Analyzing Tron’s Network Growth – A Bearish Sign for TRX?

While the Tron network has seen growth in active users and transaction volume due to the launch of SunPump last month, daily network activity has been declining recently, putting pressure on TRX’s price. Tron’s monthly active users and transaction volume peaked after SunPump went live, but the number of daily active addresses has dropped to 10,300 from 73,000 in August, showing waning usage, according to TokenTerminal.

Meanwhile, decentralized application (dApp) transaction volume has also decreased, falling to $58 million from $73 million at the beginning of the month, and the number of unique active wallets has halved to about 6,000. This contraction in network activity resulted in TRX failing to post significant gains and instead facing bearish pressure.

TRX is currently trading at $0.15, with open interest falling to one-month lows, indicating traders are closing existing positions. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows inactivity in the market and is at a neutral level. Despite some bullish signals, if the current weak trend continues, 94% of traders in profit are likely to choose to sell, adding to the bearish pressure.

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Jamie Dimon Hints at Major Blockchain Moves for JPMorgan

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said at the Financial Markets Quality Conference that the bank could be “one of the largest users of blockchain,” highlighting the growing importance of blockchain in traditional finance.

While Dimon has historically been critical of cryptocurrencies, his admission that JPMorgan is heavily using blockchain suggests a shift in how major financial institutions view decentralized technology. Blockchain’s use cases extend beyond cryptocurrencies to include streamlining cross-border payments, improving supply chain transparency, and enhancing transaction efficiency.

JPMorgan is actively developing its own blockchain platform, Onyx, which aims to transform payment systems through secure and fast transactions. Dimon’s endorsement signals the financial industry’s growing interest in blockchain and could inspire other institutions to take similar steps.

In addition to JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs and Citigroup are among the companies exploring blockchain solutions, heralding a wider application of the technology in traditional finance. As more financial institutions embrace blockchain, it could revolutionize how the financial industry operates and how it interacts with the global economy.

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Aave: Is $146 a pivotal point for price gains?

Aave (AAVE) recently faced rejection at the $146 resistance level, with analysts predicting a possible consolidation phase. A close above $146 is crucial for a move to $180, however, the price has been a significant barrier since 2022, with multiple attempts ending in failure.

In the current scenario, AAVE is likely to consolidate between $111 and $146. A break above $146 will confirm the bullish trend, while a break below the $111 support could lead to a further slide to $90 or lower.

Despite facing resistance, the technical chart shows bullish signals such as an inverted head and shoulders pattern and a breakout from a descending wedge, suggesting potential upside opportunities. The relative strength index (RSI) is at 65.09, suggesting that buying pressure is building, but it is not yet overbought. Currently AAVE is trading at $141.56, with market participants keeping a close eye on the $146 pivot point to determine future movements.

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BNB Price Poised for a 10% Rise After Retesting $530 Level

BNB price has successfully retested the breakout level of $530 and is now poised for a 10% rise in the coming days with a target of $600. The current long/short ratio of BNB is 1.031, indicating a bullish market sentiment.

At press time, BNB is trading near $545, up more than 3.5% in the past 24 hours. Despite a 9% drop in trading volume, there is still potential for a rebound. Technical analysis shows that BNB is consistently above the 200-day exponential moving average, indicating an uptrend.

If BNB can sustain the momentum, it could reach $600 in the coming days. If the price falls below $527, a drop to $475 is likely. The ideal trading strategy would be to buy above $545 with a target of $600 and a stop loss at $525.

On-chain indicators further support the bullish outlook with major liquidation levels at $524 (downside) and $550 (upside). If the price reaches $550, about $3 million of short positions may be liquidated, and vice versa.

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Polkadot shows signs of recovery: Is $4.25 the next target?

Polkadot (DOT) shows upside potential, driven by bullish indicators and liquidity dynamics. Recently, DOT’s moving averages have flattened and the MACD indicator is showing higher lows, suggesting that the market may be recovering.

Despite the recent decline, market sentiment is gradually becoming more optimistic, and analysts believe that DOT may form a bottom in the last quarter of 2024.

The current price is forming a double bottom near $3.56, which could pave the way for a reversal.

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is showing a divergence from price action, suggesting there is accumulation in the market and buying pressure may be about to push prices higher.

The current proportion of long positions in DOT has increased to 73%, indicating that investors are increasingly bullish. Liquidity dynamics also support price gains, with the current area of ​​higher liquidity close to current prices and a possible price target of $4.25.

Taken together, the outlook for Polkadot is positive, and investors are paying close attention to whether it will see a significant rise in the near future.

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FET whale activity surges, trading volumes drop

While FET trading activity fell by 10%, whale (large holder) activity increased dramatically, with large transactions surging by 262%. According to IntoTheBlock, whales currently control 64% of FET assets, which could signal the potential for price gains.

Despite lower overall trading volume, whales are still actively pushing prices higher, preparing to pave the way for a potential upside breakout. FET is currently in a symmetrical triangle pattern from late March, having recently tested resistance at $1.42 and retraced 12%. With whale activity increasing, this pullback may not last long.

The dominance of whales allows them to significantly influence the price movement of FETs, and a break above the resistance of the triangle is expected to lead to further price gains in the coming days. Market focus is on possible breakthroughs and their implications.

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Advice from the currency circle: Opportunities require patience in order to hear the voice of wealth.
Investors should seize their own opportunities. Don't be attracted by opportunities that don't belong to you, and maintain investment determination.
When investing, judgment is important, but the size of the bet is more critical.
Few people can make big money in the currency circle through short-term predictions, and good luck is difficult to sustain.
If you lose too much money, it is difficult to maintain a good mentality. A stable mentality is based on small losses.
Market changes are unpredictable. Studying the market is to seize opportunities and avoid risks. There is no need to be too anxious about occasional ups and downs.
You can choose not to invest, but you can't make completely opposite decisions.
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Why even Elon can’t boost DOGE’s growth?

Musk’s silence on Dogecoin (DOGE) and market dynamics have limited its growth in recent times. As he distanced himself from the promotion of DOGE, market sentiment has become more cautious.
Market manipulation and transparency issues

Lucie, a top marketing executive, exposed the opaque operations of centralized exchanges on the X platform, highlighting the issue of market manipulation. In the current environment where investor confidence is fragile, this opacity further exacerbates concerns about DOGE.

DOGE’s market performance
At press time, DOGE is trading at $0.1005, down 0.8% in the past 24 hours. Although Musk used to boost the value of DOGE through tweets, things have changed recently due to legal issues and his cautious approach to promotion. He warned the public not to trust any crypto project that uses his name.

Holder status
Despite the volatility faced by DOGE, data shows that about 70.99% of holders are still in profit, indicating a bullish trend in the near future. Overall, the market may need to find momentum again, and Musk’s absence is an important factor.

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Aerodrome Finance’s token AERO has been performing well recently, becoming one of the market’s largest altcoins in September. This growth is mainly due to the launch of wrapped Bitcoin (cbBTC) by Coinbase, which attracted the attention of a large number of speculators.

Since September 6, AERO’s price has increased from $0.49 to $0.72, erasing its previous losses. Coinbase’s cbBTC launch brings significant liquidity to Aerodrome, boosting its competitive position in the decentralized exchange (DEX) market.

Coinbase mentioned in its announcement that DeFi applications such as Aerodrome, Curve and Uniswap will support cbBTC, making AERO the biggest beneficiary. The price of AERO rose from $0.55 to $0.61 on the day of launch, before climbing further to $0.72 within 24 hours.

Aerodrome’s total value locked (TVL) has increased by 23% in the past seven days to $687.68 million, according to DeFiLlama data. Despite fierce competition in the DEX market, Aerodrome maintained a market share of 5.17%.

AERO is currently trading at $0.684, up 22% in the past seven days. Analysts predict that AERO has the potential to rise further to $1.25 if Bitcoin continues to be bullish. Overall, the launch of cbBTC and Aerodrome’s growth trend keep AERO’s upside potential in the short term.

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The PONKE memecoin has seen significant growth in social dominance recently, potentially laying the groundwork for its price to rise. Although the coin experienced a sharp correction after reaching its highs in July, the latest data shows that bearish momentum is waning and PONKE appears to be at a turning point.

PONKE reached a peak of $0.715 in June and then fell back to $0.269. The current price is equivalent to a 62% discount to the historical high. As social media attention increases and liquidity returns, market demand for PONKE may be recovering.

The current discounted price is considered a potential entry opportunity. If demand continues to grow, PONKE may return to its highest level in history, or even break through, with a price increase potential of more than 165%.

PONKE's market capitalization is currently about $150.4 million. If it could soar to $1 billion, its price could rise by 569%. Overall, PONKE is expected to become one of the memecoins that attracts much attention in the future bull market.
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Bitcoin’s dominance has broken through a five-year high, sparking market talk of a potential upside. Its dominance is currently at 57.68%, showing a bullish trend. On-chain activity is increasing, and the MVRV ratio suggests a buying opportunity for investors.

Bitcoin is currently trading at $59,179, up slightly on the day. Technical indicators such as the RSI and Bollinger Bands show upside potential. If Bitcoin can break through the key $59,000 level, it may further push prices up.

Meanwhile, exchange reserves have increased slightly, but the overall downward trend suggests investors’ confidence in long-term holdings. Active addresses and transaction volumes also show strong network activity, further supporting Bitcoin’s dominance.

The negative MVRV ratio means that the current valuation is low, which may indicate an opportunity for an upside correction. In summary, Bitcoin seems ready for a new round of gains, but a breakout of $59,000 and continued network activity need to be watched to confirm whether it can lead the market into a new bull market.
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Bitcoin Rise Predicted to Spark Altcoin Season

As the fourth quarter approaches, some analysts predict that the next leg of Bitcoin (BTC) rally will break the all-time high and could trigger the arrival of the altcoin season.

Viewpoint
Glassnode founders’ view: Jan Happel and Yann Allemann believe that Bitcoin’s next leg of rally could break the all-time high in March and drive a strong rise in altcoins. They cite the proprietary BTC/ALT cycle indicator, which shows that the altcoin season may be imminent.

Indicator Breakout: The current BTC/ALT indicator is close to breaking through the neutral level of 50, which could foreshadow the arrival of the altcoin season.

Market Watch
Trends in DOGE and ETH: Cryptocurrency analyst TechDev_12 noted that Dogecoin (DOGE) price action is similar to the trend in 2021, which could hint at the approach of the altcoin season. Some analysts use DOGE and Ethereum (ETH) to gauge the health of the altcoin market.

ETH/BTC ratio: Despite the predictions of altcoin season, the ETH/BTC ratio has fallen to a new yearly low, indicating that Bitcoin outperforms Ethereum, thus suppressing the possibility of altcoin season.

Current market conditions: Currently, the Blockchain Center's Altcoin Season Index shows that the market is still dominated by Bitcoin. Although altcoins have risen slightly in September, the rise is not as strong as expected.

Conclusion
While Bitcoin's strong rise may stimulate the arrival of altcoin season, the mixed signals of market performance and indicators indicate that the arrival of altcoin season needs further observation.
For reference only
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Bitcoin's correlation with the S&P 500 has recovered
In the recent period, Bitcoin's correlation with the S&P 500 has strengthened again. This change occurred in mid-August, when the correlation coefficient between the two rebounded and turned positive. This recovery may be related to the upcoming Federal Reserve FOMC meeting, where the market generally expects a large interest rate cut, which is generally beneficial to risky assets such as stocks and cryptocurrencies.

Key factors
Expectations of interest rate cuts: The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve has driven the increase in Bitcoin's correlation with the stock market. Investors' expectations of interest rate cuts have increased their preference for risky assets, including Bitcoin and stocks.

Bitcoin Miner Reserves: The reserves of Bitcoin miners are an important indicator. Santiment pointed out that Bitcoin miners' reserves have declined since the beginning of 2024. The recent mild rebound may be a signal of the next bull run.

Market Outlook
Miner Reserves: The decline in miner reserves and the recent rebound may indicate future market gains. Currently, miner flow is in the bottom area of ​​2024, which may indicate an upcoming market turning point.

Market trends: Combined with the expectation of interest rate cuts and changes in miners' reserves, significant market fluctuations may occur in the next few months.

Overall, the recovery of the correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 index, as well as changes in miners' reserves, may be signals that the market is about to usher in a new round of trends.

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Ethereum prices have risen, but Ethereum ETFs are still facing outflows, which may include investors taking profits or reallocation of funds.

Outflows
Outflows: Ethereum ETFs have seen continuous outflows in the past few days, with a total outflow of more than $20 million. This indicates that despite the rise in ETH prices, the funds in ETFs are decreasing.

Net flow: According to Sosovalue data, except for Grayscale, the fund flows of other US Ethereum ETFs are zero. Grayscale has a net inflow of $20.14 million and its current overall net asset value is $6.45 billion.

Price trend
Price volatility: Although ETH rose nearly 1% in the previous trading day and closed at about $2,361, the latest data shows that the price has fallen to $2,350, a drop of 0.45%.

Resistance level: Ethereum's price encountered strong resistance near $2,500, making it difficult for ETH to break through this level.

Investor Behavior
Holder Growth: Despite ETF outflows, the number of ETH holders continues to grow, currently exceeding 127 million. This suggests that despite short-term outflows, long-term demand for ETH remains strong.

Although the Ethereum ETF has experienced outflows, the price of ETH and the number of holders show continued interest in Ethereum.

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Will Chainlink (LINK) see a price reversal?

Currently, Chainlink’s price is experiencing a period of downward movement, but it may have recently formed a potential double bottom pattern, which generally indicates that the price may rebound. If LINK’s price breaks above the short-term high of $13, this double bottom pattern will be confirmed and may indicate further gains.

Current Price Action and Technical Indicators
Double Bottom Pattern: LINK recently found support at $9.42, forming a double bottom pattern. This is generally a bullish sign.

MACD Indicator: The MACD indicator turned bullish, supporting the validity of this double bottom pattern.

Price Target: If LINK can break above $13 and hold above this level, gains of up to 35% may occur. However, if the price falls below the current support area, it may continue to fall.

Long-Term UDPI Indicator
UDPI Low: LINK’s Long-Term Upside-Downside Potential Index (UDPI) is currently at a historical low, which generally means low risk and the potential for large profits. Historical data shows that low UDPI levels often mark bottom areas for prices.

On-chain activity and NVT ratio
NVT ratio rises: LINK's network value to transaction (NVT) ratio rises, indicating increased on-chain activity. This is a bullish signal that supports the view that prices may find a solid bottom and rise.

Social activity
Social dominance: LINK's activity on social media has increased, with a social dominance rate of 1.65% among the top 10 crypto projects. Increased social visibility is often associated with market interest and price movement.

Summary
If market conditions improve and LINK can maintain current support levels, a double bottom pattern could drive prices higher. Recent partnerships, increased on-chain activity, and social dominance all suggest that LINK's price has the potential to rise significantly in the coming months.

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Advantages and Disadvantages of MeMe Coin

Advantages:
Full circulation: MeMe Coin is 100% fully circulated, unlike some institutional coins that will gradually release cash.

Fair launch: Most MeMe coins are launched fairly, giving retail investors the opportunity to participate in the early stage.

Easy to understand: The operation of MeMe coins is relatively simple, and does not require complex research and analysis like value coins.

Disadvantages:
Large quantity: A large number of new MeMe coins are launched every day, most of which will fail in a short period of time, and it is very difficult to find valuable MeMe coins.

Black box operation: The project party may snap up a large number of chips at the opening, which seems to be fully circulated on the surface, but the actual situation may not be the case. In addition, there are also cases of human manipulation in the MeMe coin market, and there may be institutions and individuals manipulating prices, causing retail investors to suffer losses.

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As a cryptocurrency investor, it is crucial to master the following points:

Form a logical closed loop: Whether you enter the market based on technical indicators or fundamentals, you must strictly follow your strategy. If the technical indicators deteriorate, you must exit the market decisively, and do not use fundamentals or market sentiment as an excuse. On the contrary, if you enter the market based on fundamentals, you should not be affected by short-term technical analysis.

Be cautious in bottom-fishing: Do not blindly bottom-fish during a market decline, especially when prices are still falling. The real bottom-fishing should be buying a pullback in an upward trend, not taking losses in a falling trend.

Don't chase when good news comes out at a high level: Good news is often released at a high level to attract retail investors to enter the market, and the main force may have sold before the news is announced. If there are too many retail investors following the trend, it may cause prices to fall rapidly.

Control positions: Controlling positions is the main difference between novice and mature investors. Due to market uncertainty, reasonable position management can help you avoid risks and reduce losses when you make mistakes in judgment.

Develop and execute trading plans: Develop trading plans in advance and strictly implement them, and don't let market fluctuations affect your decision-making. If you meet the conditions of the plan, then participate. If you don't meet the conditions, then stick to it. It's better to miss out than to make a mistake.
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Many people want to know that the next bull market is coming and how to escape the peak. One data worth noting is that the peak of the bull market usually occurs 500 days after the Bitcoin halving. The last two bull markets conform to this rule, so it can be used as a reference.

The 500 days after this round of Bitcoin halving is about September to October 2025. If the bull market goes smoothly and the market is still hot by then, it is recommended that everyone decisively stop profit and leave.

Investors who have experienced several rounds of bull markets will find that the continuous surge can easily create the illusion that the market will continue to rise, increase investment and even leverage.

At this time, the risk will often increase. Therefore, no matter how crazy the market is, you must stop profit and leave in time. Although the profit-taking process may face great psychological pressure, in a bull market, getting profits in time is far better than pursuing higher goals

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BNB price up 40%? Cases for and against

Case for:
Technical pattern: BNB is forming a falling wedge pattern, which usually indicates a potential upside. A breakout of this pattern could see the price rise by at least 40%.

MACD indicator: The MACD line showed a bullish signal when it crossed the signal line, indicating a possible upside momentum.

Surge in trading volume: BNB trading volume increased by 25.29% to $1.8 billion in the past 24 hours, indicating rising market interest.

On-chain data: Active addresses increased by 4.03% to 925.07K, and trading volume increased by 15.8%, indicating rising user activity and interest.

Case against:
Overbought signal: The relative strength index (RSI) is currently at 69.01, close to the overbought zone, which could mean that the price will encounter resistance.

Potential pullback: Failure to break through the $580 resistance level could see BNB pullback to around $500 or $460.

Interest fluctuations: A drop in active addresses or transaction volume may indicate a weakening of market interest, which in turn affects price movements.

Conclusion:
Despite positive technical and on-chain indicators, the overbought signals and resistance levels facing BNB mean that traders should be cautious and price fluctuations may occur in the short term.

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Market Review and Analysis on September 13

Bitcoin (BTC) has been fluctuating around $58,000 for four days, and it seems weak whether it is rising or falling. Yesterday's daily chart showed a semi-yang line upper lead state, which indicates that the market is trying to break through, but it does not seem to have enough strength. Such a trend may indicate signs of shipments, and it may be difficult to break through the resistance of $60,000 in the short term. Today is Friday, and usually, the market may see a downward trend, forming the so-called "Black Friday".

Today's Highlights
Bitcoin (BTC): The price tried to rush higher again at the intraday level, but the trading volume was not strong. The continuous fluctuations for several days indicate that if the rise is weak, there may be a decline. The intraday four-hour chart shows that the resistance position is obvious. If the price falls below the $56,000-56,600 range, the support level of $54,800-55,200 will be concerned.

Ethereum (ETH): The performance is relatively stable, with a small rebound and a significant decline. The intraday support level is around $2,260. If it falls below this support level, pay attention to the $2,210-2,230 range. Compared with Bitcoin, Ethereum has smaller fluctuations and a more stable trend.

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