The current market does look quite depressing.
But there is a key indicator that has not dropped. Although the market has been falling, the stablecoin has continued to grow.
This has formed a strange divergence.
This shows that the funds in the market have not left the market, and the hot money is still there, but they are just waiting and watching.
They are slowly buying the bottom and entering the market, or waiting for lower prices and waiting for a clear trend before entering the market.
So there is nothing to worry about.
We have been through from March to now, and we are about to usher in interest rate cuts and golden October. We have no reason to give up before dawn.
On the contrary, we should seize the opportunity to enter the market.
Many people are still worried about the illegality of speculating in cryptocurrencies. In fact, many lawyers have clearly pointed out that there is no relevant green turn to support or oppose investment in cryptocurrencies.
Therefore, it is not illegal for us to invest in Bitcoin. Some people speculate in cryptocurrencies like thieves, shrinking. Thirteen has always been aboveboard. Once a bank card was frozen, Thirteen went to the bank and directly stated that the investment in cryptocurrency was blocked, not judicial freezing...
The girl at the front desk didn’t understand, and called the supervisor. I also popularized the relevant knowledge of cryptocurrency for them for a long time.
However, if you deposit and withdraw money frequently, or the amount of funds is relatively large, you must be careful. It is very troublesome if you encounter black money.

Generally speaking, you can unfreeze your money immediately as long as you are willing to spend half of the money. What a strange world.

Since the money received is black money, why can it be unfrozen by paying some unnamed fees?
This shows that this market has no legal support and mostly relies on human rule.
So you must pay attention to the safety of your funds. Try not to withdraw money if you can, after all, the bull market is coming soon.

So if you want to withdraw a lot, go to Hong Kong, which is safer there, provided that you must not violate the law.

I hope everyone will be clean when investing in the currency circle, and don't take risks to make quick money.

I don't know if you have noticed that some altcoins have climbed out of the bottom range and started to rush upward. For example, sui, which we have been paying more attention to before, has broken through 1.

Bnb also ushered in a big rise today.
Previously, Shisan said in the article that cz is about to be released from prison. With the favorable market conditions, we should regard bnb as a strategic reserve.

Not only can it be used as a golden shovel, but it can also enjoy the benefits of rising coin prices, killing two birds with one stone.

FET and RCDR have recently risen continuously due to the benefits of ChatGPT version update, but now it has reached the pressure level. Shisan's suggestion is to move the stop profit position up to 1.2 to lock in profits in advance.

After all, the current hype value of the AI ​​track is greater than the actual value, at least in the currency circle.

Some projects are like spring breeze, lights and decorations, and some projects are gloomy.

Sol is currently facing a relatively large short-term risk. We know that Sol's TVL continues to dominate the list this year, not because of its good ecology and everyone is willing to use it, but because of the local dogs on the chain.

It can be said that for now, it is the local dog that supports the sky of Sol.
But the local dog is, after all, a game where the dealer cuts leeks. How long can it last? If it cannot return to the value, this game of cutting leeks will not last long, and it is very likely to explode again.
The most important thing is that Sol's local dog issuance platform Pump.fun has recently faced a ban by the SEC. Pump.fun is a meme coin issuance platform on the Sol chain.

If it is targeted by the SEC, Sol may face huge risks in the short term.
After all, most people buy Sol for local dogs. Although these people are far from the thirteenth circle, the number base in the currency circle is very large.
Short-term investors should avoid it in advance.

Let's talk about the market directly.

Today, Bitcoin has completely stood at 58,000. Thirteen said in the previous article that Bitcoin has a high probability of going up. 55,000 is a good entry point, and 58,000 can be seen directly upward.
Now it has stabilized at 58,000, how will the market go next?
Thirteen believes that this market may be the location where the upward channel opens.

Of course, the market may continue to squat, but the squat point is unlikely to fall below 55,000.
The CPI data last night was positive, and the PPI tonight, regardless of whether it is long or short, will not have a big impact on the market.

In another 6 days, the FOMC meeting will be held. Whether it will be a 25 basis point or 50 basis point interest rate cut will usher in the final answer.

There are many voices in the market now. Some people think that the market will fall after the interest rate cut, and some people think that the interest rate cut will rise, which makes sense.

But one thing can be confirmed, in the long run, the market after the interest rate cut will definitely be upward.
If you are a short-term arbitrageur, I can't give you any advice, but I am a long-term investor. Whether it is the decline before or after the rate cut, it is an opportunity for us to enter the market.
To paraphrase the words of the national football team, there is not much time left for the Chinese team.

Similarly, there is not much time left for investors in the currency circle to buy the bottom.
Now it is almost certain that 55,000 is the bottom range, and the upward channel is likely to open in October.

We have all bought enough chips at the bottom, and we hope that the market will soothe our broken hearts in the past few months.

Let's talk about the market.
The current range of fluctuations is between 56,000 and 58,000. Thirteen does not recommend operating in this range.
If you read yesterday's article, Thirteen said that there is a high possibility of touching 58,000 again. If you really see it, then you should stop profit now.
In fact, in a head-on debate, Harris is indeed Trump's nemesis, and basically has no advantage, because Trump always likes to play freely and talk a lot, which is easy to be seized by the rigorous Harris.

Therefore, the current market is more affected by the results of the debate.

Today, we should focus on the heavy CPI data in the evening. At that time, Thirteen believed that the possibility of bullish was relatively large.

Those who are bold can try a small position.
This data will greatly affect the result of the Fed's interest rate cut.

No matter from what angle, the current market process is very complicated, and various factors are mixed in it.

As ordinary investors, we don't have so many small thoughts.
As long as we adhere to a strategy to simplify the complex, some investors can buy the bottom while falling below 55,000.

Some investors, if they have a heavy position, can sell at 58,000 to free up their positions.
Others can insist on daily fixed investment, regardless of the rise and fall. After all, we expect Bitcoin to reach 100,000, whether it is 55,000 or 58,000, it is an excellent entry point.

Many people are very curious about when this bull market will come, and how can we escape the top?

There is a data that everyone can pay attention to.

Generally speaking, the peak of a bull market is often 500 days after the Bitcoin halving.
This was the case in the last two bull markets. Will this bull market be the same? At least let it be one of the references.

The 500 points after this round of Bitcoin halving should be September to October 25.

If the bull market progresses smoothly and the bull market is still hot at this position, everyone must resolutely stop profit and leave the market.

Thirteen has a deep understanding of these bull markets.

The continuous surge will make investors indulge in it, and create an illusion that the market will continue to rise and will not fall.

Often they are fully invested and leveraged to maximize the benefits.

Often at this time, risks will come.

Therefore, no matter how crazy the market is, Thirteen will urge everyone to stop profit and leave the market in time. Of course, stopping profit is a complicated matter, especially the psychological pressure will be very great.

Many people have a dream at this time, if I can double my money, I will be financially free, have a luxury house and a luxury car...
In a bull market, it doesn’t matter when you buy, but it is important to sell and pocket the profit.

CZ will be released from prison in September.

Although he has completely left Binance now, CZ has been engraved into the genes of Binance and BNB.

Many people in the market have already started to buy BNB at the bottom in advance.

In fact, BNB should be regarded as a long-term strategic reserve, rather than buying at the bottom when the market is hot.

For now, buying at the bottom when there is a big drop is a good choice. Not only is the future value expected, but it can also be used as a golden shovel. You can get some projects for free every month. 100 BNBs can get about 2000U for free, and this is when the market is not good. If you encounter a bull market, you will get more benefits.

In addition, Binance is the largest exchange on the planet, and its ecology is also the best. With this big tree as its back, the probability of BNB reaching 1500 in this bull market is very high.

But Thirteen invests in the Binance ecology, almost only in BNB, and Thirteen almost never touches other projects in the ecology.

There are indeed good projects in it, but Thirteen does not have the energy or strength to understand and know them now.
After all, most projects are here to cut leeks, and Thirteen does not think that he can just buy a skyrocketing project.

In order not to be cut leeks, I only invest in what I can understand.
This is learned from Mr. Buffett. We must know the limits of our ability. Beyond the limits, we will not invest even if it is a mountain of gold and silver.

Betting is not gambling. We must make investment controllable rather than out of control.
For beginners in the currency circle, in this round of bull market, you should set a goal, that is, not to lose money.
Make money in the next bull market. If you really want to transfer money, you can pay attention to Thirteen Circles. I will give you the investment experience and methods.
The only difficulty is that the investment mentality is required to be high. Can you persist?

The presidential debate is over.

After the debate, both sides claimed to have won the debate. Who won?

In fact, the market has already given the answer. After the debate, Harris' meme coin rose sharply, while Trump's meme coin fell sharply.

Bitcoin also fell by 1,000 points.

In general, Harris, as a prosecutor and vice president, has many years of experience and speaks more logically. Especially in the process, he criticized Trump's personal guilt, which was a bit clever and tried to anger Trump.

When facing these "false" charges, Trump was obviously out of control, and the thundering words behind him were frequent, which made him lose his footing.

So is Harris more likely to be elected?

Taylor Swift also publicly expressed her support for Harris, which seems to be in favor of Harris.

However, professional statistical websites give both sides a 49% probability of being elected, which seems a bit strange.

When Trump was elected president for the first time, he was also the party that was pessimistic by the market. Only the factory in Wenzhou knew the result in advance. Has there been any news from Wenzhou this time?

Thirteen has been looking for it for a long time but couldn't find it. It is estimated that a confidentiality agreement has been signed and the order cannot be disclosed to the outside world.

If you have a channel, you can try it.
Last night, Thirteen said in the article that if Harris is elected, the price will fall to 30,000+. This is the prediction given by some market experts.

Everyone just treats it as a joke. If Harris continues Biden's policies, the cryptocurrency market will not be so bad.

Trump's election may usher in a big rise, but Harris's election should also be a slow and steady rise.

Thirteen will think about and study this issue carefully later, so just listen to it. If you have good information, please provide me with reference, thank you.

How will the market go this year?

Overall, Thirteen is optimistic, but there is a biggest variable, that is, who will be the president?

If it is Trump, then the whole world will celebrate, and the probability of Bitcoin reaching 100,000 by the end of the year is very high.
What if it is Harris? What will the market be like?
Some experts predict that if Harris is elected, Bitcoin is likely to fall below 50,000 or even to the 30,000 range.
If this is really the case, it is really a bit scary.

Our current investment is more like a gamble on the future, and Thirteen especially hates this feeling of being out of control.

The key is that Harris and Trump's approval ratings are almost the same. According to the latest statistics, Trump is only 1 percentage point ahead.
How should we deal with such risks?

Thirteen thought about it and could only walk and watch, but he already had a general response framework in his mind.
When the presidential results come out, the market will inevitably have ups and downs, and we can deal with it through a combination of reducing positions, reducing leverage, and moving up stop-profits.

The details may be complicated, but who is elected will have a huge impact on cryptocurrencies.

I will tell you the details later based on the actual situation.
This cannot be said in the article.

After Bitcoin rose yesterday, it reached a high of around 58,100, which is also the limit of pressure.
Then the bulls took a rest and waited, and the bears took advantage of the situation to suppress it, hitting 2,000 points.
This is a normal market trend.

How will the market go next? According to the analysis of volume, Thirteen believes that the probability of the market falling below 55,000 is relatively small.
Because the bulls are just taking a short break, the pull-up has not ended, and the possibility of rising again to touch the position of 58,000 is very high.
As long as there are no uncontrollable events such as black swans, the probability of the market going this way is relatively high.

As for whether it will stand at 60,000? This requires further observation of the volume of the bulls.

Of course, the above Thirteen is only a prediction for tomorrow's market. The probability of the market falling below 55,000 this week is very high.

At present, it is still a market trend of shock bottoming. Although it looks very depressed, there is still hope.

Thirteen generally does not predict short-term market trends, because the trend of short-term market trends is too disordered, and we do not want everyone to make short-term speculation and reduce leverage to make profits.

In this case, the profit effect is very low. The only thing we should do is to buy at the bottom when the market falls, and at the same time leave enough spare cash for ourselves, which is the kingly way to deal with unknown risks.

Thirteen has been instilling risk awareness in everyone since he started writing articles in the square.

In the currency circle, any high-yield investment is a scam, without exception.
Recently, many people who invest in the over-the-counter market in the currency circle are almost all seeking rights protection. In fact, rights protection is useless. All transactions are through U, which is not recognized.

We can invest by ourselves, but we need to bear the risks ourselves.
Some friends just don’t listen to advice. Even if Thirteen has warned everyone countless times in the article, there are still people who choose to believe that the scammer can lead him to the road of wealth freedom.
Thirteen has been in the currency circle for a long time and has accumulated a lot of wealth in the middle, but now I am still struggling. Why?

It’s because I was also a victim, and a big boss-level figure ran away directly.
Thirteen has no way but to start from scratch.

You can look around. How many first-level investment groups in the currency circle have become rights protection groups? Have the project parties or scammers run away with the money?

When someone approaches you intentionally and keeps showing off their earnings, doubling today and making another 50,000 tomorrow...

Many young friends who are not deeply involved in the matter are tempted. From the moment you are tempted, your money is basically gone.

The coin circle is amazing. The free ones are always the most expensive.

Many young friends are very entangled and worried when they enter the circle, but they are very happy when they choose the free circle, thinking that they can get it for free.

But in the end, they often suffer heavy losses.

We all overestimate our own determination.

I hope that when choosing quanzi, everyone will follow the thirteen qun as a template, update it for a long time, clearly mark the price, and guarantee that there will be no other charges, including but not limited to leading fans to invest in local dogs, crowdfunding first-level project quotas, etc.

Thirteen is aiming to do it for more than ten years.

So, I am extremely careful every step I take, and I will never cross the line. Even if the market is not good now and my income is basically cut off, I will not forget my original intention.

According to the income of a middle-level white-collar worker, I have reached the standard.

Enough, not greedy.
I live a law-abiding and good life and feel content.

Recently, the US announced the unemployment rate, which dropped from 4.3 to 4.2. In general, it is good news.

It proves that there is no problem with the US economy, but the market is still very worried about economic contraction. Some large institutions cannot take this risk, so they have taken some defensive measures.
This is a normal choice for a normal institution.

In general, from all aspects of data, the probability of a soft landing of the US economy is very high, which means that Bitcoin is likely to break through 70,000 in September or October.

This is the forecast given by some institutions in the market. Of course, there are also bearish ones, and there are still many. Thirteen, as a firm bull, agrees with the former.

Mrs. Yellen also said that the US economy is currently in a deep recovery, and the Fed’s interest rate cut this month is basically a foregone conclusion. The only difference is whether it is 35 basis points or 50 basis points.

Thirteen believes that the probability of 25 basis points is higher. After all, it is not easy to control inflation through interest rate hikes, and the interest rate cut cycle must be slowly explored.
Based on the above, it will be greatly beneficial to the stock market and the currency circle.
Don’t think the market is dead now. Once the major ETFs start to flow in continuously, it will only take a moment to push the price up.

Although the market is not good recently, stablecoins are still increasing steadily, which at least shows one thing, that is, investors’ investment demand is slowly increasing. As long as there is no nuclear bomb-level negative news, it is almost certain that it will break through 70,000 in September or October.

Today, the market has reached 55,000.
Many friends are getting excited again. In terms of the short-term trend, it is still in a downward cycle.
The pressure above 56,000~57,000 is still very large. After this position is touched, the shorts may regain the upper hand.
From the perspective of the stock of cryptocurrencies on the exchange, it has increased. The increase means an increase in short-term downside risks. After all, if it is not sold to avoid the risk of a bear market, it will never be withdrawn to the exchange.
Therefore, it is unlikely that the market will break through directly in the short term.
However, the increase in exchange chips means that the market activity is also increasing. For a hoarder like Thirteen, there will be a lot of cheap chips in the market, allowing me to choose at will.
V God and some institutions that pledge Ethereum are also selling to cash out. There is no need to over-interpret V God. A few hundred Ethereums can't make any waves. Look at those institutions that sell tens of thousands of them at will.
And some institutions sell to avoid being liquidated.
What about the decline? The market has been telling everyone in the articles and within the thirteen circles that a fall is our advantage, and buying at the bottom while the market is falling is the best way for us to accumulate chips in the current bottom range, without a doubt.

The non-agricultural data is out.
Thirteen thought that the data would at least cause the market to fluctuate. As a result, although the data was slightly positive, investors still had a pessimistic view of the US economic outlook.
US stocks continued to fall.
It is also possible that the data was artificially modified in order not to cause market panic.
As a result, there are too many smart people in this market, and they have already responded according to the actual situation. If the interest rate cut is not timely and sufficient, it will probably take until the end of the year to get through this wave.
Now the only thing that can save the market may be a rate cut.
The US election is approaching, and the Biden administration will definitely revitalize the economy before November for votes. Now it is just digesting various negative factors in the market and preparing for the jump.
If the economy is in trouble during the election, Harris's chances of winning are estimated to be very low.
Thirteen hopes that everyone will still have confidence in the future.
When the entire market is in panic, it is the time when the opportunity is greatest.
Similarly, if the bull market is rushing up, we should panic and take profit.
Making money in the currency circle is anti-human.
Most people are destined to lose money in the cryptocurrency circle. If most people are panicking, then read more of Thirteen's articles and do the opposite.
Even if the worst happens, all we hold are mainstream coins, so why should we be afraid? We just need to wait a little longer.
There is no need to panic at all.
I hope the storm clouds will come more violently so that we can copy the bloody chips.

Is the bull market over?
Many people have this view. When the fear and greed index reaches 22, the market is extremely panicked.

​How should we deal with it?

If you like altcoins, you will definitely not be able to bear this round.

​If you are a believer of local dogs, I believe that now you have already had the intention to withdraw.

If you bet on the primary market, then you are probably defending your rights now, and all your money has been swept away.

...

In the cruel currency circle, all kinds of dirty things in the world can be seen here, and the evil of human nature is also displayed here vividly.

This is why Thirteen has always emphasized to everyone that we should embrace Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Although Ethereum's performance is very poor, Thirteen is still full of confidence in its future.

If your positions are concentrated on mainstream coins, you should relax now and don't need to pay too much attention to the market.

No matter how much you lose now, you can get it back after the market picks up, and it will double back.

Shit market.
The U.S. stock market fell sharply at the opening, directly affecting the cryptocurrency circle. Bitcoin was directly hit at the beginning of 54, and the possibility of continuing to fall is very high.
There is actually nothing to analyze about this market.
No matter how you analyze it, it is nonsense. Today, Zeneca, the founder of ZenAcademy and The 333 Club, posted on the X platform that Bitcoin may fall to 18,000, and Sol will fall to 28...

I read the original text carefully, and it turned out that he directly said this result without any analysis basis.

Such people, although they have resources and status, must have black hearts.

It’s not that Thirteen is unhappy when the market falls, but such remarks will aggravate the panic in the market.

In fact, Thirteen is fine. When the market falls, Thirteen has been buying the bottom while the market falls, but for most friends, this round of falling market can be said to be a disaster.
In fact, in the history of the cryptocurrency circle before, there has never been such a grinding market.
I have experienced a big drop, but I have never seen this kind of boiling frog in warm water, especially after the Bitcoin halving cycle, the market fell instead of rising.

Compared with the previous surge and plunge, the current rise and fall of the currency circle is a bit like boiling a frog in warm water.
However, no one expected it to last so long.