Bitcoin closed back above 96,100 this morning, breaking through the daily pressure. Bulls are better. But the 1-hour level divergence is serious, so it is not possible to enter the market rashly. Wait a little longer to see if there is a low-long opportunity. #MicroStrategy增持BTC $BTC

Giant whales or institutional Bitcoin bulls have begun to reduce their holdings, but the number of bulls in Ethereum has started to increase.
From the recent inflows and outflows. Bitcoin ETFs are experiencing outflows, while Ethereum ETFs are seeing inflows.
Can we consider that the moment for Ethereum is approaching?

#加密ETF申请热潮涌现 $ETH

Today's Wealth Code:

Light long position on ETH3380,

Can add at 3278,

Stop loss at 3200-3100,

Target 3500-3600

$ETH
#加密ETF申请热潮涌现

Today's Wealth Code:

More near SOL185,

Can add near 178.5,

Stop loss at 170,

Target 208-240
$SOL
#2025比特币价格预测

Today's Wealth Code:

BTC 92800-91500 Long,

Stop Loss 89000,

Target 995-102000$BTC
#本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？

Bitcoin is currently at 93470, with support at 95000. If it falls below the support, it will go to around 92500. It has reached 92900 this morning. It should touch around 92000 today and then rebound. The upper resistance is 95000. If it cannot break through 95000 in the short term, the lower target will be 90000.#BTC#Web3

Short-term resistance: 95000

Short-term support: 92000
$BTC
#BTC上攻11万？

SUN spot can be bought

Entry price: 0.025

Stop loss: 0.019

Take profit: To be determined$SUN
#2025加密趋势预测

GMT long
Leverage: 0.1x (bottom position)
Cost: around 0.165
Expected profit: to be determined
Expected stop loss: 0.1565 (initial risk 0.5%, maximum single risk 2%)

Technical level, the bottom range was broken, and the volume was released when breaking through. The subsequent shocks have maintained huge volume, which is in sharp contrast to the previous ones. The spot price is more serious than the contract. The highest price of Binance is 0.1887, and CB and OK are basically between 0.174-0.175
The highest price of the contract is only around 0.164.
This shows that most of the current driving force comes from spot buying

Data level, after a short-term surge, the 24H transaction volume reached 1 billion US dollars, far exceeding the market value of 400 million US dollars, the funding rate -0.72% exceeded the abnormal value, the 24H transaction volume increased by 15 times, and the 24H position increased by more than 1 times, which are all manifestations of active funds.

As for the price, temporarily focus on the price near the high closing position of 0.162.

$GMT #2025有哪些关键叙事？

Technical aspects:
ETH
1. The pressure of the M top neckline still exists. Yesterday, it closed with a doji. Beware of short-term changes.
2. There is a divergence between volume and price in the rebound with reduced volume. The direction of volume amplification becomes the key to long and short positions.
The difference between the current stage and the shrinking volume in early November
(1) The former is the main rising wave after breaking through the key pressure. The shrinking rise represents that the market is optimistic about the bulls and is reluctant to sell chips.
(2) At present, due to the technical repair of the short-term downward trend, it is relatively weak when intersecting with the former.
3. Volume distribution + Fibonacci
(1) The key reversal point fibo0.618 resonates with the high-level chip concentration zone + MA20 (BOLL middle track). Even if the bulls break through the neckline, they will still face greater pressure.
(2) In terms of wave structure, beware of B C wave correction after the rebound is in place
(3) If the price breaks through the neckline pressure and starts a further rebound, the space will be weaker than the previous rise
Reasons:
<span The previous rise was due to the market's expectation of interest rate cuts, which is the result of the combined effect of technical aspects + sentiment aspects + capital aspects + fundamental aspects
<span The current surge lacks further positive basis (Trump's inauguration is beneficial to the cryptocurrency market in the medium and long term, not in the short term), especially after the December interest rate decision and Powell's hawkish tone, the market is more likely to maintain the subsequent monetary policy unchanged in the short term
(4) In terms of technical structure, after the previous pin test of the previous support, the time for the bulls to accumulate greater upward momentum is short, which does not support a sharp rise - there is a theoretical possibility of a second bottoming out in the technical aspect - in line with the C wave adjustment
4. In the 4H chart, the shape is as follows:
<a> Triangle
(1) The price repeatedly touches the upper edge (neckline) pressure, and there is a bearish shape of a long upper shadow (inverted head) of the K line in the high sideways consolidation stage, and the upper pressure is obvious
(2) At this stage, it is not at the end of the shape, There is a high probability of continued volatility in the short term
<II> Rising channel
(1) Channel middle track + M top neckline + triangle upper edge + Gann angle line 3/1 four-fold pressure resonance
(2) The long-short watershed depends on the channel middle track. Even if it breaks up, it is still suppressed by Gann 4/1 line
The above views are for reference only. Trading risks are at your own risk. Pay attention to position and risk control
Trading strategy:
3350-3550 range high sell low buy

$ETH
#2025加密趋势预测

Macroeconomics:

1. Russian Finance Minister: Russia is using Bitcoin for international trade and will establish Bitcoin reserves

2. Bank of Korea: Crypto investors account for 30% of its total population, and the average daily trading volume is equivalent to the stock market. The status of traditional financial markets has been impacted to a certain extent

3. Greeks.live options market data shows that the market heat has dropped significantly, and participants' optimism about January has weakened - sentiment is bearish

4. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January next year is 91.4%. There is no positive news at the monetary policy level. The future market rise requires other substantial positive stimulus

5. Contract total The transaction volume and total holdings have shrunk significantly recently. In the historical trend, the simultaneous decline of the two is usually accompanied by range adjustment or decline in price trends. The effects of the previous multiple positive factors (interest rate cuts + halving + Trump's victory on the crypto market) have passed, and bulls need further positive stimulation.
6. BTC spot ETF has been in an outflow state for 4 consecutive days, which is related to the short-term decline + the phenomenon of holding coins (money) during the European and American holidays.
$BTC
$ETH
#2025加密趋势预测

ETH/USDT Sleeping Order (No. 2 Order) 100 times Total 6% Margin
Ambush point:
1) 3118 3%
2) 3038 3%
Take profit target:
1) 3195 All take profit
Stop loss: 2983
⚠️Validity period: If the transaction is not completed after 9 o'clock tomorrow, East Eighth District time, the pending order will be cancelled.
Strategies are for reference only. Control your positions and do not serve as a basis for placing orders. If there are any changes, you will be notified separately. #ETH $ETH
#比特币市场波动观察

BTC/USDT Sleep Order Long (Order 1) 100x Total 6% Margin
Entry Points:
1) 94088 3%
2) 92788 3%
Take Profit Targets:
1) Full take profit at 95300 for the sleep order, 50% position for manual take profit, move to break-even stop
2) Full take profit at 96800
Stop Loss: 89900
⚠️ Validity: If not executed by 9 AM tomorrow (UTC+8), the order will be canceled
Strategy is for reference only, manage your position well, not as a basis for trading, changes will be notified separately. #BTC走势分析
$BTC
#BTC上攻11万？

Current price around 2.1, go long on XRP Ripple

100-200-300 dollars

3x leverage

No need to set a stop loss for now

$XRP
#“圣诞老人行情”再现

🔴🔴Five Major Laws of Cryptocurrency Trading

Law One: Rapid Rise and Slow Drop Indicates Accumulation
When the price rises quickly and drops slowly, the market maker is accumulating for the upcoming rise.
Law Two: Rapid Drop and Slow Rise Indicates Distribution
When the price drops quickly and rises slowly, the market maker is distributing, and the market is entering a bearish phase.
Law Three: Volume at the Top Indicates Caution
If there is high volume at the top, the price may still have momentum, and there is no need to rush to sell; if there is no volume, the momentum is exhausted, and one should exit quickly to avoid risk.
Law Four: Volume at the Bottom Indicates Caution
If there is only volume at the bottom, it may indicate a temporary pause in the decline, so it is not advisable to buy; if there is continuous volume, it indicates capital inflow, and one may consider entering the market.
Law Five: Trading Cryptocurrency is Trading Market Sentiment
Trading cryptocurrency is about trading market sentiment; trading volume reflects market consensus and investor behavior patterns, which dominate price fluctuations.

Patiently wait, as 80% of the market is garbage time
#2025加密趋势预测 $BTC
$ETH
$BNB

Opportunities for altcoins are coming
Fundamentals:
1. The compensation for FTX's stablecoins will reach the battlefield and will be gradually released to customers after January 6 next year, with new customers primarily targeting altcoins.
2. The Trump Fund and Grayscale Fund continue to buy and increase their holdings of various altcoins, leveraging celebrity effects.

Technical Analysis:
1. The recent pullback of Bitcoin has seen altcoins no longer following the decline.
2. After more than half a year of continuous decline, most altcoins are already at the bottom, and the operators need to push up the chips for selling.

In the coming days, during the Christmas season, there will be great layout opportunities. With low-position chips, one can gradually lay out and wait for subsequent rises! $BTC
#圣诞行情分析

BTC/USDT
Short-term Long (First Trade of the Day)
100x Total 6% Margin
Entry Points:
1) 93888 3%
2) 92788 3%
Take Profit Targets:
1) Set breakeven stop after reaching 95000, only take profit on 20% of the position
2) 95800 Take all profit
Stop Loss: 91900
This strategy is for reference and discussion only, manage your position well, not to be used as a basis for trading. Any changes will be notified separately. #BTC走势分析 $BTC
#加密市场反弹

ETH 空

Entry Point: 3380

Take Profit Range: 3290

Stop Loss Estimate: 3410

$ETH #圣诞行情分析

If this is your first experience with a bull market, these points are especially important:

1. Every major drop in a bull market is an opportunity to get in and a good time to add to your position.

2. Don't frequently switch coins, especially when the coins you hold haven't risen yet; just hold on patiently.

3. Don't diversify your investments too much; pay attention to different popular sectors and focus on choosing leading coins to invest heavily in. Don't buy a bunch of useless ones in the same sector!

4. Lock in some profits in a timely manner, and keep the rest for further growth. After a sharp drop, add to your position again to seize the opportunity at lower prices, which will lower your average cost.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#圣诞行情分析

Macroeconomic:
1. This week, there are fewer important data points; referring to past trends: during holidays, to mitigate uncertainty risks, investors are more likely to hold cash (this cash is not a token but funds) which can easily trigger short-term sell-offs and capital outflows, and there may be irregular volatility patterns that are bearish during this period.
2. This week, some tokens will be unlocked, including ENA, ADA, IMX, DBX; be cautious and avoid risks.
3. Top trader Eugene is optimistic about long-term investment opportunities in MOODENG, CHILLGUY, PNUT, and GOAT, as these related tokens have seen significant corrections. Given Trump's support for cryptocurrencies after his election victory, focus on oversold tokens, which align with cyclical and trading logic from a long-term perspective, paying attention to related tokens at low levels + long-term opportunities.
4. U.S. Senator Cynthia proposed allowing the Federal Reserve to hold Bitcoin; in the past month, many individuals have expressed their intention to treat BTC as a strategic reserve for the U.S., including Trump, CZ, Robert Toru Kiyosaki, etc. The potential elevation of BTC's status in the future will help its popularity and industry development, macro positive.
5. BTC spot ETF has seen outflows for two consecutive days, and the short-term bulls face the test of technical adjustments + capital outflows.
Technical Analysis:
1. Weekly chart shows an increase in volume with a bearish engulfing pattern, indicating a bearish technical outlook. After the completion of the ABCD ratio pattern, referring to historical trend patterns, in a short-term bearish context, pay attention to feibi0.382 (upward trend line) while maintaining a broad oscillation adjustment approach.
2. Trend + pattern prediction: If a short-term rebound is blocked at the lower boundary of the channel, it is likely to form a bearish head and shoulders pattern.
3. In wave theory, pay attention to the B wave rebound; the height of the rebound should refer to the lower boundary of the channel. If it is blocked, watch for high shorting opportunities in the C wave decline.
4. In terms of chips: Concentrated chips at high levels are at a potential B wave peak (near the lower boundary of the channel), building pressure below high levels, thus pay attention to the last defensive position for bulls at 87000 (there is a vacuum zone below, and if broken, it will trigger a deep correction).
5. In the 4H chart, resistance: EMA moving average + Gann angle line 4/1 + resonance point of the rebound peak. Support: previous low + Gann angle line 2/1 reverse support.
6. In the 1H chart, a head and shoulders bottom pattern was formed earlier, but the height of the rebound is restricted by the descending trend line. Short-term factors favorable for bulls are: long lower shadow doji + long lower shadow hammer candlestick, combined they form a short-term double-bottom probing signal, supporting a rebound from the candlestick perspective.

The focus of Bitcoin left-side trading is whether it can deliberately break through 90,000, and then go back to 90,000.

On the right side, it did not break through, and then fell all the way. Only when it breaks through 96280 and stands firm can it continue to rise.

So these two trigger mechanisms, whichever one comes first, we will follow that one. You only need to look at the strategy, I am just analyzing your ideas. #BTC走势分析

$BTC