The game #crypto has really started, hasn't it, guys!
Remember two months ago, at the end of August and the beginning of September, many guys were shouting to cut losses, predicting BTC at 40k, 42k... now they've turned around and are calling for an uptrend. No waiting for 40k anymore :(
I've said it before, we are in a bull run cycle. There will be even more intense things coming up :v, just keep calling for an uptrend, guys.
Hypothesis of a 30% increase followed by a drop of 40-70% more. Surely many will change their views :v, "this is just a hypothesis"
I still have about 20k U planned and haven't invested in any assets yet. $BTC hit ATH, but ALTs haven't rebounded strongly. Those holding ALTs just have to wait.
Is the UPTREND real, guys, so I can spread the word :v
I will time to gather all my 20k U planned next week. Perhaps by that time there will be a better entry point. I'm still waiting... this game is just like that... if you can't wait, then you cook early. #BinanceTurns7
There's still about a week left until the election
Elon Musk gave many reasons to support #Trump's election, Messari Crypto founder also said that Trump's election is very important for crypto in the US.
I'm not good at analyzing political factors but I can see that besides Trump, his opponent Kamala Harris may also be friendly to cryptocurrencies.
The two most anti-crypto individuals are Elizabeth Warren (Senator famous for her anti-crypto stance) and Gary Gensler (Chairman of the SEC - Known as the villain of crypto). Trump pledged to fire Gary Gensler on the first day if re-elected.
However, Trump is involved in the World Liberty Financial (WLF) project which did not launch smoothly.
But there is one thing I want to mention: not only does it depend on the influence of the strong crypto community in the US, but Bhutan and El Salvador are also hoarding Bitcoin.
According to @ArkhamIntel, Bhutan is the 4th largest government, currently owning 880 million USD in $BTC. El Salvador is ranked 5th => This could cause other countries to join the Bitcoin hoarding race.
These countries all see Bitcoin as a long-term asset, and have no intention of dumping.
So I think whatever the outcome, everything is fine in the long term. Short-term long/short kills are inevitable.
Not sure if it broke ATH and went up immediately or if it was a false break, but basically the range of 70-73 needs to be cleared.
AI - L1 is temporarily stable but $DOGE is rising extremely strong and leading the meme season.
Target around the election $BTC 73-75k and DOM>60 => Most altcoins are just slightly moving, and coins with strong cash flow will rise during this period.
After Uptober for $BTC , then comes Moonvember for Altcoin, which is nice #BTC☀
The only thing that has sustained growth in the #Crypto market over the past 2 years is BTC.D, the game remains unchanged.
- #BTC☀ is still the KING, only we constantly go against this truth, always wanting more assets and betting on #Altcoin.
With high risk comes high reward, and we must accept it; this truth is understood by everyone. Everything has two sides - once you make a choice, keep striving.
Looking back at previous seasons, if you bought new projects with reputable backers, you could BUY 10 coins but only need half to succeed, even less if you remain steadfast.
Of course, you must buy when the price is still low and before it forms a super wave.
Returning to BTC.D, this index continues to rise without signs of stopping; in the last 2 seasons, it has surged over 70%. Personally, I find it hard for this season to reach that level as #Altcoin is getting more crowded.
=> Assets will be more fragmented into various altcoins.
I believe that BTC.D will rise to 62%, a resistance level formed in 2018, before falling.
As of now, the cycle remains correct; 2020 is similar to 2024.
We can see that BTC.D only started to turn down at the end of December 2020; could that scenario repeat? It could, spiritual matters should not be taken lightly, AE :D #BTC☀
What do you think about the fancy Restaking technology product $EIGEN ?
The market cap is hovering around 500M.
Is there anyone who has bought it yet or are you waiting for what price range?
I think I will wait for it to be around $2 corresponding to a market cap of over 300M before I look at the chart because fancy technology often equals junk technology #BTC☀
In August, the reserve requirement that banks are required to hold was reduced, allowing banks to pump more money into the market, creating liquidity.
🔸 The US Treasury will reduce sharply before the debt ceiling: Before the US government reaches the debt ceiling, the Treasury will have to use up all its reserves.
=> This will create a large injection of money into the financial market, and often when there is a lot of money in the system, the value of assets like Bitcoin can increase sharply.
🔸 Large liquidity from China: China has been pumping liquidity, lowering interest rates, and reducing reserve requirements to save growth.
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) will inject 234.6 billion yuan ($33.29 billion) into the banking system through market operations
🔸 Interest rate cuts will continue 1-2 times in Q4 2024: the forecast of rising unemployment will force the US to cut interest rates to support the economy. Lowering interest rates often makes money cheaper and makes it easier for people and businesses to borrow, creating more liquidity and pushing up asset prices
In short, there will be few BUY opportunities in Q4, don't wait until you are green to ask to buy.
Before Chairman Powell spoke -> The market went ahead of the news.
In his speech, he said: The economy is still stable and will continue to cut interest rates by 25 points each time in the following months. To stimulate the economy and the labor market.
In my opinion, if the number of unemployment claims continues to increase at a higher level than expected => Like last month, the FED will cut another 50 points next month is possible.
Although cutting interest rates is good for the labor market and traditional businesses, there is a risk that the economy will decline, as well as investment in the stock market and #crypto may decrease relatively.
But I also told you guys quite a lot, the market in the correction phase is an opportunity for you to optimize and add more goods to your bag.
Influenced by the positive performance of Chinese stocks, the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index also recovered strongly, increasing by nearly 14% last week.
Many people are still afraid that this is a fake increase, but the belief that Chinese stocks are being priced cheaply, IPO activities in the Hong Kong market are also recovering in the third quarter.
Hong Kong stocks are considered to have bottomed out, the first growth group is stocks of leading securities companies.
=> Not only in the world #crypto , the tradfi world is also more positive. And it is very likely that we will have some stories about Eastern money flows in the near future.
Some opinions say: Enter the market to make money, regardless of technology. Every coin that increases in price is a good coin, a coin that decreases in price is a bad coin!
=> This opinion is not wrong but not enough!
💠 If you only make money, there are many places like: - Lottery tickets are also making money!
- Casinos are also making money. => But investment markets like: Forex - stocks - crypto are different. Each market has its own characteristics, has a story behind it.
💠 Market #crypto is a capital market of a technology platform. If you turn market #crypto into a gambling den, it will no longer have the core of the story behind it!
(When the stock market first appeared, there were also many opinions that it was gambling).
Look at the nature, a market associated with too many memes is a market that is inflated and applies the formula of whoever comes first eats
Devs suppress Kols, Kols suppress followers, and so on, suppressing each other because they basically run out of ideas, so they suppress memes, which is no different from saying that this is a casino and what we need to do is find hidden gems (not much different from playing dex)
Less expectations because now cex and dex have a very fragile boundary and currently cex exchanges are no longer building on reputation and brand, but what they need is profit (suppressing users to make money, since cz left, binance now only suppresses users to make liquidity over and over again)
I don't deny the hype of the meme wave, but I feel like the next wave will be a strong wave of technology coins!
There are quite a few stories being told and hinted at, if you pay close attention you will see them.
- The Etf story promotes cash flow into hst $BTC $ETH - If Hst $BTC has cash flow, BTC eco will benefit a lot - If Eth eco has cash flow, it will promote platforms L2, Restaking, L1 evm, Lsdfi,... - Big trends like AI - Rwa are all places to attract whales to participate and pour money into the market.
There are still quite a few stories revolving around, but the overall picture has been shown quite clearly, I feel like everything has been set up and just need to wait for the right time to explode.
Why do I believe that?
Because to prepare for the bull market, before that is a period of carefully building each key point and the ultimate goal is to have more participants, which means more liquidity.
Sharks always want to create games to solve group interests, so I believe the market will still explode even more strongly and cannot stop at the current level.
The #crypto market always has a very high excretion rate and can easily transfer from Trader to reluctant Holder, as well as from Holder to Trader without knowing it?
If at present, you can see that in these 6 months, if you are a Trader, you can avoid many crashes or optimize a lot of coins when you see many Altcoins going up and then falling to a deeper bottom.
Is it true that every time we sell and buy back, how many coins will we optimize? And Holders, including me, wake up every day to see their accounts decrease more, gradually erode, then see many people say they successfully sold their stocks, optimize how many coins they are impatient...
And in each of those beats, there are many people who draw BTC to continue to crash, making us want to optimize more, and then in this period, there will be many people optimizing to buy back and then gradually switch from Holder to Trader without knowing it?
On the contrary, when entering the crazy Altcoin Season wave, it is very easy to turn us from Traders to reluctant Holders. There will be many of you who are not sure about your hands and sell too early, or those who have just switched from Holder to Trader above and then see it continue to fly when you have sold,
then take all the money you have and jump into Trade for the last few times, and then get caught in a sudden crash and can't escape in time, turning into reluctant Holders in the Downtrend season, and returning all the money to the market? (For example, Oha collapsed in May 2021 or recently in mid-April 2024).
Have any of you ever been like that? Will you definitely Cash out this season when you reach your target?
Short-term liquidity is quite concentrated in the 63k and 66k areas. However, the 66k area is still close to the current price, so I still lean towards $BTC continuing to sweep short in the short term.
FC 1W shows that the buying trend is quite strong when the brown order volume (orders >$1M) is getting bigger and bigger. Purple orders have a few slight ups and downs, but overall the buying trend remains unchanged.
On the MM Wintermute side, there are not many moves to deposit money on the exchange like before. Jump trading tends to accumulate stablecoins to wallets => Memecoin is being promoted, MM's port recently continues to suck up profits of $SHIB $PEPE.
The bearish period is when MM and bookmakers are active, not the bullish market period, for example, the indexes of spot ETF, mint stablecoin, depositing USDT USDC to the exchange, and accumulating coins to cold wallets are not as strong as the market period /5/7.
During this period, the market is being pumped, brothers holding dollars keep buying coins + narrative is fomo. If you have profit, close it, put bullets into the main bag => I believe the giant wave is still ahead.
- When everyone out there is shouting that the macro is good, the market is too good. Then you will see how terrible the liquidity of the investment markets is.
- Remember 2020 2021. After the end of Covid, I myself did not expect the real estate liquidity to be terrible, the price increased every day. Trading like a vegetable market,
even in the #crypto market from the beginning of 2021 onwards, it was extremely exciting, almost any coin you buy will be profitable. Buying is profitable, so the most difficult people outside also believe that the market will increase.
- So clearly investing is buying to wait, not waiting to buy. Because if we wait until the time to buy, we will be the liquidity of the market! #btc #eth #crypto
Only 3 days left, September 29, when Anh Hai is officially released.
It has been 4 months of turmoil since he left.
Will his return be able to save this frustrating and thorny market?
As mentioned before, you can wait for the Trade part before the first half of October.
Coincidentally, Anh Hai CZ also returned at the end of September, so the market is likely to pump strongly on January 29 and 30, then start to adjust on January 2.
So you can pay more attention.
And I will remind you once again, keep the HOLD part intact and do not be greedy for optimization, because optimization is a coin that is easy to run all the way.
$SUI is a typical example. No optimization is seen, only losing goods and having to climb back to the top.
- Why are there always recovery candles, strong crashes when the market is up or down in the long term?
- Because of human greed, the number of trap orders will also increase with each position and time. So there is no such thing as an eternal increase or an eternal decrease.
- The reason for having 1-minute candles is to let you guys comfortably predict and futures, while the problem for holders is the weekly and monthly charts.
- We have been waiting since the interest rate increased and reached its peak, now the interest rate turns around to find the bottom for the new cycle, there is no reason for you guys to give up.