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The second round of negotiations has begun, the pace is too fast and is completely under the control of the Americans. The war has temporarily landed, and the big pie has responded with a rise. The news-driven momentum has directly broken through the key positions. Interestingly, this is exactly at the moving average resistance level and the previous high pressure level. Generally, such trends require positive news support to easily break through. Once it breaks through, a large-scale bullish structure will emerge, leading to a vigorous rally. It has been too frustrating for a long time. A few days ago, I also mentioned that Trump has been repeatedly testing market sentiment, cutting gold, cutting oil, and after cutting oil, cutting cryptocurrencies. Once the pool is filled with water, they will find ways to create points of contradiction to drain it, achieving the goal of harvesting!!! #美军封锁霍尔木兹海峡 The negative impact of the blockade has been digested, turning to the second round of negotiations which is favorable. If it fails, they will hit again and create negative news. After hitting, they will say it has been settled, repeatedly acquiring cheap chips, and finally rallying. Once the rally is almost done, they will create contradictions and negative news to smash the market~ The ruthless logic of capital.

The low opening on Monday has already been set in stone. As expected, crude oil is rising while other assets are falling. The rebound strength is still best in gold, while Bitcoin and Ethereum are also doing quite well. Next, it is very likely that Trump will impose a lockdown today and not tomorrow, repeatedly testing the market's reaction. The goal is to force large oil traders to buy oil from him while also curbing Iran's economic development. After all, the Strait of Hormuz is the import and export channel that Iran relies on for survival. I estimate this old guy has wanted to do this for a long time, constantly conducting compliance tests to see how international public opinion and the market react. The Asian market has already gotten used to his tactics, so it is somewhat resistant to declines, while the European and American markets should be cautious as they continue to drop 📉$XAU

$BTC The prices of big pancakes, Ethereum, and gold have temporarily stopped rising. The war has not escalated, and there has been no continued bombing, but the United States has begun to blockade ships at sea, choking the lifeblood of the Iranian economy 🛥️. On Monday, crude oil opened high, the dollar index opened high, and everything else is about to collapse unless Iran can't hold on any longer and returns to the negotiating table. At that time, there will inevitably be a final compromise; this tactic was brilliantly employed by Trump...

$BTC Completed, the negotiation didn't go well, it collapsed directly~ Estimated to open low on Monday and be a bloodbath

$XAU Gold here is an important support line for the upward trend. If it breaks below, the short-term bullish trend will end, and it will return to the lower support level of 4600. However, from yesterday's high of 4850 to today's 4700, it has already dropped by 150. In the short term, it is best to rebound to test the previous high where the bulls are weak before going short, which is the best position. Be patient, as the current level of 4700 can easily form a false breakdown to lure shorts; be sure to pay attention. If there is a significant volume increase leading to a rapid decline, you can go long to take advantage of the rebound.

Civilization has not perished. Chuanzi shouted 'The wolf is coming' 4 times. On March 21, he first threatened 'reopen the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, or blow up all oil facilities,' but did not act; on April 5, it was postponed to 8 PM, but did not act; on April 6, it was postponed another 24 hours, but did not act; on April 7, at 8 PM Eastern Time, it was escalated to 'flatten all bridges and power plants,' accompanied by the phrase 'the entire civilization disappears,' yet still no action. After pulling gold, pulling crude oil, pulling cryptocurrency, pulling yours, repeatedly harvesting the market~ the final outcome is always reconciliation, with the cost being the blood and sweat money of the entire market's retail investors and online loans, as well as the lives of the people in the Middle East!!! #美国伊朗同意停火两周

It should be that the Americans have given Iran the corresponding conditions, and Iran has said that it has not closed the channel for negotiations with the United States. The latest statement from Chuanzi is that as long as you can talk, I won't attack. In fact, it probably won't really perish. Tomorrow morning at 8 o'clock, if the talks go well, Chuanzi will make another statement saying, 'Look, the Iranian child is afraid of perishing, so they have compromised. Hilarious!!! Anyway, all the words are just to boast about oneself.'

$XAU Currently, gold is fluctuating in the range of 4600-4800. The core direction depends on the final ultimatum window between the US and Iran on April 8: if tensions ease, it may break above 4800; if conflict escalates, oil prices will rise high, the dollar will remain high, and gold will test 4600. Subsequently, the CPI on April 10 and the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on April 28-29 will ultimately confirm the medium-term trend. Currently, the market's expectation for a rate cut in September is rather pessimistic. If this expectation comes earlier, gold will face a wave of bullish counterattack... Anyway, there's nothing worse than the current situation; significant bearish factors are also limited. Even if the rate cut is delayed, the worst outcome will be a wide-ranging fluctuation.

Chuanzi said that the entire Iranian civilization will perish tonight, is it going to rain? The market seems to still be fluctuating within the range $XAU

$XAU If Chuanzi was really prepared to destroy Iran, he wouldn't be talking tough like this. The essence is still to force Iran back to the negotiating table; otherwise, soaring oil prices and severe inflation will hurt the election, and the four lawsuits he's facing are enough to send him to prison in his old age. He won't be able to leverage his power to manipulate the market and make money, his political career will be over, and he will become the worst president in history. This cost is 100 times higher than going to war. If extreme situations escalate to war, gold will only experience a short-term pulse high, and in the medium term, it will still be pressed down by high interest rates.

$BTC Looking at it swaying precariously, it needs to come again with a bit more force, brothers.

$XAU said yesterday to break 4600, advised not to short, now it is 4722, the main upward trend, pullbacks should go up, if it can return to around 4600 it's a strong bottom, just get in with your eyes closed.

$XAU Classic Short Squeeze Market~

$XAU The price will ultimately return to its intrinsic value; do not short intraday, today the breakthrough of 4600 is a high probability event.

A kneeling and bowing 500u can get 160,000u in follow-up, truly a fool loves to give money, even the Binance platform doesn't dare to operate like this with a 30% profit share, the traffic in this area has truly been understood well by the teeth.

Beijing University earthquake stock trading study, it is said that the stocks recommended by Teacher Zhao in his early years left students with nothing but their underwear~

Peking University Humanities Class Check-in~

Iran's current stance is not about wanting to 'fight to the end', but rather seeing through America's tactics—calling for a ceasefire while exerting pressure, pretending to seek peace while increasing sanctions. In its eyes, the current ceasefire and negotiations are essentially a 'pact under the city walls', where it neither loses sovereignty nor gains real security. Rather than compromising for temporary stability, it is better to stand firm and force America to present genuinely sincere conditions. After all, for Iran, dignity and security have never been achieved through negotiations; they are maintained by one's own strength. #特朗普缓和局势