CriptoBernie

For CriptoBernie | Your compass in the chaos of the market
📅 February 25, 2026
Hello, community! Welcome to your daily dose of crypto reality. After weeks of red pressure, the market gives us a breather. Today we analyze whether this Bitcoin bounce has "legs" and why XRP continues to be the center of institutional conversation.
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🌡️ The Market Pulse: Signs of Life

Source: Aksel Kibar, CMT @TechCharts · 17h
Why Great Sellers Are Often a Disguised Bullish Signal In financial markets, prominent visible sellers are often viewed with anxiety. Traders interpret heavy selling at a price level as resistance—a ceiling that prevents the price from rising. But this perspective overlooks a deeper structural truth about how markets operate: Great buyers need great sellers. Without supply, significant accumulation is impossible. In reality, the presence of a committed seller is often what allows for strong long-term bullish positioning. The Market Is an Auction — Not a One-Sided Machine

Imagine this: Bitcoin, the “digital gold” that has turned dreamers into millionaires and promised a financial revolution for all, could be teetering on the edge of a precipice. While institutional giants like BlackRock and Fidelity inject fortunes into BTC ETFs, celebrating its maturity under friendly policies like those of the Trump era, a veteran analyst on X known as “No Limits” drops a bomb: the generational fund could arrive in October-November 2026, sinking the price to $45,000-$50,000. Is this a prophetic vision rooted in historical patterns that do not lie, or mere alarmism that ignores the “super cycle” dreamed of by enthusiasts like CZ of Binance? This prediction not only clashes with the overflowing optimism post-halving of 2024, but also raises an uncomfortable question: is Bitcoin a stable asset for the future, or is it still a gamble where retail investors always come out on the losing end? In this article, we explore this controversial thesis, verify it with hard data, and enrich it with the perspective of PlanB, the guru of the Stock-to-Flow model, who offers an optimistic long-term counterpoint. Get ready for a journey through the ups and downs of the crypto market – because, what if “No Limits” is right and the next big rally catches you off guard?

## 1. What happened on October 10 and why is the market not rising
On October 10, 2025, the crypto market experienced the largest liquidation in its recent history: nearly 400 billion dollars in value vanished, with over 19 billion liquidated in derivatives and around two million accounts forced to close, many of which were still in profit just minutes before. The visible trigger was an explosive combination: tariff announcements from Donald Trump that rekindled fears of a trade war with China and an over-leveraged market that lacked sufficient liquidity to absorb the wave of sales.[2][4][5][6]

Introduction: Why does what happens in Japan matter for your investment?
It may seem that Japan's economic decisions are far from affecting your day-to-day life, but the reality is that every fiscal and monetary move in Tokyo creates waves that reach Wall Street, the American bond markets, and the cryptocurrencies that many of us follow like $BTC Bitcoin and $XRP XRP. Japan, which is facing its first economic contraction in six quarters and a record public debt exceeding 230% of GDP, launched a massive fiscal stimulus package of ¥17 trillion (about $149 billion), aiming to reverse the slowdown. This move has unleashed volatility and adjustments in international capital flows, directly impacting the yields of U.S. Treasury bonds and the expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Furthermore, it is influencing the digital market, where Bitcoin and XRP react to this global economic storm.[1][2][3]