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灯塔大作手实录

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Predicting the future trend of BitcoinLet me first write the conclusion. Bitcoin will break through the previous high in July or August 2024 and officially start the third wave of rise. It will reach its historical high in May or June 2025. #德国政府转移比特币 $BTC in accordance with: 1. Currently, the bull flag structure is in the small fifth wave of the big wave. On July 5, Bitcoin fell below the consolidation zone low of 56,552, triggering panic selling. However, many people did not see that there is strong support around the bull flag low of 55,000, which is even stronger than the consolidation zone low. Both breakouts were within the edge of the bull flag. 2. At the same time, the 2b structure was also made, hoping to rise formally. Basically, the 2b structure must be made to cause panic selling, kill shorts, kill leverage, and scare people away before the stock price can rise. After all, only a few people can make money.

Predicting the future trend of Bitcoin

Let me first write the conclusion. Bitcoin will break through the previous high in July or August 2024 and officially start the third wave of rise. It will reach its historical high in May or June 2025.
#德国政府转移比特币 $BTC
in accordance with:
1. Currently, the bull flag structure is in the small fifth wave of the big wave. On July 5, Bitcoin fell below the consolidation zone low of 56,552, triggering panic selling. However, many people did not see that there is strong support around the bull flag low of 55,000, which is even stronger than the consolidation zone low. Both breakouts were within the edge of the bull flag.
2. At the same time, the 2b structure was also made, hoping to rise formally. Basically, the 2b structure must be made to cause panic selling, kill shorts, kill leverage, and scare people away before the stock price can rise. After all, only a few people can make money.
Rebound target 75500
Rebound target 75500
灯塔大作手实录
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Bullish
#BTC何时反弹?
It should have bounced back

The daily level has released a huge volume and is already oversold

The Bollinger Bands deviation and RSI overselling are very obvious

The most important thing is that it has already dropped to the POC area of the 24-year major consolidation

Whether it's sentiment, indicators, or volume, everything is in place

Take a small wave of rebound and leave
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Bullish
#BTC何时反弹? It should have bounced back The daily level has released a huge volume and is already oversold The Bollinger Bands deviation and RSI overselling are very obvious The most important thing is that it has already dropped to the POC area of the 24-year major consolidation Whether it's sentiment, indicators, or volume, everything is in place Take a small wave of rebound and leave
#BTC何时反弹?
It should have bounced back

The daily level has released a huge volume and is already oversold

The Bollinger Bands deviation and RSI overselling are very obvious

The most important thing is that it has already dropped to the POC area of the 24-year major consolidation

Whether it's sentiment, indicators, or volume, everything is in place

Take a small wave of rebound and leave
#BTC何时反弹? Currently $BTC 67000, the first target has been reached, short sellers can take profits on part, and hold the remaining portion until around 55000. Then it will start a long period of consolidation again. I wrote about the upward consolidation for 60 days last November, and the result was also a breakout to the downside after 59 days.
#BTC何时反弹? Currently $BTC 67000, the first target has been reached, short sellers can take profits on part, and hold the remaining portion until around 55000.

Then it will start a long period of consolidation again.

I wrote about the upward consolidation for 60 days last November, and the result was also a breakout to the downside after 59 days.
The current position is 92400, and it is not suitable to short here. The daily level has pulled back to the middle Bollinger band and EMA20, and the 1-hour level has also dropped too quickly, showing signs of being oversold. The 1-hour Bollinger band has significantly deviated from the lower edge. RSI is also in the oversold zone; currently, this position is still a contentious point, so there is no need to rush. Waiting for a rebound to 94000 is the best position for a short order.
The current position is 92400, and it is not suitable to short here. The daily level has pulled back to the middle Bollinger band and EMA20, and the 1-hour level has also dropped too quickly, showing signs of being oversold.

The 1-hour Bollinger band has significantly deviated from the lower edge.

RSI is also in the oversold zone; currently, this position is still a contentious point, so there is no need to rush.

Waiting for a rebound to 94000 is the best position for a short order.
After an extreme consolidation at the hourly level, the direction has been chosen, and it is downward!!! A short position is needed. If it is not strong, then it is weak. Originally, after standing above 94000 and pulling back down, it should have gone up; if $btc cannot rise, it indicates weakness. Before the weekly line closes, it was suddenly smashed down, resulting in a fake breakout. As long as it rebounds back to 94000, it is a great opportunity to set up a short position.
After an extreme consolidation at the hourly level, the direction has been chosen, and it is downward!!! A short position is needed.

If it is not strong, then it is weak. Originally, after standing above 94000 and pulling back down, it should have gone up; if $btc cannot rise, it indicates weakness.

Before the weekly line closes, it was suddenly smashed down, resulting in a fake breakout.

As long as it rebounds back to 94000, it is a great opportunity to set up a short position.
#比特币2026年价格预测 #美国核心CPI低于预期 Yesterday, $btc touched 0.382 and then retraced. 94000 is very, very critical. Previously, a large cup and handle pattern was formed; if 94000 holds, it will confirm a breakout and pullback. If it cannot hold, it's best to run immediately. If it truly breaks below 94000, it will be a false breakout to mislead people into going long, which will initiate a new round of downward trend.
#比特币2026年价格预测 #美国核心CPI低于预期 Yesterday, $btc touched 0.382 and then retraced. 94000 is very, very critical. Previously, a large cup and handle pattern was formed; if 94000 holds, it will confirm a breakout and pullback. If it cannot hold, it's best to run immediately. If it truly breaks below 94000, it will be a false breakout to mislead people into going long, which will initiate a new round of downward trend.
$btc 9W zone must hold firm, if it holds, it's a breakout confirmation with a pullback, potentially reaching the three target levels I mentioned earlier. If it fails to hold, the downward trend will continue. Whether it goes up or down depends on whether it can hold this week
$btc 9W zone must hold firm, if it holds, it's a breakout confirmation with a pullback, potentially reaching the three target levels I mentioned earlier. If it fails to hold, the downward trend will continue. Whether it goes up or down depends on whether it can hold this week
After a few days of placing orders, I stopped operating this account.
After a few days of placing orders, I stopped operating this account.
灯塔大作手实录
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On October 10, 25, 90%+ of people online suffered huge losses, but I made a big profit. My small position multiplied more than 20 times. In fact, it was 100 times in 10 days, but the first 4 days I hadn't opened the trades, so there's no record.
On October 10, 25, 90%+ of people online suffered huge losses, but I made a big profit. My small position multiplied more than 20 times. In fact, it was 100 times in 10 days, but the first 4 days I hadn't opened the trades, so there's no record.
On October 10, 25, 90%+ of people online suffered huge losses, but I made a big profit. My small position multiplied more than 20 times. In fact, it was 100 times in 10 days, but the first 4 days I hadn't opened the trades, so there's no record.
#比特币2026年价格预测 Look at my pinned article, which predicted in July 2024 that $btc will reach its peak in September and October 2025. The big coin also showed face, reaching its highest point on October 6, 2025. Calculated precisely.
#比特币2026年价格预测 Look at my pinned article, which predicted in July 2024 that $btc will reach its peak in September and October 2025. The big coin also showed face, reaching its highest point on October 6, 2025. Calculated precisely.
#比特币2026年价格预测 $btc reached the lowest point of this wave of decline on November 21, 2025, hitting the POC position of the consolidation area from April 2025. After the stop decline, there was a three-stage rebound, which fell after encountering selling pressure. After a low volatility consolidation over the past 20 days, a breakthrough is imminent. Every time in the past 20 days when it approached around 90,000 (the midpoint of the nearly 50-day consolidation area), it faced selling pressure, which has now been gradually digested. On the first day of 2026, btc finally stood above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the EMA10 is about to cross above the EMA20. The ETF has also started to shift from selling to buying. All conditions are ready. On the first day of 2026, many altcoins such as $pepe, $doge, and $virtual also finally welcomed a surge after a significant drop, indicating that hot money has already sensed the opportunity and started to pump. The first target for Bitcoin will be the lower edge of the half-year consolidation area since May 2025, specifically 100,500. The second target will be the overlapping area of Fibonacci 50% and VAL, which is 1,033,000. The third target is the overlapping area of Fibonacci 61.8% and the POC of the consolidation area, which is 109,445. For these three targets, I will take profits in batches and gradually set up short positions. If it reaches the third target, I will complete all short positions. The maximum it can reach is the third target, which will lead to a year-long decline. At that time, many people in the market may be influenced by the bullish sentiment and expect new highs; everyone should be cautious and not go long at this position.
#比特币2026年价格预测 $btc reached the lowest point of this wave of decline on November 21, 2025, hitting the POC position of the consolidation area from April 2025. After the stop decline, there was a three-stage rebound, which fell after encountering selling pressure. After a low volatility consolidation over the past 20 days, a breakthrough is imminent. Every time in the past 20 days when it approached around 90,000 (the midpoint of the nearly 50-day consolidation area), it faced selling pressure, which has now been gradually digested.

On the first day of 2026, btc finally stood above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the EMA10 is about to cross above the EMA20. The ETF has also started to shift from selling to buying. All conditions are ready.

On the first day of 2026, many altcoins such as $pepe, $doge, and $virtual also finally welcomed a surge after a significant drop, indicating that hot money has already sensed the opportunity and started to pump.

The first target for Bitcoin will be the lower edge of the half-year consolidation area since May 2025, specifically 100,500.
The second target will be the overlapping area of Fibonacci 50% and VAL, which is 1,033,000.
The third target is the overlapping area of Fibonacci 61.8% and the POC of the consolidation area, which is 109,445.

For these three targets, I will take profits in batches and gradually set up short positions. If it reaches the third target, I will complete all short positions.

The maximum it can reach is the third target, which will lead to a year-long decline. At that time, many people in the market may be influenced by the bullish sentiment and expect new highs; everyone should be cautious and not go long at this position.
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