币未央

In the 2023 ORDI TIA one-sided market, I brought a fan from 500U_GVN to 70,000U.
At that time, I didn't think much of it; such markets are rare and hard to come by. When the market comes, opportunities like this are inevitable.
👇 2023 ORDI/TIA 138 times real record exposed!
👇 The LAYER that was ambushed at 0.74 has tripled.
1. Choose the right coin.
2. Precise risk points and rolling positions.

I always feel that helping friends make money is something that should be done, but don't get carried away. 😁🥀🥶😍😅

Recently, I'm preparing to form a small trading team; it's about to start. Interested parties, please add me.

Appendix: Layer is also one of the targets, and I need to analyze it more precisely:
Regarding this coin, all information about Layer is in this post.
Two entries were made, at positions [0.74] and [0.86], both recorded in the post.
It has approached 2 dollars at its peak.

#山寨币热点 #BTC☀️

#BTC走势分析
BTC May sprint to 90,000, please complete the spot layout by April

What we are seeing now is a lively BTC, with daily fluctuations of 2,000 to 3,000 points
, this kind of fluctuation is completely beneficial.
If BTC is lifeless, like ETH, then there will be no market before October

In May, we can see BTC above 88,000, conservatively it may break through 90,000

Thus, the operations this month are crucial, determining the harvest for the second half of this year or before October

【BTC's current trend still lacks a slight fluctuation to endure the market】💥💥💥💥
Slowly lay out some quality spots before the end of April. Just wait for the season of blooming flowers

Isn't it that there are only one or two opportunities in a year?

So, patiently waiting is definitely not wrong

Between 8.12 and 8.18, place multi-tiered orders slowly. There will still be many opportunities to place orders this month

If you don't prepare well this month, you will have to go for contracts later and D=U

Time is the only attribute of value

#加密市场反弹 BTC
Always Earn
Although the little cutie is silly, she is never late. She has also been tormented for two days, and I really can't bear to hurt her anymore.

I'm also silly, I react slowly, and I like a slow pace, so I need her. I developed her to help me complete the 24-hour tasks that men cannot accomplish.

She is happy, I am happy. This little friend is worth relying on for a lifetime.

ondo, you were amazing today. I've been with my奶ondo for two years, a bit excited, haha.

Incoherent

#BTC
These days I have been busy looking at tariffs, and as a result... the expected chart for btc was drawn as early as last October, thanks to my brother's reminder, true love! 😘
the trend of btc is indeed a turmoil in the world, it turns out it was all in the chart.
Playing k really requires going through the 81 trials to come out. To become the person you want to be.

Seemingly guided by fate, it seems everything is already on its way.
The world is vast, indeed, we are all engaging in quantum entanglement with each other, I am becoming more and more fascinated by this philosophical idea.

Thank you for your company in this circle. Confident and calm!

#关税

#关税

Tariffs remain at 10 basis points, negotiations have begun, and interest rate cut expectations have begun again!!!

On April 10, U.S. President Trump stated on Wednesday that he would [pause for 90 days] the plan announced last week to significantly raise tariffs on most countries.

Subsequently, traders significantly reduced their previous bets on the Federal Reserve starting to cut rates in May.

Interest rate futures trading shows that traders now believe the likelihood of the U.S. starting to cut rates in June is much greater than in May. They still believe that by the end of this year, the Federal Reserve will have cut rates a total of four times.

#下架代币
I just said you traders on the 7th floor of these exchanges

ARDR VIDT FIRO GAS FUN STPT A pile of trash in the observation area = JI

As soon as the delisting rules come out, taking advantage of this stage of BTC to brush trading volume, is it because others are blind and can't see it?
For 100 years without a rise, during this stage of BTC when everyone is afraid to buy, you all ran to the rise list

Face, = Do you still want it?

Can this line be a little more realistic? Who's on the bus, you tell me

#美国加征关税

Extra 50% Tariff!!! Effective at 12 PM today, let's see how our country responds?

According to the latest information, as of April 8, 2025, Trump has indeed threatened to impose an additional 50% tariff on Chinese goods. He stated that if China does not retract its 34% retaliatory tariffs on American goods, the U.S. will implement this new tariff policy on imports from China starting April 9. This will further escalate the tariff war between China and the U.S., with the total tariff level potentially reaching 104% (existing 54% plus an additional 50%). Trump also stated on social media that if China does not back down, he will terminate all trade negotiations with China, while also expressing a desire to engage in dialogue with other countries.

Currently, the U.S. and China are playing a “game of chicken” in a game theory model, both sides are increasing tariffs at a speed of 200 yards, accelerating face to face, to see who turns first, who proposes peace talks first, and if neither turns, they will collide and be obliterated.

Let's see how tough Trump's stance really is?!

#BTC
Is another big storm on the way? MicroStrategy

MicroStrategy: Potential 'nuclear bomb' in the Bitcoin market? — Analysis of high leverage, debt risk, and market liquidity crisis

As the 'number one whale' in the Bitcoin market, MicroStrategy continues to accumulate Bitcoin through aggressive leverage strategies, with its holdings exceeding 500,000 coins.
However, this 'infinite increase' model hides three major risks that could trigger a Bitcoin crash: debt leverage vulnerability, liquidity crisis transmission chain, and collapse of market confidence.

1. High leverage strategy: debt risk and the trigger for the 'death spiral'
MicroStrategy finances the purchase of Bitcoin through issuing convertible bonds (zero-interest or low-interest), issuing additional stocks, etc., creating a cycle of 'buy BTC → stock price rises → financing → buy BTC again'. By the end of 2024, its total debt had reached $7.27 billion, but based on the high Bitcoin price (such as $80,000), the debt-to-equity ratio is only 0.208, appearing safe.

However, this model relies on two key assumptions:
Bitcoin price rises over the long term: If the BTC price falls below the key support level, the value of its holdings will not cover the debt, creditors may demand conversion to stock or redemption, forcing MicroStrategy to sell BTC to repay the debt.
Stock price highly tied to BTC: If the BTC drop leads to a sharp decline in MSTR stock price, convertible bondholders may sell off large amounts of stock, further pushing down the stock price, creating a negative feedback loop of 'stock price-BTC price'.

The current average holding price of BTC is $66,608; if the price falls below the cost line, investors' 'faith premium' in MicroStrategy may collapse, accelerating capital outflow.

2. Liquidity crisis: selling pressure from massive holdings
MicroStrategy's holdings account for nearly 2.5% of BTC circulation (based on an estimated total of 21 million), and its selling behavior could directly impact market liquidity:
Passive selling triggers a chain reaction: If the Bitcoin price drops by 30% (to about $58,000), MicroStrategy's unrealized gains will significantly shrink, and institutional investors may reduce their positions in advance to hedge, triggering a 'long kill long' situation.
Exhaustion of financing capacity: MicroStrategy currently has about $6.53 billion remaining in stock issuance capacity, but if the stock price falls, leading to an increase in financing costs, its 'borrowing new to pay old' model will be difficult to sustain, forcing it to sell BTC to maintain cash flow.

#ETH
I rarely post comments about Ethereum because many friends hold large positions.
In the last round, the big guy, the father of DeFi, even drove BTC to a height of 68,000. He is undoubtedly the top player of the last round.

However: Ethereum, born from DeFi, dies from DeFi.

DeFi has driven on-chain activity, spurred L2, led staking, encouraged re-staking, boosted stablecoins, and generated liquidity pools like CRV, UNI, SUSHI, AAVE, COMB, and even the MEME trend.

Why say it dies from DeFi? We all know that Ethereum's upgrade from POW mining to POS staking happened over the past two years. POS? Can you compete with Solana or Sui?

The most important reason is:
Does the Ethereum ecosystem lock up so much market liquidity that can never be released?

It is estimated that there are over 800 billion in dead assets, generating interest on-chain as tokens, accounting for one-third of the crypto market's assets.

Why don't users sell their dual-token staking assets, like OP, ARB, or LDO, PENDLE? Why do these high market cap projects continue to survive?

Because users are stuck at the peak, just like XRP and ADA have been in the top eleven by market cap for years; retail investors are unwilling to incur such massive losses by selling these assets, or they still have a glimmer of hope that they will soar again in the future.

I still remember a few years ago when XRP community fans supported and encouraged each other, many lost their lifelong savings on XRP, but they managed to hold on 💥😁

Many friends have played Rune, like DOGS RUNSTONE; why has no one played it? Because it's too cheap, and the vehicle is too heavy. The exchange is just a way to break even; who will use real money to drive up the price for you?

Now no one will help you break even on these worthless projects, and the only way out is an infinite drop until this garbage DeFi project goes to zero; retail investors will have to abandon their visions, and these trash VC projects will no longer be seen in the top 100 by market cap.

Ethereum is too awkward in this bull market; what use is DeFi now?

Ethereum below a thousand is probably visible, making people anxious, indeed!

#美国加征关税
Does the river still have a brain?
Trump stated that if China does not cancel the additional 34% tariffs, the U.S. will impose an additional 50% tariff on China starting April 9.
Go for it. So what if BTC goes to zero. Screw you, you foolish idiot!!!

Trump threatens to impose 50% tariff on Chinese products

On April 7, Trump posted on social media: "Yesterday, China imposed an additional 34% retaliatory tariff on top of already record tariffs, non-monetary barriers, illegal subsidies to companies, and long-term large-scale currency manipulation—despite my earlier warnings: if any country implements additional retaliatory tariffs beyond long-term tariff pressures on the U.S., the U.S. will immediately impose stricter new tariffs.

Therefore, if China fails to withdraw this additional 34% tariff by April 8, 2025, the U.S. will impose an additional 50% tariff on China starting April 9. In addition, all requested meetings and negotiations from the Chinese side will be terminated, and the U.S. will immediately initiate negotiation procedures with other requested meeting countries."

#美国加征关税

Ten thousand heart's alpacas, what kind of world is this, how can we still live

Tonight's closed-door meeting [Similar procedures were also used during the 2008 financial crisis and the 2020 pandemic], all to attack the idiot from Sichuan University

[Tonight at 11:30 PM, the Federal Reserve will hold an emergency closed-door meeting, using the expedited process from the 'Rules for Public Observation Meetings' by the Board. This type of meeting is held to assess and make decisions on urgent matters and is not open to the public due to the sensitive nature of the content. Similar procedures were also used during the 2008 financial crisis and the 2020 pandemic]

#BTC走势分析
Today's good news is that the BTC daily chart hasn't broken down yet. Since entering the consolidation phase on March 27, it has remained steady so far. The energy of such volatile ups and downs has balanced out at the daily level.

The bad news is that the anticipated April market may not open up.

This major bottom has a 55% chance for bulls and bears.

If it weren't for the political situation yesterday, the trend would have opened up already.

What does a stock market circuit breaker mean? Is it the same as a cryptocurrency 'pulling the line'? May I ask?

Haha

#BTC
I can only say it's a comfortable sack, and if I could add a time limit to this comfort, I would hope it lasts for ten thousand years.

The kids are playing their games while I play mine, he does his thing, I play with my multi-headed one, and I'm buried... 🤫😵🤭

2025 Predictions from the 3 Major Players: Which is More in Line with Expectations?

1. Federal Reserve Cuts Rates by Over 100 Basis Points Heavily Invested in ETH + Solana Ecosystem Probability: 30%
2. Inflation > 5% + GDP Zero Growth Holding BTC + Physical Gold + Treasury Bond ETF 50%
3. Comprehensive Tax Implementation + Zero Rate Cut Short Selling Altcoins + Increasing Stablecoin Holdings 20%

1. Federal Reserve Cuts Rates by Over 100 Basis Points Heavily Invested in ETH + Solana Ecosystem
Probability: 30%
Tariffs have already reduced the circulation of the dollar, which is bearish for the dollar; Trump's goal upon taking office is clear: to establish a Trump-style industrial and technologically strong nation (ultimately for personal profit). Under this major premise, if the dollar continues to weaken due to increased liquidity, a double bearish scenario could indeed lead to a major recession.
= > > This will intensify investors' shift towards more resilient assets such as ETH, Solana, and other cryptocurrencies as well as decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystems.

2. Inflation > 5% + GDP Zero Growth Holding BTC + Physical Gold + Treasury Bond ETF
Probability: 50%
Given the current global economic situation, the risk of inflation rising to over 5% does indeed exist. Particularly, as the U.S. gradually reduces its dependence on Chinese light industry, the shift in the supply chain may lead to short-term supply-side tension. Under tariff policies, the recovery of U.S. domestic manufacturing might result in wage increases, thereby triggering inflation. At the same time, the stagnation of GDP growth indicates a decline in economic vitality. In this context, holding BTC, physical gold, and Treasury Bond ETFs can effectively combat inflation risks and economic slowdown risks.

3. Comprehensive Tax Implementation + Zero Rate Cut Probability: 20%
If taxes are fully implemented and the Federal Reserve chooses to maintain interest rates, this may indicate that the U.S. government is attempting to stabilize the economy through taxation and may increase intervention in financial markets. In this scenario, the market may experience panic, leading to poor performance of risk assets (such as altcoins). Therefore, if investors short high-risk altcoins and increase their holdings of stablecoins to protect asset value, this would be an effective strategy. Meanwhile, as the U.S. returns to manufacturing and emphasizes the real economy, the financial market may experience a period of instability, putting significant pressure on BTC's upward movement.

Summary:
BTC market is mainly in a fluctuation phase, with a digestion period of 3 months.
BTC has continued its fluctuating market, and is now transitioning to a repair phase.

#FUN #GUN
Rez Fartcoin
Everyone's Call
~~ Form a demon-catching team, I like these targets

Those who like to play <demon> join in, 😁💥 Leave a message to join

Let's all have fun together

It's time to show some real skills, haha

#fun #ETH
$FUN Little friend becomes a god in battle!! Attached picture, waiting for him to close his position himself

This morning, the machines at home lost power. Did we unplug at home?? Luckily, all short positions were automatically closed

Today's little list is as follows
Close short: $LTC, Buy short price: 83.69, Sell short price: 82.18, Profit📈: 9.19%, Multiplier ×5
Close short: $POL, Buy short price: 0.18813, Sell short price: 0.18708, Profit📈: 2.81%, Multiplier ×5
Close short: $MOODENG, Buy short price: 0.02602, Sell short price: 0.02632, Loss📉: -5.7%, Multiplier ×5
Close short: $LDO, Buy short price: 0.8254, Sell short price: 0.8234, Profit📈: 1.21%, Multiplier ×5
Close short: $BNB, Buy short price: 595.42, Sell short price: 592.77, Profit📈: 2.24%, Multiplier ×5
Close short: $ARKM, Buy short price: 0.4934, Sell short price: 0.4823, Profit📈: 11.51%, Multiplier ×5
Close short: $DOGE, Buy short price: 0.16856, Sell short price: 0.16828, Profit📈: 0.83%, Multiplier ×5
Close short: $PENDLE, Buy short price: 3.1444, Sell short price: 3.0437, Profit📈: 16.54%, Multiplier ×5
Close short: $FET, Buy short price: 0.4352, Sell short price: 0.4295, Profit📈: 6.64%, Multiplier ×5
Close short: $1000CHEEMS, Buy short price: 0.0015996, Sell short price: 0.0015748, Profit📈: 7.87%, Multiplier ×5
Close short: $CAKE, Buy short price: 1.8168, Sell short price: 1.7986, Profit📈: 5.06%, Multiplier ×5
Close short: $ATOM, Buy short price: 4.944, Sell short price: 4.816, Profit📈: 13.29%, Multiplier ×5
$ETH Long 🟢, Current price: 1814.13 Drop: -0.577%, Pending unit: 1808.69, Stop loss: 1754.26, Buying strength: 0.25 stars
$LTC Long 🟢, Current price: 82.49 Drop: -2.32%, Pending unit: 82.2425, Stop loss: 79.7678, Buying strength: 0.8266151222676912 stars
Close short: $JUP, Buy short price: 0.4015, Sell short price: 0.3838, Profit📈: 23.06%, Multiplier ×5
$AUCTION Long 🟢, Current price: 16.671 Increase: 17.9%, Pending unit: 16.621, Stop loss: 16.1209, Buying strength: 3.4711855781589267 stars
Close long: $LTC, Buy long price: 82.49, Sell long price: 82.48, Loss📉: -0.06%, Multiplier ×5

$KAITO #山寨币热点
Kaito's trend is stabilizing, and it needs another three days. Before it breaks out, we can add some positions on dips and just place orders at the right spots.

Currently, the BTC trend has actually stabilized, but selling pressure is still stuck between 84600-86000.

For this position to break out, we currently need:
1. Positive news to be digested 2. Liquidation and turnover

This price level is safe. Regardless of which of the above methods we take, we can follow the trend upward.

Lower range:
The selling pressure around 81750 to 79800 has not been fully digested, but if it consolidates between 82000-84000, it will inherently replace the short positions, so consolidation itself is a form of offense (bullish and bearish momentum). Many people don't understand this: Why is it always consolidating? The current market is really boring?

Actually, consolidation is also a form of strength, especially after significant rises or falls.

Brothers,

Let’s encourage each other!

When the market is disheartened, it is often the best opportunity.

In the following posts, I will also outline some promising patterns.

While cheering you on, I am also cheering for myself.

Keep it up. Thank you for your attention and comments, brothers.

#BTC
Facing a critical hit? What is the true reason behind the recent 5000-point rise and fall of BTC?

Last night's tariff information was just a trigger; the real reason is the exhaustion of liquidity in the crypto market.

Since the last bull market, a large number of worthless altcoins have been launched. In a crypto market with a market value of 3 trillion, its real liquidity is less than 7 layers.

To address the reasons:
1. The last wave of altcoins hasn't completely died out; it hasn't been thoroughly washed out.
2. This time, too many unworthy projects have come into the crypto space, draining liquidity.

Take Ethereum L2 as an example: OP, ARB, POL (originally named Matic), STRK (which is transforming into BTC L2), ZK—these VC coins are purely offloading, trapping retail investors at the peak, and the market cap is still so large?

Isn't it an obvious fake market cap? How can this liquidity be released?
1. Pumping to the previous high? Retail investors offload, increasing market liquidity.
2. Smash through; if one time doesn't work, then two times, N times, until the coin price is cut down by 100% or more, is that feasible?

Look at Ethereum now; isn't it aiming for 1500? If BTC experiences the same market conditions as yesterday three more times, can Ethereum hold at 1200?

No matter how the market moves, we face the truth directly. If the overall direction is to stop losses, we won't be trapped.

A rebound is just a rebound; do not become infatuated with it.

Set a limit for your trading frequency. 2-3 opportunities a week are actually enough; do not operate frequently.

Now, patiently wait; the relationship between the hunter and the prey is always changing.

#BTC
I’ve been shouting for three days about the bulls, sigh I’m tired, are you tired my little friend?

When all the bad news is out, that’s when the good news comes, but what is good news? It’s when all the bad news is out. Will you let it go? Haha

My 【little friend】 is still a perpetual profit player, coming from the love of Pleasant Goat and Big Big Wolf

The 【little friend】 turning point and one-sided moves are always profitable, going to sleep now

If you want to join the little friend strategy, leave a message in the comments