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BTC perpetual contract is currently quoted at 92,642.6 USDT, down 1.11% over 24h. Volume increased while price declined, indicating short-side dominance. BOLL middle line at 92,985 acts as resistance. RSI three lines below 50. If the price breaks below 91,673 in the short term, further decline may accelerate. On the macro front, the US Dollar Index (DXY) reached a yearly high, US Treasury yields rose, putting pressure on risk assets. Spot ETFs saw net outflows for two consecutive days, large on-chain transactions surged, and exchange inflows increased, intensifying selling pressure. With the Lunar New Year approaching, Asian capital is becoming more cautious. The options' maximum pain point is at 90,000, and negative gamma is expanding, which could trigger short covering and a rebound. However, the weekly MA200 (approximately 88,500) remains the ultimate support level.
$BTC
$ETH
$BTC
$ETH
$PIPPIN PIPPIN
In stock 0.3340, -6% vs Daily high 0.388
Key levels: Support 0.303 / Resistance 0.340
Conclusion: Maintain short position until it stands back above 0.340, targeting 0.303; if it breaks through 0.340 with volume, stop loss for short position and reverse to long.
In stock 0.3340, -6% vs Daily high 0.388
Key levels: Support 0.303 / Resistance 0.340
Conclusion: Maintain short position until it stands back above 0.340, targeting 0.303; if it breaks through 0.340 with volume, stop loss for short position and reverse to long.
Zero怀疑人生
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Bearish#PIPPIN/USDT perpetual contract's $BNB $ data and indicators are as follows:
1. Price
• Latest price: 0.35523 USDT
• 24 h range: 0.30377 – 0.38814 USDT
• Relative to yesterday's close +9.12 %, in a high fluctuation
2. Volume
• 24 h trading volume 993 million PIPPIN, trading amount 329 million USDT
• Current 1 min bar Vol 170.6 million, significantly higher than MA(5)=149 million, MA(10)=165 million, short-term funds active
3. Bollinger Bands (21,2)
• Upper band 0.35857, middle band 0.32824, lower band 0.29791
• The price runs close to the upper band, bandwidth expands, typical accelerating upward structure; if it breaks below the middle band 0.328, the short-term momentum will end
4. RSI
• 6 h 71.7, 12 h 64.1, 24 h 62.2
• Short cycle overbought, long cycle just entered a strong zone, with top divergence risk
5. MACD (12/26/9)
• DIF 0.01829, DEA 0.02038, MACD bar −0.00209
• Already dead cross 2 bars, red bars turning green, momentum starting to decline
6. Order book
• Buy one 0.35525, sell one 0.35526, price difference 0.00001, depth extremely thin, can spike at any time
Comprehensive judgment:
Short-term is in the "high volume + indicator divergence" stage, the 0.358–0.388 area is the last acceleration zone for bulls; if the 1 h close cannot stand above 0.360, then the first pullback will look at the Bollinger Bands middle band 0.328, and then below 0.303 (24 h low) is the bulls' lifeline.
The probability of breaking below 0.328 within 24 h ≈ 65 %, the probability of breaking below 0.30 ≈ 35 %; to break above 0.388, another volume increase of more than 30 % is needed, otherwise, it is just a false breakout.
In operation, chasing long at high positions has a poor profit-loss ratio, it is more suitable to wait for confirmation of support in the 0.328–0.303 range before buying low, or directly using 0.360 as the stop-loss point for light shorting.
$PIPPIN
{future}(PIPPINUSDT)
1. Price
• Latest price: 0.35523 USDT
• 24 h range: 0.30377 – 0.38814 USDT
• Relative to yesterday's close +9.12 %, in a high fluctuation
2. Volume
• 24 h trading volume 993 million PIPPIN, trading amount 329 million USDT
• Current 1 min bar Vol 170.6 million, significantly higher than MA(5)=149 million, MA(10)=165 million, short-term funds active
3. Bollinger Bands (21,2)
• Upper band 0.35857, middle band 0.32824, lower band 0.29791
• The price runs close to the upper band, bandwidth expands, typical accelerating upward structure; if it breaks below the middle band 0.328, the short-term momentum will end
4. RSI
• 6 h 71.7, 12 h 64.1, 24 h 62.2
• Short cycle overbought, long cycle just entered a strong zone, with top divergence risk
5. MACD (12/26/9)
• DIF 0.01829, DEA 0.02038, MACD bar −0.00209
• Already dead cross 2 bars, red bars turning green, momentum starting to decline
6. Order book
• Buy one 0.35525, sell one 0.35526, price difference 0.00001, depth extremely thin, can spike at any time
Comprehensive judgment:
Short-term is in the "high volume + indicator divergence" stage, the 0.358–0.388 area is the last acceleration zone for bulls; if the 1 h close cannot stand above 0.360, then the first pullback will look at the Bollinger Bands middle band 0.328, and then below 0.303 (24 h low) is the bulls' lifeline.
The probability of breaking below 0.328 within 24 h ≈ 65 %, the probability of breaking below 0.30 ≈ 35 %; to break above 0.388, another volume increase of more than 30 % is needed, otherwise, it is just a false breakout.
In operation, chasing long at high positions has a poor profit-loss ratio, it is more suitable to wait for confirmation of support in the 0.328–0.303 range before buying low, or directly using 0.360 as the stop-loss point for light shorting.
$PIPPIN
{future}(PIPPINUSDT)
#PIPPIN/USDT perpetual contract's $BNB $ data and indicators are as follows:
1. Price
• Latest price: 0.35523 USDT
• 24 h range: 0.30377 – 0.38814 USDT
• Relative to yesterday's close +9.12 %, in a high fluctuation
2. Volume
• 24 h trading volume 993 million PIPPIN, trading amount 329 million USDT
• Current 1 min bar Vol 170.6 million, significantly higher than MA(5)=149 million, MA(10)=165 million, short-term funds active
3. Bollinger Bands (21,2)
• Upper band 0.35857, middle band 0.32824, lower band 0.29791
• The price runs close to the upper band, bandwidth expands, typical accelerating upward structure; if it breaks below the middle band 0.328, the short-term momentum will end
4. RSI
• 6 h 71.7, 12 h 64.1, 24 h 62.2
• Short cycle overbought, long cycle just entered a strong zone, with top divergence risk
5. MACD (12/26/9)
• DIF 0.01829, DEA 0.02038, MACD bar −0.00209
• Already dead cross 2 bars, red bars turning green, momentum starting to decline
6. Order book
• Buy one 0.35525, sell one 0.35526, price difference 0.00001, depth extremely thin, can spike at any time
Comprehensive judgment:
Short-term is in the "high volume + indicator divergence" stage, the 0.358–0.388 area is the last acceleration zone for bulls; if the 1 h close cannot stand above 0.360, then the first pullback will look at the Bollinger Bands middle band 0.328, and then below 0.303 (24 h low) is the bulls' lifeline.
The probability of breaking below 0.328 within 24 h ≈ 65 %, the probability of breaking below 0.30 ≈ 35 %; to break above 0.388, another volume increase of more than 30 % is needed, otherwise, it is just a false breakout.
In operation, chasing long at high positions has a poor profit-loss ratio, it is more suitable to wait for confirmation of support in the 0.328–0.303 range before buying low, or directly using 0.360 as the stop-loss point for light shorting.
$PIPPIN
1. Price
• Latest price: 0.35523 USDT
• 24 h range: 0.30377 – 0.38814 USDT
• Relative to yesterday's close +9.12 %, in a high fluctuation
2. Volume
• 24 h trading volume 993 million PIPPIN, trading amount 329 million USDT
• Current 1 min bar Vol 170.6 million, significantly higher than MA(5)=149 million, MA(10)=165 million, short-term funds active
3. Bollinger Bands (21,2)
• Upper band 0.35857, middle band 0.32824, lower band 0.29791
• The price runs close to the upper band, bandwidth expands, typical accelerating upward structure; if it breaks below the middle band 0.328, the short-term momentum will end
4. RSI
• 6 h 71.7, 12 h 64.1, 24 h 62.2
• Short cycle overbought, long cycle just entered a strong zone, with top divergence risk
5. MACD (12/26/9)
• DIF 0.01829, DEA 0.02038, MACD bar −0.00209
• Already dead cross 2 bars, red bars turning green, momentum starting to decline
6. Order book
• Buy one 0.35525, sell one 0.35526, price difference 0.00001, depth extremely thin, can spike at any time
Comprehensive judgment:
Short-term is in the "high volume + indicator divergence" stage, the 0.358–0.388 area is the last acceleration zone for bulls; if the 1 h close cannot stand above 0.360, then the first pullback will look at the Bollinger Bands middle band 0.328, and then below 0.303 (24 h low) is the bulls' lifeline.
The probability of breaking below 0.328 within 24 h ≈ 65 %, the probability of breaking below 0.30 ≈ 35 %; to break above 0.388, another volume increase of more than 30 % is needed, otherwise, it is just a false breakout.
In operation, chasing long at high positions has a poor profit-loss ratio, it is more suitable to wait for confirmation of support in the 0.328–0.303 range before buying low, or directly using 0.360 as the stop-loss point for light shorting.
$PIPPIN
Just looked at a chart of ETH order book, in one sentence: volume breaks all short-term moving averages, MACD negative value expands, bearish momentum hasn't stopped yet.
The U.S. stock market is closed this weekend, no external buying; next week, Japan is almost certain to raise interest rates, yen carry trade unwinding, global risk assets will experience a wave of liquidity withdrawal.
Expected to break 3,000 at the beginning of the week, first target 2,880–2,920; if the Bank of Japan's press conference leans more hawkish, we could extreme see 2,750.
If you want to grab a rebound, don't rush, short again at 3,150–3,180, with a stop-loss at 3,220; spot traders wait to buy in batches around 2,800, and if it breaks 2,600, then admit defeat.
$ETH
#日本加息已成定局
The U.S. stock market is closed this weekend, no external buying; next week, Japan is almost certain to raise interest rates, yen carry trade unwinding, global risk assets will experience a wave of liquidity withdrawal.
Expected to break 3,000 at the beginning of the week, first target 2,880–2,920; if the Bank of Japan's press conference leans more hawkish, we could extreme see 2,750.
If you want to grab a rebound, don't rush, short again at 3,150–3,180, with a stop-loss at 3,220; spot traders wait to buy in batches around 2,800, and if it breaks 2,600, then admit defeat.
$ETH
#日本加息已成定局
pippin's outlook for the next 24 hours
1. 1h/4h/daily RSI are all in the overbought zone (78–82), short-term profit-taking pressure is significant, and the technical correction pressure is at its highest.
2. $0.24–$0.26 is the recent breakout level, which has turned into a concentrated clearing area for bulls; if it retraces, the $4.8 million leveraged long positions may trigger a chain liquidation, accelerating the decline.
3. The funding rate has turned negative (Binance -0.33%, Bybit -0.75%), although this temporarily suppresses short selling, it indicates that bulls are overly crowded, and the negative rate is unsustainable, leading to a more severe reversal when it occurs.
4. $0.06 (approximately $0.24) is a key support level that has been tested three times in the past two weeks; if it touches again, it could easily break down, with the next support directly at $0.05 (≈ –20%).
The next 24 hours are more likely to pull back to the $0.24–$0.25 range; if it breaks below, it will quickly slide towards $0.22 or even $0.20.
#pippin #btc
1. 1h/4h/daily RSI are all in the overbought zone (78–82), short-term profit-taking pressure is significant, and the technical correction pressure is at its highest.
2. $0.24–$0.26 is the recent breakout level, which has turned into a concentrated clearing area for bulls; if it retraces, the $4.8 million leveraged long positions may trigger a chain liquidation, accelerating the decline.
3. The funding rate has turned negative (Binance -0.33%, Bybit -0.75%), although this temporarily suppresses short selling, it indicates that bulls are overly crowded, and the negative rate is unsustainable, leading to a more severe reversal when it occurs.
4. $0.06 (approximately $0.24) is a key support level that has been tested three times in the past two weeks; if it touches again, it could easily break down, with the next support directly at $0.05 (≈ –20%).
The next 24 hours are more likely to pull back to the $0.24–$0.25 range; if it breaks below, it will quickly slide towards $0.22 or even $0.20.
#pippin #btc
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