LIVE雪花飘飘北风萧萧
@Duguqiubai
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The bitcoin market is really fragile now. If the S&P market is slightly disturbed, the bitcoin market will plummet. I hope that friends who are in the contract will do a good job of stop-loss and stop-profit. Slow is fast. Don't be greedy for a while. When the opportunity comes, you will have no bullets in your gun.
#美降息25个基点预期升温 $BTC $SOL
#美降息25个基点预期升温 $BTC $SOL
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The US stock market must short itself at this time. Before the interest rate cut, no country can escape the money of $BTC #美国8月CPI数据高于预期 US stocks 🤣
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As an old farmer who grew crops, I got involved in the cryptocurrency circle from my son in 1962. Since then, I threw down my hoe and plunged into this rich circle.
I started studying the cryptocurrency circle as an illiterate old farmer.
Here I learned world economics, finance, how capital works, hedging, swaps, and the impact of the US dollar index on this circle. Later, I began to study the impact of the US election on this circle and the methods used by the dealers to list coins...
Later, I studied myself and became the oldest economist in our village🤣 and the most famous polymath in the village🤣
Finally, I reminded you this morning that the power brought by Japan is several times stronger than that of the United States.
I started studying the cryptocurrency circle as an illiterate old farmer.
Here I learned world economics, finance, how capital works, hedging, swaps, and the impact of the US dollar index on this circle. Later, I began to study the impact of the US election on this circle and the methods used by the dealers to list coins...
Later, I studied myself and became the oldest economist in our village🤣 and the most famous polymath in the village🤣
Finally, I reminded you this morning that the power brought by Japan is several times stronger than that of the United States.
See original
Leeks, the news is a bomb in Japan. It has to raise interest rates, and it must raise them. Let's wait and see. $BTC $ETH
#日本加息 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？
#日本加息 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？
LIVE雪花飘飘北风萧萧
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How did I avoid March 12? Here is an analysis of my daily financial stories.
Yesterday, the Bank of Japan announced two pieces of news in succession. In the morning, it suggested providing immediate liquidity for Japanese government bonds, and in the afternoon, it immediately provided spot government bonds! It was only possible to mobilize the Japanese Pension Fund, using the government bonds in hand as collateral, to borrow yen from the central bank to buy Japanese stocks, but it was not enough, so the central bank lent its own government bonds to GPIF, and then mortgaged them back to continue to release liquidity. So everyone saw that after 10 o'clock yesterday morning, the Nikkei began to slowly rebound, and continued to rebound in the afternoon, and finally pulled from negative 3% to negative 0.5%, but please note that these two pieces of news released three very important signals.
See original
How did I avoid March 12? Here is an analysis of my daily financial stories.
Yesterday, the Bank of Japan announced two pieces of news in succession. In the morning, it suggested providing immediate liquidity for Japanese government bonds, and in the afternoon, it immediately provided spot government bonds! It was only possible to mobilize the Japanese Pension Fund, using the government bonds in hand as collateral, to borrow yen from the central bank to buy Japanese stocks, but it was not enough, so the central bank lent its own government bonds to GPIF, and then mortgaged them back to continue to release liquidity. So everyone saw that after 10 o'clock yesterday morning, the Nikkei began to slowly rebound, and continued to rebound in the afternoon, and finally pulled from negative 3% to negative 0.5%, but please note that these two pieces of news released three very important signals.
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Brothers, don’t blindly buy at the bottom
Tonight's trend is very clear, kill the shorts before the US stock market opens.
After the market opens, long positions are killed. It can be clearly said that your tolerance rate is very high and those who open contracts have basically become cannon fodder. There has been no market in the past month.
The so-called market is to make retail investors cannon fodder, the market must fluctuate downward $BTC #美国经济软着陆？ Don't even think about it $ETH Ethereum is even more not to buy the bottom recently, the price-performance ratio after ETF approval is not high, what is an institution? #BTC走势分析 #Follow me, I won't let you suffer any loss
After the market opens, long positions are killed. It can be clearly said that your tolerance rate is very high and those who open contracts have basically become cannon fodder. There has been no market in the past month.
The so-called market is to make retail investors cannon fodder, the market must fluctuate downward $BTC #美国经济软着陆？ Don't even think about it $ETH Ethereum is even more not to buy the bottom recently, the price-performance ratio after ETF approval is not high, what is an institution? #BTC走势分析 #Follow me, I won't let you suffer any loss
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The previous article mentioned that Japan's interest rate hike was the culprit. In fact, I reminded everyone on August 1st. I don't know how many people saw it and whether they made preparations after seeing it. This time, Japan's interest rate hike is likely to happen before the US interest rate cut, so don't expect a bull market now. The signal of a bull market is still early. The US interest rate cut will not lead to a bull market, but a bear market. $BTC $ETH
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I reminded you on August 1st that Japan's interest rate hike is the culprit, and on the 16th of this month, Japan is likely to raise interest rates again to 0.5. And it must be before the first rate cut by the United States. So this bull market will be delayed by six months to nine months, which is around June next year. As for the depth of the big cake, I think it should fall below the entry price of the ETF on the day. One post as proof. Follow me and like to give you different wealth information
LIVE雪花飘飘北风萧萧
--
Bearish
#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ Brothers, don't follow the trend. The copycat is still tempting you to buy at this time. If you enter, you will be buried. The big cake will first look at 58,000 next Monday. If it breaks, it will go to 48,000.
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Talk about the market trend after the interest rate cut in September
A: Let's talk about Japan first. The Bank of Japan has released news several times that "there is a possibility of raising interest rates, depending on the overall market situation." In addition, the Bank of Japan held an internal meeting on September 16. Do you think this is a good time?
The Japanese government's above-mentioned actions are just to burst the stock market bubble that has been rising for more than ten years in advance, so as to prevent the occurrence of a stock market crash that affects the entire Japanese economy.
B: The United States will cut interest rates in September. The current probability is 25 pb
In fact, everyone has seen that the U.S. stock market has been prepared in advance in recent days. Selling stocks and converting them into bonds is a signal light (ending the two-year inversion of the yield curve).
The Japanese government's above-mentioned actions are just to burst the stock market bubble that has been rising for more than ten years in advance, so as to prevent the occurrence of a stock market crash that affects the entire Japanese economy.
B: The United States will cut interest rates in September. The current probability is 25 pb
In fact, everyone has seen that the U.S. stock market has been prepared in advance in recent days. Selling stocks and converting them into bonds is a signal light (ending the two-year inversion of the yield curve).
See original
I heard that Harris sent 20 million to the US Labor Department.
This data is obviously too fake.
With such data, will the Fed cut interest rates in September or not?
The Democratic Party is very willing to cut interest rates, which will help the election.
And the Republican Party is definitely unwilling to cut interest rates.
How can I put it? The ultimate goal is to cover up the escape of more democratic Jewish capital.
It is estimated that it will not last for a few days.
#BTC走势分析 4988620259#czHeYi received the driver after he was released from prison
This data is obviously too fake.
With such data, will the Fed cut interest rates in September or not?
The Democratic Party is very willing to cut interest rates, which will help the election.
And the Republican Party is definitely unwilling to cut interest rates.
How can I put it? The ultimate goal is to cover up the escape of more democratic Jewish capital.
It is estimated that it will not last for a few days.
#BTC走势分析 4988620259#czHeYi received the driver after he was released from prison
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Why doesn’t this article get any traffic? The answer will be revealed tonight, my colleagues!
LIVE雪花飘飘北风萧萧
--
If you are lucky enough to read this short article, please understand it well.
Hello everyone, I am Xuehua Piao Piao Beifeng Xiaoxiao. Let me talk about the mentality and timing of the market makers' pull-up in the past two days. At present, retail investors are in panic, and the US stock market will not open on Monday, so it can be confirmed that this pull-up is the behavior of the Asian market or the exchange (the purpose is clear to everyone). There are two purposes for the pull-up. One is to ship out the goods for the last time before the real panic comes (remember that this is active shipping). Everyone has also seen that almost all the volumes are large. This can only mean that there are retail investors following the market, and the big dealers will ship out so much volume. The second is to clear the shorts. For the dealers, they will not play unprepared accounts. If the time node is not right, the dealers will not build positions, let alone pull up the market. So retail investors who have not boarded the train should not be anxious. The highlight must be in the back. Pay attention and like real-time updates. Thank you!
Hello everyone, I am Xuehua Piao Piao Beifeng Xiaoxiao. Let me talk about the mentality and timing of the market makers' pull-up in the past two days. At present, retail investors are in panic, and the US stock market will not open on Monday, so it can be confirmed that this pull-up is the behavior of the Asian market or the exchange (the purpose is clear to everyone). There are two purposes for the pull-up. One is to ship out the goods for the last time before the real panic comes (remember that this is active shipping). Everyone has also seen that almost all the volumes are large. This can only mean that there are retail investors following the market, and the big dealers will ship out so much volume. The second is to clear the shorts. For the dealers, they will not play unprepared accounts. If the time node is not right, the dealers will not build positions, let alone pull up the market. So retail investors who have not boarded the train should not be anxious. The highlight must be in the back. Pay attention and like real-time updates. Thank you!
See original
If you are lucky enough to read this short article, please understand it well.
Hello everyone, I am Xuehua Piao Piao Beifeng Xiaoxiao. Let me talk about the mentality and timing of the market makers' pull-up in the past two days. At present, retail investors are in panic, and the US stock market will not open on Monday, so it can be confirmed that this pull-up is the behavior of the Asian market or the exchange (the purpose is clear to everyone). There are two purposes for the pull-up. One is to ship out the goods for the last time before the real panic comes (remember that this is active shipping). Everyone has also seen that almost all the volumes are large. This can only mean that there are retail investors following the market, and the big dealers will ship out so much volume. The second is to clear the shorts. For the dealers, they will not play unprepared accounts. If the time node is not right, the dealers will not build positions, let alone pull up the market. So retail investors who have not boarded the train should not be anxious. The highlight must be in the back. Pay attention and like real-time updates. Thank you!
Hello everyone, I am Xuehua Piao Piao Beifeng Xiaoxiao. Let me talk about the mentality and timing of the market makers' pull-up in the past two days. At present, retail investors are in panic, and the US stock market will not open on Monday, so it can be confirmed that this pull-up is the behavior of the Asian market or the exchange (the purpose is clear to everyone). There are two purposes for the pull-up. One is to ship out the goods for the last time before the real panic comes (remember that this is active shipping). Everyone has also seen that almost all the volumes are large. This can only mean that there are retail investors following the market, and the big dealers will ship out so much volume. The second is to clear the shorts. For the dealers, they will not play unprepared accounts. If the time node is not right, the dealers will not build positions, let alone pull up the market. So retail investors who have not boarded the train should not be anxious. The highlight must be in the back. Pay attention and like real-time updates. Thank you!
See original
This guy is awesome😄
LIVEBluechip
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Don’t be naive, most of what you see is fake, especially with memecoins.
99% of insiders manipulate millions of $$ in fake trading volume to attract buyers.
Here's how they do it and how you can spot them
When you visit tools like dexscreener or DEXToolsApp, tokens are often listed in descending order based on volume, with the highest volume tokens appearing first.
These tokens get the most visibility, increasing their chances of being purchased by retail investors.
The two key metrics that boost a token's ranking on these platforms are volume and the number of holders.
You might also look at these metrics before making a purchase.
However, in many cases, these volumes and holder counts are fake. So, how do they manage this?
There are several methods to fake the number of holders and trading volume:
• Solo buy/sell (not very effective)
• Coordinating with friends (somewhat effective)
• Automating the process using thousands of independent wallets (highly effective)
It's the third method that is most commonly used.
However, this approach requires significant organization:
• Servers to run the code that automates these activities 24/7
• A node validator to prevent network congestion
• Money to generate the necessary volume
For a long time, only developers could set this up, but that's no longer the case👇
Nowadays, most of them use public Telegram bots like orbitt_ai, which allow anyone to fake holders and volume with just a few clicks.
The process is straightforward: you choose a package and quickly configure the bot on Telegram.
For example, a package costing 9 SOL provides 1,444 wallets and three transactions per minute.
The 60 SOL package offers 4,332 wallets and 14 transactions per minute.
This is undetectable on bubblemaps because the wallets are not linked, and the bot uses various node providers.
I was surprised to see how easy it was to set up the bot:
• Launch the Telegram bot.
• Provide the address of the token you want to boost.
• Confirm by sending the package price to the specified address.
I tested this on a random meme token, and its Mcap did 5x in just 24H. It’s frightening!
I'm not showing you this so that you'll use it, but rather to demonstrate how easy it is to manipulate these metrics.
This ease of manipulation explains why so many people do it, there are no significant technical barriers.
But how can you identify this manipulation to avoid being misled?
Know that it's nearly impossible to detect these practices using tools like Bubblemaps because the wallets involved are independent and are not usually newly created.
The same wallet can be used to boost volume across many different meme tokens.
The method I’ve found effective is analyzing the associated Telegram group.
High trading volume should correlate with high Telegram activity.
If the Telegram group isn’t active (with multiple messages per minute), it likely means the volume is artificially inflated by bots.
You might say, “The Telegram group itself could also be botted,” and you'd be right.
However, identifying a botted Telegram group is easier than spotting fake trading volume.
The messages and profiles of Telegram bots are usually obvious, with phrases like “Buy now,” “LFG,” “To the moon,” and similar.
PART2: Developers and insiders have increasingly powerful tools to rug pulls using advanced techniques.
part 3: The Reentrancy Attack is one of the most destructive in crypto, yet still one of the least known.
I hope you've found this article helpful.
Follow me @Bluechip for more.
Like/Repost the quote if you can.
#TON #DOGSONBINANCE #CryptoMarketMoves #SolanaUSTD #mememcoinseason2024
Here's how they do it and how you can spot them
When you visit tools like dexscreener or DEXToolsApp, tokens are often listed in descending order based on volume, with the highest volume tokens appearing first.
These tokens get the most visibility, increasing their chances of being purchased by retail investors.
The two key metrics that boost a token's ranking on these platforms are volume and the number of holders.
You might also look at these metrics before making a purchase.
However, in many cases, these volumes and holder counts are fake. So, how do they manage this?
There are several methods to fake the number of holders and trading volume:
• Solo buy/sell (not very effective)
• Coordinating with friends (somewhat effective)
• Automating the process using thousands of independent wallets (highly effective)
It's the third method that is most commonly used.
However, this approach requires significant organization:
• Servers to run the code that automates these activities 24/7
• A node validator to prevent network congestion
• Money to generate the necessary volume
For a long time, only developers could set this up, but that's no longer the case👇
Nowadays, most of them use public Telegram bots like orbitt_ai, which allow anyone to fake holders and volume with just a few clicks.
The process is straightforward: you choose a package and quickly configure the bot on Telegram.
For example, a package costing 9 SOL provides 1,444 wallets and three transactions per minute.
The 60 SOL package offers 4,332 wallets and 14 transactions per minute.
This is undetectable on bubblemaps because the wallets are not linked, and the bot uses various node providers.
I was surprised to see how easy it was to set up the bot:
• Launch the Telegram bot.
• Provide the address of the token you want to boost.
• Confirm by sending the package price to the specified address.
I tested this on a random meme token, and its Mcap did 5x in just 24H. It’s frightening!
I'm not showing you this so that you'll use it, but rather to demonstrate how easy it is to manipulate these metrics.
This ease of manipulation explains why so many people do it, there are no significant technical barriers.
But how can you identify this manipulation to avoid being misled?
Know that it's nearly impossible to detect these practices using tools like Bubblemaps because the wallets involved are independent and are not usually newly created.
The same wallet can be used to boost volume across many different meme tokens.
The method I’ve found effective is analyzing the associated Telegram group.
High trading volume should correlate with high Telegram activity.
If the Telegram group isn’t active (with multiple messages per minute), it likely means the volume is artificially inflated by bots.
You might say, “The Telegram group itself could also be botted,” and you'd be right.
However, identifying a botted Telegram group is easier than spotting fake trading volume.
The messages and profiles of Telegram bots are usually obvious, with phrases like “Buy now,” “LFG,” “To the moon,” and similar.
PART2: Developers and insiders have increasingly powerful tools to rug pulls using advanced techniques.
part 3: The Reentrancy Attack is one of the most destructive in crypto, yet still one of the least known.
I hope you've found this article helpful.
Follow me @Bluechip for more.
Like/Repost the quote if you can.
#TON #DOGSONBINANCE #CryptoMarketMoves #SolanaUSTD #mememcoinseason2024
See original
The bull market must be born in pessimism, then grow in doubt, mature in optimism, and end in madness.
Judging the trend of the interest rate cut and no interest rate cut in September
According to the current data from the United States, even if the interest rate is cut in September, it will be 25 basis points. After 823, the US stock market has now exceeded the expectation of interest rate cut (here, for large institutions, it is called expectation management, pulling up shipments). We see that the big cake went up for a day after the pin that night, and then went down all the way, including the net outflow of ETFs. Why? To put it bluntly, the institutions have already made a lot of money and left (the big cake has gone from 1.6 last year to 7.3 this year. The event bulls are all capitals that have been arranged in advance)
So why did the institutions start to withdraw funds before the interest rate cut? I don’t know if you have noticed that RMB has appreciated significantly to 7.08 in the past two days. Unexpectedly, the US dollar index also rose sharply, including the yen (I will just briefly mention it here, because it is time to settle foreign exchange in the second half of the year, and a large amount of foreign trade funds need to be settled, including the United States. In addition, the United States has expectations of interest rate cuts, so at this time, a large amount of US dollar arbitrage is defensive, because this money is too stable to make). In addition, the expectation of interest rate cuts has been copied for too long, from March this year to June, and then to September (the expectation of interest rate cuts has been copied, so institutions have withdrawn). This means that once the interest rate is cut in September, it will also fall. As for where it will fall, I won’t talk about the bottom here, but remember that it must be a staircase) If there is no interest rate cut in September, it must fall sharply, that is, a waterfall. It seems that everyone is not desperate and not so pessimistic, which means that the bull market cannot come now. Use your golden finger to make money to follow me and add likes for real-time updates. Thank you!
Judging the trend of the interest rate cut and no interest rate cut in September
According to the current data from the United States, even if the interest rate is cut in September, it will be 25 basis points. After 823, the US stock market has now exceeded the expectation of interest rate cut (here, for large institutions, it is called expectation management, pulling up shipments). We see that the big cake went up for a day after the pin that night, and then went down all the way, including the net outflow of ETFs. Why? To put it bluntly, the institutions have already made a lot of money and left (the big cake has gone from 1.6 last year to 7.3 this year. The event bulls are all capitals that have been arranged in advance)
So why did the institutions start to withdraw funds before the interest rate cut? I don’t know if you have noticed that RMB has appreciated significantly to 7.08 in the past two days. Unexpectedly, the US dollar index also rose sharply, including the yen (I will just briefly mention it here, because it is time to settle foreign exchange in the second half of the year, and a large amount of foreign trade funds need to be settled, including the United States. In addition, the United States has expectations of interest rate cuts, so at this time, a large amount of US dollar arbitrage is defensive, because this money is too stable to make). In addition, the expectation of interest rate cuts has been copied for too long, from March this year to June, and then to September (the expectation of interest rate cuts has been copied, so institutions have withdrawn). This means that once the interest rate is cut in September, it will also fall. As for where it will fall, I won’t talk about the bottom here, but remember that it must be a staircase) If there is no interest rate cut in September, it must fall sharply, that is, a waterfall. It seems that everyone is not desperate and not so pessimistic, which means that the bull market cannot come now. Use your golden finger to make money to follow me and add likes for real-time updates. Thank you!
See original
From several aspects, there is no reason for the US to cut interest rates in September
Everyone is saying that the US will cut interest rates in September. Why do people say so? The main reason is that on August 23, Fed Chairman Powell made a clear statement that the time has come to adjust monetary policy, the direction of progress is very clear, and the timing and speed of interest rate cuts depend on future data. None of these words said that interest rates will be cut in September. So why do people say that interest rates will be cut in September? Because people want to see an increase in prices. Everyone feels that life is too hard now. As long as the Fed can cut interest rates, our life will be better. Whether this can be better, let's not talk about it first. Let's talk about whether the US will cut interest rates in September.
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The Fed rarely cuts interest rates before an election year
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates to zero twice in March 2020. The first time was on March 3, Beijing time, when the Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point rate cut, the first 50BP rate cut since the financial crisis and the first time it cut interest rates ahead of schedule. Subsequently, on March 15, the Federal Reserve once again urgently announced that it would lower the target range of the federal funds rate to "zero interest rate" of 0 to 0.25%, and launched a $700 billion asset purchase program to cope with the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on the US economy. This is the second emergency rate cut by the Federal Reserve this month, and it is also the first time the Federal Reserve has returned to the "zero interest rate" era since the 2008 financial crisis.
See original
To achieve great success in trading is no less than the birth of a talented general. A commander will not give orders to go to war casually. If you cannot control yourself and open a position in trading, it is like shooting without seeing the enemy. Not only will you waste bullets, but you will also put yourself in danger.
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