#美国大选后涨或跌？

Yesterday's video publicly shared a strategy that was only 86 points off, just a bit of luck. The thought process has no issues and continues into today. The short-term EMA on the 4-hour level is consistently downward, putting pressure on the price. During the day yesterday, there were four consecutive attempts that did not break through the resistance zone, but during the pullback, the trading volume was almost the same while the decline was reduced. The price has shown signs of stopping behavior and will maintain a wide range oscillation between 67523-69000 throughout the day, suggesting to watch more and act less.

#BTC☀
I have always wanted to know... who this silly blogger is following and who is watching

The strategy provided yesterday was accurate for entry and profit-taking
Market Analysis——#ETH $ETH
The 4-hour level has gradually formed a bearish arrangement, but after a long upper shadow was recorded at 4 AM, the closing at 8 AM did not continue the downward trend, showing signs of price stabilization. It is expected to fluctuate within 2469-2500. Overall, the market remains relatively bearish, and it is recommended to only short and not go long
Variety: ETH
Direction: Short
Entry Position: 2535-2555
Definition: Intraday short-term
Take Profit: Notification in the community or set the profit-loss ratio to 1.8-2.5
Stop Loss: 2570

#BTC☀
Today's Analysis——#BTC $BTC
Since reaching a high in March, the 69600 region has been a strong resistance level on the daily chart. However, unlike in the past, the EMA below is in a bullish arrangement, and the upward trend line that started in September has not been broken, indicating a bullish outlook for the medium to long term. From another perspective, the current international turmoil and the investigation into Tether may suppress demand. Therefore, my personal trading strategy is to enter near the EMA30 for a more suitable risk-reward ratio. If trading short-term, Ethereum can be chosen for operation:
Variety: ETH
Direction: Short
Entry Position: 2509-2538
Definition: Intraday Short-term
Take Profit: Real-time Notification
Stop Loss: 2572
Risk-Reward Ratio: About 1.8

#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥
Daily Analysis——#ETH $ETH
Ethereum continues to underperform; in the logic of the cryptocurrency market rally, the rebound, especially for higher market cap varieties, tends to be less sustainable. However, there are some details to note:
1. On the daily chart, it has already fallen back into the range of oscillation, temporarily supported near the midpoint today. If the closing line shows a small bearish candle with volume, there is still a chance for a rebound. But if it breaks below the daily low of 2445 again, returning to the previous low of 2350 is highly probable.
2. A few days ago, I mentioned the cycle dispersion; from 5, 15, 30 minutes to the 1-hour level, it is gradually turning into a bearish trend. To stop the decline, the 4-hour chart needs to stay above 2570, so this point can serve as the boundary for short-term long and short positions.

Market analysis——#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥
The current pressure level of Ethereum is very obvious near 2820. There are two situations:
1. If the big positive line directly breaks through 2820 and the short-term chips that have made profits in recent days, it may trigger a large-scale sell-off in the short term. In this case, the rise is an opportunity to reduce positions
2. If it falls back after the breakthrough as in situation 2, it will digest the short-term chips and complete the full turnover, and there will be more opportunities in the future market
In either case, it is recommended to only buy and not sell

Market analysis——#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 $ETH
1. Compared with the rebound from 9.17 to 9.27, this rebound is fast and has a large volume. The current correction has not fallen below EMA60, and the probability of a breakthrough is greater. The pressure level is still around 2720; compared with the current position of Bitcoin, combined with the expectation of a rebound, the reasonable price target should be around 2900-3100 (although Ethereum is lagging in this round of bull market, it does not hinder its second place status) 2. The 1-hour level is temporarily in the box 2595-2650. The morning big positive increase has now fallen back by more than half. The oscillation time is not sufficient to make it difficult to change hands. A good rise should be a small positive + two forward and one backward trend; it is recommended to mainly use the current price order according to the actual situation of the small level during the day, and try not to place orders

#BTC☀ $BTC
With floating profits, should you take the initiative to stop profits? The price has reached the limit, should you exit and wait and see?
These two questions are based on the same principle: if the retracement you bear is small or no, then you lose the possibility of continuing to expand your profits. You sacrifice your future profits in exchange for a smaller retracement. This is a choice, and you need to make a trade-off.
With floating profits on long orders, should you reduce your position when the profit reaches a certain level?
This is the principle of risk exposure in retracement control. You can indeed avoid a larger retracement in the future by reducing your position, but at the same time, you still sacrifice your future profits.
While controlling the retracement, the expected future returns will also be reduced. There is no best way to deal with it. It is all about choices and trade-offs. Making a choice between retracement control and profit range, and then fixing it, is the best decision.

$BTC
Market analysis -#BTC$BTC
1. The bull flag rising channel on the daily line has not been broken. This is the key point to determine whether the subsequent rise can continue. Time needs to be exchanged for space. The pin yesterday night was a normal phenomenon; but from the perspective of volume, yesterday's volume did not increase accordingly. The price stopped behaving. It is not suitable to chase more here again in the medium term
2. The 30-minute level has basically recovered the decline. Personally, I tend to ignore the surge and plunge caused by emotions. At present, it continues to move up along the rising channel. The short-term defense price is 66730
3. Do less swings and don't do it back and forth. This is the core requirement in recent days. Otherwise, it will be difficult to get it back after selling it.

$BTC
Daily Sweep -#btc$btc
1. The flag pattern on the daily line still exists. This is the only form in which there is hope for the bull market. Funds are also relatively patient. They have been washing the market from March to 7.3W. If it falls below, it is necessary to reduce positions in time. However, there is no signal on the right side. It is only recommended to do intraday trading and not to predict how long it will take to rise.
2. The panic selling and the second bottoming stage have been completed in 30 minutes. Next, wait for the three lines to diverge before entering the market. Pay attention to the 6.2 support below.

$BTC
Daily Analysis - #BTC
The continued popularity of A-shares will have a certain siphon effect on the currency circle. The back-and-forth pins on the hourly line also prove that it is currently in a stock game market.
The three EMA lines on the daily line have not diverged yet, so there will be no mid-term trend before it stands above 65,500 this week.
Pay attention to the trend line shown in the figure below, and change the short-term short-term thinking in time after breaking it. Overall, there is no big problem with the market for the time being, so hold on.

$BTC
Adding positions will lead to death from callbacks, not adding positions will lead to death from wear and tear, trends will lead to death from shocks, shocks will lead to death from unilateralism, how can we keep profits in the long run?
In my opinion, the future is uncertain, and everything is possible in the future. If you want to make a profit, you have to open a position, and opening a position means risk exposure. Since there is risk exposure, there is a possibility that you will die.
Therefore, the field of speculative trading will flourish, and each theory will have room to survive, because we have no way to objectively, clearly, and 100% prove that a certain set of methods will continue to make profits in the future. If it can be proved, then trading will become a decryption game...
In this case, what do we traders rely on to persist here?
It depends on your trading beliefs.
The so-called trading beliefs are the ultimate choices you make on trading subjectively. You believe that the trading system you insist on will definitely have positive returns in the future. You believe that the path you take must be right

Daily analysis——#BTC☀ #威科夫供需量价
Daily line: 1. It is most likely a structure of re-accumulation. Most of the real distribution will fluctuate horizontally, and the rise will shrink while the fall will increase. The current structure does not meet the requirements, and EMA has formed a long-term bonding pattern again. Yesterday's retracement did not increase the volume. It is expected that there will still be opportunities after the holidays. But it is also necessary to pay attention to the long-short dividing point of 57553 below
Hourly line: Converging triangle waiting for a break. At present, it has reached the last two stages of the hourly structure accumulation model. There are two subsequent situations: directly increase the volume after the triangle breaks, or shake the warehouse and then increase it. Trial and error are inevitable, and do not hold orders.

Daily Analysis - #ETH
1. The weekly line indicated risk last week. The trading volume did not match the K-line entity. The efforts were fruitless. The risk of falling this week is still large. It has been verified that the key support below is 2236
2. The hourly line entered a short position arrangement across the board. It broke through the key support of 2414-2424 in the early morning. Today, this range will be converted into a pressure point, and it is in the middle of SOW. This range can be used as the main short-selling point and enter the market according to the minute level
3. The three-line confluence point of the big cake fell below but closed with a cross star. The supply did not increase, so it will have a different trend from Ethereum. It is recommended not to short at the same time

Market analysis - #BTC
Due to the recent surge in A-shares, the cryptocurrency market has been siphoned to a certain extent, which has turned into a stock game. Therefore, there will be repeated false breakthroughs in the near future. On the daily chart, you only need to pay attention to the support of the three EMA confluence points below. In principle, you can continue to be bullish if it does not break.
But it should be noted that the upward trend line at the 1-hour level since September 9 has been broken and EMA120 has begun to move downward. The key point of the pullback is around 64,500, so pay attention

Market analysis - #BTC
1. As mentioned a few days ago, the daily line is likely to fall back to the confluence of the three EMAs. Yesterday's daily line confirmed the start of the adjustment. It should be noted that the comparison between the decline and the 8.25-9.6 volume should be observed at all times as a reference. If the lower shadow is not closed at the confluence point, it is necessary to be vigilant.
2. Yesterday, the small level has spread, and the trend has turned from 5-15min to a short position. It will continue to be affected if we observe it for 30 minutes today. The defense position is 62816.

Market analysis——#BTC☀
1. On the daily line, time needs to be exchanged for space to digest the support pressure and the selling pressure at the starting and falling points. If the volume continues to shrink and the cross star is closed, it is necessary to be vigilant to step back to the confluence of the three lines
2. The safer point to take more during the day is 64,000, but after breaking through, the market will turn from strong to weak, and it is necessary to wait for further confirmation of the next strong demand point
3. The overall market operation opportunities are in several strong cottages such as REEF, SAGA, SEI, and look for small-level entry.

Market analysis - #BTC
1. As mentioned in the morning video, the obvious pressure range on the daily line is around 65,000. It is necessary to pay close attention to the relationship between the K-line and the volume after reaching this position. If the real body of the positive line shrinks and the trading volume increases, it is likely that the breakthrough will fail and turn to horizontal fluctuations, and it is necessary to sell; if the volume increases and the price rises, you can consider chasing high
2. Observe at the 4-hour level. A good and long-lasting rising pattern must be close to the key trend line or moving average to form a trend of three steps forward and one step back, and the real body of the positive line cannot be too long, otherwise there will be short-term divergence to form a pull-up shipment.
In summary, don't touch the top and short easily, follow the trend
You can enter part of the bottom position when you step back to the previous high; for short-term, you can reduce the level to 5 minutes and operate according to the prompts in the group

Market analysis - #ETH
I haven't looked at Ethereum for a long time, but I think it will show some performance in the near future based on the technical form:
1. An oversold rebound is formed on the weekly line, and an inverted hammer line also appears. This form is more accurate. In addition, Bitcoin has also entered a rebound cycle, which is expected to drive Ethereum to form a compensatory rise trend, but the maximum stop loss for medium and long-term entry is near 2273 below
2. The daily line is still short, but the continuous large-volume small positive line pushes the price upward and is expected to break through. Try to choose to enter the market near the previous support, such as the previous small platform of 2544 on the daily line
3. The 1-hour level breaks through the ascending triangle, and the trend of Bitcoin begins to decouple, meeting the first condition of strength. The starting point of the day below 2560 is the warning position, and it is firmly long if it is not broken.

#BTC#Web3#Transaction
1. The downward trend line on the daily line has not been completely broken, and it will take a few days to confirm, but it is undeniable that the price has stood above EMA120 for the first time since August 23, which is a positive signal. The overall thinking in the future is still bullish.
2. The hourly line was stimulated by positive news and broke through the floating supply line of 62400 since August 9, but the retracement at 9 o'clock in the morning was slightly larger. It is expected that the pressure support conversion point will be confirmed again during the day. You can try and take more here