AltMan4U
Big fish 🐠. In Crypto since 2019. Young man from Canada 🇨🇦. I trade US indices, gold, and alt-coins. TRB📈
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2026 BITCOIN outlook.
BTC has broken bearish local structure signifying a reverse in trend in the daily chat. This is marked by a higher low and a higher high.
Will momentum continue?
With all other markets at all-time highs, i belive it is only a matter of time before BTC also reclaims an ATH.
80% down-swings may be a thing of the past. The groth this cycle has been healthy instead of exponential with big players only allowing a maximum of ~30% decline in price.
As retail expects a crypto winter in 2026, this may be the start of another bull cycle and potential exponential groth throughout 2026.
US mid-term election are at the end of this year so expect market turbulance and volatility as campaigns heat up mid-year.
BTC has broken bearish local structure signifying a reverse in trend in the daily chat. This is marked by a higher low and a higher high.
Will momentum continue?
With all other markets at all-time highs, i belive it is only a matter of time before BTC also reclaims an ATH.
80% down-swings may be a thing of the past. The groth this cycle has been healthy instead of exponential with big players only allowing a maximum of ~30% decline in price.
As retail expects a crypto winter in 2026, this may be the start of another bull cycle and potential exponential groth throughout 2026.
US mid-term election are at the end of this year so expect market turbulance and volatility as campaigns heat up mid-year.
BTC has never had 2 red years in a row. With 2025 closing red, we have an interesting path ahead of us in 2026.
I’ve added a bitcoin technical analysis on the daily chart that could signify that the local bottom is in.
I’ve added a bitcoin technical analysis on the daily chart that could signify that the local bottom is in.
Higher time frames are still billish. Im not convinced this is over. BTCDOM will drop more, it just needed to make a lower high before it can keep going. This is the strangest cycle yet.
It ain’t over. Keep stacking. 4 year cycle is dead. This is one of the largest bear traps we’ve ever seen. “Supercycle” is here.
Fellas, do I not miss?? ETH looks incredibly bullish right now. We’ve been riding this wave from the bottom. Don’t give up now boys, there’s a new yellow arrow in town. We are here now. Hold on tight.
What’s coming next for $ETH … if you held through that whole DUMP (jan-may), you should be able to hold for this whole PUMP (june-nov??). When to sell? That’s the million dollar question now. I’ll know better than anyone else you could find.
I hope you bought the dip.
This cycle is growing increasingly frustrating. But so did the last one.
When all the hope and money is gone, that’s when we’ll push higher.
There’s only two outcomes in crypto. Quit. Or win. You decide.
This cycle is growing increasingly frustrating. But so did the last one.
When all the hope and money is gone, that’s when we’ll push higher.
There’s only two outcomes in crypto. Quit. Or win. You decide.
Trump caused the drop, over-leveraged traders caused the crash, market sentiment caused the rebound.
Wow just bought a bunch more crypto, what a gift😂😂
The fact XRP is doing this in the last year and a half after years of this is insane. And you still don’t think it’s going to do that?
Perfectly laid out, I’ve been trying to figure out how to explain this.
Bluechip
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DEFAULT 4-YEAR-CYCLE BECAME A 5-YEAR ONE!
Many still think that BTC will peak in Nov-Dec 2025
But all the data now shows BTC peak at Q2 of 2026
I researched all info: Here is what’s happening with crypto market
1/ For years we believed in the classic 4-year Bitcoin cycle:
Halving → hype → blow-off top → brutal bear
But 2025 is breaking the script
Data shows the market is aligning with a new 5-year rhythm, pushing the likely $BTC peak into Q2 2026
Here’s the case
2/ In 2013, 2017, and 2021, BTC peaked roughly 12–18 months post-halving
Traders treated halving as the ultimate clock
But now the playbook is shifting
The halving still matters, but the stronger forces are Fed policy, debt markets, and liquidity cycles that run 5 years
3/ ETFs
In past runs, retail FOMO created sharp blow-offs
Now, institutions buy through ETFs and funds
They allocate slowly, steadily, and on longer horizons
This extended demand stretches the cycle beyond the usual 4-year window
4/ Liquidity
M2 money supply is recovering, global central banks are preparing for easing, and DXY is near multi-year lows
Bitcoin always reacts first to liquidity injections
But the pace now tracks the broader macro credit cycle – closer to 5 years
5/ The U.S. Treasury itself has shifted debt issuance to an average 5-year maturity
That small detail reshapes how capital flows through the system
Investors measure risk further out, and liquidity lingers longer
$BTC’s rhythm is syncing with that horizon
6/ ISM Manufacturing Index is now a surprisingly accurate compass
When ISM climbs above 50, Bitcoin tends to enter its growth phase
Current projections point to a peak in spring 2026, which lines up with the expected liquidity surge
7/ So why not 2025?
Because this year is set to deliver volatility, not the final peak
History shows mid-cycle shakeouts:
Alts dump 40–60%, leverage gets wiped, sentiment collapses
But these “bear traps” don’t end the cycle – they fuel the last explosive phase
8/ To confirm the 5-year thesis, watch the signals:
- ISM pushing toward 60
- M2 money supply growing year-over-year
- Yield curve steepening
- Dollar weakness (falling DXY)
- Consistent ETF inflows
Together, these markers build the bull case into 2026
9/ Strategy shifts with the cycle:
Hold a core BTC position – cycles are built on conviction
Buy dips during volatility, not tops during euphoria
Time alt rotations when ISM accelerates
Hedge, but don’t mistake noise for a broken trend
10/ Bitcoin no longer runs on a 4-year halving clock
Macro liquidity, institutional flows, and debt cycles stretched it into 5 years
Unless ISM breaks down early or liquidity dries up, the main scenario is clear – $BTC peak in Q2 2026
Always DYOR and size accordingly. NFA!
📌 Follow @Bluechip for unfiltered crypto intelligence, feel free to bookmark & share.
#MarketUptober
But all the data now shows BTC peak at Q2 of 2026
I researched all info: Here is what’s happening with crypto market
1/ For years we believed in the classic 4-year Bitcoin cycle:
Halving → hype → blow-off top → brutal bear
But 2025 is breaking the script
Data shows the market is aligning with a new 5-year rhythm, pushing the likely $BTC peak into Q2 2026
Here’s the case
2/ In 2013, 2017, and 2021, BTC peaked roughly 12–18 months post-halving
Traders treated halving as the ultimate clock
But now the playbook is shifting
The halving still matters, but the stronger forces are Fed policy, debt markets, and liquidity cycles that run 5 years
3/ ETFs
In past runs, retail FOMO created sharp blow-offs
Now, institutions buy through ETFs and funds
They allocate slowly, steadily, and on longer horizons
This extended demand stretches the cycle beyond the usual 4-year window
4/ Liquidity
M2 money supply is recovering, global central banks are preparing for easing, and DXY is near multi-year lows
Bitcoin always reacts first to liquidity injections
But the pace now tracks the broader macro credit cycle – closer to 5 years
5/ The U.S. Treasury itself has shifted debt issuance to an average 5-year maturity
That small detail reshapes how capital flows through the system
Investors measure risk further out, and liquidity lingers longer
$BTC’s rhythm is syncing with that horizon
6/ ISM Manufacturing Index is now a surprisingly accurate compass
When ISM climbs above 50, Bitcoin tends to enter its growth phase
Current projections point to a peak in spring 2026, which lines up with the expected liquidity surge
7/ So why not 2025?
Because this year is set to deliver volatility, not the final peak
History shows mid-cycle shakeouts:
Alts dump 40–60%, leverage gets wiped, sentiment collapses
But these “bear traps” don’t end the cycle – they fuel the last explosive phase
8/ To confirm the 5-year thesis, watch the signals:
- ISM pushing toward 60
- M2 money supply growing year-over-year
- Yield curve steepening
- Dollar weakness (falling DXY)
- Consistent ETF inflows
Together, these markers build the bull case into 2026
9/ Strategy shifts with the cycle:
Hold a core BTC position – cycles are built on conviction
Buy dips during volatility, not tops during euphoria
Time alt rotations when ISM accelerates
Hedge, but don’t mistake noise for a broken trend
10/ Bitcoin no longer runs on a 4-year halving clock
Macro liquidity, institutional flows, and debt cycles stretched it into 5 years
Unless ISM breaks down early or liquidity dries up, the main scenario is clear – $BTC peak in Q2 2026
Always DYOR and size accordingly. NFA!
📌 Follow @Bluechip for unfiltered crypto intelligence, feel free to bookmark & share.
#MarketUptober
HO-LY SH-IT. It looks like XRP has finally broken out on the quarterly chart. This is the 3rd largest crypto folks, which has been supressed for the second bull run in a row. 3-5x from here could just be the start.
War in the news, interest rates dropping, FUD everywhere but we know nothings going to happen except that we’re about to make a shit ton of money.
War in the news, interest rates dropping, FUD everywhere but we know nothings going to happen except that we’re about to make a shit ton of money.
The bottom is in for ETH, everyone thinks this is a bearish retest but this is where things get interesting. Congratulations if you’ve made it this far.
In all this volatility, don’t forget how quick this market can rise. HOLD.
This volatility is what i am talking about. Here we gooooo.
We are here. That massive drop is still unlikely but definitely could correct around .000045 and beyond
These charts might get crazy, just gotta hold boys. This is unlikely in my opinion but definitely possible.
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