Movimento mensalmente 300k dólares em futures desde 2020, então tenho alguma experiência com alavancagem, do negativo ao positivo e do positivo ao negativo.
I've been in this market for a few years and what I've learned is to see points that everyone ignores. Years ago, when BTC hit its all-time high, I predicted through monthly graphic analysis that it would reach 15k. After a few months, it really reached that range and I made a lot of money. Now, years later, I'm here with the same analysis. I don't know how long it will take, but we'll have a mass liquidation, one of the BIGGEST in history. Here's my analysis:
1. Insufficiency of New Capital Flows
Although BTC has achieved an impressive appreciation, data suggests that the Realized Cap is no longer increasing. This indicates a possible lack of new capital flows, making the market dependent on new investors.
2. Regulatory and Macroeconomic Risk
In the US, discussions about stricter regulations for crypto assets may limit the entry of large institutional investors.
3. Signals of a Technical Correction
Despite the excitement that BTC could surpass $105,000.00, analysts expect a reversal in this range before any solid advance. One of the indicators of concern is the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV), which currently stands at 2.7. Historically, values close to 4 signal a market peak, suggesting that BTC could plunge.
4. Impact of “Whales” on the Market
Accumulation by large players has driven the price up, but it also increases the risk of mass liquidations if “whales” take profits en masse. Combined with insufficient volume of new buyers, this could accelerate a steep decline.
Conclusion: A Warning
Bitcoin may be at a critical crossroads. While long-term fundamentals remain solid, a combination of economic, technical, and regulatory factors could result in a significant correction in the near term. Any break of important support on the monthly chart could trigger cascading sell-offs, accentuating a potential decline.Caution is essential for investors.
And the lack of warning was not, I informed about it yesterday.
$SIREN $POWER they are all from the same profile.
grandaPump
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🚨 **Understanding the $SIREN Price Movement** Recent analysis indicates the significant $SIREN price surge was initially unexpected, especially given its underlying weak structure. However, a deeper look reveals critical factors at play. Key insights into the pump's mechanics: • Top 10 holders control over 98% of the supply, highlighting potential for concentrated manipulation. • Whales reportedly opened substantial short positions as the price dropped from 0.63 to 0.41. • Significant liquidity above current levels presented an ideal setup for a manipulative pump. • This scenario was likely exploited by market makers and exchanges to push prices higher, trapping participants. This surge appears to be a liquidity-driven pump, rather than organic growth. The manipulation phase now seems to be nearing its conclusion. Liquidity has been successfully captured, traps are established, and smart money is showing signs of exiting $SIREN. From this juncture, a slow distribution phase is anticipated, likely followed by a sharp dump. 📉 Given $SIREN's nature as a meme coin with limited fundamental utility, the risk of a complete rug pull remains substantial. Investors should exercise extreme caution. ⚠️
As mentioned earlier, $SIREN is just another crypto like all the others. There is no beautiful story behind the crypto, and the key point is the chart. The chart shows whether the beautiful story is true or just another tale from a con artist.
~ R$ 4,800.00 in profit in just one single afternoon!
Let's go hunting for the next bomb, to double this money!
There comes a moment of certain calm when everyone thinks everything is fine with King $BTC . However, it is precisely in these moments that many market traps are built.
I really like to observe the monthly BTC chart, as it shows the macro sentiment of the market in the long term. We are talking about movements that develop over months or even years.
Notice that the chart barely did not consolidate in the 40k region. When I say region, I mean something between 40,000 and 45,000. We hit the post when the price came close to 59k.
Be very careful in negotiations. Personally, I do not buy BTC until there is confirmation of the MACD on the monthly chart and clear price consolidation in this 40k region.
In the meantime, we are playing in the minefield of the medium term.
Want to know which one I am holding, waiting for mega profit?
Have you stopped to observe that while BTC is entering a falling rally, several cryptocurrencies that were forgotten start to move again?
I am a long-term investor, but at times I feel the urge to ride these short-term bombs.
Look at $PIPPIN $PLAY and others of the same profile. Projects that were stagnant are gaining volume and attention again. This movement is usually momentary, as after the rise comes heavy realization.
Now here's the provocation: is it time for $POWER and others that are also dormant?
Which ones are you keeping an eye on at this moment?
It's wrong. Very wrong, we haven't even reached the bottom yet. The bottom will consolidate in about 6 months to 1 year approximately. After 1 year, a new rally of highs will begin.
Hey dude, where are you? Have you been liquidated? I told you to go by the monthly chart, at least the weekly one. It's getting closer to 44k. Those who lack patience end up like this.
I took the liberty of looking for the old post. I said that the analysis of the monthly graph is not an overnight process. I stood firm and strong waiting for this moment of 44k. It's right there.
Elisabeth Henrikson KS3s
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Just to make it clear that this dude messed up badly.
Then came a bunch of idiots saying that I was shooting in the dark. Those who can read the monthly chart can easily predict future patterns.
I am loaded waiting for the 44k, to fill my pockets. It will be in cash, in futures, and everything. After hitting 44k, we start everything again, but then heading towards 150 to 180k in BTC.
Note: this is long term. We are talking about monthly candles. So sit and wait, if you don’t have patience for the long term, go to futures, but go with the right strategy.
My analyses are for the long term. If you want quick profit, go to the casino.
Adriano comelli
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Dude, do you have any idea that you posted that it would drop to 78 and right after that BTC broke the all-time high... now after reaching the ATH it dropped to 70 and you think you're the expert lol Month 10 and 11 BTC 184
Those who paid attention are fine. Those who doubted are SCREWED beautifully!
Now hold on: $BTC is going to take a little rise just to fool those who believe in fairy tales, and then it will continue to plummet all year long. It hasn't even started the DEATH DROP! When it arrives, many people will be disappearing from social media.
And note this: THE 44K ARE COMING!
Those dreaming of infinite highs will wake up directly in the nightmare! kkkkkkkk
🚨 ALERT: The $BTC MAY DROP TO 40K?! UNDERSTAND THE REASON! 🚨
Many people think that BTC only goes up, but those who follow the market know that it has its cycles. In the past, it went from 15k, shot up to 77k, then hit 110k... and now? Are we about to see a sharp drop to 40k? I'll explain simply why this could happen!
🔎 1. The Market Always Returns to the Mean There is a concept in statistics called regression to the mean by Francis Galton, which, in summary, means that everything that rises too much must eventually return a bit to balance. BTC rose very quickly and may need to take a breather before continuing.
📉 2. BTC Always Has Major Corrections If we look at past cycles, every time BTC hits a historical peak, it corrects by 50% to 80% before resuming the uptrend. If it drops 60% from 110k, where could it stop? Exactly, near 40k.
💰 3. The Market is Driven by Emotion When everyone gets too optimistic, people start buying at the top. But when the price starts to fall, panic sets in and many sell at a loss, pushing the price down even further. This has happened before and can happen again!
🔮 Conclusion: IS 40K POSSIBLE? If BTC repeats previous cycles, a pullback to 40k would be a natural move before a new price explosion. So, if you're thinking of getting in now, be careful! It might be better to wait for the dust to settle before making any decisions.
🔥 AND YOU, WHAT DO YOU THINK? Will BTC hold or will it melt? Leave your opinion in the comments! ⬇️⬇️⬇️
Step by step, we are approaching the ideal entry point, with the course set for the 40k mark. But before that, we will face a major barrier: the 56k.
Currently, the market is exactly at the point we always find in previous cycles – the moment of disbelief. This reflects the current market sentiment. A simple "touch" on the wound and the market tends to bleed even more. And why is this market so predictable?
Because the chart reflects the collective sentiment of the people, and that sentiment, no matter how unpredictable it seems, can be manipulated!
And who is in charge of this?
Answer: 🐋🤫
Understand the dynamics of this market, be patient, and with time, you will see the profits coming.
And for the haters who follow me, I remind you that I have been warning since 12/12/2024 that the bull cycle has come to an end. Will I be right?