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推特:凯文(Kevin),公众号:财经大鹏,微博:财经大鹏I,每天技术分析,宏观面基本面分析,K线技术分析免费教学
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Bullish
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The top divergence has occurred, just 🈳 it
The top divergence has occurred, just 🈳 it
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Empty in 😂
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Empty in 😂
Empty in 😂
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Bearish
60900 Prepare to empty
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60900 Prepare to empty
60900 Prepare to empty
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Straight to 60,000 😂
Straight to 60,000 😂
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Bullish
If it breaks through 59,000, it will go to 60,000. If it fails to break through 59,000, it will fall to around 58,000. Long orders are entered. #新币挖矿CATI #新币挖矿HMSTR #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #FTX赎回Solana #美国8月核心CPI超预期
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Bitcoin hit the Bollinger middle rail daily pressure level yesterday and then pulled back, but the 4-hour middle rail support was very strong and it has not completely broken. It is just the main force's washing behavior. Let the car be lighter and wait patiently for the breakthrough of 59,000. Ethereum is basically a stable performance at present, with strong support near 2,300 and strong pressure near 2,500. This position in the middle can only be patiently waited for Operation opportunities today Today, Bitcoin can refer to the 4-hour middle rail 57,300-56,800 for light positions to go long, and Ethereum can refer to the 4-hour lower rail 2315-2280 for light positions to go long. Personal opinions are for reference only! $BTC $ETH $BNB {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(ETHUSDT) #新币挖矿HMSTR #美降息25个基点预期升温 #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #美国8月核心CPI超预期 #特朗普哈里斯辩论未提及加密货币
Bitcoin hit the Bollinger middle rail daily pressure level yesterday and then pulled back, but the 4-hour middle rail support was very strong and it has not completely broken. It is just the main force's washing behavior. Let the car be lighter and wait patiently for the breakthrough of 59,000. Ethereum is basically a stable performance at present, with strong support near 2,300 and strong pressure near 2,500. This position in the middle can only be patiently waited for

Operation opportunities today
Today, Bitcoin can refer to the 4-hour middle rail 57,300-56,800 for light positions to go long, and Ethereum can refer to the 4-hour lower rail 2315-2280 for light positions to go long. Personal opinions are for reference only! $BTC $ETH $BNB #新币挖矿HMSTR #美降息25个基点预期升温 #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #美国8月核心CPI超预期 #特朗普哈里斯辩论未提及加密货币
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4-hour top divergence structure, it just can’t go up😂
4-hour top divergence structure, it just can’t go up😂
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Bearish
Empty it, just do it
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Empty it, just do it
Empty it, just do it
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The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending September 7 is one of the important indicators reflecting the state of the U.S. labor market.The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending September 7 is one of the important indicators reflecting the state of the U.S. labor market. The following are some common views and analysis angles on this data: - Overall job market situation: - If the number of initial jobless claims falls and is lower than expected, it means that the job market is in good condition, corporate layoffs are decreasing, and labor market demand is strong. This may suggest that the economy is relatively healthy, which may be good news for the US dollar and may put some pressure on safe-haven assets such as gold. - On the contrary, if the number of initial jobless claims increases or is higher than expected, it may mean that there are certain problems in the job market and that labor market demand is weakening, which may trigger market concerns about the economic outlook. The US dollar may be suppressed to a certain extent, while the prices of safe-haven assets such as gold may rise.

The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending September 7 is one of the important indicators reflecting the state of the U.S. labor market.

The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending September 7 is one of the important indicators reflecting the state of the U.S. labor market. The following are some common views and analysis angles on this data:

- Overall job market situation:
- If the number of initial jobless claims falls and is lower than expected, it means that the job market is in good condition, corporate layoffs are decreasing, and labor market demand is strong. This may suggest that the economy is relatively healthy, which may be good news for the US dollar and may put some pressure on safe-haven assets such as gold.
- On the contrary, if the number of initial jobless claims increases or is higher than expected, it may mean that there are certain problems in the job market and that labor market demand is weakening, which may trigger market concerns about the economic outlook. The US dollar may be suppressed to a certain extent, while the prices of safe-haven assets such as gold may rise.
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Night order strategy, place the order and go to sleep🛌 BTC long Point: 54750 Take profit: 56800-57500-58600-59800 Stop loss: 54200 ETH long Entry: 2270-2240 Stop loss 2220 For reference only, reasonably control the position leverage
Night order strategy, place the order and go to sleep🛌

BTC long

Point: 54750
Take profit: 56800-57500-58600-59800

Stop loss: 54200

ETH long

Entry: 2270-2240

Stop loss 2220

For reference only, reasonably control the position leverage
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The CPI data released on the evening of September 11 is an important economic indicator. The key impacts are as follows: - Market expectations - In line with expectations, the market reaction is mild, and the Fed's expectations of rate cuts are not greatly affected. - Higher than expected, it may trigger expectations of rate hikes, stock market declines, bond prices fall, and the US dollar strengthens. - Lower than expected, it strengthens expectations of rate cuts, stock market rises, bond prices rise, and the US dollar weakens. - Economic situation - Reflects the inflation level, affecting consumer purchasing power and corporate costs. - Affects the Fed's decision-making and provides a basis for rate cuts or caution. - Predicts economic trends. Too high or too low inflation suggests that there are problems in the economy. - Assets in different industries - Different sectors of the stock market are affected to varying degrees. - In the foreign exchange market, high inflation may depreciate the US dollar, and low inflation may strengthen the US dollar, but the exchange rate is affected by multiple factors. - The bond market is closely related to inflation and interest rates. When inflation rises, bond prices fall, and vice versa. - In the commodity market, gold can hedge against inflation, and crude oil is indirectly affected by economic conditions. - International Market - ​​Affects other countries' stock markets, exchange rates and commodity markets. However, the interpretation of CPI data is complex and requires comprehensive consideration of other factors and one's own investment situation.
The CPI data released on the evening of September 11 is an important economic indicator.

The key impacts are as follows:

- Market expectations
- In line with expectations, the market reaction is mild, and the Fed's expectations of rate cuts are not greatly affected.
- Higher than expected, it may trigger expectations of rate hikes, stock market declines, bond prices fall, and the US dollar strengthens.
- Lower than expected, it strengthens expectations of rate cuts, stock market rises, bond prices rise, and the US dollar weakens.
- Economic situation
- Reflects the inflation level, affecting consumer purchasing power and corporate costs.
- Affects the Fed's decision-making and provides a basis for rate cuts or caution.
- Predicts economic trends. Too high or too low inflation suggests that there are problems in the economy.
- Assets in different industries
- Different sectors of the stock market are affected to varying degrees.
- In the foreign exchange market, high inflation may depreciate the US dollar, and low inflation may strengthen the US dollar, but the exchange rate is affected by multiple factors.
- The bond market is closely related to inflation and interest rates. When inflation rises, bond prices fall, and vice versa.
- In the commodity market, gold can hedge against inflation, and crude oil is indirectly affected by economic conditions.
- International Market
- ​​Affects other countries' stock markets, exchange rates and commodity markets.

However, the interpretation of CPI data is complex and requires comprehensive consideration of other factors and one's own investment situation.
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Cryptocurrency policy: Trump and Harris’ attitudes and influenceAgainst the backdrop of the 2024 US election, cryptocurrency policy has become a delicate and intriguing topic. Polls show that only 6% of voters want to hear about crypto policy in the debate, but that doesn't mean it's unimportant. Trump's shift in stance on cryptocurrencies is a dramatic performance. He once regarded Bitcoin as a "scam" and called for action against digital currencies during his presidency. But now, on the campaign stage, he has made a 180-degree turn and stood on the side of Bitcoin miners. He declared that if elected, he would block the central bank's digital currency and even fire Gary Gensler, chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This attitude is like throwing a huge olive branch to the cryptocurrency world.

Cryptocurrency policy: Trump and Harris’ attitudes and influence

Against the backdrop of the 2024 US election, cryptocurrency policy has become a delicate and intriguing topic.
Polls show that only 6% of voters want to hear about crypto policy in the debate, but that doesn't mean it's unimportant. Trump's shift in stance on cryptocurrencies is a dramatic performance. He once regarded Bitcoin as a "scam" and called for action against digital currencies during his presidency. But now, on the campaign stage, he has made a 180-degree turn and stood on the side of Bitcoin miners. He declared that if elected, he would block the central bank's digital currency and even fire Gary Gensler, chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This attitude is like throwing a huge olive branch to the cryptocurrency world.
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Fund allocation and position management in contract swing tradingFund allocation method - Fixed ratio method - Definition: Allocate funds used for contract swing trading according to a fixed ratio. For example, always keep 20% of the total funds invested in each transaction. - Advantages: Simple and intuitive, it allows investors to maintain a relatively stable risk exposure level in different trading opportunities and avoid over-trading. - For example: Assume that an investor has 100,000 yuan in funds, and according to a fixed ratio of 20%, he can invest a maximum of 20,000 yuan in each transaction. - Kelly Criterion - Definition: Calculate the optimal capital investment ratio based on the probability of winning a trade and the potential profit and loss ratio. The formula is     , where  is the investment ratio,  is the ratio of average profit to average loss,  is the probability of winning, and  is the probability of failure (     ).

Fund allocation and position management in contract swing trading

Fund allocation method
- Fixed ratio method
- Definition: Allocate funds used for contract swing trading according to a fixed ratio. For example, always keep 20% of the total funds invested in each transaction.
- Advantages: Simple and intuitive, it allows investors to maintain a relatively stable risk exposure level in different trading opportunities and avoid over-trading.
- For example: Assume that an investor has 100,000 yuan in funds, and according to a fixed ratio of 20%, he can invest a maximum of 20,000 yuan in each transaction.
- Kelly Criterion
- Definition: Calculate the optimal capital investment ratio based on the probability of winning a trade and the potential profit and loss ratio. The formula is     , where  is the investment ratio,  is the ratio of average profit to average loss,  is the probability of winning, and  is the probability of failure (     ).
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Analysis of the midday trading on September 11. From the 15-minute point of view, the MACD indicator is parallel below the zero axis, the upper and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands begin to spread up and down, the RSI index is 24.1, and the KDJ index is 14.2, which is in the oversold area. There will be a small rebound in the short term. The 1-hour MACD indicator is dead cross above the zero axis, and the short volume is easing. The RSI and KDJ indicators have formed a dead cross, and the top of the K line forms a double top pattern at the 58,000 position, indicating that the short-term pressure at the 58,000 position is extremely strong, and there is a possibility of a subsequent decline. The 4-6 hour RSI and KDJ indicators have entered the overbought area, and there will be a subsequent correction demand. The MACD indicator is about to form a dead cross above the zero axis, and the short volume begins to ease and increase. The long volume The volume can continue to shrink. In the short term, bears dominate the market. From the daily line, MACD forms a golden cross below the zero axis, and the RSI and KDJ indicators have formed a golden cross. The trend is still bullish in the future. The short-term support below is around 56200-55500, and the upper pressure is around 58000-58300. It is recommended to open positions in batches in the 56200-55500 range and go long. The target is around 58000-58300. ETH's upper pressure is around 2390-2400, and the lower support is around 2317-2305. In terms of operation, you can open positions in batches around 2317-2305 and go long. The target is around 2390-2400. The strategy is for reference only and does not constitute an investment basis! {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(ETHUSDT) {future}(BNBUSDT) #美国大选如何影响加密产业? #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息? #Telegram创始人获保释 #以太坊基金会
Analysis of the midday trading on September 11. From the 15-minute point of view, the MACD indicator is parallel below the zero axis, the upper and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands begin to spread up and down, the RSI index is 24.1, and the KDJ index is 14.2, which is in the oversold area. There will be a small rebound in the short term. The 1-hour MACD indicator is dead cross above the zero axis, and the short volume is easing. The RSI and KDJ indicators have formed a dead cross, and the top of the K line forms a double top pattern at the 58,000 position, indicating that the short-term pressure at the 58,000 position is extremely strong, and there is a possibility of a subsequent decline. The 4-6 hour RSI and KDJ indicators have entered the overbought area, and there will be a subsequent correction demand. The MACD indicator is about to form a dead cross above the zero axis, and the short volume begins to ease and increase. The long volume The volume can continue to shrink. In the short term, bears dominate the market. From the daily line, MACD forms a golden cross below the zero axis, and the RSI and KDJ indicators have formed a golden cross. The trend is still bullish in the future. The short-term support below is around 56200-55500, and the upper pressure is around 58000-58300. It is recommended to open positions in batches in the 56200-55500 range and go long. The target is around 58000-58300.

ETH's upper pressure is around 2390-2400, and the lower support is around 2317-2305. In terms of operation, you can open positions in batches around 2317-2305 and go long. The target is around 2390-2400. The strategy is for reference only and does not constitute an investment basis! #美国大选如何影响加密产业? #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息? #Telegram创始人获保释 #以太坊基金会
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Analysis of the midday trading on September 10th, from the current 15-minute point of view, the upper and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands began to narrow and move closer to the middle. A stop-loss signal may appear in the short term and the bottoming out will begin. The short-selling volume in 1 hour began to shrink. The RSI index was 18.7 and the KDJ index was 13.9. The data showed that it entered the oversold area and a rebound may occur later. From the 4-6-hour point of view, the price is still near the upper track of the Bollinger Bands. The RSI index is 98.5 and the KDJ index is 84.3. The data shows that it is still in the overbought area and there is still a need for a correction in the later period. From the 12-hour point of view, the price encountered pressure below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands in the short term, but the short-selling volume did not continue to increase, indicating that the bulls still dominated the market in the later period. The reference entry point for BTC long positions is around 56300-55800, and the target is 58000-58500.

The reference entry point for ETH long positions is around 2325-2305, and the target is around 2380-2395. Personal opinions are for reference only and do not constitute an investment basis! $BTC $ETH $BNB #美国大选如何影响加密产业? #美国经济软着陆? #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息? #Telegram创始人获保释
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Analysis of the midday trading on September 10th, from the current 15-minute point of view, the upper and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands began to narrow and move closer to the middle. A stop-loss signal may appear in the short term and the bottoming out will begin. The short-selling volume in 1 hour began to shrink. The RSI index was 18.7 and the KDJ index was 13.9. The data showed that it entered the oversold area and a rebound may occur later. From the 4-6-hour point of view, the price is still near the upper track of the Bollinger Bands. The RSI index is 98.5 and the KDJ index is 84.3. The data shows that it is still in the overbought area and there is still a need for a correction in the later period. From the 12-hour point of view, the price encountered pressure below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands in the short term, but the short-selling volume did not continue to increase, indicating that the bulls still dominated the market in the later period. The reference entry point for BTC long positions is around 56300-55800, and the target is 58000-58500. The reference entry point for ETH long positions is around 2325-2305, and the target is around 2380-2395. Personal opinions are for reference only and do not constitute an investment basis! $BTC $ETH $BNB #美国大选如何影响加密产业? #美国经济软着陆? #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息? #Telegram创始人获保释
Analysis of the midday trading on September 10th, from the current 15-minute point of view, the upper and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands began to narrow and move closer to the middle. A stop-loss signal may appear in the short term and the bottoming out will begin. The short-selling volume in 1 hour began to shrink. The RSI index was 18.7 and the KDJ index was 13.9. The data showed that it entered the oversold area and a rebound may occur later. From the 4-6-hour point of view, the price is still near the upper track of the Bollinger Bands. The RSI index is 98.5 and the KDJ index is 84.3. The data shows that it is still in the overbought area and there is still a need for a correction in the later period. From the 12-hour point of view, the price encountered pressure below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands in the short term, but the short-selling volume did not continue to increase, indicating that the bulls still dominated the market in the later period. The reference entry point for BTC long positions is around 56300-55800, and the target is 58000-58500.

The reference entry point for ETH long positions is around 2325-2305, and the target is around 2380-2395. Personal opinions are for reference only and do not constitute an investment basis! $BTC $ETH $BNB #美国大选如何影响加密产业? #美国经济软着陆? #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息? #Telegram创始人获保释
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Bearish
Analysis of the morning session on September 10 shows that BTC's current 15-minute top technical indicators show a top divergence pattern, and the long volume continues to shrink. There is a possibility of a subsequent decline and correction. The 1-hour RSI index is 101, entering the overbought area, and the KDJ index is 92.4, also entering the overbought area. The long volume has also entered a shrinking state, and there is a need for a decline and correction. The 4-hour RSI index is 101.72, and the KDJ index is 88.3, ​​also entering the overbought area. The possibility of a subsequent correction is increasing. The 12-hour MACD indicator is in a golden cross below the zero axis, that is, It will break through the zero axis line, and the possibility of continued rise in the later period will increase. The upper pressure level of 4 hours is around 58300, and the lower support level is around 55500. If it retreats to around 55800-55500, you can consider taking long orders, and the target is around 58000-58500.

ETH currently has a 4-hour upper pressure level of around 2388, and a lower support level of around 2305. If it retreats to around 2305-2310, you can consider taking long orders.
The target is around 2380-2395. Personal opinions are for reference only and do not constitute an investment basis! $BTC $ETH $BNB #美国经济软着陆? #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息? #新币挖矿DOGS #以太坊基金会
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How to evaluate the security and reliability of cryptocurrency projects?1. Technical level 1. Blockchain technology - Understand whether the blockchain technology used by the project is mature and reliable. Check whether it has been fully tested and verified, and whether there are any known vulnerabilities or security risks. - Pay attention to the consensus mechanism of blockchain, such as Proof of Work (PoW), Proof of Stake (PoS), etc. Different consensus mechanisms have different characteristics in terms of security. - Examine the scalability of the blockchain and whether it can cope with large-scale transactions and user needs while ensuring that security is not compromised. 2. Smart Contracts - For projects involving smart contracts, carefully review the code quality of the smart contracts. Look for professional audit reports to ensure that there are no vulnerabilities in the contract, such as reentrancy attacks, integer overflows, etc.

How to evaluate the security and reliability of cryptocurrency projects?

1. Technical level
1. Blockchain technology
- Understand whether the blockchain technology used by the project is mature and reliable. Check whether it has been fully tested and verified, and whether there are any known vulnerabilities or security risks.
- Pay attention to the consensus mechanism of blockchain, such as Proof of Work (PoW), Proof of Stake (PoS), etc. Different consensus mechanisms have different characteristics in terms of security.
- Examine the scalability of the blockchain and whether it can cope with large-scale transactions and user needs while ensuring that security is not compromised.
2. Smart Contracts
- For projects involving smart contracts, carefully review the code quality of the smart contracts. Look for professional audit reports to ensure that there are no vulnerabilities in the contract, such as reentrancy attacks, integer overflows, etc.
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