比特大熊
Frequent Trader
2.2 Years
公众号：比特大熊。
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The First Bull Run of 2026 Is Coming, Are You Ready?
📊 Analysis of the 4-hour chart
Looking at the 4-hour K-line chart, we can analyze the current trend from several dimensions:
1. Trend and Key Levels
Current price: 95463.0, approaching the previous high resistance zone (95000-96000 range).
Recent trend: The price has been rising steadily from a low of around 80602, forming a clear uptrend, currently in a high-level consolidation phase after the rally.
Support and Resistance:
Resistance above: 96000 (upper edge of the green dashed line in the chart); a breakout could open up new upward potential.
Support below: 92000-93000 (upper edge of the recent consolidation zone, also a support area within the moving average system).
Looking at the 4-hour K-line chart, we can analyze the current trend from several dimensions:
1. Trend and Key Levels
Current price: 95463.0, approaching the previous high resistance zone (95000-96000 range).
Recent trend: The price has been rising steadily from a low of around 80602, forming a clear uptrend, currently in a high-level consolidation phase after the rally.
Support and Resistance:
Resistance above: 96000 (upper edge of the green dashed line in the chart); a breakout could open up new upward potential.
Support below: 92000-93000 (upper edge of the recent consolidation zone, also a support area within the moving average system).
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What is left-side trading and right-side trading?
1. What is left-side trading
Left-side trading refers to entering a position when, within a certain time period, one believes the cryptocurrency price is about to bottom out and thus buys in, or believes the price is about to top out and thus sells out. In simple terms, it means buying before the bottom forms on the candlestick chart, buying on the left side of the bottom. Or selling before the top forms, selling on the left side of the top. Although left-side trading involves buying before the bottom is confirmed, the bottoming-out event is already highly probable; similarly, selling before the top is confirmed still implies a high probability of topping out. In general, this kind of trading is considered counter-trend. Most commonly, it involves going all-in during the late stage of a bull market, then getting trapped in a bear market, holding for a long time, chasing gains during the early stage of a bull market, and finally becoming fearful of high prices and going out of the market by the mid-stage of the bull market. The primary reason most technical traders incur losses is due to counter-trend trading. To avoid misunderstanding, left-side trading is a form of predictive trading, whereas right-side trading is trend-following trading.
Left-side trading refers to entering a position when, within a certain time period, one believes the cryptocurrency price is about to bottom out and thus buys in, or believes the price is about to top out and thus sells out. In simple terms, it means buying before the bottom forms on the candlestick chart, buying on the left side of the bottom. Or selling before the top forms, selling on the left side of the top. Although left-side trading involves buying before the bottom is confirmed, the bottoming-out event is already highly probable; similarly, selling before the top is confirmed still implies a high probability of topping out. In general, this kind of trading is considered counter-trend. Most commonly, it involves going all-in during the late stage of a bull market, then getting trapped in a bear market, holding for a long time, chasing gains during the early stage of a bull market, and finally becoming fearful of high prices and going out of the market by the mid-stage of the bull market. The primary reason most technical traders incur losses is due to counter-trend trading. To avoid misunderstanding, left-side trading is a form of predictive trading, whereas right-side trading is trend-following trading.
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1.13 Analysis of High-Low Trading Strategy in Range Consolidation
Analysis of Ethereum's Hourly Timeframe Volatility Range
1. Key Support and Resistance Levels
1. Resistance: 3120.17 is a clear resistance level, as price has repeatedly attempted to break through without success, and the previous high around 3170 forms a strong medium-term resistance; the short-term secondary resistance is 3112.40, which has acted as an immediate resistance during recent rebounds.
2. Support: 3052.48 is the absolute low point of the current phase, serving as strong support; the short-term key support is the 3080 psychological level, and a break below would lead to further decline toward the 3060-3080 range.
2. Technical Patterns and Indicator Signals
1. Candlestick Pattern: After rising to 3170, price entered a consolidation and retracement phase. Recent candles are mostly small-bodied, with price trading in a narrow range between 3100 and 3120, indicating tight battle between bulls and bears, with no clear directional breakout yet.
2. Indicator Features: The Bollinger Band upper band (blue) has turned downward, the middle band (white) is now acting as a resistance to price, and the lower band (pink) first dipped then stabilized, indicating a short-term weak consolidation phase with lack of upward momentum from bulls.
3. Trading Strategy Suggestions
1. Range Trading: Trade within the 3080-3140 range by selling highs and buying lows. Long position stop-loss at 3060, short position stop-loss at 3160. Target a 20-40 point range movement, with quick entries and exits.
2. Breakout Trading: If price holds above 3125 (confirmed by closing a candle), enter a small long position with targets at 3140-3150; if price breaks below 3095, go short with targets down to 3070-3060.
3. Risk Management: Keep position size within 5% of total capital during consolidation. Avoid chasing price moves; monitor volume changes and market news, adding positions only after a breakout occurs.
1. Key Support and Resistance Levels
1. Resistance: 3120.17 is a clear resistance level, as price has repeatedly attempted to break through without success, and the previous high around 3170 forms a strong medium-term resistance; the short-term secondary resistance is 3112.40, which has acted as an immediate resistance during recent rebounds.
2. Support: 3052.48 is the absolute low point of the current phase, serving as strong support; the short-term key support is the 3080 psychological level, and a break below would lead to further decline toward the 3060-3080 range.
2. Technical Patterns and Indicator Signals
1. Candlestick Pattern: After rising to 3170, price entered a consolidation and retracement phase. Recent candles are mostly small-bodied, with price trading in a narrow range between 3100 and 3120, indicating tight battle between bulls and bears, with no clear directional breakout yet.
2. Indicator Features: The Bollinger Band upper band (blue) has turned downward, the middle band (white) is now acting as a resistance to price, and the lower band (pink) first dipped then stabilized, indicating a short-term weak consolidation phase with lack of upward momentum from bulls.
3. Trading Strategy Suggestions
1. Range Trading: Trade within the 3080-3140 range by selling highs and buying lows. Long position stop-loss at 3060, short position stop-loss at 3160. Target a 20-40 point range movement, with quick entries and exits.
2. Breakout Trading: If price holds above 3125 (confirmed by closing a candle), enter a small long position with targets at 3140-3150; if price breaks below 3095, go short with targets down to 3070-3060.
3. Risk Management: Keep position size within 5% of total capital during consolidation. Avoid chasing price moves; monitor volume changes and market news, adding positions only after a breakout occurs.
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1.12 Market Bottomed Out as Expected with a Subsequent Rally, Here's the Analysis of the Next Steps
Based on the走势 of this K-line chart (combined with multiple indicators), the core analysis is as follows:
1. Trend Status
◦ Price made a new low of 3052.48, then rebounded sharply, currently recovering to around 3141.05. The K-line formed a long bullish candle, with the indicator's pink and white lines both turning upward, indicating that the short-term bearish trend has paused and a bullish rebound from oversold levels has begun.
◦ The downward momentum from the previous prolonged decline has been fully exhausted at the bottom. The rebound has broken through the key resistance line at 3119.7, indicating strong bullish reversal intentions. However, the medium-term outlook still depends on whether it can hold above the key level after the rebound.
2. Key Support and Resistance
1. Trend Status
◦ Price made a new low of 3052.48, then rebounded sharply, currently recovering to around 3141.05. The K-line formed a long bullish candle, with the indicator's pink and white lines both turning upward, indicating that the short-term bearish trend has paused and a bullish rebound from oversold levels has begun.
◦ The downward momentum from the previous prolonged decline has been fully exhausted at the bottom. The rebound has broken through the key resistance line at 3119.7, indicating strong bullish reversal intentions. However, the medium-term outlook still depends on whether it can hold above the key level after the rebound.
2. Key Support and Resistance
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This time the bulls entered at the bottom and continued to gain 2,000 points $BTC
$ETH
$ETH
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1.9 Market Insight Analysis
Based on the BTC candlestick chart (combined with multiple indicators), the core analysis is as follows:
1. Trend Status
◦ The price first dropped to the阶段性 low of 89268.0, then began a rebound, currently recovering to around 91349.9. The indicator pink line and white line are both turning upward, indicating that the short-term bulls are in control, reflecting a reversal rebound after the decline. However, it remains to be observed whether it can break through the key resistance level in the medium term.
◦ The previous sustained downward trend has been broken. The candlesticks have been closing in red consecutively and are now above the indicator white line, indicating that bullish momentum is gradually being released. However, pullbacks may still occur during the rebound for confirmation.
1. Trend Status
◦ The price first dropped to the阶段性 low of 89268.0, then began a rebound, currently recovering to around 91349.9. The indicator pink line and white line are both turning upward, indicating that the short-term bulls are in control, reflecting a reversal rebound after the decline. However, it remains to be observed whether it can break through the key resistance level in the medium term.
◦ The previous sustained downward trend has been broken. The candlesticks have been closing in red consecutively and are now above the indicator white line, indicating that bullish momentum is gradually being released. However, pullbacks may still occur during the rebound for confirmation.
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1. Bitcoin Trend Status ◦ Price surged to a high of 94778.8 before entering a sustained decline, with all indicator lines (blue, white, pink) turning downward, confirming a medium-term bearish trend. ◦ Recently, price dropped to around 90920, marking a low point, followed by a weak rebound. Although the candlesticks show green bars, the rebound strength is limited, and the pink indicator line only slightly levels off—this represents a technical correction during a downtrend, with no reversal signal yet. 2. Key Support and Resistance ◦ Support Levels: First support at $90920 (the recent low of this drop), strong support at $90500 (extension of the pink indicator line low); if $90500 is broken, price may fall toward the $90000 psychological level. ◦ Resistance Levels: First resistance at $91045 (dashed red line on chart), strong resistance at $91500 (white indicator line pressure); breaking above $91500 is required to relieve short-term downward pressure; otherwise, rebounds are likely to face resistance and reverse. 3. Trading Operation Tips ◦ Short-term strategy: Sell on rallies. When price rebounds to the $91045–$91500 range with insufficient volume, consider entering short positions, with stop-loss placed above $91500. ◦ If price holds above $91045 and breaks above $91500, consider light long positions with a target of $92000, stop-loss below $90920, and strictly control position size (longs are short-term plays under a bearish trend). 1. Ethereum Trend Status ◦ Price surged to a high of 3308.65 before entering a rapid decline, with all indicator lines (blue, white, pink) turning downward, confirming a clear bearish trend. ◦ Recently, price dropped to around 3120, marking a low point, followed by a rebound. Candlesticks show green bars, and the pink indicator line shows signs of leveling and rising—this is a rebound from oversold conditions, but the overall bearish structure remains unchanged. 2. Key Support and Resistance ◦ Support Levels: First support at $3140 (the recent rebound starting point), strong support at $3120 (the low point of this drop); if $3120 is broken, price may further decline toward the $3100 level. ◦ Resistance Levels: First resistance at $3160 (dashed red line on chart), strong resistance at $3200 (white indicator line pressure); breaking above $3200 is needed to relieve short-term downward pressure; otherwise, rebounds are likely to face resistance and reverse. 3. Trading Operation Tips ◦ Short-term strategy: Sell on rallies. If price rebounds to the $3160–$3200 range without breaking through, consider entering short positions, with stop-loss placed above $3200. ◦ If price holds above $3160 and breaks above $3200, consider light short-term long positions with a target of $3240, stop-loss below $3140.
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The core essence of trading
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Today is the same as yesterday, continuing to eat meat
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What you learn is what you earn, unity of knowledge and action
The three core concepts of contract trading are the leverage mechanism, margin system, and funding rate, while the five details include contract type selection, trading platform selection, position management, take profit and stop loss settings, and emotion management. Here are the specific introductions:
Three core concepts
• Leverage mechanism: Leverage is a key feature of contract trading, allowing traders to control larger positions with less capital. For example, with 10x leverage, a trader only needs to invest 10% of the margin to obtain a position size equivalent to 10 times the capital. While leverage amplifies profits, it also magnifies losses, so choosing the appropriate leverage ratio is an important aspect of risk control.
Three core concepts
• Leverage mechanism: Leverage is a key feature of contract trading, allowing traders to control larger positions with less capital. For example, with 10x leverage, a trader only needs to invest 10% of the margin to obtain a position size equivalent to 10 times the capital. While leverage amplifies profits, it also magnifies losses, so choosing the appropriate leverage ratio is an important aspect of risk control.
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The essence of trading is the game of human nature.
Greed makes you chase highs, fear makes you cut losses.
Stay true to your heart, wait for a clear signal.
Buy on divergence, sell on consensus.
Follow me, use the simplest logic to make the most certain trades.
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Cousins in the cryptocurrency world are thriving, supporting the family with a piece of heaven #币圈暴富
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Yesterday this wave of the market has perfectly made profits, friends who kept up with the rhythm have already made a huge profit of $BTC $ETH
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In four and a half months, turned 100,000 dollars into twelve times, now proposing 700,000 dollars, leaving 500,000 dollars to reach 5 million dollars before the New Year, let's witness #美SEC推动加密创新监管
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This weekend is very interesting, watching the prices fluctuate so much, they will ultimately return to the original starting point, the purpose is just to gather retail investors' chips $eth $btc
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Does the boss need a trader?
乔治1月份开工
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Yesterday I was lucky, something feels off, the margin is greater than the opening position, it's equivalent to spot trading that didn't lead to a loss.
Every time I get a needle, it takes a long time to recover and is constantly accompanied by needles.
Stay away from contracts!
This is for professionals to hedge, not for us retail investors to play with; it can be deadly!
I will continue to meme, and I won't post anything related to memes anymore, it's annoying to be called a retail investor.
Not many project teams can afford my retail investor status.
I really despise high leverage now; opening high leverage makes me feel nauseous.
Every time I get a needle, it takes a long time to recover and is constantly accompanied by needles.
Stay away from contracts!
This is for professionals to hedge, not for us retail investors to play with; it can be deadly!
I will continue to meme, and I won't post anything related to memes anymore, it's annoying to be called a retail investor.
Not many project teams can afford my retail investor status.
I really despise high leverage now; opening high leverage makes me feel nauseous.
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Get on the bus 🚌 and prepare to eat meat
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