BTC谜题

The downtrend of Bitcoin remains unchanged, with 106000 as a key level to continue shorting

Recently, the short strategy has achieved great success, with short positions around 106000 accurately hitting the market! Although there was a mild rebound in the market over the weekend (accumulating 1000-2000 points), 106100 USD has become a strong resistance in the short term, and the daily downtrend still dominates. Today, we will continue to rely on the resistance level to position short:

1. Trend Analysis and Resistance Logic

1. Daily bearish formation: Prices remain under pressure below the 5-day moving average (106800 USD), MACD death cross continues, green bars show no signs of shortening, and the RSI indicator hovers in the weak range of 45-50, indicating that the bears still hold the initiative.

2. Resistance range of 106000-106500:

◦ This range is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the previous wave's decline and rebound;

◦ A triple top formation has formed in the four-hour chart, with trading volume significantly shrinking during the rebound, indicating insufficient bullish momentum.

2. Operation Suggestion: Short in the 106000-106500 range

• Entry range: 106000-106500 USD (build positions in batches, with the first position not exceeding 2%)

• Short-term target: 105000 USD (testing intraday support)

• Long-term target: 102000 USD (strong daily support)

• Stop-loss: Strictly set above 107000 USD (a breakthrough would confirm a trend reversal)

3. Risk Control and Market Linkage

1. Monday Opening Effect: Pay attention to the capital flow after tonight's US stock market close. If the Dow Jones drops more than 1%, Bitcoin may accelerate its downward trend after Monday's opening. Short positions can be held over the weekend (position ≤ 3%).

2. Volatility Warning: The market has been frequently switching between long and short positions recently. If prices break above 107000 USD, be wary of a 'bear trap' and consider a light long position with a stop-loss set at 106000 USD.

3. Take Profit Strategy: As you approach the target level (such as 105500 USD), first close 50% of the position, and move the stop-loss of the remaining position to the cost price to aim for the long-term target.

4. Core Strategy Logic

Before the daily downtrend clearly reverses, shorting on rallies remains the main line. The 106000-106500 range serves as a key battleground for bulls and bears, gathering a large number of trapped positions and stop-loss orders, making breakthroughs challenging. Strictly follow the principles of 'light position, stop-loss, and batch take profit' in operations, and do not counter the trend.

Short position at 106000 made a precise profit of 1800 points, continuing the high short strategy over the weekend

The short position laid out at the key resistance level of 106000 has gained about 1800 points, confirming the effectiveness of the short-term bearish trend. Considering that the weekend market often experiences sideways consolidation, but the four-hour bearish pattern remains significant, today's strategy continues to focus on high short positions around the resistance level:

1. Market Review and Current Trend Analysis

1. Short Position Profit Logic: 106000 USD serves as a watershed for daily bullish and bearish trends, repeatedly suppressing price upward movement. After a "Evening Star" reversal pattern appeared on the four-hour chart, bearish momentum was released, successfully probing down to around 104200 USD.

2. Current Technical Signals:

◦ The four-hour Bollinger Bands are opening downward, with prices operating between the middle and lower bands, with the lower band support at 103100 USD;

◦ MACD green bars continue to expand, and the RSI indicator is hovering in the 30-40 oversold range, indicating that bearish strength still prevails, but caution is needed for potential oversold rebounds.

2. Today's Operational Suggestions: Short in the 105000-105500 Range

• Entry Range: 105000-105500 USD (relying on the four-hour middle band resistance)

• Short-term Target: 103000 USD (Bollinger Bands lower band support)

• Long-term Target: 100000 USD round figure

• Stop Loss: Strictly set above 106000 USD (abandon short logic if broken)

3. Weekend Market Characteristics and Risk Control

1. Expected Decline in Trading Volume: Weekend cryptocurrency market liquidity typically decreases by 30%-50%, and price volatility may narrow, so short position target levels can be adjusted downwards (e.g., first aiming for 103500 USD) to avoid overly high expectations.

2. Holding Positions Over the Weekend Strategy: If the short position has gained over 50%, part of the position can be closed to lock in profits, and the remaining position’s stop loss can be moved up to the breakeven point to guard against unexpected news over the weekend (e.g., regulatory policies, macroeconomic data) causing counter-trend volatility.

3. Key Support Level Game: If 103100 USD is broken, the next short target will be 101500 USD; if it rebounds and breaks 106000 USD, the trend needs to be reassessed, considering a reversal to long positions.

4. Core Strategy Tips

Weekend operations should focus on "stability," not blindly pursuing large spaces, but rather seizing opportunities near the resistance level. The current four-hour bearish trend has not changed; high shorts remain the main line, but space should be reserved for oversold rebound tolerance.

Bitcoin 4-Hour Resistance Level Becomes Key, Breakthrough or Not Determines Bullish or Bearish Direction

The current Bitcoin (BTC) price is just a line away from the last 4-hour resistance level, and the battle between bulls and bears has entered a white-hot stage. Whether it breaks through or not will become a watershed for market direction, and close attention must be paid to short-term capital movements and volume changes.

1. Resistance Level Breakthrough: Opens Upward Space

• Key Position: The 4-hour chart resistance level is concentrated in the $106,200 - $106,500 range. If it breaks through with volume and holds, it is expected to initiate a new round of bullish momentum.

• Upward Target: First target $108,000 (testing previous highs), second target $110,000 (upper limit of the consolidation range).

• Confirmation Signal: The trading volume during the breakout needs to increase by more than 30% compared to the previous hour, and the closing price on the 1-hour line must hold above the resistance level.

2. Pressure Retreat: Focus on Short Strategies

• Current Strategy: If the price encounters resistance and falls back in the $105,500 - $106,000 range, a light short position can be taken based on the resistance level.

◦ Entry Range: $105,500 - $106,000

◦ Short-Term Target: $104,000 (retesting the 4-hour support)

◦ Swing Target: $102,000 (strong daily support)

◦ Stop Loss Setting: $106,500 (stop loss if resistance level is broken)

3. Key Points and Risk Warnings

1. Position Control: Short position not exceeding 3%. If reversing to go long after a breakthrough, the position must also be strictly limited to avoid chasing highs and cutting losses.

2. Time Window: Focus on the trading period from 10 PM to 2 AM tonight, as this period often sees directional choices (influenced by US stock market close and overseas major capital operations).

3. News Vigilance: Federal Reserve officials' speeches, US CPI data, etc., may trigger market volatility. Ensure no major news is released before taking action.

Summary

Adopting a **“breakthrough chasing highs, shorting when encountering resistance”** dual strategy near the resistance level is more flexible. However, it must be remembered: the current market has poor continuity, and both bulls and bears need to enter and exit quickly to avoid prolonged exposure to news risks.

#加密市场回调

The market for Bitcoin experiences significant ups and downs, making it difficult to maintain continuity; adapting flexibly under news-driven circumstances is key.

Recently, the trend of Bitcoin (BTC) has shown a characteristic of 'significant rises and falls without continuity,' with both increases and decreases lacking sustainability. The core reason lies in frequent disruptions from news events (such as macroeconomic data, regulatory policy expectations, etc.). In the face of a rapidly changing market, operations must pay more attention to flexible responses and short-term strategies.

Current market characteristics and strategy logic

1. Source of volatility: Rising expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes and a deadlock in U.S. debt ceiling negotiations have triggered market risk aversion, leading to rapid switching of funds between cryptocurrencies and dollar assets.

2. Technical signals: On the daily chart, BTC is in a wide range between $100,000 and $110,000, and the MACD indicator on the 4-hour chart has repeatedly shown a 'divergence-repair' cycle, indicating a stalemate in the bull-bear struggle.

3. Operational strategy: Continue with a bearish approach, looking for entry opportunities within the resistance zone while avoiding chasing highs and cutting losses.

Specific operational suggestions (Bitcoin)

• Short entry range: $105,000 - $105,500

• Short-term target: $104,000 (testing previous low support)

• Swing target: $102,000 (strong support on the daily chart)

• Stop-loss: set above $106,000 (abandon short logic if broken)

Risk control and response points

1. Position management: Each individual short position should not exceed 5% of total capital, with stop-loss limits controlled at 1.5%-2% to prevent sudden positive news (such as breakthroughs in debt negotiations) leading to counter-trend fluctuations.

2. Tracking indicators: Focus on the Federal Reserve's economic beige book at 2 AM and the capital flow after tonight’s U.S. stock market close (inflow of stablecoins into exchanges). If a large amount of capital withdraws from cryptocurrencies occurs, short positions can be held overnight.

3. Flexible profit-taking: As the target is approached (e.g., $104,500), first close 50% of the position to lock in profits, and adjust the stop-loss on the remaining position to the cost price, aiming for further declines.

Summary

In a high-volatility environment dominated by news, **'quick in and out, take profits when available'** is a more prudent strategy. If the subsequent market breaks through the upper (at $110,000) or lower (at $100,000) bounds of the consolidation range, it is necessary to adjust thoughts in a timely manner and operate in the direction of the trend.

#加密市场回调 $BTC

Dragon Boat Festival BTC Puzzle Challenge, Enjoy Crypto Fun!

Dear crypto community partners, happy Dragon Boat Festival! When a traditional festival meets BTC, a fun puzzle challenge is here～ Solve the puzzle below, and you might discover the wonderful connection between the crypto world and the Dragon Boat Festival!

Puzzle:
The fragrance of zongzi wafts towards the blockchain, each grain of sticky rice whispers data. As the dragon boat glides through the long river of blocks, the BTC private key is hidden within the Dragon Boat Festival code——
"A single reed crosses the river in search of zongzi treasure, the block height hides the private key. Count down to the fifth day of the fifth month, the hash value conceals secrets."

Hint: Related to the Dragon Boat Festival date and BTC block height, get your brains working!
Leave your answers in the comments, those who answer correctly will unlock mysterious knowledge about BTC during the Dragon Boat Festival! May everyone enjoy a Dragon Boat Festival filled with the charm of crypto while exploring the joy of solving puzzles! 🌿🚀

#加密市场回调

Accurate market grasp! The early morning bottom-buying long positions have achieved great success, and the current strategy focuses on high short positions.

The bottom-buying long positions suggested by the early morning puzzle have accurately hit the market, and those who followed the operation have reaped substantial rewards! However, the current pattern indicates that the market is entering a clear downtrend, and the operation strategy needs to be adjusted in a timely manner — primarily focusing on high short positions. The puzzle will track the fluctuations throughout the process and release reminders at the first time!

Bitcoin (BTC) trading suggestions

Short entry range: $106,000 - $106,500
Short-term target: $104,000
Swing target: $100,000
Stop-loss defense: Strictly set above $107,000

Strategy logic analysis

1. Trend determination: The 4-hour chart shows BTC breaking key support levels, the moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, and the RSI indicator has fallen below the 50 midline, with downward momentum prevailing.

2. Risk control: Short position stop-loss should be above the recent rebound high, to avoid being swept by short-term tempting long positions; target levels can be combined with intraday volume changes for staggered profit-taking.

3. Timing reminder: Pay close attention to the linkage effect during the US stock market opening period at 8 PM tonight. If the three major US stock indices fall more than 1%, BTC may accelerate its downward probe.

Important Reminder

• Market fluctuations are severe, and strict stop-loss measures must be taken; holding positions is prohibited!

• High short strategies are only suitable for short-term speculation; long-term trends need to be further analyzed in conjunction with macro policies (such as Federal Reserve interest rate decisions).

Accurate market grasp! The early morning bottom-buying long positions have achieved great success, and the current strategy focuses on high short positions.

The bottom-buying long positions suggested by the early morning Luyao have accurately hit the market, and those who followed the operation have reaped substantial rewards! However, the current pattern indicates that the market is entering a clear downtrend, and the operation strategy needs to be adjusted in a timely manner — primarily focusing on high short positions. Luyao will track the fluctuations throughout the process and release reminders at the first time!

Bitcoin (BTC) trading suggestions

Short entry range: $106,000 - $106,500
Short-term target: $104,000
Swing target: $100,000
Stop-loss defense: Strictly set above $107,000

Strategy logic analysis

1. Risk control: Short position stop-loss should be above the recent rebound high, to avoid being swept by short-term tempting long positions; target levels can be combined with intraday volume changes for staggered profit-taking.

2. Timing reminder: Pay close attention to the linkage effect during the US stock market opening period at 8 PM tonight. If the three major US stock indices fall more than 1%, BTC may accelerate its downward probe.

#美国加征关税

On the battlefield of investment, traders are worlds apart from 'gamblers'.

Traders are like calm hunters, wielding data as a sword and using risk management as a shield, allowing capital to strike precisely like bullets, leading to a steady rise in their accounts.

In contrast, 'gamblers' rely on intuition, recklessly using their capital as cannon fodder, listening to 'insider' tips and depending on luck for profit and loss.

Let’s not gamble our lives in investments; learn from traders, plan trades and trade plans, so we can move steadily forward amidst the waves of the market.

#加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH

📢Breaking! The number of initial unemployment claims in the U.S. for the week ending May 24 has been released!

The previous value was 227,000, the expectation was 230,000, but the actual reported value soared to 240,000! This data, which is higher than expected, is a significant boon for the gold, silver, and crude oil markets.

Investors, it's time to closely monitor market dynamics and seize potential opportunities!

#美国加征关税

Today's Pancake Strategy

• Market View:

◦ BTC is bearish in the short term, with daily top divergence, capital outflow, and breaking the trend line. It is recommended to short near 109000 on a rebound, with a stop loss at 111500 and take profit at 102000, with support at 100000 below.

◦ ETH is expected to rise in the short term, but caution is advised when chasing gains; positioning at lower levels can be profitable.

• Market Opinion: It is believed that figures like Trump may influence the market through their statements, and the financial market is one of the sources of national funding, with similar operations in Eastern countries.

• Analyst's Sentiment: Being an analyst involves complex tasks that require consideration from multiple perspectives.

Please note, the investment risk in the cryptocurrency market is extremely high. The above analysis does not constitute investment advice; investors should make cautious decisions and approach market fluctuations rationally.

#美国加征关税 $BTC

SOL trend is weak, key positions become the focus of long and short contention

SOL has shown poor performance recently, failing to follow mainstream coins last night, and this morning it directly fell below the second support level before rebounding slightly, with a weak short-term trend. Combining technical aspects, today we need to focus on the long and short contest at the $173 level:

1. Stabilizing above $175, a small-scale rebound is expected to begin
Technical signal: If the closing price on the 1-hour chart stabilizes above $175, it will be seen as a short-term stop-loss signal, and bulls may attempt a counterattack.
Resistance outlook: First resistance: $175 (morning rebound high point)
Second resistance: $178 (50-hour moving average pressure)
Third resistance: $182 (dense trading area in late April)
Trading strategy: After stabilizing, a small position can be taken to try long, with a stop loss set at $171 (breaking this level confirms weakness), with targets for sequential profit-taking.

2. Losing $173 may further probe lower levels
Risk warning: If it continues to fail to stabilize at $173, it indicates that the rebound momentum is exhausted, and the market may continue its downward trend.
Lower support levels: First support: $171 (the second support level broken this morning)
Second support: $169 (mid-March low)
Third support: $164 (upper edge of the range initiated at the beginning of the year)
Trading strategy: After breaking this level, a small position can be taken to try short, with a stop loss set at $175, targeting $171 and $169.

3. Current market characteristics and response suggestions
Weak trading volume: The trading volume in the past 24 hours has shrunk by 18% compared to the previous day, with low market participation, caution is needed against the "no-volume rebound" trap.
Trend positioning: On the daily chart, SOL is still in the $160-$185 oscillation range, with high selling and low buying before breaking through, avoiding chasing highs and killing dips.
Position management: Control the position of a single trade at 3%-5%, with stop loss not exceeding 2%, to prevent losses due to enlarged fluctuations.

#sol分析

Investor enthusiasm surges, US cryptocurrency stocks soar in pre-market

On the morning of May 27, 2025, cryptocurrency-related stocks such as Coinbase and Marathon Digital saw significant increases in pre-market trading in the US market.

This surge occurred after the news that Coinbase was included in the S&P 500 index, which sparked a positive reaction from investors.

The driving force behind this optimistic sentiment is the 'Fear and Greed Index' soaring to 74, indicating bullish market sentiment.

Coinbase's inclusion in the S&P 500 index not only heightened interest from institutional investors but also reflected the company's growing influence in the market.

Institutional investors are responding positively to Coinbase's derivatives and cryptocurrency futures trading, which continues to receive attention as industry leaders drive market expansion.

Institutional trends are driving optimistic sentiment in the cryptocurrency market, with significant increases in pre-market trading for US cryptocurrency stocks, and companies like Coinbase seeing stock price increases after joining the S&P 500 index.

Although company leaders have not made direct statements, institutional demand appears to be strong, aligning with broader positive sentiment in the market.

Coinbase's inclusion requires index funds to purchase stocks, intensifying the pressure on stock prices from institutions. Coupled with the rise in the 'Greed' rating, this indicates an increased risk appetite among market participants.

The widespread rise in cryptocurrency stocks reflects an increase in investor interest and optimism regarding cryptocurrencies.

Despite the future widespread adoption of cryptocurrency wallets, cryptocurrency ETFs will remain in the market for the long term, as they provide users with a more convenient way to participate.

—— ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood Market data and insights Did you know? Historical patterns indicate that regulatory actions can significantly impact investor confidence in the cryptocurrency market.

According to CoinMarketCap data, Bitcoin is trading at $109,696.70, with a market cap of $2.18 trillion.

Although Bitcoin has fallen by 0.23% in the last 24 hours, it still dominates the market with a 63.15% market cap share.

In the past 90 days, Bitcoin's price has increased by 24.3%, boosting investor sentiment. Trading volume reached $49.59 billion, indicating strong market activity.

#BinanceAlphaAlert

ETH Night Trend Analysis and Intraday Strategy ..

ETH quickly fell back to the first support level after breaking through the first resistance level last night, showing a 'high and low' oscillating pattern.

Combining the short-term technical aspects, today we need to focus on the key position of 2548 USD for the contest between bulls and bears:

1. Stabilize above 2548, small-scale upward trend resumes

• Technical Signal: If the closing price on the 1-2 hour level stabilizes above 2548, it indicates the end of the short-term pullback, and the bulls regain control.

• Target Resistance Levels:

◦ First Target: 2585 USD (near three-day high pressure)
◦ Second Target: 2623 USD (200-hour moving average resistance)

◦ Third Target: 2654 USD (mid-April high area)

• Operation Suggestion: If it stabilizes, consider a light long position, with a stop-loss set at 2530 USD (abandon if it breaks), targeting sequential take profits.

2. Losing 2548 may further test support

• Risk Signal: If it continues to fail to stabilize above 2548, be wary of weak rebounds at small scales, and the trend may return to a downward channel.

• Lower Support Levels:

◦ First Support: 2508 USD (last night's low)

◦ Second Support: 2480 USD (50-hour moving average)

◦ Third Support: 2450 USD (late March dense trading area)

• Operation Suggestion: If it breaks below 2548, consider a light short position, with a stop-loss set at 2560 USD, targeting sequentially at 2508 and 2480.

3. Key Observation Points and Position Management

• Time Window: Tonight from 8-10 PM is an important turning point period, pay attention to changes in trading volume (breakout/breakdown is more indicative).

• Position Control: Regardless of long or short, a single position should not exceed 5% of total capital, with stop-loss range controlled at 1.5%-2%.

• Trend Reminder: On the daily level, ETH remains in a wide oscillating range of 2450-2650 USD, be cautious before chasing highs and cutting losses.

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Although you can receive Port3 airdrop and the profits from multiple accounts can be considerable, the cryptocurrency field is highly risky:

Market volatility risk: Cryptocurrency prices can fluctuate greatly, and the value of airdrop tokens may change rapidly.

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#Port3的AI社交数据层

Currently, there is a price pullback in the market, and the analysis suggests that this is a good opportunity to position for a long trade, with a determination that the bullish trend is still continuing.

Trading Advice

When the BTC price is near the range of 107000 - 107500, long positions can be taken, with target profit levels at 109000 - 110000.

At the same time, strict stop-loss orders (defensive) should be set during trading to control potential risks.

#BTC

Bitcoin's bullish indicators suggest it has further growth potential

The following is an analysis of various bullish indicators:

Rainbow Chart: A long-term valuation tool that uses a logarithmic growth curve to predict Bitcoin's potential future price trends.

The new Bitcoin Rainbow 2023 chart shows that Bitcoin is still undervalued, predicting that during this cycle, Bitcoin's price has the potential to break $200,000. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 71.35.

Generally, in the RSI chart, when RSI≥70, Bitcoin is in an overbought state and may soon decline;

When RSI≤30, Bitcoin is in an oversold state and may soon rise. However, the current RSI value still shows room for growth compared to historical highs, indicating that the market has not yet reached an extremely overbought stage for a significant correction.

200-week Moving Average Heatmap: The current price point is in the blue area of the heatmap, which usually indicates that the price top has not yet been reached, making it a time to hold and buy, suggesting that, from a long-term average perspective, Bitcoin's price still has an upward trend.

Two-Year Moving Average Multiplier: This indicator shows that the current Bitcoin price is between the red line and the green line, not yet touching the red line, which is a signal that the market has not yet peaked, implying that Bitcoin may continue to rise in the current cycle.
However, despite these indicators suggesting Bitcoin has further growth potential, the cryptocurrency market is highly uncertain and risky, influenced by various factors such as the macroeconomic environment, changes in policies and regulations, market sentiment fluctuations, etc. Investors should make investment decisions cautiously.

#MarketRebound