10 months of BTC growth ahead 🍸

Crypto analyst PlanB is back in the big leagues of experts after BTC rose above $60k and his Stock-to-Flow model signaled (https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD/status/1763547197126156519) a move to parabolic growth.

Stock-to-Flow is an onchain indicator (https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/stock-to-flow-model/) that predicts the price of BTC based on the number of coins mined by miners. The model treats BTC as a commodity whose supply in the market is constantly decreasing, which, when demand persists or increases, leads to an increase in value.

PlanB developed the model in 2019 and in hindsight it showed steep results for the first two BTC cycles, but in 2021 everyone was expecting $100k based on past data and were highly disappointed with the model and its author.

Although Stock-to-Flow formally worked very accurately in 2021, PlanB removed the price forecast from its charts, leaving only the market phases 🫡

We can look at the original version of the model and it shows $441k per BTC in May 2025. Shall we check it out?

Save it so you don't forget 🆗

#BTC/USDT. #BTC‬ #Bitcoin‬

Within an hour BTC reached $64k and then the market was swept to $58,700 🔪

Now the bulls are trying to hold the price above $60k even though they got shaved $177m in 1 hour.

They will: Yes - 👍; No - 👎

#BTC‬ #Bitcoin

BTC is only $10k away from a new ATH and the main reason is the trading volumes of spot ETFs, where the first place and more than $1 billion for the second day in a row is taken by BlackRock 🔼

The guys at Bloomberg already seriously believe (https://twitter.com/EricBalchunas/status/1762591377446285737) that BlackRock has found a new market for its ETF. And there are even rumors (https://u.today/shocking-bitcoin-strategy-from-blackrock-calls-for-28-allocation) that the investment giant is advising its clients to fly into BTC at 28% of the cutlet 💸

Curly Sam is asking for only 6.5 years in jail instead of 100 years. Also, even in prison he recommends buying Solana 🕓

The US Internal Revenue Service (IRS) has hired (https://twitter.com/WuBlockchain/status/1762641197250859281) former employees of ConsenSys, Binance US and TaxBit to help crack down on crypto traders who don't pay taxes well 🔪

Benchmark Investment Bank expects MicroStrategy stock to rise to $990 because it believes in bitcoin at $125k 🕕

#BTC‬ #bitcoinETF #BlackRock #ftx

Satoshi Nakamoto is potentially the top-26 richest person in the world 💰

If the bitcoin creator still has access to his 1.1 million BTC and returns, at the current price, that's $51 billion and the 26th position in Forbes' Rich List.

True, if Satoshi moves even one BTC on his wallet, we may drain 30% or more on panic 😳

#Satoshi #BTC‬ #Bitcoin

Cool news!

Meme token founders had a fight in the ring (https://twitter.com/lopp/status/1761757943341740276) and brought volatility into their coins. By the way, one of them is the same Ben Armstrong (BitBoy), so he defended the honor of the token BEN 🙁

MicroStrategy's Twitter was hacked, the hacker promised a fake giveaway of the MSTR token on the ETH network and raised $440k. Everyone knows that MicroStrategy is about BTC, but you want freebies so bad 🕕

Last week, inflows into the bitcoin-ETF totaled (https://twitter.com/lookonchain/status/1761976804682895789) a modest 18,477 BTC, but outflows from GBTC were also down to 9,557 BTC. Is the hype running out?...? 🥇

Crypto exchange Bitforex has withdrawn (https://twitter.com/zachxbt/status/1762028433574650347) $56.5 million from its hot crypto wallets, after which deposit and withdrawal operations were stopped. No official statement 🕓
Nvidia CEO urged not to teach kids how to program, AI will take over that job. New cryptocurrencies will also be made by AI soon, or maybe it already is 😆

A trader mistakenly received (https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-02-25/mildura-man-vanishes-after-half-a-million-dollar-crypto-typo/103500432) $653k from the exchange instead of $65k, withdrew the funds and ignores the representatives of the platform 😒

Another very bullish forecast 🔼

According to this chart, the current BTC cycle is moving faster than usual and we are already preparing for the transition to parabolic growth. And halving will only act as a catalyst for these events.

Keep it, we'll check it out soon 😇

#BTC; #BTC‬ #Bitcoin #Halving

Japan, China and the UK are buying US government debt 💵

In December, the top 3 countries holding US Treasury bonds increased their investments in US government debt.

In particular, China bought $34.3 billion worth of bonds in December and now holds $816.3 billion worth of treasuries, with the purchases coming for the second month in a row.

Trade wars, secondary sanctions, political confrontation - nothing. Tasty bets on treasuries are everything 😃

The richest 1% own more wealth than the entire middle class 👀

The wealth distribution situation in the US continues to shift in favor of the wealthiest. So over the last 50 years, the population of states with middle class status has dropped from 61% to 50%.

Interestingly, the richest continued to increase their wealth during the Coronacrisis, while everyone else started eating away their savings

Interestingly, BTC is now 15 years old, but judging by this graph, all the profits from the crypto market have also been taken by the rich 😡

To the moon right after halving 💸

The standard bitcoin halving cycle implies a new ATH and then a transition into a parabolic growth stage 6-10 months after the halving. And the closer the halving gets, the more analysts expect (https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD/status/1758830646082871298) a repeat of this history.

Respect to all the real hodlers, they plan to never sell BTC, well except at $500k per coin. But investors who set out to capitalize on the current bitcoin cycle should wonder what will happen if history doesn't repeat itself?

Glassnode reports (https://insights.glassnode.com/the-week-onchain-week-07-2024/) that long-term holders are starting to take profits, which is standard behavior for this group of investors as BTC returns to the previous cycle's high 😇

Ask yourself, these hodlers:
▪️ Don't believe in $100k?
▪️ Earned enough on the rise to $50k?
▪️ Took the body of the investment so you definitely won't be in the negative if the BTC cycle breaks?

Save it for yourself and tell a friend 🆗

#BTC; #Halving #Bitcoin #bitcoinhalving

This indicator will show the peak of bitcoin price in a bull market 👀

Despite all the warnings that catching the peak of the market is a thankless task and you need to take profits in installments as the price rises, still many people dream of jumping out at the very maximum.

For them there is Delta Top indicator (https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/delta-top/), which uses the difference between realized and average capitalizations in calculation and multiplies it by 7 (why by 7, because this is how the chart got to the peaks of cycles).

The idea behind Delta Top is to identify the peak of the cycle, the sell signal comes when the bitcoin price reaches the indicator line 😮

Note that already in 2017 Delta Top gave a small failure and the crossover never happened. And in 2021, the indicator showed a high at $124k at all, although bitcoin's current ATH is still $69k.
Given the past two cycles, the correct application of Delta Top would be to start taking profits as soon as the indicator crosses into the parabola stage.

Save so you don't forget 🆗

#BTCETFSPOT #BTC; #Bitcoin

US banks ask SEC to allow bitcoin-ETFs 👀

The guys at Bloomberg have come up with (https://twitter.com/EricBalchunas/status/1758189333079531752) a new hype about bitcoin.

So far it hasn't yielded a result in price, but after all they just started rocking the banks theme 😇

#BTC‬ #ETFBitcoin #Bitcoin‬

770x in 18 hours 💵

A trader spent (https://twitter.com/lookonchain/status/1758460604787110169) $198 (0.07 ETH) to buy the SORA token, and 18 hours later his account grew to $152k.

He managed to catch the lifchenge by buying it first, and the commission, unlike other similar stories, amounted to a modest 0.01 ETH ($28).

Can you sleep well now? 😃

#MemeCoinAnalysis #tradeNTill

Who needs bullish predictions? The guys at CryptoQuant believe (https://twitter.com/cryptoquant_com/status/1758168747334869171) that BTC will grow to $150k in 6 months. True, it can be either growth only upwards from current values (priority scenario) or a classic 2019 cycle with a correction to $23k and only then to the moon 🔼

Also very bullish forecast (https://twitter.com/QCPCapital/status/1758008443607363991): $70k for BTC by the end of March 🧪

Meanwhile the market situation is reminiscent of February 13: a correction at $51k is very much requested and there is a chance there to confirm the uptrend and turn around to storm $53k 🥇

Aptos decided they can hike like Solana and announced their own crypto smartphone. Will hint at drops and lure with a low price of $99 📱

Galaxy Digital scares that 20% of miners will fall off after halving because their hardware is already obsolete. We'll check in 2 months ⛏

#Bitcoin‬ #BTC‬ #Aptos

Inflation in Argentina was (https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/inflation-cpi) 254% 😮

The photo is a visualization of inflation in Argentina over the last 10 years, and the current result is a 32-year record.

Back in January 2023, inflation was 102%, but there has been a sharp jump since new President Javier Miley came to power amid his economic reforms, particularly the devaluation of the peso to equalize exchange rates at the bank and on the black market.

The Argentine government expects that their reforms will stabilize the economy and price increases will go down in the future. But so far, only the number of citizens who are starving is rising.

P.S. Bitcoin has risen 127% since the beginning of the year, if you count it in Argentine pesos. You get the idea.... 🆗

Since the beginning of the year, gold ETFs have lost $2.4 billion 🔪

The outflow of funds from gold ETFs is related (https://twitter.com/EricBalchunas/status/1757767035134660987) to the current decline in the price of the precious metal, and many traders are also waiting for the correction to intensify.
The crypto market has its own legend: we are waiting for Wall Street to start dumping gold and buying bitcoin ETFs instead 😇

By the way, spot BTC ETFs are traded (https://twitter.com/coingecko/status/1758079791042031813) in the US, Europe, Canada, Brazil, Australia and Malaysia. The US is the latest to join the race, but it has 83% market share.

Will China come out? 😠

#ETFBitcoin #ETFsApproval #Bitcoin‬ #Gold

More money has gone into the bitcoin-ETF in the last 4 days than in the first 4 weeks of trading. The statistic was made by a 10-fold decrease in GBTC sales 💸

Open interest in crypto futures reached (https://twitter.com/WuBlockchain/status/1758009331675791477) the level of fall 2021, that is, actually reached the maximum of the past bull market. CME, Binance and Bybit are the leaders in terms of trading volume. Not a financial tip, but futures trading records usually appear before a correction 🔪

Another lucky person (https://twitter.com/lookonchain/status/1757793045872070700) was the first to buy a token at the start of trading and made $2 million in 12 hours. The case was with AIUS token, however, to be the first buyer had to pay a commission of 35 ETH ($97k) 🧪

The new FDUSD stablecoin accounts for 38% of all transactions on Binance, its share on the exchange grew by 42.6% in January 🟠

Bakkt will sell $150 million worth of its own shares to avoid shutdown

#Bitcoin‬ #ETFBitcoin #Write2Earn