to emotional operations. Then I will strictly follow the system.

$ACT $PNUT $PNUT

1. It's been crazy recently, absolutely crazy bull. I turned to long after Binance listed ACT, but I was a little late to realize it, otherwise ACT and pnut should have made enough money in this bull market. After Binance announced it, my first reaction was that the market value of ACT was very low, so I bought it quickly.

After buying enough, I found that PNUT was also listed. At that time, PNUT had a market value of more than 300 million, while ACT had a market value of only more than 200 million, so I unknowingly put all my bullets on ACT. Unfortunately, I sold all my goods soon after listing on Binance.

Later, the price of ACT was higher than PNUT, and I bought some PNUT at 0.4, but I sold it before it rose much, and I missed the wealth again.

But I am very grateful to Binance and this market, after all, it pulled me back from the short position. And I made some money.

2. I watched the chain all day today. I could have made 20 sols, but I ended up buying the bottom halfway up the mountain. I lost 4 sols and made 16 sols. I made money mainly from banana and Eagle. In addition, I bought some ACT at around 0.56 last night, but I didn’t expect it to rise by 50% today. I guess it’s mainly because someone knew that the next door was going to go public and did some insider trading in advance.

Binance is still good. For example, in today’s new launchpad, BNB only rose after the news came out. I took over BNB at a high price today and wanted to mine it. Moreover, BNB hasn’t risen much recently. I think as the largest exchange in the universe, it will never lag behind in the bull market and can bear the loneliness.

$BTC $act $PNUT $ACT

If you have missed a lot of quick-get-rich coins, it is better to calm yourself down first.

Because, instead of taking risks like a gambler, it is better to keep your pace and let the victory come later.

Don't be anxious to succeed, be patient, success that comes later is also success. If you can't bear it and bet like a gambler, it is very likely that you will never recover.

$ACT

This is a bull market

Selling at 15 times, still able to sell for 20,000 dollars

Recently, the on-chain market is booming, doubling is effortless

#act $act

Thank you Binance

Unexpected surprise, wake up after a sleep -10 times

I stopped the short position after losing 10,000 yuan:

I placed a short position when I was sleeping last night, and it was traded in the morning, and the highest price of the coin was 1.6. When I woke up, it was 1.4, and the lowest was 1.3. My cost was about 1.3.

I stopped the order at 1.63, and lost nearly 10,000 yuan. Later, the coin rose to 1.96. If I didn't stop the loss, I would have blown up the position, and I would have lost more than 20,000.

Reversal:

1. It was indeed a black swan. The amplitude of this coin exceeded 60% overnight, and the amplitude of 24 hours exceeded 100%.

2. After seeing the situation in the morning, I should have stopped the loss, at least I shouldn't have added positions (I added another 1/3 of the position) ~ because it didn't break the line, and based on past experience, it is likely to rise sharply, but because the funding rate is positive (favorable to short positions), and coupled with loss aversion, I thought about taking another short position.

3. Unexpectedly, the funding rate went from positive to negative in less than 2 hours, which was really amazing (I couldn't beat the dealer, and I guess many retail investors were shorting). At this time, I decisively stopped the loss.

4. If you encounter a coin with such a clear dealer, you should stay away from it, because if you go against the dealer, you will only die miserably (the dealer has a lot of chips, and he can pull it up or smash it as he wants).

5. In the long run, stay away from short-term transactions. If you must trade, try not to short.

#btc

Don't imagine selling at the highest point

As long as you sell at a high point, that's a profit.

Those who think about buying at the lowest point and selling at the highest point often end up being the ones left holding the bag.

Don't take the tail-end market too seriously. Besides BTC, the second tier is basically all trapped positions, and you still want to rush in?

#BTC☀

Always selling

Only 0.5 BTC left

If you miss out, you miss out. Doing some finance, playing with a small position in memes is quite good.

The perception of position management: The most useful tool for ordinary people to improve their winning rate or even not lose money.

We say that there are three limiting factors in investment: the size of money, the time limit for the use of money, and the wisdom behind the money.

Among these three points, good position management can extend the time limit for the use of money to permanent. For example: for uncertain coins/memes, you invest one thousandth of the position, or one percent of the position. Then you can completely ignore the fluctuations in the middle.

Because of greed, I always took a relatively large position when some targets were at a low level, and the result was that I was thrown off the bus before the target skyrocketed.

However, since I have regarded position management as a very important factor, I have hardly lost money.

Because it is already at a low level and it is a small position, the loss can be ignored. But the result is that the return is not large.

But in fact, it is not small, after all, the increase in meme is still quite good. This is actually a psychological construction. Don't think about getting rich and quitting the circle in one breath, but take it slowly.

The diary on October 5th said that BTC's various indicators have stabilized and there is a high probability that it will rise. As a result, it really rose, and it reached 68,000 in one breath. Now the short-term indicators ~ 15 minutes and 1 hour lines have broken, but the long-term 4h and daily and weekly indicators have not broken. There may be a short-term correction, but if it does not break in the long term, it may be a small correction and then rise.

However, if the decline of short-term indicators breaks further drives the decline of long-term indicators, then you need to observe whether to ship. Trading must be a dynamic matter of paying attention to and adjusting at any time. I personally don’t like/not very good at trading, so I haven’t done much recently. Friends who do trading can learn about EMA-related indicators, which are quite accurate.

I personally think that web3 is really not innovative at present, and the price of BTC is not low, so I have been shipping. At present, I only have a little bit of big cake, and the rest are U doing financial management. Take a little time every day to think and look at relevant information.

Most of the rest of my time was spent preparing for things related to web2, so the diary is not very relevant to the cryptocurrency world, so I didn’t share it. I will share any immediate thoughts and information in the future.

I checked the price of BTC today and it fell below 62,000 again. As you all know, I started selling BTC at around 65,000, and then sold some more when it rose a few days ago. I am now almost out of stock. The market started to rise a few days ago, and I guess some people started to chase the rise again, which is a bit embarrassing.

I have said many times: extend the perspective a little bit. If it is a cyclical perspective, then I think the current bull market cycle is at least halfway through, after all, it has risen four times from 15,000 to 60,000. If it rises again, not only will there be insufficient funds, but also insufficient potential energy, lack of innovation and big expectations.

If it is a ten-year/permanent perspective, then buying BTC at any time is the right choice.

It is important to know your own positioning and perspective,

1. Last night, because Vitalik sold his Ethereum Hippo for donation, Ethereum Hippo exploded and Sol Hippo plummeted. But today Sol Hippo rose by 50%. Looking back now, we should have taken advantage of the fact that Sol Hippo plummeted yesterday.

Because the market value fell to 100 million US dollars, it is not high. After all, it had a market value of 300 million US dollars at its high point, and everyone’s consensus in the past was on Sol. The sudden deviation of the price caused by the event is likely to recover.

In addition, Neiro has been rising like crazy recently, almost 800 million US dollars, and not far from 1 billion US dollars. It is too difficult to value meme, which is why I missed the opportunity, and because I bought Neiro at a market value of 13 million US dollars, but it was sold out after doubling. Therefore, I was reluctant to buy it at 100 million US dollars on Binance. Who would have thought that it would rise 7-8 times in one breath.

I am still a cautious person. After all, living long in this market is the hard truth.

2. Many times, temptation is temptation because you don't look long enough. The same thing will be very different from a long-term and short-term perspective. For example, contracts, such as speculation. If you have read many books by trading masters, you will know that most trading masters have a bad ending.

Recently, I have been deliberately controlling my trading and short-term thinking. So try to reduce things like watching the market. Because I figured out that a person's life is very long, if you look at it in the long run, trading is simply too negative EV. Except for a few geniuses who can make money, most people will eventually lose money and waste a lot of their lives, and people with a bad mentality will also affect their health.

Therefore, I will look at my future investments in the long term. This will be much simpler. First of all, there will not be many choices of targets. In addition, you don't have to watch the market most of the time. Just check the basic market regularly. The rest of the time, do other things, enjoy life, and create value. This is actually a choice of lifestyle.