小熊oo7
村里某机构镰刀手！拥有丰富实战经验以及资金管理交易员，: BTCyhh
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$PEPE Today, Meme coins are widely recognized, but don't invest blindly. Meme coins may increase tenfold or a hundredfold when they rise, but once they collapse, they are likely to be the first to return to zero.
Among the old Meme coins, DOGE and SHIB are worth considering; among the newcomers, PEPE and FLOKI have great potential.
In addition, I personally like WIF, although it may be questioned, please be patient and time will prove everything. $BTC
Among the old Meme coins, DOGE and SHIB are worth considering; among the newcomers, PEPE and FLOKI have great potential.
In addition, I personally like WIF, although it may be questioned, please be patient and time will prove everything. $BTC
I will give another speech tonight at 8:30.
There are three possible trends in inflation:
First, if it rises beyond expectations, the market may fall briefly, but the decline will be limited. It may fall rapidly by 10% and then gradually stabilize;
Second, if it meets expectations, the market is expected to rise sharply, and the increase may reach 5%;
Third, if it falls beyond expectations, it will trigger a surge in the market, and expectations for interest rate cuts in July and September are strong, and a bull market is gradually emerging. $BTC $ETH $BNB
There are three possible trends in inflation:
First, if it rises beyond expectations, the market may fall briefly, but the decline will be limited. It may fall rapidly by 10% and then gradually stabilize;
Second, if it meets expectations, the market is expected to rise sharply, and the increase may reach 5%;
Third, if it falls beyond expectations, it will trigger a surge in the market, and expectations for interest rate cuts in July and September are strong, and a bull market is gradually emerging. $BTC $ETH $BNB
Bitcoin failed to successfully hit the 64,500 mark yesterday, and the one-hour rebound trend has ended. It is currently in the one-hour level callback stage, focusing on the 62,000 point. As long as it does not fall below, the market will remain stable.
It is expected that this callback will be completed today and the third wave of one-hour rebound will start.
In general, it is likely to hold 62,000 today. Even if it falls below, it is expected to stabilize around 60,000. I have mentioned many times before that a moderate callback to around 60,000 will help stabilize the market pattern, so there is no need to worry too much.
If it really pulls back to 60,000, the shock time may be extended. For the subsequent rebound, I firmly believe that it will break through the pressure level of 64,000 and challenge the new high of 67,000.
It is expected that this callback will be completed today and the third wave of one-hour rebound will start.
In general, it is likely to hold 62,000 today. Even if it falls below, it is expected to stabilize around 60,000. I have mentioned many times before that a moderate callback to around 60,000 will help stabilize the market pattern, so there is no need to worry too much.
If it really pulls back to 60,000, the shock time may be extended. For the subsequent rebound, I firmly believe that it will break through the pressure level of 64,000 and challenge the new high of 67,000.
The retracement adjustment of Bitcoin is usually between 20% and 30%, that is, it is reasonable to bottom out in the range of 59,000 to 48,000.
The previous price increase has been considerable, shouldn't there be some adjustment? Although there is some rebound at present, it is only temporary, and the market will eventually return to stability.
It is a normal market phenomenon that the weekly line has five consecutive negative lines and occasionally positive lines.
At the same time, 10 ETFs are slowly outflowing funds, and the market seems a little weak. I tend to adopt a low-buy strategy and wait for a clear bottoming signal.
Whether it is an accelerated decline or a long-term bottom shock, it usually takes about three months to adjust from the highest point of Bitcoin. Please be patient, time will reveal the answer.
Of course, if you think the market is about to enter a bear market, it is a wise choice to leave in time.
Just be responsible for your own investment decisions. I firmly believe that the main upward wave of the bull market has not yet arrived, and it is expected to gradually recover in June and July.
Therefore, it is recommended to prepare funds in advance and build positions in batches when prices fall. This will be a wise choice.
The previous price increase has been considerable, shouldn't there be some adjustment? Although there is some rebound at present, it is only temporary, and the market will eventually return to stability.
It is a normal market phenomenon that the weekly line has five consecutive negative lines and occasionally positive lines.
At the same time, 10 ETFs are slowly outflowing funds, and the market seems a little weak. I tend to adopt a low-buy strategy and wait for a clear bottoming signal.
Whether it is an accelerated decline or a long-term bottom shock, it usually takes about three months to adjust from the highest point of Bitcoin. Please be patient, time will reveal the answer.
Of course, if you think the market is about to enter a bear market, it is a wise choice to leave in time.
Just be responsible for your own investment decisions. I firmly believe that the main upward wave of the bull market has not yet arrived, and it is expected to gradually recover in June and July.
Therefore, it is recommended to prepare funds in advance and build positions in batches when prices fall. This will be a wise choice.
#5月市场关键事件 #美联储利率决议即将公布 Mr. Bao's remarks tonight reveal the future direction of monetary policy. First, regarding interest rate cuts, we should not expect too much, considering that the inflation rate has not yet fallen below 2%. Based on the situation in the first quarter, the possibility of a rate cut at the end of the year that was previously predicted has been greatly reduced, and even the election results are unlikely to change this situation.
Second, regarding interest rate hikes, if the inflation rate exceeds 4% (although it is still fluctuating in the range of 2%-3%), or if inflation is not effectively reduced for a long time, then a rate hike strategy may be put on the agenda. However, the Fed is currently confident in the existing data, so Mr. Bao made it clear that the next interest rate policy adjustment is unlikely to be a rate hike.
Furthermore, regarding the maintenance of interest rates, Mr. Bao believes that unless there is a major change in the data, the interest rate policy will remain relatively stable. But if the inflation data remains unchanged for a long time, then the Fed may be more inclined to take interest rate hikes.
In general, the adjustment of interest rate policy will mainly depend on changes in data. Rate hikes or cuts are unlikely to be achieved in the short term, but in the long run, we may see policy changes around 2025. If inflation still fails to fall below the key 2% target, the possibility of a rate hike remains.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
Second, regarding interest rate hikes, if the inflation rate exceeds 4% (although it is still fluctuating in the range of 2%-3%), or if inflation is not effectively reduced for a long time, then a rate hike strategy may be put on the agenda. However, the Fed is currently confident in the existing data, so Mr. Bao made it clear that the next interest rate policy adjustment is unlikely to be a rate hike.
Furthermore, regarding the maintenance of interest rates, Mr. Bao believes that unless there is a major change in the data, the interest rate policy will remain relatively stable. But if the inflation data remains unchanged for a long time, then the Fed may be more inclined to take interest rate hikes.
In general, the adjustment of interest rate policy will mainly depend on changes in data. Rate hikes or cuts are unlikely to be achieved in the short term, but in the long run, we may see policy changes around 2025. If inflation still fails to fall below the key 2% target, the possibility of a rate hike remains.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
Is this the final trough of the market? My answer is for reference only, please do not be too rigid. At present, it is highly unlikely, and it may not even be close to the edge of the final trough.
This is not to say how much the market will fall, or to what point it will fall, but to say that the current situation is far from the worst situation, and in fact it is still quite far from the worst result.
Why? Because the expectation of interest rate cuts is still far away, we have not yet seen a channel for inflation to steadily decline. At present, the market's expectation of the Fed's interest rate cuts has dropped from three times in the dot plot to two times, and even more pessimistic expectations are one interest rate cut.
In this case, the risk of economic collapse is increasing. Even if it does not collapse, many investors are afraid to invest boldly due to concerns about economic problems.
This is not to say how much the market will fall, or to what point it will fall, but to say that the current situation is far from the worst situation, and in fact it is still quite far from the worst result.
Why? Because the expectation of interest rate cuts is still far away, we have not yet seen a channel for inflation to steadily decline. At present, the market's expectation of the Fed's interest rate cuts has dropped from three times in the dot plot to two times, and even more pessimistic expectations are one interest rate cut.
In this case, the risk of economic collapse is increasing. Even if it does not collapse, many investors are afraid to invest boldly due to concerns about economic problems.
I firmly believe that the price of Bitcoin will fluctuate around 57,000. This position seems to be a key support point. If it continues to fall, it may hit the range of 52,000 to 49,000. But from the daily chart, 57,000 is likely to be a short-term bottom. It is expected to fluctuate here for a few days before trying to fall again, and it may be accompanied by a rebound. As for Ethereum, although it failed to fall below the previous low of 2,880, and it is possible to rebound to the range of 2,950 to 3,000 tonight, forming a double bottom rebound pattern, I still have reservations about its gains. $BTC $SOL #5月市场关键事件
I guess it may be that domestic futures investors have begun to enter the market in large numbers. The recent market trend is extremely fierce, and they are not afraid of the impact of good news. According to Coinglass data, in the past 24 hours, the total amount of liquidation in the entire network reached 112 million US dollars, of which long positions were liquidated for 91.4937 million US dollars and short positions were liquidated for 20.2029 million US dollars. This situation is shocking, and it also forces us to re-examine the risks and opportunities of the market. #5月市场关键事件 $BTC $ETH
The prosperity of the cryptocurrency world
The rise and fall of the cryptocurrency world
In the prosperity and decline of the cryptocurrency circle, an investor told us with a painful experience: contract trading is like walking on a tightrope. If you are not careful, you will fall into an abyss from which there is no return. In 2021, the bull market was in full swing. My friend entered the cryptocurrency circle with more than 700,000 yuan in funds and soon made a lot of money. The profit of more than 5 million yuan made him immersed in infinite joy. Later, he opened a contract account, and with the so-called "learning results", his profits became more and more abundant and he was full of confidence.
One day, he asked me for advice on investing in small currencies, revealing the illusion of having sufficient funds. I noticed that the source of his funds was unusual, and when I asked him about it, he confessed that he had obtained it through financing, with a five-fold leverage, high interest, and a month's advance payment. I was deeply worried and felt that the risk was about to come, but I could not help but feel that he was blindly confident and firmly believed that this was a shortcut to wealth.
One day, he asked me for advice on investing in small currencies, revealing the illusion of having sufficient funds. I noticed that the source of his funds was unusual, and when I asked him about it, he confessed that he had obtained it through financing, with a five-fold leverage, high interest, and a month's advance payment. I was deeply worried and felt that the risk was about to come, but I could not help but feel that he was blindly confident and firmly believed that this was a shortcut to wealth.
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