佛文BTC

2025 is a tumultuous year, some celebrate at the peak, while others remain silent in the valley.

But winter is never the end; those who endure the storms have the right to welcome spring.

The cycle is upward, belief remains, not swayed by emotions, not consumed by noise.
We stand firm in the ruins, Keep Building for the next narrative!

2026
The past is reset, and we continue to start anew.
It's not about denying the past, but rather closing the chapters that have already been completed.

Gains and losses have been written, right and wrong are no longer contested.
This coming year, be more focused, more patient, and more honest.
Walk the long road, repeatedly invest effort into what is worthwhile.

If the past was good, then raise the standards even higher.
If the past was tough, then start the rebound from here.

Wishing everyone a Happy New Year, may good things happen 🎉

#加密市场观察
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Do not compare yourself with others, compare yourself with yesterday.

Constantly comparing yourself with others can easily lead to frustration or jealousy. For example, most people cannot run faster than Liu Xiang, and thus may feel that their efforts are meaningless. Or they might think that no matter how much they exercise or groom themselves, they cannot look as good as Liu Yifei, and therefore stop exercising or taking care of themselves.

Comparing yourself with yesterday is essentially a growth mindset, a pragmatic way of thinking, where you can feel grounded while continuously making progress.

Did you move a little more today than yesterday, or persist a bit longer? This thought is actually focusing on growth and reality. By doing this, one can feel more grounded and gradually move forward.

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#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察
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Impatience is a form of negative energy

The underlying emotion of impatience is fear, fear of falling behind, fear of failure, fear of being punished for being slow.

Being calm and unhurried comes from a sense of safety and confidence, not comparing oneself to others; it's okay to be a little slow, losing is also acceptable, and no one can judge or punish oneself.

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The first person in a family to come into contact with finance, stocks, funds, bonds, and futures may seem to be indulging in unproductive activities, but in reality, they are facilitating a cognitive upgrade for the entire family.

This is not gambling, nor speculation, but a choice to become a participant in the flow of capital rather than a bystander.

Labor can help you survive, but only capital can set you free.

Sadly, many people often fear the risks of capital, yet calmly accept the greater risks of inflation, currency devaluation, unexpected accidents, and catastrophic illnesses that can lead to poverty. How many would rather endure the certainty of poverty than face the uncertainties of potential wealth?

If you are the first one in your family to dare to take risks, then your solitude and exploration are, in fact, a turning point in the financial history of your family, an attempt to break the traditional path to wealth.

What you establish is not just an investment, but a psychological inheritance, an understanding of compound interest, and a measure of risk.

The value of this path is not in how much the number of your first account is, but in the choice that future generations of the family will have when facing wealth from now on.

Warren Buffett once said that if you haven't found a way to make money while you sleep, you will have to work until you die.

And the step you have taken is precisely the moment when the entire family begins to seek the door to wealth freedom.
Being awake and participating is better than being perpetually absent. I wish everyone successful investments.

#加密市场观察
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In 2025, the Nasdaq Index rose by 21%,
the S&P 500 Index rose by 17%,
A-shares rose by 22%, the Hong Kong stock market rose by 31%,
the Japanese stock market rose by 28%, the South Korean stock market rose by 76%,
the UK stock market rose by 20%,
gold rose by 62%, and silver rose by 140%,
Bitcoin fell by 6%, and Ethereum fell by 10%.
This year, there are 15 coins on Binance that have gone to zero, and nearly 30 have fallen by 99%.
Doing the math, the crypto circle is almost completely wiped out.
The altcoin you bought, is it deeply trapped or deeply trapped?

#加密市场观察
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This bull market is the hardest to make money since the birth of Bitcoin.

In 2012-2013, BTC increased by 256 times, those who bought made a lot of money.

In 2016-2017, ICOs were everywhere with a lot of hundred-fold coins, and many made money.

In 2020-2021, DeFi and GameFi exploded, and many ten-fold coins emerged.

In 2024-2025, several coins will have a bull market, while altcoins will face total defeat, and 80% of players will lose money.

Those who love you teach you kindness:
Those who hurt you make you strong;
Good people give you warmth;
Bad people give you growth;
The worst people also give you lessons.

How others treat you is the cause and effect of trust, how you treat others is your practice!

Goodbye 2025, all disappointments, coldness, and regrets... will all be gone, the most difficult bull market in crypto history will also pass, face it calmly, it is both an end and a prologue.

Looking forward to 2026, wishing all of us will surely experience a harvest season.

#加密市场观察
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“Investing in the end is indeed a psychological battle.
But emotional stability and ease are never achieved solely through willpower.
Poor kids break a bowl, and it's chaos.
Rich kids drop an iPhone, and their dad buys them the latest one.

If you invest with spare money, how much spare money do you have?
If you go all in and lose 50%, you start to worry whether your wife might run away.

Much of the knowledge in the world is actually nonsense.
They deliberately conceal many premises.”

I personally agree with the above text.
Indeed, everyone's situation is different, so the same thinking and formulas cannot be applied to investing.

#加密市场观察
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Charlie Munger once said: "You don't have to be outstanding; you just need to remain a little bit smarter than others for a long time."

Charlie Munger's words shatter the myth of 'exceptional performance' in investing.

Investing is never a solo act for geniuses; there's no need to demand the supreme wisdom that surpasses everyone else. It is enough to maintain a bit more clarity and rationality than others over a long period. A little more vigilance against market bubbles, a little more adherence to the laws of value, avoiding the blind following of chasing highs and cutting losses, and enduring the loneliness of long-term holding.

This "little bit" of difference, under the compounding effect of time, will eventually widen the gap between mediocrity and excellence.

True assets are things that can put money in your pocket, regardless of whether you work or not; they generate cash flow for you, such as dividends, interest, and rent.

#Strategy增持比特币
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Only families engaged in business can truly understand human nature and the survival rules of this society.

Children from ordinary working-class families often develop a cautious and timid personality. Parents teach them from a young age to be law-abiding, to tolerate situations, and not to express their true thoughts for fear of offending others.

If the parents themselves are introverted, the children are likely to become socially inept. If such personality traits are not actively changed, it will be difficult to adapt to the competitive environment of society when they grow up. The reality is that those who dare to strive and take risks are more likely to seize opportunities, while overly conservative individuals often miss great chances.

A person who cannot break through their own limits and is afraid to socialize will find it hard to achieve great success in the business world. In contrast, children from business families are generally more outgoing and confident, understand how to interact with others, and have stronger psychological resilience. This personality allows them to navigate social interactions with ease, have many friends, and wide connections, which naturally makes success in the business arena easier.

Making money is the ultimate standard for testing a person's abilities. It does not look at the process, only the results. Those who can continuously make money must have a deep understanding of human nature and be skilled in business logic. In comparison, indulging in entertainment, idle chatter, and emotional entanglements will only consume time and energy and contribute nothing to personal growth. True sense of achievement and lasting happiness always come from career success, not temporary distractions.

#加密市场观察
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The current market is a coexistence of opportunities and hardships, and it depends on whether it fits one's own trading system (overall not easy to operate). If it does not fit one's system, the more one does, the more mistakes one will inevitably make. At this time, it is better to stop and read more books, spend more time outdoors, enrich oneself, and do some nurturing work. When the day comes that the light shines and the market completely aligns with one's rhythm and system, one can act boldly.

Being too close to the market, one inevitably wants to grasp all the opportunities within it. By the end of the year, it turns out that I really haven’t rested well. Little do they know that true trading should involve waiting for 20% of the opportunities with 80% of the time.

Goodbye 2025

🎆 Buffett once said: "All great people have something in common, which is that they must be long-termists who are steady and grounded. They do not take shortcuts, nor are they opportunists. They do not seek a decisive victory in one battle but advance step by step, making progress with every step. Remember, slow is fast. As long as the right direction is chosen, leverage time to find slight advantages, and continuously cycle and accumulate, victory will be achieved. This is the only logic of success."

🎆 A person who insists on long-termism must be someone who loves life, cherishes everything and everyone worth cherishing around them, allows everything to happen naturally, does good deeds without asking about the future, does not rush for quick success, can endure loneliness, and stays true to their direction, always believing in the power of accumulation leading to explosive results.

#Strategy增持比特币
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The path to successful trading is a journey from "frequent trading" to "rule-based trading," ultimately reaching "mindful trading."

When you are no longer swayed by greed and fear, when your actions are completely driven by systems and discipline, you are no longer an ordinary trader but truly become a "market practitioner" with a strong inner self.

#Strategy增持比特币 #BTC
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What is an entry? #BTC

An entry is just an attempt at trial and error, and cannot guarantee 100% accuracy; it is just the beginning of trading, and is not as important as the exit. Everyone who tries to find the "trading holy grail" is looking for the best entry rules.

Seeking high win-rate entry rules is the biggest trap in trading, and basically everyone will go through this phase. Only by passing through this layer do we truly enter the door of speculative trading; we can then truly start to consider what trading is, and begin to establish trading rules to cope with market uncertainty, manage risks, and profits.

#Strategy增持比特币
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On Monday, U.S. stock indices saw the Nasdaq index drop by 0.4% during the day, the S&P 500 index fell by 0.3%, gold decreased by 4.7%, and the dollar index dropped by 0.02%. Precious metal prices retreated.

Moody's economist Mark Zandi: The Federal Reserve may implement multiple rate cuts in 2026, following a gradual and cautious path for rate cuts.

With the trend of U.S. stocks looking like this, it always feels like 2026 will be a bearish year. There are still those who continue to buy Bitcoin at the bottom; they will eventually get wiped out.

The bulls haven't had their meal; the rebound is getting weaker. Now the volatility is decreasing, which means that once a direction emerges, it will be a strong trend.
This is still the Nasdaq at 25000+, if the Nasdaq crashes, won't Bitcoin go to 70000💲?
Brothers, it’s best to operate cautiously recently; whether to defend or to go all out is up to you.

Wait for the right moment, a great opportunity is coming, everyone has a chance to turn things around.
I believe you can too.

#加密市场观察 #Strategy增持比特币
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Some bloggers really like to say that the error tolerance in life is very high.

In reality, this perspective can be quite harmful. The most important thing in life is actually the awareness of prevention, rather than relying on error tolerance. Because for many things, once you make a mistake, there is no turning back.

For example, marrying and having children with a terrible person without thinking, or investing in things you don't understand without thought, can leave you unable to turn your life around for many years or even a lifetime.

The error tolerance in life is self-comforting after making a mistake, rather than believing in some error tolerance in life before making a decision.

#加密市场观察 #Strategy增持比特币
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“Don't be greedy” — everyone knows this principle, but when you're in the situation, it's really easy to go crazy.

I just saw a story about a person trading futures; he made a hundred thousand on his first try, which is incredibly motivating for someone with a regular salary. He felt so elated that he thought he was a genius, and then he made nine hundred thousand, which drove him even crazier. He threw himself into it completely, winning repeatedly, and was in a constant state of euphoria.
Until he leveraged and lost eighteen million.
He couldn't believe it, trembling all over, feeling like it was a dream... He quickly withered away, not daring to tell his family. Suddenly, his parents, wife, and kids all floated before his eyes; previously, he only saw candlesticks, ten years of hard work, all his savings... He felt like he had become an ordinary person again, even worse than ordinary; he thought of himself as a worthless piece of trash.

It's simply shocking. We outsiders look at it and think he should have stopped at a hundred thousand, or at nine hundred thousand [sigh]. But we can say this because we are spectators [crying]. As for myself... I fully understand the principle of “don't be greedy”... but...

Take my investment in funds as an example; this is already very conservative.

About half a month ago, for some reason (saying I don't know why is because I still lack precise judgment), I thought “this fund should be bought at this position” — so I bought in. I invested six thousand.

A few days later, many big players were saying this fund should be bought —
then it experienced eight consecutive increases!
I... [dumbfounded] I, a novice, was actually several steps ahead of the big players...
Everyone feel my thrill...

Then I kept thinking that I had invested too little.
It rose by 5.5%, and I only made three hundred thirty-two...

Isn't this greed? 😢😢😢
So when I see those stories of catastrophic failures due to greed, I no longer mock them; I just remind myself. Don't be greedy.

Similarly, these principles also apply to Web3, buying coins, selling coins “don't be greedy.”

#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察
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About isolated margin and cross margin:

This section does not discuss the conceptual differences between isolated margin and cross margin; it only addresses the practical differences.

Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, it is strongly recommended to choose isolated margin! You must choose isolated margin! You must choose isolated margin! The reasons are as follows: 1. Isolated margin locks in risk by mechanism; as long as you do not recklessly increase your margin, at least you won't go to zero;

2. The principles of liquidation stop-loss and market stop-loss are basically the same, but manually setting stop-loss orders tests execution ability and can easily lead to unexpected outcomes;

3. It is easier to calculate the size of the position you intend to open.

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In a small county, a straightforward relative saved 500,000 and asked whether to buy a house or a car?

I said: Don't do either. Go buy a dividend asset with an annualized return of 5%. It pays out 24,000 a year, reliably bringing in 2,000 a month.

In China, this 2,000 means:

Two trips a day at 30 yuan for a dedicated car (no depreciation, fines, or scratches) - or renting a million-yuan house (no monthly payments, no renovations, can move anytime)

What is reality?

Buying a car = an endless pit of annual insurance, maintenance, fuel, and parking fees

Buying a house = monthly payments locking you into the next 30 years, property management, utilities, and renovations squeezing another 500,000 dry.

Four to five hundred thousand is the watershed for ordinary people's fate. The first 500,000 is a "seed"; if handled well, the second 500,000 will automatically come knocking.

Once you fall into the consumption trap, treating the seed as food, you instantly fall back into the ranks of the proletariat, with no chance of turning things around.

Holding assets or holding liabilities? This is the only difference between the mindset of the rich and the poor.

#加密市场观察 #Strategy增持比特币
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