#市场全线看牛？ #加密用户突破1800万 #比特币冲向11万？
$btc

Why I firmly believe that BTC will reach 120,000 before March

1. The current US stock market is in a good trend and there is no systemic risk. The Christmas market and the New Year market of the US stock market make the options expiring in February next year have a greater gaming opportunity

2. The probability of a rate cut at the interest rate meeting on December 19 is 96%, and there is a high probability of a rate cut

3. Trump will take office on January 20, and his policies that are favorable to cryptocurrencies are expected to make BTC hit a higher point

4. The technical form of BTC, MACD, and the golden cross on the daily line are expected to hit 120,000

#美降息25个基点预期升温 #BTC重回关键位置后走势 #美联储12月降息预期上升 #美国8月核心CPI超预期 #比特币战略储备
Next week's Federal Reserve interest rate meeting has become the focus of investor attention, with the current probability of a rate cut reaching 96.4%, which is almost a consensus in the market.

This probability indicates that investors strongly expect the Federal Reserve to lower the federal funds rate from the current 450-475 bps to 425-450 bps at the December meeting.

Why does the market have a strong consensus on a rate cut?

Trend of easing inflation:

In recent months, inflation data in the United States (such as CPI and core PCE) has begun to slow down, with hopes of approaching the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
If inflation expectations are further suppressed, the Federal Reserve will adjust monetary policy to avoid the pressure of high interest rates on economic growth.

Demand for a relaxed financial environment:

Current high interest rates have already placed significant pressure on corporate financing, the real estate market, and consumer credit demand.
To alleviate the tension in financial markets and support economic recovery, the Federal Reserve is more inclined to choose rate cuts as a tool for adjustment.

From the perspective of BTC market prices and Nasdaq market behavior, the vast majority of investors have already accounted for the expectation of a rate cut. If this expectation fails, it may lead to significant fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market.

If your goal is to trade like an expert and become a long-term winner, then from the very beginning of your trading, you must recognize that the solution exists within you, not in the market. Consistency is a mindset, and the core of this mindset is some fundamental thinking strategies unique to trading.

Mark Douglas

#热门话题 #炒币日记 #内容挖矿 $BTC $ETH

Our culture places too much emphasis on forever and tightly ties “forever” with “success.”

For example, you made a lot of money through currency speculation, but lost most of it due to wrong decisions or trading accidents. The society's evaluation of this is: the currency speculation failed.

If you like writing and have written several books. Then your interests changed and you stopped writing books. Society's evaluation of you is: a failed writer.

Society believes that a necessary condition for success is always.

Many good things come to an end, but that doesn't change the fact that "it was good". Of course we can be sad and mourn when these wonderful things end, but we cannot deny the beauty and success it once had. Listing "forever" as a necessary condition for beauty and success is not only unrealistic, it also does us no good.

If everything has to be labeled "forever" to be considered meaningful, all happiness will seem too heavy and burdensome.

I always feel tired because I am always worried that the happiness of the moment has a time limit, but every time I think about the vastness of the universe, I feel that my fear of time is very unnecessary and sentimental.

We have to recognize the value of a moment and not live with the goal of continuing it forever. Think about it carefully, is there anything in the universe that is not temporary? We can't take anything with us.

#玄学 #热门话题 #暴富 #投机 $BTC $ETH $BNB
The ruler of Ziwei Dou Shuming Palace will see if you have the potential to get rich! !

●The pattern of stable investors
Ziwei star: Ziwei star is an emperor star. He has a steady style in personality expression. His career and work orientation is to work steadily and gradually climb up. In investment, he is most inclined to value investment, which can get better returns.
●alpha project value investors
Tianfu series zodiac sign: Suitable for growing companies. Their own abilities can be said to be steady and prudent, but they are also good at conceiving and highly imaginative. For industries other than their own, they have determined through rational analysis that they have real prospects. , can arouse the willingness to invest.
●A pattern suitable for long-term investment profits
Ziweixing, Tianfu Star, Wuqu, Tianxiang, Lianzhen: As long as one of these five stars is seen in the Life Palace, the rest will appear in the three directions (Life Palace, Wealth Palace, Guanlu Palace), so These five stars can be regarded as the same group. They are all stars with a high sense of crisis. They are less likely to put all their eggs in the same basket and will diversify their investments to avoid risks. Spot Options, etc. are all suitable for investment. They are not suitable for short-term operations, but are long-term holdings to make profits. Usually this group is bullish rather than bearish.
●Contract professional accounts, high-risk investors
Those born in the Killing, Destruction, and Wolf series: have the ability to open up territory and create achievements, have the spirit to open up new territories and have the courage to charge into battle, have direct success or failure, and have the courage and courage to adapt to the situation and make prompt decisions, so they like short-term speculation and high multiples Leveraged or small-cap strategies
As for these three energetic stars, it is more taboo to meet Wenqu Wenchang. When Greedy Wolf meets Wenqu Star, they will be impure and turn into exaggeration. When Pojun meets Wenqu, the results of his efforts will be burned because of misjudgment of the situation. , or be exhausted for the opposite sex!
If your life palace belongs to the group of killing, breaking, and wolf, you have extraordinary courage and courage, and your financial fortune is prone to ups and downs. As long as it is a high-risk, high-profit investment, you are likely to do well. , but a good risk control mechanism must be established and macro judgment must be correct.
●Good at using small and large speculation patterns
Those born in Tianji, Tiantong, Sun, Taiyin, and Tianliang: People with this kind of star combination have delicate thoughts and high sensitivity. As long as they speculate in small and large-scale businesses, they are often likely to arouse the interest of this group of people in the zodiac sign. ! This group may be cautious and conservative in financial management, but they have a strong speculative mentality. Even with small funds and light assets, they also have the courage to make all-or-nothing decisions and have a strong gambling spirit. They are very likely to get rich overnight.
●It’s easy to become a KOL
Jumen series, whether it is Sun Jumen, Tianji Jumen, Tiantong Jumen or Jumen Dushou Minggong: good at research and analysis, good network sense, very strong ability to judge hot spots, and judgment of affairs or Views are often able to see through the essence and have unique insights. They are also good at delicate text output. "Slow things down and make things right" is the way to win in this type of galaxy. Businesses that are conducive to long-term investment will usher in good times for themselves while exporting their own views. higher reputation

A more accurate judgment needs to be combined with a comprehensive analysis of the entire Ziwei disk. I wish everyone can find an investment direction that suits them and become rich in the bull market~

#TradingTips"
A very metaphysical trading secret:
No intention makes great use
The general meaning is: the more relaxed and careless you are when doing things, the better the results will be.
When you have no intention of getting results, you will naturally return to the present moment and be optimistic about the current market. Most of the results will not be bad.
Just like there is a saying that when you want nothing, you have everything; it can also be said that if you plant flowers with intention, they will not bloom, but if you plant willows with no intention, they will make shade. If you work too hard, you won't be able to go far. Only when you relax can you clearly see the nature of the market and what kind of trading behavior should be adopted to deal with it.

#ROSE $ROSE #FOXS #PythNetwork

Give a little prince to the unloved child

The Little Prince Meets the Rose is not about not knowing how to love when you were young.
It is the meaning of the encounter itself, which is that the "brightness" of [Dasein] illuminates another piece of "brightness", allowing one's existence itself to emerge naturally.
Because I watered her. Because I covered her with a glass cover. Because I protected her from the wind. Because I killed the caterpillars for her (but left two or three alive so that they could turn into butterflies). Because I listened to her complaints and boasts, and even sometimes her silence.
This is a very existential narrative style. You are different from those roses, because we illuminate each other, not seeing with our eyes, not like those anxious people who always rush to calculate everything with numbers, as if everyone who has reached a certain standard is the same.
What about falling in love? The story of the fox is not about Bai Yueguang or Zixia Fairy.
The fox said that humans no longer have time to understand anything, so whatever they need they go to the store and buy it ready-made. But friends are not sold in stores, so humans can no longer make friends.
If you want to get to know me, please sit down a little far away from me and don't talk. Because language is the root of misunderstanding. But you have to sit closer to me every day.
This is existential love (Owen Yalom). Use your whole being to connect with another person.
I keep myself open to you, I share happy things with you without asking for anything, just that I am happy in the moment. I tell you about my past experiences, just because I want to tell you, and I don't care what you think of me. Everything I know about myself unfolds naturally for you. This is the establishment of an "I"-"you" relationship.
And if I start to analyze and start thinking about what I want to get and what your impression of me is, then in this relationship, I will become "not fully present".
So sometimes people talk about why loving someone suddenly becomes humble. Because you suddenly start to examine this relationship, [Dasein] is reduced to a relationship between "me and things (needs)".
What about leaving? Leaving does not mean denying the encounter, nor does it deny falling in love.
Maybe there are no roses in my eyes anymore, but I know that on a certain planet, there is a flower that belongs to me. When I see all the stars, I feel very sweet.
Maybe wheat is just a color to me, but because I met you, when I see wheat, I will think of your golden hair, which will make me feel that this world has its own unique beauty.
What if you are not in front of me? Like a boa constrictor in a hat, if I no longer think of you, you are truly gone. Existence itself is not seen with the eyes, but "felt" with the heart.
And I met the little prince. Thank you for coming all the way to meet me.
I also look forward to meeting you again in the midst of impermanence, because you are in my heart and not elsewhere.

#ethrunes协议解读 #ETH #BTC #热门话题 #铭文市场
The EthRunes protocol is an innovative token protocol that combines the concepts of inscription technology and smart contracts to form a new token system called "smart inscription". This protocol is based on the ERC1155 standard and inspired by BRC20 and aims to simplify the token deployment and management process while providing flexibility and efficiency.
Simplified deployment process
A key feature of EthRunes is that it greatly simplifies the token deployment process. Compared to traditional ERC20 tokens, deploying an EthRunes token only requires providing basic information such as the token’s symbol, total supply, and limit per mint, without writing any complex code. This allows even users without a strong programming background to easily create and manage their own tokens.
Versatility based on ERC1155
EthRunes is based on the ERC1155 standard, which is a standard that supports multiple token types, allowing multiple fungible and non-fungible token types to be represented and managed in a single contract. Each token ID can represent a new configurable token type, with its own metadata, supply, and other properties. This feature makes EthRunes suitable not only for traditional token scenarios, but also for more complex use cases, such as the representation of items or collectibles in games.
Efficiency and cost savings
The traditional ERC20 standard requires deploying a separate contract for each token type, which is not only complex but also consumes a lot of gas fees. EthRunes significantly reduces the cost of deploying and managing tokens by allowing users to deploy any number of tokens in a single contract.
Fair start mode
EthRunes adopts a fair launch model to distribute tokens to ensure that all participants have equal opportunities to obtain tokens. This is different from the pre-mining or ICO (initial coin offering) mechanisms employed in some token projects, which may give early participants or project creators an unfair advantage.
Security and decentralization
EthRunes provides higher security and decentralization than protocols that rely on indexers. Since it is based on the EVM (Ethereum Virtual Machine), all transaction and contract logic are executed on-chain, reducing the need to rely on external systems and services.This not only improves the security of the system, but also makes the operation of the token more transparent and trustworthy.
in conclusion
Overall, the EthRunes protocol provides a simple, efficient and secure solution for token creation, deployment and management through its innovative design and technical implementation. Its emergence may promote the development of a wider range of application scenarios, especially in scenarios where multiple token types need to be managed.

#BTC #ETH #热门话题 #资金流向
The black line is the price of BTC (right axis) and the orange line is the number of BTC coins on all centralized exchanges. (left scale)
Trends since January 11th (when spot BTC trading began). As ETFs absorb the available supply of BTC, 2.3 million BTC are currently held on all centralized exchanges, a 5.5-year low, reflecting a recalibration of supply and demand. It shows that this market is driven by OTC investment in Bitcoin, and it will still take time for altcoins to make up for the increase. It is expected that this summer will usher in the altcoin season carnival.

#BTC #热门话题 #WIF $BTC $ETH

BTC follow-up market outlook

1. When rsi reaches the extreme value zone, it is expected to start a period of oscillation. If it is a narrow range oscillation or an upward relay pattern, it is judged to be a better entry point.

2. At present, the weekly slope has reached the 12 o'clock direction, and the upward momentum can be fully released. We need to be wary that once there is an inflection point to reduce positions or it is difficult to continue to increase positions, the sharp upward trend will not be sustainable.

3. Stablecoin supply and exchange data show that yesterday’s explosion has triggered strong FOMO and fear of heights in the market. The market entered a correction after breaking through 64k, which is a normal profit-taking.

4. Short-term pressure level 64413, 65065, medium-term support level 58532

#DOGE #Meme #BTC $DOGE $BTC
doge trend analysis
1. Doge has the opportunity to retest the previous high near 0.1
2. It is currently in a high fluctuation range, but has not yet entered the extreme zone.
3. Pay attention to the important support level 0,093

#pyth #PythNetwork #热门话题 #BTC $PYTH $BTC
1. Pay attention to the important support level of 0.68, which is likely to fluctuate within this range.
2. The 1h level is currently in a high shock range. Pay attention to whether there is a convergence pattern and then determine whether it is an upward relay. If it is an upward relay, it will break through the previous high point.
3. The daily level still maintains an upward trend

#BTC #ETH $BTC $ETH
What to do if BTC doesn’t come and get on the bus, a complete guide to dealing with the market outlook
1. The important support and resistance exchange level has been reached, and it is very likely to start a wide range of market fluctuations. The fluctuation range is 60000~56000. It is a reversible small trend (go long when it falls) and follow the general trend (go long, not short).
2. The 1h level of the K line extremely converges into a very narrow range, and when it points to the three o'clock direction, it is a better entry point.
3. The current support level is in the range of 44000~42000. If you sell out-of-the-money put options, you can sell them below 42000.

#WLD​​​ #BTC #ETH #AI+Web3 #热门话题 $WLD
WLD late trend
1. It is currently entering the callback range, 7.5 is the first support level, and 6.67 is the wide shock support level. It is necessary to observe whether the key support levels are broken.
2. Whether you can exceed the previous high in the later period depends on the depth and volume of the correction. You need to wait for the volatile market to converge before choosing a direction.
3. If the double top pattern is opened, it is expected to exceed the previous high point. You can take profit in the safe position and leave the risky position to obtain higher prices.

Has reached a new high

#UNI $UNI $BTC #热门话题 #BTC #ETH
How should the uni callback shock area be laid out?
1. Currently uni has entered an important support and resistance interchange level.
2. The key point is 13.2. If it can stand firm and break through by leveraging the rising momentum of BTC, it will become an important support for the uni currency price to enter 17.5.
3. It is currently expected to fluctuate between 10 and 12.3. It is necessary to judge whether it is a rising relay or a chip distribution pattern based on the strength and volume of the shock.
4. The key support is 9.95, which needs to be focused on

#宏观经济 #BTC‬ #热门内容 $BTC $BNB

A picture of the economic cycle

Row A indicates the year when Panic will occur;

Line B represents Years of good times, when prices are high, and it is suitable for selling stocks and valuable things;

Line C represents Years of hard times, when prices are low, and it is suitable to buy stocks and valuable things, holding them until good years and then selling them.
Currently between 2023 (C) and 2026 (B)

This chart, drawn by Samuel Benner in 1875, accurately predicted many important events.

#PepeQuizReward #热门话题 #BTC $PEPE
How far can pepe’s market go this time?
1. The current weekly level has a w-bottom and is expected to hit a new high
2. fib shows that the current first resistance level is 0.00000179, which is expected to be reached within two weeks.
3. The current important support level is 0.00000170

It is expected to reach the first resistance level of 57000 area within this week

#strk #NFP/USDT #热门话题
$NFP and $STRK market comparison
After the listing of these two coins, there was a downward trend to balance the supply and demand relationship. They also released early chips through a long period of shock to complete the chip collection behavior. In the later stage of nfp, after the chip collection is completed, new growth will usher in with the explosion of the AI ​​track. It is expected that the growth of strk will start before 3.13 after the chips are fully collected.